Michigan State Team Profile
Michigan State logo
Michigan State Spartans (@MSU_Football)
Jonathan Smith (2nd year) (9-15)
Record: 4 - 8 (1 - 8)  |  Proj: 4 - 8 (#98)  |  SOS: (#35)
Roster  |  Injuries  |  '26 Portals  |  '26 Croots  |  Map
Michigan State logo
Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-18.549.5W 23 - 6UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3.545.5W 42 - 40ON
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-23.555.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+18.555.5L 31 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+12.548.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-7.051.5L 13 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+26.549.5L 13 - 38OY
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+13.547.5L 20 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+4.544.5L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+7.048.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+17.543.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland-4.049.5W 38 - 28OY

Record Prediction: 4.0 - 8.0  #98
Schedule Rating:  #35
Record: 4 - 8( B1G: 1 - 8)
Spread Record 7 - 5 - 0 | O/U 7 - 5
Future 2026 Schedule

Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24ON
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38ON
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #36
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (B1G: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 4 - 8 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6


Opponents: 5 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 5 Bad, 0 Poor
Played: 5 Elite, 0 Good, 1 Avg, 5 Bad, 0 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 208 points   #46
2025 class: 196 points   #56
2024 class: 204 points   #42
2023 class: 225 points   #23
2022 class: 222 points   #24

Average Class Ranking:   #38
Average Recruiting Points: 211

Four Year Crootin Profile
Consistent Top 25 Contenders
4 Year Class:  #40 - Best:  #23 Worst:  #56



CFB Crootin Averages
Big Ten Class: 227  #34
Power 4 Class: 225  #34
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 191 points   #43
2020 class: 193 points   #43
2019 class: 215 points   #32
2018 class: 212 points   #31
2017 class: 204 points   #36

Average Class Ranking:   #37
Average Recruiting Points: 203
 

2025 Portal Class  #26 - 20 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #21 - 10 players, 89 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #38 - 15 players, 86 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #21 - 9 players, 89 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Brian Lindgren (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles12820363%13921036.9
Alessio Milivojevic11117364%12671037.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Frazier11652024.549
Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr)7242825.985
Brandon Tullis6829744.435
Aidan Chiles8122762.864
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh59662611.248
Omari Kelly (Tr)47626213.375
Jack Velling36359310.028
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)24330313.845
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Joe Rossi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall885321
Wayne Matthews III735001
Malik Spencer523215
Alex VanSumeren502221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall885321
Jalen Thompson296381
Quindarius Dunnigan255390
Ru'Quan Buckley132210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Bell (Tr)495106
Malik Spencer523215
Chance Rucker70012
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense Returning Production: 72%  #14
Defense Returning Production: 55%  #64

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #26
20 Commits, 86.6 Avg Rating
38% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 24% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Offense Talent  #36 | Defense Talent  #27
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #34 | 2021  #36


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 4 - 8
2025 Conf Record: 1 - 8
Spread: 7 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 5

2024 Record: 5 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 5 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 7

2022 Record: 5 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 3 - 6 - 3 | Totals: 5 - 7

Four Year Record: 18 - 30
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 19 - 25 - 4
Four Year Conference Record: 9 - 27
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 11 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2020 Record: 2 - 5
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 5
Spread: 2 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 2

2019 Record: 7 - 6
2019 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 5 - 4
Spread: 4 - 9 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 9

Eight Year Record: 45 - 49
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 38 - 52 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 30 - 43

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2021Peach Bowl Michigan State vs Pittsburgh-3.555.0W 31 - 21
2019Pinstripe Bowl Michigan State vs Wake Forest-3.550.5W 27 - 21
2018N/A Michigan State vs Oregon-1.047.0L 6 - 7
2017Holiday Bowl Michigan State vs Washington State-2.547.5W 42 - 17
2015CFP Semifinal Michigan State vs Alabama+9.5L 0 - 38
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.12 (97)1.21 (97)42% (79)3.75 (64)27.3 (118)35%44%.21 (104)1.18 (30)45% (115)3.91 (93)31.1 (118)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (105)1.18 (118)42% (86)3.34 (116)26.3 (127)38%52%.19 (85)1.37 (110)42% (69)4.06 (98)30.7 (112)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251230:1118.835%44%5.344.910.84.71.81
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.61



