(#21)Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI (Big Ten)
Wolverines (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 15 (13 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Sherrone Moore (8 - 5)
Avg Score : 37 - 15 (13 - 24 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 3.4 (#31)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
MSU is playing their 4th straight game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -11.5 (SP+ MICH -13)
Projected Score: MICH: 31 - MSU: 20 (51)
MICH Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MICH Travel: 49 miles
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -11.5 (SP+ MICH -13)
Projected Score: MICH: 31 - MSU: 20 (51)
MICH Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MICH Travel: 49 miles
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Michigan's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Michigan vs New Mexico | -36.5 | 52.5 | W 34 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan at Oklahoma | +3.0 | 47.5 | L 13 - 24 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan vs Central Michigan | -27.5 | 42.5 | W 63 - 3 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan at Nebraska | -2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan vs Wisconsin | -16 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan at USC | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan vs Washington | -8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan at Michigan State | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan vs Purdue | -29.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan vs Northwestern | -20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan at Maryland | -9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan vs Ohio State | +4.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | #41 (.3) | 40% (99) | 36.7 | 39% (103) | 3.02 (66) | 243 | 41% (90) | 209 | 4.8 (37) | #42 (.05) | 39% (65) | 14.7 | 38% (59) | 41% (70) | 4 (89) | 47.3 | 0.7 | 2 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | #113 (.1) | 40% (102) | 41% (101) | 3 (80) | 149 | 40% (92) | 123 | 4.18 (45) | #40 (.13) | 38% (28) | 38% (18) | 39% (42) | 3.48 (36) | 36.8 | 1.5 | 1.2 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 3 | 36.7 | 13 | 39.9% | 4.8 | 0.7 | 22 | 452 | 243 | 209 | 6.1 | 50% | 50% | 39% | 41% | 10% | .3 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 3 | 14.7 | 24 | 38.8% | 4 | 2 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 55% | 38% | 41% | 20% | .05 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 3 | 29:17 | 22.3 | 45% | 25% | 5 | 47.3 | 0.7 | 2 | 7.7 | 2.7 | 0 | 31.8 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 3 | 50% (71) | 39% (103) | 39.7 | 242.7 | 6.1 | 12 (3) | .27 (35) | 3.02 (66) | 75% (52) | 7% (40) | 1.3 (18) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 3 | 44% (27) | 38% (59) | - | - | - | - | .01 (52) | 2.78 (68) | 57% (28) | 12% (38) | 0.76 (26) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Offense | 3 | 50% (62) | 41% (90) | 15.3 | 26.7 | 209.3 | 7.9 | 13.7 | 2 (102) | 1 (23) | .34 (61) | 1.8 (18) | 32% (89) | 33% (54) | .54 (33) | 3% (26) | 2.1 (50) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MICH Defense | 3 | 55% (107) | 41% (70) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (6) | .12 (43) | 1.3 (25) | 29% (109) | 32% (88) | .37 (94) | 7% (34) | 1.9 (58) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Michigan's Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan's Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Michigan's Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
2025 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 27.89 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 17.4 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan: 27.89 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 17.4 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 36.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 14.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 24
Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 31
Michigan State 20
Total Points: 51
Michigan 31
Michigan State 20
Total Points: 51
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | 17 | Michigan | Michigan -3.5 | Michigan | 39.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Michigan State | 0 | Michigan | 49 | Michigan | Michigan -25.5 | Michigan | 47.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Michigan | 29 | Michigan State | 7 | Michigan | Michigan -22 | Push | 55.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan | 33 | Michigan State | Michigan -4 | Michigan State | 50.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | 27 | Michigan State | Michigan -25.0 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Michigan | 44 | Michigan State | 10 | Michigan | Michigan -13.5 | Michigan | 43.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Michigan State | 7 | Michigan | 21 | Michigan | Michigan -7.5 | Michigan | 38.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Michigan | 10 | Michigan State | 14 | Michigan State | Michigan -12.5 | Michigan State | 40.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Michigan State | 23 | Michigan | 32 | Michigan | Michigan -21 | Michigan State | 49.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/17 | Michigan | 23 | Michigan State | 27 | Michigan State | Michigan -7 | Michigan State | 42.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Michigan State | 35 | Michigan | 11 | Michigan State | Michigan State -15.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Michigan State | 29 | Michigan | 6 | Michigan State | Michigan State -3.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Michigan | 12 | Michigan State | 10 | Michigan | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Michigan State | 28 | Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Michigan | 17 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Michigan State | 26 | Michigan | 20 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2008 | 10/25 | Michigan | 21 | Michigan State | 35 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Michigan State | 24 | Michigan | 28 | Michigan | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Michigan | 31 | Michigan State | 13 | Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | Michigan State | 31 | Michigan | 34 | Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 10/30 | Michigan | 45 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan | ||||
