Michigan State Team Profile
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Michigan State Spartans (@MSU_Football)
Jonathan Smith (2nd year) (8-10)
Record: 3 - 3 (0 - 3)  |  Proj: 4 - 8 (#109)  |  SOS: (#18)
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Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-18.549.5W 23 - 6UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3.545.5W 42 - 40ON
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-23.555.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+18.555.5L 31 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+12.548.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-7.051.5L 13 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+27.552.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+12
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+10
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+12
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland+4

Record Prediction: 4.4 - 7.6  #109
Schedule Rating:  #18
Record: 3 - 3( B1G: 0 - 3)
Spread Record 2 - 4 - 0 | O/U 4 - 2
Future 2026 Schedule

Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24ON
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38ON
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #36
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (B1G: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6


Opponents: 3 Elite, 4 Good, 1 Avg, 3 Bad, 0 Poor
Played: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 3 Bad, 0 Poor
Future: 2 Elite, 3 Good, 1 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 3 Elite, 2 Good, 3 Avg, 1 Bad, 3 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 196 points   #56
2024 class: 204 points   #42
2023 class: 225 points   #23
2022 class: 222 points   #24
2021 class: 191 points   #43

Average Class Ranking:   #38
Average Recruiting Points: 207

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #40 - Best:  #23 Worst:  #56



CFB Crootin Averages
Big Ten Class: 227  #34
Power 4 Class: 225  #34
FBS Class: 179  #69


2020 class: 193 points   #43
2019 class: 215 points   #32
2018 class: 212 points   #31
2017 class: 204 points   #36
2016 class: 239 points   #17

Average Class Ranking:   #32
Average Recruiting Points: 213
 

2025 Portal Class  #26 - 20 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #21 - 10 players, 89 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #38 - 15 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #21 - 9 players, 89 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Brian Lindgren (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles8714261%1019937.2
Alessio Milivojevic142654%171216.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Frazier8738324.428
Aidan Chiles5818653.228
Brandon Tullis3213324.214
Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr)166113.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)24347114.575
Nick Marsh29340411.741
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)9165118.342
Jack Velling1312729.823
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Joe Rossi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall454210
Wayne Matthews III362000
Malik Spencer253203
Alex VanSumeren232200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall454210
Malik Spencer253203
Anelu Lafaele (Tr)72210
Jalen Thompson155231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Spencer253203
Brady Pretzlaff41002
Chance Rucker70012
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense Returning Production: 72%  #14
Defense Returning Production: 55%  #64

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #26
20 Commits, 86.6 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 24% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Offense Talent  #36 | Defense Talent  #27
2024  #34 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #34 | 2021  #36


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 3 - 3
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 3
Spread: 2 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 2

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 7

2022 Record: 5 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 3 | Totals: 5 - 7

Four Year Record: 17 - 25
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 14 - 24 - 4
Four Year Conference Record: 8 - 22
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 11 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2020 Record: 2 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 5
Spread: 2 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 2

2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

Eight Year Record: 44 - 44
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 33 - 51 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 38

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Peach Bowl Michigan State vs Pittsburgh-3.555.0W 31 - 21
2019Pinstripe Bowl Michigan State vs Wake Forest-3.550.5W 27 - 21
2018N/A Michigan State vs Oregon-1.047.0L 6 - 7
2017Holiday Bowl Michigan State vs Washington State-2.547.5W 42 - 17
2015N/A Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5L 0 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.15 (96)1.2 (95)41% (96)5.11 (11)28.8 (75)40%47%.23 (109)1.21 (47)45% (113)4 (80)33.5 (130)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (105)1.18 (118)42% (86)3.34 (116)26.3 (127)38%52%.19 (85)1.37 (110)42% (69)4.06 (98)30.7 (112)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
2025630:231940%47%4.235.31.30.85.52.20
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.61



