North Carolina at Baylor - 2015 Matchup Preview
North Carolina logo   North Carolina Tar Heels vs Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Tuesday, December 29th 2015 (5:30 PM EST)
Baylor -3.5 (0)  Open: 0.0
Baylor 49 - North Carolina: 38  (RUSSELL ATHLETIC BOWL)

 
Tar Heels (11 - 3) (9 - 5 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 19 - 25 (18 - 23 on Road)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bears (10 - 3) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'15 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
North Carolina's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/3 North Carolina vs South Carolina+3.562.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 9/12 North Carolina vs North Carolina A&T-35.5
Sat 9/19 North Carolina vs Illinois-7.063.0W 48 - 14UY
Sat 9/26 North Carolina vs Delaware-42.0
Sat 10/3 North Carolina at Georgia Tech+10.561.5W 38 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 North Carolina vs Wake Forest-14.053.5W 50 - 14OY
Sat 10/24 North Carolina vs Virginia-12.058.0W 26 - 13UY
Thu 10/29 North Carolina at Pittsburgh-2.559.0W 26 - 19UY
Sat 11/7 North Carolina vs Duke-8.059.5W 66 - 31OY
Sat 11/14 North Carolina vs Miami-12.568.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 11/21 North Carolina at Virginia Tech-7.561.0W 30 - 27UN
Sat 11/28 North Carolina at NC State-6.065.0W 45 - 34OY
Sat 12/5 North Carolina vs Clemson+6.567.5L 37 - 45ON
Tue 12/29 North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Carolina's Schedule
Baylor's 2015 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/4 Baylor at SMU-20.071.0W 56 - 21OY
Sat 9/12 Baylor vs Lamar-59.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/26 Baylor vs Rice-33.074.0W 70 - 17OY
Sat 10/3 Baylor vs Texas Tech-15.588.0W 63 - 35OY
Sat 10/10 Baylor at Kansas-38.076.5W 66 - 7UY
Sat 10/17 Baylor vs West Virginia-18.075.5W 62 - 38OY
Sat 10/24 Baylor vs Iowa State-37.074.5W 45 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/5 Baylor at Kansas State-18.567.0W 31 - 24UN
Sat 11/14 Baylor vs Oklahoma-6.076.0L 34 - 44ON
Sat 11/21 Baylor at Oklahoma State-3.076.5W 45 - 35OY
Fri 11/27 Baylor at TCU-2.075.0L 21 - 28UN
Sat 12/5 Baylor vs Texas-20.563.5L 17 - 23UN
Tue 12/29 Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2014)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC.1846%19.349%3.1415243%2783.91.2749%24.551%45%4.2763.21.81.8
BAY.349%31.150%3.2121647%3664.01.1340%32.640%38%3.6288.412
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UNC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Offense1319.317.546%3.911.824430152278447%52%49%43%2%.18
BAY Defense1332.627.939.9%3.622 - - - - - 47%52%40%38%2%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UNC Defense1324.52349.2%4.271.8 - - - - - 56%43%51%45%2%.27
BAY Offense1331.129.649.2%4.011305812163664.549%49%50%47%1%.3

Additional Stats 2014
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Carolina1326:0823.942%48%7.563.21.81.800331.5
Baylor1328:5630.147%74%9.888.41200032.4
Run Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Offense1347%49%38.2151.8426.193.1470%0%0.89
BAY Defense1347%40% - - - - .042.5677%0%0.85
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UNC Defense1356%51% - - - - .193.2380%0%0.93
BAY Offense1349%50%47.6215.54.543.233.2179%0%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2015)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Offense1352%43%24.239.22787.111.52913.21.529%36%.42%1.8
BAY Defense1352%38% - - - - - - 13.241.834%30%.252%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UNC Defense1343%45% - - - - - - 12.391.831%41%.562%2
BAY Offense1349%47%24.839.9365.99.214.7388.391.629%36%.371%1.8

North Carolina's Power Ratings
North Carolina's Power Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Carolina's 2015 Expected Record: -
North Carolina's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Baylor: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Carolina:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 0 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2015 Talent Rating:  #31
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2015 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2015 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


North Carolina Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 24.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

North Carolina's 2015 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 27
North Carolina 24

Projected Total Points: 51
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2015 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201512/29Baylor49North Carolina38Baylor -3.5Baylor0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor110 Overs
North Carolina000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

North Carolina Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Athletic Bowl North Carolina vs Baylor+3.5L 38 - 49
2014Lane Bowl North Carolina vs Rutgers-3.572.0L 21 - 40
2013Belk Bowl North Carolina vs Cincinnati-2.560.0W 39 - 17
2011Independence Bowl North Carolina vs Missouri  L 24 - 41
2010City Bowl North Carolina vs Tennessee  W 30 - 27
2009N/A North Carolina vs Pittsburgh  L 17 - 19
Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2015Athletic Bowl Baylor vs North Carolina-3.5W 49 - 38
2014Cotton Bowl Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42
2013Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52
2012Holiday Bowl Baylor vs UCLA  W 49 - 26
2011Alamo Bowl Baylor vs Washington  W 67 - 56
2010Texas Bowl Baylor vs Illinois  L 14 - 38
  
(#) UNC at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNCBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #26 #31
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
North Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
North Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
North Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
UNC OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffUNC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffUNC Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffUNC Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

UNC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'15 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camping World Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Baylor -3.5 (0)
Baylor won vs North Carolina this year (49-38)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UNC's OC ()
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UNC's DC ()
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BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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BAY's DC ()
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