| 2003 | 11/01 | Michigan State | 20 | Michigan | 27 | Michigan | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | Michigan | 49 | Michigan State | 3 | Michigan | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Michigan State | 26 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/20 | Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | 0 | Michigan |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 11 | 7 | 6 Overs |
| Michigan | 14 | 4 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 11 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 14 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#16) Michigan Info
Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan has lost 4 straight
Michigan has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan Notes
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
(7/28) Schedule is easy, miss most outside OSU
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
(7/12) Signed J Garcia (ECU) late, Keene health?
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF
Michigan Highlights
Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#10)
Michigan offense is explosive (#10)
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)
Michigan defense does not give up big plays (#20)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan run game is really bad (#103)
Power Rating: 27.89 #16
Offense Rating: 24.00 #22
Defense Rating: -3.90 #12
Overall SP+ Rating: 17.4 #17
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #46
Defense SP+ Rating: 13.3 #4
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #8
Blue Chip Ratio: 50% #16
Expected Record: 8.6 - 3.4
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.8 PPO
Poor Run Success 39%
Poor Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan has lost 4 straight
Michigan has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Michigan Notes
(9/8) Biff Poggi will be acting HC vs CMU/Neb
(9/8) HC Moore a minus for lack of aggressiveness
(9/7) OL is not as good as thought. WR are awful
(8/24) QB1 Fr. Bryce Underwood is starting QB
(7/28) Schedule is easy, miss most outside OSU
(7/12) OL 3/5 back. Has talent but depth a concern TY
(7/12) Signed J Garcia (ECU) late, Keene health?
(5/5) Def F7 still great, but lost top 5 tacklers, leaders
(5/5) HC Moore suspended for CMU/Neb games
(5/2) S Rod Moore a top 10 DB via PFF
Michigan Highlights
Michigan has Really Good Running Game (#10)
Michigan offense is explosive (#10)
Michigan does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#16)
Michigan defense does not give up big plays (#20)
Michigan has a great TO Margin (#28)
Michigan defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)
Michigan Deficiencies
Michigan run game is really bad (#103)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | MICH |
| OverallOver | #25 | #19 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #36 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #18 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #10 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #75 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #18 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #32 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #35 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #60 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #7 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #18 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #49 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #11 |
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 4 straight
Michigan State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 4 straight
Michigan State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Underwood | 46 | 80 | 58% | 628 | 2 | 1 | 7.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Haynes (Tr) | 49 | 388 | 5 | 7.9 | 75 |
| Jordan Marshall | 30 | 109 | 2 | 3.6 | 15 |
| Bryce Underwood | 14 | 108 | 2 | 7.7 | 28 |
| Jasper Parker | 9 | 45 | 1 | 5.0 | 11 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donaven McCulley (Tr) | 10 | 158 | 0 | 15.8 | 44 |
| Semaj Morgan | 9 | 121 | 1 | 13.4 | 32 |
| Channing Goodwin | 6 | 107 | 0 | 17.8 | 39 |
| Marlin Klein | 7 | 101 | 1 | 14.4 | 27 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Hausmann | 20 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Jimmy Rolder | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Brandyn Hillman | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Cole Sullivan | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Sullivan | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jaishawn Barham | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Dominic Nichols | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Troy Bowles (Tr) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jyaire Hill | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Zeke Berry | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jaden Mangham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |