Mississippi State Team Profile

Mississippi State Bulldogs (@HailStateFB)
Zach Arnett (1st year) (5-7) #1
Record: 5 - 7 (1 - 7) | Proj: 4 - 8 (#) | SOS: (#14)
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Preview
Overview
Schedule
Stats
Roster
Notes
Records
Recruiting
Bowls

Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana	-31.5	59.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Mississippi State vs Arizona	-9.0	60.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Mississippi State vs LSU	+9.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Mississippi State at South Carolina	+6.0	46.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+16.5	45.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/7	Mississippi State vs Western Michigan	-21.5	54.5	W 41 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+6.5	46.5	W 7 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.5	40.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	+5.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+16.5	40.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/18	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-18.5	47.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/23	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+11.0	56.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y

Record Prediction: 4 - 8 NR
Schedule Rating: #14
Future 2027 Schedule

Mississippi State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Mississippi State at Southern Miss	-11.5	59.5	W 34 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Mississippi State vs Arizona State	+6.0	58.5	W 24 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Mississippi State vs Alcorn State	-42.5	56.5	W 63 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Mississippi State vs Northern Illinois	-23.5	48.5	W 38 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Mississippi State vs Tennessee	+7.5	63.5	L 34 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+17.5	57.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Mississippi State at Florida	+9.5	50.5	L 21 - 23	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Mississippi State vs Texas	+8.5	48.5	L 38 - 45	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+5.5	66.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+9.5	56.5	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/15	Mississippi State at Missouri	+7.5	50.5	L 27 - 49	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+7.5	62.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Fri 1/2	Mississippi State vs Wake Forest	-3.0	52.5	L 29 - 43	O	N

2022 Schedule Rating: NR
2025 Record: 5 - 8 (SEC: 1 - 7)
Spread Record 8 - 5 - 0 | O/U 7 - 6

Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 5 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Mississippi State's 2024 Schedule
Sat 8/31	Mississippi State vs Eastern Kentucky	-26.5	61.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/7	Mississippi State at Arizona State	+6.5	57.5	L 23 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/14	Mississippi State vs Toledo	-10.5	56.5	L 17 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/21	Mississippi State vs Florida	+6.5	58.0	L 28 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Mississippi State at Texas	+37.0	58.5	L 13 - 35	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Mississippi State at Georgia	+34.0	53.5	L 31 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/19	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	+21.0	55.5	L 24 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	+7.5	55.0	L 25 - 58	O	N
Sat 11/2	Mississippi State vs Massachusetts	-19.5	59.5	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 11/9	Mississippi State at Tennessee	+26.5	61.5	L 14 - 33	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Mississippi State vs Missouri	+9.5	58.0	L 20 - 39	O	N
Fri 11/29	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+26.5	63.5	L 14 - 26	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2023 Schedule
Sat 9/2	Mississippi State vs SE Louisiana	-31.5	59.5	W 48 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Mississippi State vs Arizona	-9.0	60.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
Sat 9/16	Mississippi State vs LSU	+9.5	54.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	Mississippi State at South Carolina	+6.0	46.5	L 30 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/30	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+16.5	45.0	L 17 - 40	O	N
Sat 10/7	Mississippi State vs Western Michigan	-21.5	54.5	W 41 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+6.5	46.5	W 7 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/28	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.5	40.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	+5.5	44.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/11	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+16.5	40.5	L 10 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/18	Mississippi State vs Southern Miss	-18.5	47.5	W 41 - 20	O	Y
Thu 11/23	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	+11.0	56.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2022 Schedule
Sat 9/3	Mississippi State vs Memphis	-17.0	58.0	W 49 - 23	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Mississippi State at Arizona	-11.5	57.5	W 39 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Mississippi State at LSU	-3.0	53.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Mississippi State vs Bowling Green	-31.0	53.0	W 45 - 14	O	N
Sat 10/1	Mississippi State vs Texas A&M	-4.0	45.0	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Mississippi State vs Arkansas	-8.0	55.5	W 40 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Mississippi State at Kentucky	-3.5	50.5	L 17 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/22	Mississippi State at Alabama	+21.5	61.5	L 6 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Mississippi State vs Auburn	-12.5	50.5	W 39 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/12	Mississippi State vs Georgia	+16.5	53.0	L 19 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/19	Mississippi State vs East Tennessee State	-39.0	62.5	W 56 - 7	O	Y
Thu 11/24	Mississippi State at Ole Miss	+2.5	63.0	W 24 - 22	U	Y
Mon 1/2	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10	U	Y

