Michigan State Spartans at Oregon Ducks(#6)
Friday, October 4th 2024 (9:00 PM EDT)
Oregon -22.5 (53.0) (-2100) Open: -26.5
Oregon 31 - Michigan State: 10 (Big Ten)
Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -31.5 (SP+ ORE -31)
Projected Score: MSU: 10 - ORE: 42 (52)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
MSU Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Our Line: Oregon -31.5 (SP+ ORE -31)
Projected Score: MSU: 10 - ORE: 42 (52)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
MSU Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Ducks (13 - 1) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
Coach Dan Lanning (22 - 5)
Avg Score : 35 - 19 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 13 - 1 (#3)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
| Michigan State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic | -12.0 | 45.0 | W 16 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Michigan State at Maryland | +7.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | 53.5 | W 40 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Michigan State at Boston College | +4.5 | 45.5 | L 19 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Michigan State vs Ohio State | +23.5 | 48.5 | L 7 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/4 | Michigan State at Oregon | +22.5 | 53.0 | L 10 - 31 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Michigan State vs Iowa | +7.0 | 39.5 | W 32 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Michigan State at Michigan | +3.5 | 39.0 | L 17 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Michigan State vs Indiana | +7.5 | 53.5 | L 10 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Michigan State at Illinois | +2.0 | 47.5 | L 16 - 38 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/22 | Michigan State vs Purdue | -14.0 | 49.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Michigan State vs Rutgers | -1.5 | 46.5 | L 14 - 41 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Oregon's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Oregon vs Idaho | -36.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Oregon vs Boise State | -17.5 | 60.5 | W 37 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Oregon at Oregon State | -16.0 | 50.0 | W 49 - 14 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/28 | Oregon at UCLA | -23.5 | 54.5 | W 34 - 13 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/4 | Oregon vs Michigan State | -22.5 | 53.0 | W 31 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/12 | Oregon vs Ohio State | +3.5 | 54.5 | W 32 - 31 | O | Y | |
| Fri 10/18 | Oregon at Purdue | -30.0 | 61.0 | W 35 - 0 | U | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Oregon vs Illinois | -22.5 | 54.0 | W 38 - 9 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Oregon at Michigan | -14.5 | 45.5 | W 38 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Oregon vs Maryland | -24.0 | 58.0 | W 39 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/16 | Oregon at Wisconsin | -13.5 | 49.5 | W 16 - 13 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/30 | Oregon vs Washington | -17.5 | 50.5 | W 49 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 12/7 | Oregon vs Penn State | -3.5 | 51.5 | W 45 - 37 | O | Y | |
| Wed 1/1 | Oregon vs Ohio State | +2.5 | 55.5 | L 21 - 41 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Oregon's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 19.3 | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 26.1 | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| ORE | #7 (.33) | 51% (5) | 34.9 | 51% (11) | 3.5 (8) | 160 | 50% (6) | 258 | 4.68 (10) | #33 (.11) | 38% (18) | 19.4 | 42% (64) | 34% (2) | 3.68 (59) | 40.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | ||
| ORE | #7 (.33) | 51% (5) | 51% (11) | 3.5 (8) | 160 | 50% (6) | 258 | 4.68 (10) | #33 (.11) | 38% (18) | 42% (64) | 34% (2) | 3.68 (59) | 40.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 17.8 | 41.6% | 3.34 | 1.6 | 19 | 337 | 118 | 218 | 3.7 | 50% | 50% | 45% | 38% | 18% | .13 |
| ORE Defense | 14 | 19.4 | 19.6 | 37.7% | 3.68 | 1.2 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 42% | 34% | 20% | .11 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 26.1 | 28 | 41.7% | 4.06 | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 39% | 45% | 14% | .19 |
| ORE Offense | 14 | 34.9 | 35.7 | 50.8% | 4.68 | 0.8 | 22 | 418 | 160 | 258 | 4.8 | 51% | 49% | 51% | 50% | 9% | .33 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 12 | 30:54 | 18.8 | 38% | 52% | 6.7 | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 5.5 | 1.6 | 1 | 26.3 |
| Oregon | 14 | 28:38 | 22.1 | 49% | 65% | 5.1 | 40.5 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 29.3 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 50% (74) | 45% (50) | 32.4 | 118.4 | 3.7 | 11 (116) | .02 (116) | 2.76 (109) | 74% (66) | 12% (112) | 0.82 (126) |
| ORE Defense | 14 | 48% (39) | 42% (64) | - | - | - | - | .15 (83) | 3.14 (89) | 85% (127) | 12% (23) | 0.97 (63) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 50% (56) | 39% (25) | - | - | - | - | .06 (36) | 2.8 (37) | 67% (29) | 10% (64) | 1.01 (80) |
| ORE Offense | 14 | 51% (69) | 51% (11) | 33.4 | 159.9 | 4.8 | 29 (18) | .24 (17) | 3.5 (8) | 81% (19) | 6% (4) | 0.89 (108) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 50% (61) | 38% (107) | 17.7 | 29.5 | 218.1 | 7.4 | 12.3 | 13 (116) | 13 (103) | .24 (79) | 1.6 (57) | 33% (106) | 25% (122) | .18 (113) | 6% (63) | 2 (80) |
| ORE Defense | 14 | 51% (94) | 34% (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 12 (39) | .09 (12) | 1.5 (50) | 37% (8) | 26% (15) | .17 (15) | 8% (5) | 1.9 (34) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 50% (79) | 45% (111) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .34 (111) | 1.7 (101) | 32% (70) | 35% (118) | .43 (111) | 4% (121) | 2.1 (74) |
