Texas State Team Profile
Texas State logo
Texas State Bobcats (@TXStateFootball)
G. J. Kinne (3rd year) (22-16)
Record: 7 - 6 (3 - 5)  |  Proj: 7 - 6 (#70)  |  SOS: (#117)
Roster  |  Injuries  |  '26 Portals  |  '26 Croots  |  Map
Texas State logo
Texas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Texas State vs Eastern Michigan-14.058.5W 52 - 27OY
Sat 9/6 Texas State at UTSA+4.564.5W 43 - 36OY
Sat 9/13 Texas State at Arizona State+18.561.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/20 Texas State vs Nicholls-32.557.0W 35 - 3UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Texas State at Arkansas State-14.063.5L 30 - 31UN
Sat 10/11 Texas State vs Troy-7.553.5L 41 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Texas State at Marshall-3.065.5L 37 - 40ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28 Texas State vs James Madison+7.555.5L 20 - 52ON
Sat 11/8 Texas State at Louisiana-3.562.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 11/15 Texas State at Southern Miss+3.065.5W 41 - 14UY
Sat 11/22 Texas State vs UL Monroe-20.559.5W 31 - 14UN
Sat 11/29 Texas State vs South Alabama-9.562.5W 49 - 26OY
Fri 1/2 Texas State vs Rice-19.555.5W 41 - 10UY

Record Prediction: 6.9 - 6.1  #70
Schedule Rating:  #117
Record: 7 - 6( SBC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 5 - 8 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6
Future 2026 Schedule

Texas State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Texas State vs Lamar W 34 - 27
Sat 9/7 Texas State vs UTSA-2.558.5W 49 - 10OY
Thu 9/12 Texas State vs Arizona State-2.558.5L 28 - 31ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/28 Texas State vs Sam Houston-11.055.0L 39 - 40ON
Thu 10/3 Texas State at Troy-14.556.0W 38 - 17UY
Sat 10/12 Texas State vs Arkansas State-13.566.0W 41 - 9UY
Sat 10/19 Texas State at Old Dominion-10.560.0L 14 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/29 Texas State vs Louisiana-4.060.5L 17 - 23UN
Sat 11/9 Texas State at UL Monroe-9.550.0W 38 - 17OY
Sat 11/16 Texas State vs Southern Miss-27.556.5W 58 - 3OY
Sat 11/23 Texas State vs Georgia State-23.059.5L 44 - 52ON
Fri 11/29 Texas State at South Alabama-2.560.5W 45 - 38OY
Fri 1/3 Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28UN

2024 Schedule Rating:  #120
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (SBC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6


Opponents: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 0 Avg, 3 Bad, 7 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 2 Good, 0 Avg, 3 Bad, 6 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 1Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 190 points   #61
2025 class: 135 points   #108
2024 class: 153 points   #95
2023 class: 125 points   #105
2022 class: 51 points   #133

Average Class Ranking:   #100
Average Recruiting Points: 131

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Below Avg G5
4 Year Class:  #107 - Best:  #95 Worst:  #133



CFB Crootin Averages
Sun Belt Class: 144  #98
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 9 points   #183
2020 class: 145 points   #99
2019 class: 111 points   #133
2018 class: 124 points   #107
2017 class: 128 points   #92

Average Class Ranking:   #123
Average Recruiting Points: 104
 

2025 Portal Class  #81 - 26 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #57 - 32 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #69 - 39 players, 85 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #75 - 17 players, 82 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Landon Keopple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brad Jackson25135271%32232179.2
Keldric Luster (Tr)1333%14004.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lincoln Pare2111129125.463
Brad Jackson174744174.363
Greg Burrell (Tr)10067136.761
Jaylen Jenkins3117025.558
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Sparks8412001014.373
Chris Dawn Jr.651007415.582
Lincoln Pare3731128.432
Kylen Evans15211114.145
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Dexter McCoil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Treylin Payne1017232
Ryan Nolan723022
Bobby Crosby593203
Ayden Jones (Tr)521020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kalil Alexander4812550
Donterry Russell (Tr)186401
Kenard Snyder (Tr)359320
Treylin Payne1017232
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaden Rios (Tr)244104
Amarion Atwood292023
Bobby Crosby593203
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense Returning Production: 40%  #110
Defense Returning Production: 41%  #111

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #81
26 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
49% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 45% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 620.00  #89
Offense Talent  #94 | Defense Talent  #90
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #90 | 2021  #97


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 7 - 6
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2022 Record: 4 - 8
2022 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 27 - 24
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 23 - 27 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 14 - 18
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 4 - 8
2021 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2020 Record: 2 - 10
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2019 Record: 3 - 9
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 8

2018 Record: 3 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 6 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 4 - 8

Eight Year Record: 39 - 60
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 46 - 50 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 24 - 42

Texas State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Forces Bowl Texas State vs Rice-19.555.5W 41 - 10
2024Responder Bowl Texas State vs North Texas-15.567.5W 30 - 28
2023Responder Bowl Texas State vs Rice-3.558.5W 45 - 21
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.33 (7)1.36 (16)46% (24)4.42 (21)27.4 (115)46%60%.18 (76)1.32 (109)41% (61)3.98 (98)30.8 (114)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.25 (25)1.18 (115)48% (17)3.89 (72)31 (28)45%64%.14 (50)1.35 (107)39% (31)3.47 (33)27.5 (31)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251329:1022.946%60%6.959.51.30.97.21.92
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241328:1724.145%64%6.156.51.61.26.92.42