Mississippi State's 2021 Schedule
Sat 9/4	Mississippi State vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	52.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/11	Mississippi State vs NC State	+1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Mississippi State at Memphis	-3.0	63.0	L 29 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/25	Mississippi State vs LSU	+1.5	54.5	L 25 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/2	Mississippi State at Texas A&M	+7.0	45.5	W 26 - 22	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Mississippi State vs Alabama	+17.5	59.5	L 9 - 49	U	N
Sat 10/23	Mississippi State at Vanderbilt	-21.0	53.0	W 45 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/30	Mississippi State vs Kentucky	-1.0	47.0	W 31 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Mississippi State at Arkansas	+4.0	54.0	L 28 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Mississippi State at Auburn	+6.0	51.0	W 43 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Mississippi State vs Tennessee State	-44.0	56.5	W 55 - 10	O	Y
Thu 11/25	Mississippi State vs Ole Miss	-2.5	65.0	L 21 - 31	U	N
Tue 12/28	Mississippi State vs Texas Tech	-10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34	U	N

2026 class: 230 points   #24
2025 class: 226 points   #22
2024 class: 225 points   #32
2023 class: 223 points   #26
2022 class: 219 points   #26

Average Class Ranking:   #26
Average Recruiting Points: 225

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class: #27 - Best: #26 Worst: #29

CFB Crootin Averages
SEC Class: 258  #18
Power 4 Class: 222  #18
FBS Class: 171  #72

2021 class: 214 points   #29
2020 class: 224 points   #26
2019 class: 239 points   #23
2018 class: 218 points   #27
2017 class: 220 points   #20

Average Class Ranking:   #25
Average Recruiting Points: 223

Transfer Portal Classes
2023 Portal Class #38 - 12 players, 87 Avg
2025 Portal Class #18 - 34 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #45 - 20 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #38 - 12 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes

Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class #36 - 9 players, 88 Avg
2021 Portal Class #29 - 23 players, 86 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Offensive Coordinator Kevin Barbay (in his first season) #1

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
AJ Swann	130	222	59%	1494	10	8	6.7
Kamario Taylor	43	77	56%	629	5	1	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Fluff Bothwell	142	677	6	4.8	43
Kamario Taylor	82	458	8	5.6	39
Xavier Gayten	29	157	2	5.4	25
Brinston Williams	26	137	1	5.3	21

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Evans III	67	831	4	12.4	57
Marquis Johnson	28	345	2	12.3	49
Ayden Williams	21	252	0	12.0	49
Fluff Bothwell	14	105	0	7.5	39

(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Matt Brock (in his first season) #1

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaac Smith	64	1	1	0	3
Marcus Williams	61	4	0	1	5
Jalen Smith	57	2	0	2	1
Zakari Tillman	47	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darron Reed Jr.	21	2	2	3	1
Will Whitson	8	5	2	0	0
Kalvin Dinkins	27	3	2	0	0
Derion Gullette	38	2	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Kelley Jones	34	0	0	11
Quentin Taylor Jr.	27	2	0	5
Marcus Williams	61	4	1	5

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: % NR
Offense Returning Production: % NR
Defense Returning Production: % NR
Mississippi State's Official Roster

Transfer Portal
2023 Portal Class #38
12 Commits, 87 Avg Rating
NAN% of 2023 Roster from Portal, NAN% TY