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1224.624.821.641.7% (79)3.75 (64)1193451232233.847% (90)51% (52)42% (84)42% (67)18% (115).12 (97)
2025 Defense1229.927.832.845.2% (115)3.91 (93)0.8 - - - - - 49% (53)49% (83)47% (121)44% (103)14% (110).21 (104)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1219.320.417.841.6% (86)3.34 (116)1.6193371182183.750% (74)50% (61)45% (50)38% (107)18% (98).13 (105)
2024 Defense1226.124.72841.7% (69)4.06 (98)0.9 - - - - - 50% (56)50% (79)39% (25)45% (111)14% (93).19 (85)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1247% (90)42% (84)32.3122.73.816 (60).06 (96)2.56 (128)65% (109)13% (131)0.95 (73)
2025 Defense1249% (53)47% (121) - - - - .16 (101)2.87 (66)81% (125)9% (97)0.91 (44)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)
2024 Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1251% (52)42% (67)2031.5222.77.111.120 (50)6 (34).24 (74)1.4 (112)30% (54)30% (78).37 (44)5% (24)2.1 (49)
2025 Defense1249% (83)44% (103) - - - - - - 5 (100).32 (103)1.5 (34)29% (111)30% (74).33 (86)5% (114)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)
2024 Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)




Overall
Power Rating  #37 | SP+ Rating  #84
Performance Grade  #91
Special Teams Grade  #133
Record Prediction 4.0 - 8.0  #98
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5

5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Offense
Power  #28 | SP+  #74 | Grade  #61
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Off Success  #79 | Explosivness  #97
Rush Grade  #78 | Pass Grade  #89
Rush Success  #84 | Explosiveness  #73
Pass Success  #67 | Explosiveness  #112
Run Block  #32 | Pass Block  #121
OL YDS  #128 | Stuff Rate  #132
Scoring Zone Off:  #64

Defense
Power  #35 | SP+  #85 | Grade  #96
Def Success  #115 | Explosivness  #30
Rush Success  #121 | Explosiveness  #44
Tackling  #40 | Run Def  #89
Pass Success  #103 | Explosiveness  #34
Pass Rush  #102 | Coverage  #86
F7 Havoc  #97 | DB Havoc  #114
DL YDS  #66 | Def Stuff Rate  #104
Scoring Zone Def  #93


Roster
Team Talent  #30 Blue Chips: 14%  #33
Offense Talent  #36 Defense Talent  #27
Crootin: '25 Class  #46 - 4 YR Class:  #40
Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
Portal Class  #26 - 20 players, 87 Avg
38% of Roster from Portal, 24% TY
69 New Players, 66% of '25 Roster  #100

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 24.6 - 29.9 | Scoring Margin: (-5.3)
Home: 25 - 28 (-3) | Road: 22 - 33 (-11.2)
OC: Brian Lindgren - in his second season
DC: Joe Rossi - in his second season

2025 Record: 4 - 8 (7 - 5 - 0) (B1G: 1 - 8)
2024 Record: 5 - 7 (4 - 8 - 0) (B1G: 3 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (5 - 6 - 1) (B1G: 2 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (18 - 30) | 8 Yr Record: (45 - 49)


Notes
Hired Pat Fitzgerald? Sparty gonna regret this one.
DC Joe Rossi will remain under HC Fitzgerald
HC Smith has been fired after 2 years, 9-15
Blew 17-7 lead vs Iowa. 4 str 3 & outs to lose
Outplayed Minn, penalties costly, tough loss
3 backdoor covers, otherwise awful team
Doesn't feel like HC Smith is working out for Sparty
Def may be worst in B1G, dump trucked in conf play
Injuries piling up at LB, thin situation
Success #'s bad on both sides vs meh so far
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.75 PPO
Bad Run Success 42%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 70%
Bad when off Schedule 30%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 3.91 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 47%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Great Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 71%
Bad when Opp is off Schedule 30%

Returning Prod
HC Smith, OC Lindgren & QB all back
'24 QB Aidan Chiles returns
Returning Production: 63%  #30
Offense: 72%  #14 | Defense: 55%  #64
OL Prod: 54%  #75, 2 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2710  #81 | From Portal: 1121  #35
Rush Prod: 63%  #54 | Rec Prod: 96%  #3
Def Front Seven: 69% - Secondary: 93%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 5.5 - 6.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #84 - Power Rating:  #37
2024 SP+ Overall:  #90 - Power Rating:  #70
2023 SP+ Overall:  #86 - Power Rating:  #92
2022 SP+ Overall:  #67

#67 #89 #80 #61

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #74 - Power Rating:  #28
2024 SP+ Offense:  #119 - Power Rating:  #101
2023 SP+ Offense:  #122 - Power Rating:  #127
2022 SP+ Offense:  #48

#48 #125 #110 #51

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #85 - Power Rating:  #35
2024 SP+ Defense:  #49 - Power Rating:  #75
2023 SP+ Defense:  #47 - Power Rating:  #82
2022 SP+ Defense:  #82

#82 #65 #62 #60