North Carolina Tar Heels (@UNCFootball)
Bill Belichick (1st year) (4-8)
Record: 4 - 8 (2 - 6) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#98) | SOS: (#73)
Roster | Injuries | '26 Portals | '26 Croots | Map
Record: 4 - 8 (2 - 6) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#98) | SOS: (#73)
| North Carolina's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Mon 9/1 | North Carolina vs TCU | +3.0 | 59.5 | L 14 - 48 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | North Carolina at Charlotte | -16.5 | 49.5 | W 20 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | North Carolina vs Richmond | -24.5 | 47.5 | W 41 - 6 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | North Carolina at UCF | +7.0 | 46.5 | L 9 - 34 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | North Carolina vs Clemson | +15.5 | 47.5 | L 10 - 38 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Fri 10/17 | North Carolina at California | +7.5 | 45.5 | L 18 - 21 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/25 | North Carolina vs Virginia | +12.5 | 51.5 | L 16 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Fri 10/31 | North Carolina at Syracuse | +1.5 | 45.5 | W 27 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/8 | North Carolina vs Stanford | -8.5 | 41.5 | W 20 - 15 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/15 | North Carolina at Wake Forest | +3.5 | 37.5 | L 12 - 28 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | North Carolina vs Duke | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 25 - 32 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | North Carolina at NC State | +7.0 | 48.5 | L 19 - 42 | O | N | |
Record Prediction: 4.0 - 8.0 #98
Schedule Rating: #73
Record: 4 - 8( ACC: 2 - 6)
Spread Record 5 - 7 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7
Future 2026 Schedule
| North Carolina's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Thu 8/29 | North Carolina at Minnesota | -2.0 | 52.5 | W 19 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | North Carolina vs Charlotte | -21.5 | 47.5 | W 38 - 20 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | North Carolina vs North Carolina Central | -37.5 | 57.5 | W 45 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | North Carolina vs James Madison | -10.0 | 48.0 | L 50 - 70 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | North Carolina at Duke | -1.0 | 55.5 | L 20 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | North Carolina vs Pittsburgh | +2.5 | 63.0 | L 24 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | North Carolina vs Georgia Tech | +3.5 | 60.5 | L 34 - 41 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/26 | North Carolina at Virginia | +3.5 | 58.5 | W 41 - 14 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | North Carolina at Florida State | -2.5 | 50.5 | W 35 - 11 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | North Carolina vs Wake Forest | -10.5 | 64.5 | W 31 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/23 | North Carolina at Boston College | -2.0 | 50.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | North Carolina vs NC State | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 30 - 35 | O | N | |
| Sat 12/28 | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 | U | N | |
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (ACC: 3 - 5)
Spread Record 2 - 10 - 1 | O/U 5 - 8
Played: 0 Elite, 3 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 3 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
2026 class: 250 points #17
2025 class: 206 points #43
2024 class: 229 points #26
2023 class: 219 points #29
2022 class: 259 points #11
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 232
2025 class: 206 points #43
2024 class: 229 points #26
2023 class: 219 points #29
2022 class: 259 points #11
Average Class Ranking: #25
Average Recruiting Points: 232
Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #30 - Best: #11 Worst: #43
CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
Declining Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #30 - Best: #11 Worst: #43
CFB Crootin Averages
ACC Class: 211 #42
Power 4 Class: 225 #42
FBS Class: 179 #69
2021 class: 254 points #14
2020 class: 247 points #19
2019 class: 219 points #30
2018 class: 232 points #20
2017 class: 208 points #29
Average Class Ranking: #22
Average Recruiting Points: 232
2020 class: 247 points #19
2019 class: 219 points #30
2018 class: 232 points #20
2017 class: 208 points #29
Average Class Ranking: #22
Average Recruiting Points: 232
2025 Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #53 - 8 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #30 - 10 players, 88 Avg
2022 Portal Class #42 - 5 players, 87 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Freddie Kitchens (in his first season)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giovanni Lopez | 170 | 261 | 65% | 1747 | 10 | 5 | 6.7 |
| Max Johnson | 54 | 87 | 62% | 437 | 2 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demon June | 84 | 464 | 2 | 5.5 | 50 |
| Benjamin Hall (Tr) | 71 | 274 | 2 | 3.9 | 18 |
| Davion Gause | 61 | 258 | 3 | 4.2 | 25 |
| Giovanni Lopez | 86 | 133 | 3 | 1.5 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Shipp | 60 | 671 | 6 | 11.2 | 55 |
| Kobe Paysour | 35 | 438 | 1 | 12.5 | 44 |
| Demon June | 17 | 159 | 1 | 9.4 | 72 |
| Javarius Green | 13 | 150 | 0 | 11.5 | 39 |
Defensive Coordinator Stephen Belichick (in his first season)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khmori House (Tr) | 73 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| Will Hardy | 51 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melkart Abou-Jaoude (Tr) | 47 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| Tyler Thompson | 26 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 |
| Andrew Simpson (Tr) | 59 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| C.J. Mims (Tr) | 41 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Allen | 35 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Thaddeus Dixon (Tr) | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jaiden Patterson | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense Returning Production: 52% #80
Defense Returning Production: 54% #69
Overall Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense Returning Production: 52% #80
Defense Returning Production: 54% #69
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #9
32 Commits, 87.2 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 43% TY
2025 Portal Class #9
32 Commits, 87.2 Avg Rating
43% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 43% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Offense Talent #18 | Defense Talent #24
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #16 | 2021 #17
2025 Talent Rating: 938.00 #17
Offense Talent #18 | Defense Talent #24
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #16 | 2021 #17
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 4 - 8
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7
2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 2 - 10 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8
2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 9 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 8
Four Year Record: 27 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 31 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 18
2025 Record: 4 - 8
2025 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7
2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 2 - 10 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8
2023 Record: 8 - 5
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7
2022 Record: 9 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 6 - 7 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 8
Four Year Record: 27 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 31 - 2
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 18
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 6
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 2 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 5 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 4
Eight Year Record: 50 - 51
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 41 - 56 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 37 - 38
2021 Record: 6 - 7
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 6
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2020 Record: 8 - 4
2020 Conf Record: 7 - 3
Spread: 5 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6
2018 Record: 2 - 9
2018 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 5 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 4
Eight Year Record: 50 - 51
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 41 - 56 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 37 - 38
| North Carolina Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Fenway Bowl | North Carolina vs UConn | -2.0 | 53.5 | L 14 - 27 |
| 2023 | Mayo Bowl | North Carolina vs West Virginia | +4.5 | 62.0 | L 10 - 30 |
| 2022 | Holiday Bowl | North Carolina vs Oregon | +13.0 | 76.0 | L 27 - 28 |
| 2021 | Mayo Bowl | North Carolina vs South Carolina | -12.5 | 57.5 | L 21 - 38 |
| 2020 | Orange Bowl | North Carolina vs Texas A&M | +7.0 | 67.5 | L 27 - 41 |
| 2019 | Military Bowl | North Carolina vs Temple | -6.0 | 56.5 | W 55 - 13 |
| 2016 | N/A | North Carolina vs Stanford | +2.5 | 55.0 | L 23 - 25 |
| 2015 | Athletic Bowl | North Carolina vs Baylor | +3.5 | L 38 - 49 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .07 (119) | 1.16 (121) | 38% (115) | 3.33 (108) | 29.3 (62) | 37% | 73% | .18 (78) | 1.25 (62) | 41% (60) | 3.58 (61) | 28.4 (54) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .2 (65) | 1.32 (39) | 42% (80) | 4.08 (52) | 29.1 (70) | 40% | 50% | .17 (70) | 1.27 (66) | 41% (53) | 4.01 (90) | 29.8 (90) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 28:24 | 16.6 | 37% | 73% | 6.6 | 62.6 | 1.3 | 1 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 0 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 27:42 | 20.2 | 40% | 50% | 6.8 | 59.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 6 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 21 | 17.5 | 38.2% (115) | 3.33 (108) | 1.3 | 17 | 289 | 105 | 184 | 3.7 | 48% (83) | 50% (58) | 38% (121) | 39% (98) | 17% (94) | .07 (119) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 24.5 | 26 | 23 | 40.9% (60) | 3.58 (61) | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 47% (36) | 51% (103) | 42% (64) | 40% (50) | 15% (91) | .18 (78) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 30.9 | 36 | 27.2 | 42% (80) | 4.08 (52) | 1.2 | 20 | 391 | 175 | 216 | 4.9 | 52% (53) | 47% (82) | 47% (34) | 37% (114) | 15% (49) | .2 (65) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 28.1 | 33.4 | 20.8 | 40.5% (53) | 4.01 (90) | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 53% (92) | 46% (38) | 44% (82) | 37% (26) | 15% (90) | .17 (70) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 48% (83) | 38% (121) | 28.8 | 105.2 | 3.7 | 11 (107) | -.03 (130) | 2.72 (110) | 64% (114) | 11% (111) | 0.8 (127) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 47% (36) | 42% (64) | - | - | - | - | .14 (91) | 2.72 (37) | 89% (134) | 10% (70) | 0.99 (89) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (53) | 47% (34) | 35.9 | 175.2 | 4.9 | 26 (36) | .26 (14) | 3.32 (22) | 70% (89) | 9% (54) | 1.06 (36) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 53% (92) | 44% (82) | - | - | - | - | .16 (88) | 3.39 (121) | 86% (130) | 9% (83) | 0.89 (29) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 50% (58) | 39% (98) | 18.9 | 29.6 | 183.9 | 6.2 | 9.7 | 13 (121) | 6 (34) | .21 (92) | 1.5 (103) | 31% (56) | 28% (92) | .26 (85) | 6% (56) | 1.8 (130) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 51% (103) | 40% (50) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 (75) | .2 (51) | 1.4 (17) | 31% (76) | 29% (61) | .32 (78) | 5% (90) | 2 (51) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 47% (82) | 37% (114) | 16.8 | 29 | 215.9 | 7.5 | 12.8 | 17 (79) | 8 (40) | .17 (101) | 1.7 (29) | 32% (74) | 29% (94) | .32 (78) | 6% (60) | 2.1 (33) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (38) | 37% (26) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .22 (64) | 1.8 (125) | 32% (66) | 26% (12) | .23 (35) | 5% (103) | 2.2 (99) |
Team Notes
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose ❌
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina ❌
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level ❌
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall ❌
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals ❌
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring. ❌
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU) ❌
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp ❌
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options ❌
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds. ❌
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's ❌
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff ❌
(10/25) Playing much better & still finding ways to lose ❌
(9/20) Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina ❌
(9/1) Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level ❌
(8/27) QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall ❌
(5/11) One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals ❌
(4/17) QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring. ❌
(4/17) Is Lopez QB1? Have Johnson (Inj)/Browne (PU) ❌
(3/21) RB rebuild. Some options, SO Gause has exp ❌
(3/21) WR/TE rebuild. Have some talented options ❌
(3/21) OL rebuild 1/5 back. 5 portal adds. ❌
(3/21) Def - Run Def awful LY. Have some DE's ❌
(3/21) Nearly 1/2 roster new TY. New staff ❌
Overall
Power Rating #71 | SP+ Rating #97
Performance Grade #83
Special Teams Grade #70
Record Prediction 4.0 - 8.0 #98
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
Power Rating #71 | SP+ Rating #97
Performance Grade #83
Special Teams Grade #70
Record Prediction 4.0 - 8.0 #98
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5
Offense
Power #78 | SP+ #125 | Grade #99
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Off Success #115 | Explosivness #121
Rush Grade #108 | Pass Grade #91
Rush Success #121 | Explosiveness #127
Pass Success #98 | Explosiveness #103
Run Block #77 | Pass Block #49
OL YDS #110 | Stuff Rate #67
Scoring Zone Off: #108
Power #78 | SP+ #125 | Grade #99
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Off Success #115 | Explosivness #121
Rush Grade #108 | Pass Grade #91
Rush Success #121 | Explosiveness #127
Pass Success #98 | Explosiveness #103
Run Block #77 | Pass Block #49
OL YDS #110 | Stuff Rate #67
Scoring Zone Off: #108
Defense
Power #61 | SP+ #62 | Grade #52
Def Success #60 | Explosivness #62
Rush Success #64 | Explosiveness #89
Tackling #71 | Run Def #53
Pass Success #50 | Explosiveness #17
Pass Rush #39 | Coverage #75
F7 Havoc #70 | DB Havoc #90
DL YDS #37 | Def Stuff Rate #99
Scoring Zone Def #61
Power #61 | SP+ #62 | Grade #52
Def Success #60 | Explosivness #62
Rush Success #64 | Explosiveness #89
Tackling #71 | Run Def #53
Pass Success #50 | Explosiveness #17
Pass Rush #39 | Coverage #75
F7 Havoc #70 | DB Havoc #90
DL YDS #37 | Def Stuff Rate #99
Scoring Zone Def #61
Roster
Team Talent #17 Blue Chips: 17% #29
Offense Talent #18 Defense Talent #24
Crootin: '25 Class #17 - 4 YR Class: #30
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 43% TY
90 New Players, 89% of '25 Roster #132
Team Talent #17 Blue Chips: 17% #29
Offense Talent #18 Defense Talent #24
Crootin: '25 Class #17 - 4 YR Class: #30
Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class #9 - 32 players, 87 Avg
43% of Roster from Portal, 43% TY
90 New Players, 89% of '25 Roster #132
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 19.3 - 24.5 | Scoring Margin: (-5.2)
Home: 21 - 26 (-5) | Road: 18 - 23 (-5.5)
OC: Freddie Kitchens - in his first season
DC: Stephen Belichick - in his first season
2025 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (2 - 10 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (27 - 25) | 8 Yr Record: (50 - 51)
Scoring: 19.3 - 24.5 | Scoring Margin: (-5.2)
Home: 21 - 26 (-5) | Road: 18 - 23 (-5.5)
OC: Freddie Kitchens - in his first season
DC: Stephen Belichick - in his first season
2025 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 2 - 6)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (2 - 10 - 1) (ACC: 3 - 5)
2023 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 7 - 0) (ACC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (27 - 25) | 8 Yr Record: (50 - 51)
Notes
Fired OC Freddie Kitchens & STC Mike Priefer
Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
Fired OC Freddie Kitchens & STC Mike Priefer
Playing much better & still finding ways to lose
OT W Boone no longer w/ team, started 1st 3 games
Sounds like this Belichick experiment is ending fast
Team is a complete joke, fitting for Carolina
Worse than even I thought, Def bad G5 level
QB1 - Gio Lopez has won starting job in fall
One of the most exp'd OLs, but 52% from portals
QB Lopez (S Al) added post spring.
NFL style not open to fans/media. We'll see
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Poor when off Schedule 28%
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 38%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Poor when off Schedule 28%
'25 Defense
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Returning Prod
UNC lost their '24 starting QB (50%) #79
Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense: 52% #80 | Defense: 54% #69
OL Prod: 80% #19, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 5084 #2 | From Portal: 2662 #8
Rush Prod: 35% #106 | Rec Prod: 33% #107
Def Front Seven: 34% - Secondary: 65%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
UNC lost their '24 starting QB (50%) #79
Returning Production: 53% #78
Offense: 52% #80 | Defense: 54% #69
OL Prod: 80% #19, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 5084 #2 | From Portal: 2662 #8
Rush Prod: 35% #106 | Rec Prod: 33% #107
Def Front Seven: 34% - Secondary: 65%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #97 - Power Rating: #71
2024 SP+ Overall: #49 - Power Rating: #68
2023 SP+ Overall: #27 - Power Rating: #25
2022 SP+ Overall: #46
2025 SP+ Overall: #97 - Power Rating: #71
2024 SP+ Overall: #49 - Power Rating: #68
2023 SP+ Overall: #27 - Power Rating: #25
2022 SP+ Overall: #46
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #125 - Power Rating: #78
2024 SP+ Offense: #38 - Power Rating: #86
2023 SP+ Offense: #13 - Power Rating: #20
2022 SP+ Offense: #11
2025 SP+ Offense: #125 - Power Rating: #78
2024 SP+ Offense: #38 - Power Rating: #86
2023 SP+ Offense: #13 - Power Rating: #20
2022 SP+ Offense: #11
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #62 - Power Rating: #61
2024 SP+ Defense: #64 - Power Rating: #77
2023 SP+ Defense: #71 - Power Rating: #81
2022 SP+ Defense: #104
2025 SP+ Defense: #62 - Power Rating: #61
2024 SP+ Defense: #64 - Power Rating: #77
2023 SP+ Defense: #71 - Power Rating: #81
2022 SP+ Defense: #104