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense629.529.82941.2% (96)5.11 (11)1.3193311312013.853% (50)47% (93)42% (84)40% (90)17% (104).15 (96)
2025 Defense631.82741.545.4% (113)4 (80)0.8 - - - - - 48% (53)51% (73)46% (107)46% (110)15% (77).23 (109)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1219.320.417.841.6% (86)3.34 (116)1.6193371182183.750% (74)50% (61)45% (50)38% (107)18% (98).13 (105)
2024 Defense1226.124.72841.7% (69)4.06 (98)0.9 - - - - - 50% (56)50% (79)39% (25)45% (111)14% (93).19 (85)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense653% (50)42% (84)34.2130.83.812 (48).08 (92)2.66 (108)71% (76)14% (130)0.94 (75)
2025 Defense648% (53)46% (107) - - - - .14 (98)2.57 (28)88% (130)10% (61)0.96 (74)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)
2024 Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense647% (93)40% (90)1728.3200.57.111.811 (49)4 (50).26 (73)1.5 (83)32% (82)29% (85).26 (89)3% (13)2 (76)
2025 Defense651% (73)46% (110) - - - - - - 3 (93).32 (101)1.4 (31)31% (89)32% (94).37 (94)5% (93)1.9 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)
2024 Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)




Overall
Power Rating  #42 | SP+ Rating  #70
Performance Grade  #73
Special Teams Grade  #133
Record Prediction 4.4 - 7.6  #109
5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Offense
Power  #35 | SP+  #64 | Grade  #60
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Off Success  #96 | Explosivness  #95
Rush Grade  #69 | Pass Grade  #122
Rush Success  #84 | Explosiveness  #75
Pass Success  #90 | Explosiveness  #83
Run Block  #20 | Pass Block  #94
OL YDS  #108 | Stuff Rate  #129
Scoring Zone Off:  #11

Defense
Power  #54 | SP+  #76 | Grade  #80
Def Success  #113 | Explosivness  #47
Rush Success  #107 | Explosiveness  #74
Tackling  #82 | Run Def  #62
Pass Success  #110 | Explosiveness  #31
Pass Rush  #80 | Coverage  #89
F7 Havoc  #61 | DB Havoc  #93
Scoring Zone Def  #80


Roster
Team Talent  #30 Blue Chips: 14%  #33
Offense Talent  #36 Defense Talent  #27
Crootin: '25 Class  #56 - 4 YR Class:  #40
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #26 - 20 players, 87 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 24% TY
69 New Players, 66% of '25 Roster  #100

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 29.5 - 31.8 (19 - 26) in '24
Scoring at Home: 30 - 27 | Road: 29 - 42
OC: Brian Lindgren - in his second season
DC: Joe Rossi - in his second season

2025 Record: 3 - 3 (2 - 4 - 0) (B1G: 0 - 3)
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 8 - 0) (B1G: 3 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 6 - 1) (B1G: 2 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (17 - 25) | 8 Yr Record: (44 - 44)


Notes
Doesn't feel like HC Smith is working out for Sparty
Def may be worst in B1G, dump trucked in conf play
Injuries piling up at LB, thin situation
Success #'s bad on both sides vs meh so far
QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.11 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Bad when off Schedule 29%

'25 Defense
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 45%
Bad in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 32%

Returning Prod
HC Smith, OC Lindgren & QB all back
'24 QB Aidan Chiles returns
Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense: 72%  #14 | Defense: 55%  #64
OL Prod: 54%  #75, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2710  #81 | From Portal: 1121  #35
Rush Prod: 63%  #54 | Rec Prod: 96%  #3
Def Front Seven: 69% - Secondary: 93%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #70 - Power Rating:  #42
2024 SP+ Overall:  #90 - Power Rating:  #70
2023 SP+ Overall:  #86 - Power Rating:  #92
2022 SP+ Overall:  #67

#67 #89 #80 #56

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #64 - Power Rating:  #35
2024 SP+ Offense:  #119 - Power Rating:  #101
2023 SP+ Offense:  #122 - Power Rating:  #127
2022 SP+ Offense:  #48

#48 #125 #110 #50

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #76 - Power Rating:  #54
2024 SP+ Defense:  #49 - Power Rating:  #75
2023 SP+ Defense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #82
2022 SP+ Defense:  #82

#82 #65 #62 #65