| ORE Offense | 14 | 49% (66) | 50% (6) | 21.9 | 29.9 | 258.1 | 8.7 | 11.8 | 28 (15) | 6 (10) | .44 (7) | 1.5 (83) | 27% (9) | 40% (2) | .59 (3) | 3% (3) | 2.1 (32) |
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Michigan State's Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -2.31 Oregon: 28.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -4.6 Oregon: 26.0
Michigan State: -2.31 Oregon: 28.2
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -4.6 Oregon: 26.0
Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Oregon's Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Oregon's Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Oregon's Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Oregon's 2024 Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Oregon's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon 42
Michigan State 10
Total Points: 52
Oregon 42
Michigan State 10
Total Points: 52
Oregon Scoring
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6
Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 34.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.7
Defense: 19.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.6
Oregon's 2024 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 7 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/04 | Oregon | 31 | Michigan State | 10 | Oregon | Oregon -22.5 | Michigan State | 53.0 | Under |
| 2018 | 12/31 | Oregon | 7 | Michigan State | 6 | Oregon | Michigan State -1 | Oregon | 47.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/12 | Michigan State | 31 | Oregon | 28 | Michigan State | Michigan State -5 | Oregon | 66.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 09/06 | Oregon | 46 | Michigan State | 27 | Oregon | Oregon -11 | Oregon | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | 3 | 3 | 0 Overs |
| Michigan State | 1 | 1 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 4 - 0 | 2 - 2 | 1 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 4 | 2 - 2 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 1 |
(#70) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 2 straight
Michigan State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan State Notes
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State has a good run defense (#33)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State has a really bad Offense
Michigan State Can Not Run the Ball (#59)
Michigan State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Michigan State offense is not Explosive (#95)
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Michigan State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#56)
Michigan State pass game is really bad (#77)
Michigan State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#31)
Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 2 straight
Michigan State has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan State Notes
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State has a good run defense (#33)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State has a really bad Offense
Michigan State Can Not Run the Ball (#59)
Michigan State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#60)
Michigan State offense is not Explosive (#95)
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Michigan State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#56)
Michigan State pass game is really bad (#77)
Michigan State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#31)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | ORE | MSU |
| OverallOver | #4 | #76 |
| OffenseOff | #9 | #84 |
| DefenseDef | #4 | #84 |
| Special TeamsST | #23 | #99 |
| PassingPass | #10 | #84 |
| RushingRush | #11 | #21 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #22 | #87 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #21 | #109 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #24 | #49 |
| TacklingTkl | #7 | #28 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #26 | #22 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #7 | #106 |
| Coverage DefCov | #4 | #103 |
(#2) Oregon Info
Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon has won 4 straight
Oregon has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon Notes
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart
Oregon Highlights
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)
Oregon Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Front 7 is disruptive (#67)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon Deficiencies
Oregon offense is not Explosive (#24)
Oregon Does Not Stuff Runs (#90)
Power Rating: 28.2 #2
Offense Rating: 29.52 #4
Defense Rating: 4.01 #19
Overall SP+ Rating: 26.0 #3
Offense SP+ Rating: 40.8 #2
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #14
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 54 #8
Expected Record: 13.0 - 1.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 51%
Great Offense Success Rate of 51%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 4.68 PPO
Great Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 50%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.68 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Great Pass Def Success 34%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Oregon has won 4 straight
Oregon has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 7 - 0 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Oregon Notes
(11/4) Tez Johnson inj (Mich), out weeks, not year
(10/27) Rgame mauled Illinois, 229 yds, 5.9 ypc in blowout
(10/19) Rgame bad vs Purdue, Run Def bad, still shutout
(10/12) Off torched Ohio St. Gabriel/Rgame great
(9/14) Dominanted Beavs. 240 yds rushing, Gabriel good
(9/9) OL & DL are a big issue, outgained by Boise but won
(9/1) Run game a big ? after 2.9 YPC vs Idaho.
