Michigan State Spartans Team Profile
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Michigan State Spartans (@MSU_Football)
Jonathan Smith (2nd year) (5-7)
Record: 0 - 0  |  Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#94)  |  SOS: (#29)
Power (#60)  | Off (#79)  | Def (#34)  |  Roster  |  Portals  |  Croots
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Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-23.5
Fri 9/5 Michigan State vs Boston College-2.5
Fri 9/12 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-26
Fri 9/19 Michigan State at USC+10.5
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/3 Michigan State at Nebraska+11.5
Fri 10/10 Michigan State vs UCLA-4
Fri 10/17 Michigan State at Indiana+12.5
Fri 10/24 Michigan State vs Michigan+14.5
Fri 10/31 Michigan State at Minnesota+11
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/14 Michigan State vs Penn State+23
Fri 11/21 Michigan State at Iowa+12
Fri 11/28 Michigan State vs Maryland-7.5

Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 #94
Schedule Rating: #29
Future 2026 Schedule
Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24ON
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38ON
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41ON

2024 Schedule Rating: #36
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (B1G: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6

Opponents: 2 Elite, 5 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 2 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 3 Elite, 2 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 3 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 196 points  #56
2024 class: 204 points  #42
2023 class: 225 points  #23
2022 class: 222 points  #24
2021 class: 191 points  #43

Average Class Ranking:  #38
Average Recruiting Points: 207
Class Averages
Big Ten Class: 227 #34
Power 4 Class: 225 #34
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 193 points  #43
2019 class: 215 points  #32
2018 class: 212 points  #31
2017 class: 204 points  #36
2016 class: 239 points  #17

Average Class Ranking:  #32
Average Recruiting Points: 213
 
Offensive Coordinator Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles19232459%241513127.5
Alessio Milivojevic010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Chiles9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Makhi Frazier72103.08
Brandon Tullis72002.99
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)40705917.668
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Jack Velling36411111.434
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikai Martinez513012
Malik Spencer441002
Tracy Revels (Tr)400021
David Santiago (Tr)375423
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Isaac Smith (Tr)314310
Alex VanSumeren163200
Ben Roberts82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)242115
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Malcolm Bell (Tr)261003
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 63% #30
Offense Returning Production: 72% #14
Defense Returning Production: 55% #64
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #26
20 Commits, 86.6 Avg Rating
30% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 22% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 850.00 #32
Offense Talent #36 | Defense Talent #27
2024 #34 | 2023 #36 | 2022 #34 | 2021 #36
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 7

2022 Record: 5 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 3 | Totals: 5 - 7

Four Year Record: 14 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 12 - 20 - 4
Four Year Conference Record: 8 - 19
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 11 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2020 Record: 2 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 5
Spread: 2 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 2

2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

Eight Year Record: 41 - 41
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 31 - 47 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 35

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Peach Bowl Michigan State vs Pittsburgh-3.555.0W 31 - 21
2019Pinstripe Bowl Michigan State vs Wake Forest-3.550.5W 27 - 21
2018N/A Michigan State vs Oregon-1.047.0L 6 - 7
2017Holiday Bowl Michigan State vs Washington State-2.547.5W 42 - 17
2015N/A Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5L 0 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (105)42% (86)3.34 (116)26.3 (127)38%52%.19 (85)42% (69)4.06 (98)30.7 (112)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2023.03 (131)38% (115)2.97 (125)27.6 (112)30%50%.19 (75)44% (95)3.89 (76)28.8 (63)



More Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241230:54 (63)18.8 (100)38%52%6.7 (92)63.3 (108)1.6 (83)0.95.5 (68)1.6 (99)1
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20231228:05 (123)16.5 (124)30%50%6.8 (93)59 (92)1.8 (109)1.35.6 (73)2.5 (38)0



Overall Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1219.320.417.841.6% (86)3.34 (116)1.6193371182183.750% (74)50% (61)45% (50)38% (107)18% (98).13 (105)
2024 Defense1226.124.72841.7% (69)4.06 (98)0.9 - - - - - 50% (56)50% (79)39% (25)45% (111)14% (93).19 (85)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2023 Offense1215.918.715.837.6% (115)2.97 (125)1.817286891972.945% (104)54% (33)38% (122)38% (99)19% (115).03 (131)
2023 Defense1228.326.527.843.9% (95)3.89 (76)1.3 - - - - - 48% (48)51% (85)45% (85)44% (105)16% (68).19 (75)



Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)
2024 Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2023 Offense1245% (104)38% (122)30.988.72.97 (131)-.03 (131)2.84 (114)76% (50)12% (119)0.85 (124)
2023 Defense1248% (48)45% (85) - - - - .16 (83)3.28 (106)87% (128)10% (72)0.93 (35)



Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)
2024 Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2023 Offense1254% (33)38% (99)18.531.8197.26.210.714 (106)13 (97).17 (101)1.4 (121)35% (113)26% (107).16 (115)7% (105)2 (97)
2023 Defense1251% (85)44% (105) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (78)1.5 (26)29% (116)32% (92).36 (92)6% (66)2 (58)




Power Ratings Overall: 6.99 #46
Offense: 16.67 #50
Defense: 9.68 #34
SP+ Overall: -2.2 #74
SP+ Offense: 21.0 #107
SP+ Defense: 23.2 #34
Returning Prod HC Smith, OC Lindgren & QB all back
'24 QB Aidan Chiles returns
Returning Production: 63% #30
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 55% #64
OL Prod: 56% #67, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2722 #80 | From Portal: 1121 #35
Rush Prod: 23% #119 | Rec Prod: 89% #12
Def Front Seven: 64% - Secondary: 78%
Roster Team Talent #32 Blue Chips: 12% #34
Offense Talent #36 Defense Talent #27
Crootin Class #56 - 4 YR Rank #38
Portal Class #26 - 20 players, 87 Avg
30% of Roster from Portal, 22% TY
42 New Players, 41% of '25 Roster #90

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 #94
Vegas Win Total Record: 5.5 - 6.5
Schedule Rating: 78 #29
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Scoring Scoring: 19.3 - 26.1 (16 - 28) in '24
Scoring at Home: 20 - 25 | Road: 18 - 28
OC: Brian Lindgren - in his second season
DC: Joe Rossi - in his second season
Records 2024 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 8 - 0) (B1G: 3 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 6 - 1) (B1G: 2 - 7)
2022 Record: 5 - 7 (3 - 6 - 3) (B1G: 3 - 6)
4 Yr Record: (14 - 22) | 8 Yr Record: (41 - 41)
 
'24 OffenseBalanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Awful when off Schedule 25%
'24 DefenseGood DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Awful when Opp is off Schedule 35%
Team NotesWR Fr Marsh big find LY, sneaky great portal adds
OL 2/5 back. Awful LY, 3 portal adds, Moore huge
RB - Tullis & Frazier lead, not much exp. 1 portal
Def 12 portal adds, 4 DL & 5 DBs
TE Velling a big target, top 10 TE via PFF
Def OK LY, need playmakers/pass rush
Year 2 for HC Smith, need to show progress
QB Chiles must improve, limit TO's