Team Talent
2023 Talent Rating: 746.29 #28
Offense Talent NR | Defense Talent NR
2025 #40 | 2024 #37 | 2023 #28 | 2022 #29

2023 - 2023 Records
2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2025 Record: 5 - 8
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2024 Record: 2 - 10
2024 Conf Record: 0 - 8
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2023 Record: 5 - 7
2023 Conf Record: 1 - 7
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 17 - 32
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 23 - 26 - 0
Four Year Conference Record: 3 - 29

2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 9 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 5 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 4 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 7

2019 Record: 6 - 7
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

Eight Year Record: 43 - 56
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 46 - 51 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 18 - 49

Mississippi State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Reliaquest Bowl	Mississippi State vs Illinois	-3.5	46.5	W 19 - 10
2021	Liberty Bowl	Mississippi State vs Texas Tech	-10.0	58.5	L 7 - 34
2020	Forces Bowl	Mississippi State vs Tulsa	+2.5	48.0	W 28 - 26
2019	City Bowl	Mississippi State vs Louisville	-5.0	64.5	L 28 - 38
2018	Outback Bowl	Mississippi State vs Iowa	-7.0	40.0	L 22 - 27
2017	N/A	Mississippi State vs Louisville	+6.5	62.0	W 31 - 27
2016	Petersburg Bowl	Mississippi State vs Miami (OH)	-11.5	58.0	W 17 - 16
2015	N/A	Mississippi State vs NC State	-7.0		W 51 - 28
2014	N/A	Mississippi State vs Georgia Tech	-5.5	59.5	L 34 - 49
2013	Liberty Bowl	Mississippi State vs Rice	-7.0	50.5	W 44 - 7

Power Ranking Stats (2025)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2025	.14 (90)	1.29 (45)	42% (86)	4.41 (22)	29 (68)	43%	45%	.22 (110)	1.27 (71)	44% (102)	3.68 (69)	27.6 (39)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.17 (78)	1.42 (6)	39% (109)	3.75 (86)	28.1 (90)	37%	57%	.32 (130)	1.16 (18)	50% (133)	4.32 (113)	29.7 (89)

More Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2025	13	28:41	21.6	43%	45%	7.2	61.6	1.2	1.4	4.3	1.6	0

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	12	25:41	20.3	37%	57%	6.8	60.3	1.5	0.9	3.9	0.8	2

Overall Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2025 Offense	13	30.4	33.9	25.8	41.5% (86)	4.41 (22)	1.2	22	399	158	241	3.7	53% (42)	46% (92)	44% (62)	39% (102)	18% (117)	.14 (90)
2025 Defense	13	30.2	27.9	31	44.2% (102)	3.68 (69)	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53% (103)	46% (36)	48% (124)	40% (56)	14% (110)	.22 (110)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	12	25.8	30.7	19	39.2% (109)	3.75 (86)	1.5	20	378	139	239	4	50% (73)	50% (62)	40% (105)	38% (104)	21% (127)	.17 (78)
2024 Defense	12	34.1	34.9	33	50.4% (133)	4.32 (113)	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	59% (132)	41% (3)	47% (108)	55% (134)	11% (134)	.32 (130)

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2025 Offense	13	53% (42)	44% (62)	42.3	157.8	3.7	29 (16)	.11 (71)	2.81 (95)	72% (72)	12% (125)	0.96 (68)
2025 Defense	13	53% (103)	48% (124)	-	-	-	-	.16 (97)	3.41 (135)	77% (108)	8% (121)	0.89 (31)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	12	50% (73)	40% (105)	34.8	138.6	4	19 (73)	.09 (92)	2.9 (93)	73% (71)	13% (122)	1.08 (28)
2024 Defense	12	59% (132)	47% (108)	-	-	-	-	.15 (80)	3.3 (113)	71% (57)	7% (133)	0.85 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2025 Offense	13	46% (92)	39% (102)	18.7	30	241.4	8.1	12.9	20 (75)	9 (60)	.21 (93)	1.7 (18)	34% (117)	28% (85)	.3 (71)	6% (81)	2.3 (7)
2025 Defense	13	46% (36)	40% (56)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (6)	.3 (91)	1.7 (124)	30% (100)	31% (83)	.38 (110)	6% (69)	2.3 (130)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	12	50% (62)	38% (104)	17.9	30.6	239.3	7.8	13.4	19 (65)	8 (40)	.25 (76)	1.8 (18)	34% (113)	32% (62)	.33 (73)	8% (116)	2.1 (56)
2024 Defense	12	41% (3)	55% (134)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (104)	.58 (134)	1.5 (48)	24% (134)	39% (131)	.55 (130)	4% (123)	1.9 (38)

Team Notes

Injury Notes

Staff/Schedule Notes

Overall

Team Info

Power #84SP+ #58

Record Prediction: 4 - 8 NR

Coaching staff Rank #1

Record

5 - 7
SEC 1 - 7

Vs Spread4 - 8 - 0Totals6 - 6

One Score Games '25: (2-3)(2-4 under Z.A.)

5 Year Profile

Consistent Top G5

'26 Profile

Up to Below Avg P4

Performance #105

Special Teams #77

Returning Production

From 2025

0%NR

MSST lost their 25 starting QB

Offense %NR

Defense %NR

Returning Starters: (Off: ) - (Def: )

Proj Portal Starters: (Off: ) - (Def: )

Exp'd Depth: (Off: ) - (Def: )

OL Prod: 0%NR starters, exp'd depth

OL Snaps: 0 NRFrom Portal: NR

Rush Prod: %NR

Rec Prod: %NR

Front Seven: %NR

Secondary: %NR

Roster

Talent Info

Talent #28

Blue Chips (21%) #32

Offense TalentNR

Defense TalentNR

Portal Class #3812 players (87 Avg)

Crootin '26 Class #244 YR Class Rating #27

Talent Profile

Consistent Top 25 Contenders

NAN% of Roster from Portal, NAN% TY

NAN% of '26 Roster are New (Fr + Portals)

(OC) Kevin Barbay 1

(DC) Matt Brock 1

2023 Schedule

Information

SOS #14

Mississippi State plays 0 opps off a bye

OppsElite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

2025 Record: 5 - 8 (8 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 1 - 7)

2024 Record: 2 - 10 (7 - 5 - 0) (SEC: 0 - 8)

Win History

Past 5 years 5.8

Avg under Zach A 5

4 Yr Record (17 - 32)

8 Yr Record (43 - 56)

Notes

Live Team Notes

Roster Experience

Snaps & Starter Info

Snaps Returning

0 (0%)NR

%of Snaps by Upperclass

Offense: 0NR

Defense: 0NR

Players with Starting Exp () on Off, on Def

Upperclass

Starters of (%)2-Deep of (%)

Senior/Gr starters: (%) (Off: , Def: )

Upperclass Two-Deep: of (%)

Upperclass on Roster: %( of 0)

Portals

Top '23 Incoming Portals

Seydou Traore (TE)4★ (.90)

Freddie Roberson (WR)3★ (.89)

Keyvone Lee (RB)3★ (.89)

Khamauri Rogers (CB)3★ (.89)

Raydarious Jones (CB)3★ (.88)

Ryland Goede (TE)3★ (.87)

Ja'Kobi Albert (ATH)3★ (.87)

Geor'quarius Spivey (TE)3★ (.87)

Top Players

Top Performers on Roster

Top Players N/A Before 2025

Recruits

Top '23 Incoming Recruits

Isaac Smith (S)4★ (.94)

Creed Whittemore (ATH)4★ (.90)

Kelley Jones (S)4★ (.90)

Chris Parson (QB)4★ (.89)

Brice Pollock (CB)3★ (.89)

Ty Jones (LB)3★ (.89)

Jonathan Davis (DL)3★ (.88)

Zay Alexander (OT)3★ (.88)

Overall

Four Year Ratings Profile

Offense

Four Year Ratings Profile

Defense

Four Year Ratings Profile