(8/4) Gabriel perfect for Off, can lines play B1G ball?
(8/4) Lots of travel weeks 7-11, 3 MW/cold trips
(7/30) Portal QBs Gabriel(UCF)/Moore(UCLA), WR Stewart
Oregon Highlights
Oregon is Undefeated at Home
Oregon offense is efficent (#1)
Oregon has a top Offensive Line (#1)
Oregon offense is good in red zone (#3)
Oregon offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#2)
Oregon Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Oregon has a really good defense (#12)
Oregon has a good pass defense (#9)
Oregon Front 7 is disruptive (#67)
Oregon Secondary is very good (#7)
Oregon has a great TO Margin (#11)
Oregon Deficiencies
Oregon offense is not Explosive (#24)
Oregon Does Not Stuff Runs (#90)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles (Tr) | 192 | 324 | 59% | 2415 | 13 | 12 | 7.5 |
| Tommy Schuster (Tr) | 20 | 29 | 69% | 202 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay'Ron Adams | 133 | 649 | 2 | 4.9 | 63 |
| Nathan Carter | 116 | 499 | 5 | 4.3 | 60 |
| Aidan Chiles (Tr) | 96 | 234 | 3 | 2.4 | 26 |
| Nick Marsh | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5.8 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 41 | 649 | 3 | 15.8 | 77 |
| Montorie Foster | 46 | 588 | 3 | 12.8 | 40 |
| Jack Velling (Tr) | 36 | 411 | 1 | 11.4 | 34 |
| Aziah Johnson | 16 | 276 | 2 | 17.3 | 52 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Turner (Tr) | 66 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Cal Haladay | 58 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nikai Martinez (Tr) | 51 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Angelo Grose | 50 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Bogle | 37 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| Jordan Turner (Tr) | 66 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Anthony Jones (Tr) | 25 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Ken Talley | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Brantley | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Edward Woods | 49 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Jordan Hall | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Gabriel (Tr) | 326 | 447 | 73% | 3857 | 30 | 6 | 8.6 |
| Dante Moore (Tr) | 7 | 8 | 88% | 49 | 0 | 0 | 6.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan James | 233 | 1267 | 15 | 5.4 | 41 |
| Noah Whittington | 118 | 540 | 6 | 4.6 | 28 |
| Dillon Gabriel (Tr) | 75 | 149 | 7 | 2.0 | 54 |
| Da'Jaun Riggs | 11 | 82 | 1 | 7.5 | 24 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tez Johnson | 83 | 898 | 10 | 10.8 | 52 |
| Traeshon Holden | 45 | 718 | 5 | 16.0 | 59 |
| Evan Stewart (Tr) | 48 | 613 | 5 | 12.8 | 69 |
| Terrance Ferguson | 43 | 591 | 3 | 13.7 | 62 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Boettcher | 87 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| Tysheem Johnson | 58 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Kobe Savage (Tr) | 57 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Teitum Tuioti | 53 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matayo Uiagalelei | 37 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 1 |
| Jordan Burch | 29 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 |
| Teitum Tuioti | 53 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Derrick Harmon (Tr) | 43 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabbar Muhammad (Tr) | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| Dontae Manning | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Jordan Burch | 29 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 5 |