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1336.53834.246.3% (24)4.42 (21)1.3234742232515.256% (22)42% (115)46% (43)47% (25)12% (15).33 (7)
2025 Defense132928.332.841.2% (61)3.98 (98)0.9 - - - - - 52% (101)46% (44)40% (48)43% (87)16% (67).18 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1336.538.733.848% (17)3.89 (72)1.6244381942455.252% (59)47% (86)49% (14)48% (10)13% (29).25 (25)
2024 Defense1324.522.12438.6% (31)3.47 (33)1.2 - - - - - 51% (72)48% (56)38% (21)39% (54)19% (26).14 (50)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1356% (22)46% (43)42.9222.75.236 (4).28 (7)3.13 (35)67% (102)9% (42)1.15 (10)
2025 Defense1352% (101)40% (48) - - - - .08 (58)2.67 (25)70% (58)11% (25)1.06 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1352% (59)49% (14)37.1193.75.225 (41).16 (49)3.41 (11)75% (53)8% (35)0.88 (110)
2024 Defense1351% (72)38% (21) - - - - .12 (67)2.97 (60)68% (34)14% (7)1.13 (123)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1342% (115)47% (25)19.527.8250.8912.921 (86)7 (7).42 (17)1.6 (31)29% (29)38% (9).54 (6)4% (10)2 (71)
2025 Defense1346% (44)43% (87) - - - - - - 9 (123).3 (89)1.6 (97)33% (42)32% (98).28 (64)5% (114)1.9 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1347% (86)48% (10)20.930.2244.78.111.730 (9)13 (103).4 (13)1.5 (91)29% (31)34% (41).32 (74)5% (44)1.7 (131)
2024 Defense1348% (56)39% (54) - - - - - - 7 (104).19 (45)1.6 (62)35% (23)29% (44).3 (65)5% (106)2.2 (110)




Overall
Power Rating  #73 | SP+ Rating  #72
Performance Grade  #35
Special Teams Grade  #73
Record Prediction 6.9 - 6.1  #70
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6

5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Offense
Power  #59 | SP+  #18 | Grade  #35
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Off Success  #24 | Explosivness  #16
Rush Grade  #17 | Pass Grade  #42
Rush Success  #43 | Explosiveness  #10
Pass Success  #25 | Explosiveness  #31
Run Block  #34 | Pass Block  #25
OL YDS  #35 | Stuff Rate  #36
Scoring Zone Off:  #21

Defense
Power  #94 | SP+  #123 | Grade  #49
Def Success  #61 | Explosivness  #109
Rush Success  #48 | Explosiveness  #110
Tackling  #118 | Run Def  #49
Pass Success  #87 | Explosiveness  #97
Pass Rush  #8 | Coverage  #83
F7 Havoc  #25 | DB Havoc  #114
DL YDS  #25 | Def Stuff Rate  #10
Scoring Zone Def  #98


Roster
Team Talent  #89 Blue Chips: 3%  #65
Offense Talent  #94 Defense Talent  #90
Crootin: '25 Class  #61 - 4 YR Class:  #107
Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
Portal Class  #81 - 26 players, 84 Avg
49% of Roster from Portal, 45% TY
75 New Players, 82% of '25 Roster  #114

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 36.5 - 29 | Scoring Margin: (7.5)
Home: 38 - 28 (9.7) | Road: 34 - 33 (1.4)
OC: Landon Keopple - in his first season
DC: Dexter McCoil - in his second season

2025 Record: 7 - 6 (5 - 8 - 0) (SBC: 3 - 5)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 5 - 3)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (7 - 6 - 0) (SBC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (27 - 24) | 8 Yr Record: (39 - 60)


Notes
Hiring DC Will Windham (S Al's DC, Def was awful)
4 straight L's, Def embarrassing. DC McCoil fail
Must finish 3-1 to bowl. Awful regress for GJ Kinne
RB Pare lost in losing streak, underrated RB
3 straight L's, allowing 40 PPG, Pass Def is awful
Off has been good, Pass game great, but Def costing
Blew 28-7 vs Troy, pass Def torched for 415, 5 TDs
Troy QB Kilcrease doubled season yds pass vs Def
Hard L @ Ark St, Def is really bad and costing W's
rFr QB Brad Jackson looks like the real deal
 
'25 Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 47%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.59 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Great Pass Success 47%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Great when off Schedule 39%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.1 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Awful at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 35%

Returning Prod
TXST lost their '24 starting QB (27%)  #96
Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense: 40%  #110 | Defense: 41%  #111
OL Prod: 35%  #115, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2071  #100 | From Portal: 28  #88
Rush Prod: 54%  #65 | Rec Prod: 38%  #95
Def Front Seven: 26% - Secondary: 39%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #72 - Power Rating:  #73
2024 SP+ Overall:  #48 - Power Rating:  #52
2023 SP+ Overall:  #79 - Power Rating:  #77
2022 SP+ Overall:  #102

#102 #78 #50 #73

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #18 - Power Rating:  #59
2024 SP+ Offense:  #20 - Power Rating:  #38
2023 SP+ Offense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #21
2022 SP+ Offense:  #110

#110 #34 #29 #39

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #123 - Power Rating:  #94
2024 SP+ Defense:  #82 - Power Rating:  #29
2023 SP+ Defense:  #114 - Power Rating:  #91
2022 SP+ Defense:  #79

#79 #103 #56 #109