Memphis at Penn State - 2019 Matchup Preview
Memphis logo Memphis Tigers vs Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State logo
Saturday, December 28th 2019 (12:00 PM EST)
Penn State -7.0 (59.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Penn State 53 - Memphis: 39  (GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC)

 
Tigers (12 - 2) (7 - 7 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 40 - 26 (43 - 25 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Game in Dome
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -3  (SP+ PSU -6)

Projected Score: MEM: 26 - PSU: 31 (57)
PSU Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MEM Travel: 440 miles
Nittany Lions (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (38 - 13 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Memphis's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Memphis vs Ole Miss-3.063.5W 15 - 10UY
Sat 9/7 Memphis vs Southern-41.068.5W 55 - 24ON
Sat 9/14 Memphis at South Alabama-20.555.0W 42 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/26 Memphis vs Navy-11.053.5W 35 - 23OY
Sat 10/5 Memphis at UL Monroe-16.063.5W 52 - 33OY
Sat 10/12 Memphis at Temple-3.550.0L 28 - 30ON
Sat 10/19 Memphis vs Tulane-2.561.0W 47 - 17OY
Sat 10/26 Memphis at Tulsa-10.059.5W 42 - 41ON
Sat 11/2 Memphis vs SMU-6.571.0W 54 - 48ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Memphis at Houston-9.071.5W 45 - 27OY
Sat 11/23 Memphis at South Florida-15.560.0W 49 - 10UY
Fri 11/29 Memphis vs Cincinnati-14.059.5W 34 - 24UN
Sat 12/7 Memphis vs Cincinnati-9.058.5W 29 - 24UN
Sat 12/28 Memphis vs Penn State+7.059.5L 39 - 53ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Memphis's Schedule
Penn State's 2019 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Penn State vs Idaho-43.0
Sat 9/7 Penn State vs Buffalo-31.557.0W 45 - 13OY
Sat 9/14 Penn State vs Pittsburgh-17.053.5W 17 - 10UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 9/27 Penn State at Maryland-6.562.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 10/5 Penn State vs Purdue-28.555.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 10/12 Penn State at Iowa-3.543.5W 17 - 12UY
Sat 10/19 Penn State vs Michigan-7.547.0W 28 - 21ON
Sat 10/26 Penn State at Michigan State-5.541.0W 28 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Penn State at Minnesota-7.049.0L 26 - 31ON
Sat 11/16 Penn State vs Indiana-15.055.0W 34 - 27ON
Sat 11/23 Penn State at Ohio State+20.059.0L 17 - 28UY
Sat 11/30 Penn State vs Rutgers-38.550.5W 27 - 6UN
Sat 12/28 Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Penn State's Schedule
Important Stats (2019)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM.3348%40.447%2.7918747%2983.73.1641%26.442%37%3.6559.91.41.7
PSU.2344%35.844%2.9819142%2214.32.0938%1635%38%2.6945.31.12.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MEM#23 (.27)44% (57)46% (40)3.27 (31)17541% (71)2704.66 (14)#87 (.19)40% (47)40% (45)40% (62)4.05 (96)480.61.9
PSU#11 (.32)51% (4)52% (9)3.42 (10)17651% (4)2094.69 (9)#9 (.05)38% (21)39% (27)37% (25)3.22 (18)41.40.81.3



Overall Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Offense1440.44348.2%3.731.4234851872984.750%48%47%47%21%.33
PSU Defense13161337.8%2.692.1 - - - - - 46%52%35%38%22%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MEM Defense1426.424.540.5%3.651.7 - - - - - 55%43%42%37%18%.16
PSU Offense1335.837.944.1%4.321.1214121912214.854%44%44%42%20%.23

Additional Stats 2019
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Memphis1430:3623.246%58%7.459.91.41.77.13531.1
Penn State1327:5321.242%61%4.445.31.12.19.24.8232.1
Run Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Offense1450%47%39.4186.74.732.152.7968%15%1
PSU Defense1346%35% - - - - -.012.4270%15%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MEM Defense1455%42% - - - - .142.8777%12%1.09
PSU Offense1354%44%39.7190.74.834.192.9883%14%1.05

Pass Game Stats (2019)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Offense1448%47%20.131.5298.49.514.93311.51.932%40%.616%2.3
PSU Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 10.191.736%32%.327%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MEM Defense1443%37% - - - - - - 11.191.634%31%.227%1.7
PSU Offense1344%42%16.728.4221.37.813.3259.271.731%30%.216%2

Memphis's Power Ratings
Memphis's Power Rating: NR
Memphis's Offense Rating: NR
Memphis's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Memphis's 2019 Expected Record: -
Memphis's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.0  #17
Memphis's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.5  #8
Memphis's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.4  #39

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Memphis:    Penn State: 12.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Memphis: 18.0   Penn State: 24.3




Penn State's Power Ratings
Penn State's Power Rating: 12.15 NR
Penn State's Offense Rating: NR
Penn State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating:  #11
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Penn State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Penn State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #6
Penn State's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.5  #13
Penn State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7  #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Memphis Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 43
Defense: 26.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 24.5

Memphis's 2019 Record
Record: 12 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Penn State 31
Memphis 26


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Penn State 30
Memphis 25

Total Points: 55

Based on Entire Season
Penn State 31
Memphis 28

Total Points: 59
Penn State Scoring
Offense: 35.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.9
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Penn State's 2019 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201912/28Penn State53Memphis39Penn State -7.0Penn State59.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Penn State111 Overs
Memphis000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

Memphis Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Cotton Bowl Memphis vs Penn State+7.059.5L 39 - 53
2018Birmingham Bowl Memphis vs Wake Forest-2.071.0L 34 - 37
2017N/A Memphis vs Iowa State-3.567.5L 20 - 21
2016Raton Bowl Memphis vs Western Kentucky+6.579.0L 31 - 51
2015N/A Memphis vs Auburn+2.5L 10 - 31
2014Beach Bowl Memphis vs BYU-1.055.5W 55 - 48
Penn State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2019Cotton Bowl Penn State vs Memphis-7.059.5W 53 - 39
2018Citrus Bowl Penn State vs Kentucky-4.547.5L 24 - 27
2017N/A Penn State vs Washington-3.055.0W 35 - 28
2016Rose Bowl Penn State vs USC+6.560.0L 49 - 52
2015Taxslayer Bowl Penn State vs Georgia+7.0L 17 - 24
2014Pinstripe Bowl Penn State vs Boston College+3.041.0W 31 - 30
  
(#) MEM at (#) PSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMEMPSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #6
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #71 #11
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Memphis on Offense
CategoryCat
MEM OffPSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #8 #10
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Memphis Run Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffPSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Memphis Pass Game
CategoryCat
MEM OffPSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Penn State on Offense
CategoryCatPSU OffMEM Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #13 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Penn State Run Game
CategoryCat
PSU OffMEM Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Penn State Pass Game
CategoryCatPSU OffMEM Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'19 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MEM 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions: Fog
Temp: 64° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.024
Rematch from Week 1
Penn State -7.0 (59.5)
Penn State won vs Memphis this year (53-39)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MEM's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Memphis's Full Roster

MEM's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Penn State's Full Roster

PSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD