North Carolina at Baylor - 2015 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo North Carolina Tar Heels vs Baylor BearsBaylor logo
Tuesday, December 29th 2015 (5:30 PM EST)
Baylor -3.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 49 - North Carolina: 38  (RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL)

 
Tar Heels (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 41 - 25 (35 - 28 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bears (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 48 - 28 (49 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 North Carolina vs South Carolina+3.562.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs North Carolina A&T-35.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs Illinois-7.063.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 North Carolina vs Delaware-42.0
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+10.561.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-14.053.5W 50 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs Virginia-12.058.0W 26 - 13UY
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-2.559.0W 26 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-8.059.5W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-12.568.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-7.561.0W 30 - 27UN
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State-6.065.0W 45 - 34OY
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Clemson+6.567.5L 37 - 45ON
Tue 12/29 North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Baylor's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Baylor at SMU-20.071.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 9/12 Baylor vs Lamar-59.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Rice-33.074.0W 70 - 17OY
Sat 10/3 Baylor vs Texas Tech-15.588.0W 63 - 35OY
Sat 10/10 Baylor at Kansas-38.076.5W 66 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Baylor vs West Virginia-18.075.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/24 Baylor vs Iowa State-37.074.5W 45 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Baylor at Kansas State-18.567.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/14 Baylor vs Oklahoma-6.076.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/21 Baylor at Oklahoma State-3.076.5W 45 - 35OY
Fri 11/27 Baylor at TCU-2.075.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 12/5 Baylor vs Texas-20.563.5L 17 - 23UN
Tue 12/29 Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2015)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.3350%40.751%3.5422446%2634.4.1647%24.550%40%3.1246.41.41.9
BAY.3651%48.153%3.4732747%2904.53.1542%28.343%40%3.5780.222
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC#65 (.2)42% (80)47% (34)3.32 (22)17537% (114)2164.08 (52)#70 (.17)41% (53)44% (82)37% (26)4.01 (90)59.81.21.2
BAY#29 (.25)47% (23)46% (37)3.19 (43)17448% (14)2274.28 (30)#74 (.18)39% (38)38% (13)42% (78)3.85 (77)58.111.6



Overall Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1440.734.850.1%4.41.424487224263651%47%51%46%1%.33
BAY Defense1328.33042.3%3.572 - - - - - 54%45%43%40%2%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1424.527.846.7%3.121.9 - - - - - 59%40%50%40%2%.16
BAY Offense1348.14951%4.53229616327290662%38%53%47%2%.36

Additional Stats 2015
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1425:1623.948%58%5.746.41.41.900231.6
Baylor1327:5129.447%70%9.180.22200030.2
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1451%51%37.6224.4640.293.5471%0%1.07
BAY Defense1354%43% - - - - .032.7875%0%0.9
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1459%50% - - - - .223.4878%0%0.91
BAY Offense1362%53%54.9326.7641.293.4780%0%1.01

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1447%46%18.629.2262.5914.13110.41.828%42%.441%1.8
BAY Defense1345%40% - - - - - - 14.31.834%34%.322%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1440%40% - - - - - - 17.081.428%32%.242%1.7
BAY Offense1338%47%17.629.9289.59.716.44413.481.926%32%.412%2.3

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Baylor: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 0 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2015 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 40.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.8
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.8

North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 38
North Carolina 32

Total Points: 70

Based on Last 4 Games
Baylor 39
North Carolina 29

Total Points: 68

Based on Entire Season
Baylor 37
North Carolina 34

Total Points: 71
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 48.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 49
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30

Baylor's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201512/29Baylor49North Carolina38Baylor -3.5Baylor0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor110 Overs
North Carolina000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

North Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Athletic Bowl North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5L 38 - 49
2014Lane Bowl North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40
2013Belk Bowl North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17
2011Independence Bowl North Carolina vs Missouri  L 24 - 41
2010City Bowl North Carolina vs Tennessee  W 30 - 27
2009N/A North Carolina vs Pittsburgh  L 17 - 19
Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Athletic Bowl Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5W 49 - 38
2014Cotton Bowl Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42
2013Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52
2012Holiday Bowl Baylor vs UCLA  W 49 - 26
2011Alamo Bowl Baylor vs Washington  W 67 - 56
2010Texas Bowl Baylor vs Illinois  L 14 - 38
  
(#) UNC at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #26 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 84° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Baylor -3.5 (0)
Baylor won vs North Carolina this year (49-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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BAY's DC ()
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Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD