Michigan State at Michigan - 2026 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Michigan WolverinesMichigan logo
Saturday, November 7th 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan Stadium - Ann Arbor, MI

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU coming off BYE
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -20  (SP+ MICH -16)
Projected Score: MSU: 15 - MICH: 35 (50)
MICH Win prob: 93% | Cover: 53%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Wolverines (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kyle Whittingham (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Michigan State vs Toledo-3
Sat 9/12 Michigan State vs Eastern Michigan-13
Sat 9/19 Michigan State at Notre Dame+31
Sat 9/26 Michigan State vs Nebraska+5
Sat 10/3 Michigan State at Wisconsin+3.5
Sat 10/10 Michigan State vs Illinois+10.5
Sat 10/17 Michigan State vs Northwestern+3
Sat 10/24 Michigan State at UCLA+2.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7 Michigan State at Michigan+20
Sat 11/14 Michigan State vs Washington+18
Sat 11/21 Michigan State vs Oregon+25
Sat 11/28 Michigan State at Rutgers+3.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Michigan's 2026 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/5 Michigan vs Western Michigan-23.5
Sat 9/12 Michigan vs Oklahoma+2
Sat 9/19 Michigan vs UTEP-31
Sat 9/26 Michigan vs Iowa-4
Sat 10/3 Michigan at Minnesota-9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/17 Michigan vs Penn State-3
Sat 10/24 Michigan vs Indiana+11
Sat 10/31 Michigan at Rutgers-14
Sat 11/7 Michigan vs Michigan State-20
Sat 11/14 Michigan at Oregon+12.5
Sat 11/21 Michigan vs UCLA-20
Sat 11/28 Michigan at Ohio State+16.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#97 (.12)42% (79)24.642% (84)2.56 (128)12342% (67)2233.75 (64)#104 (.21)45% (115)29.947% (121)44% (103)3.91 (93)44.910.8
MICH#54 (.19)44% (47)27.549% (13)3.29 (16)21140% (89)1873.64 (75)#52 (.12)42% (78)20.441% (58)44% (105)3.79 (80)39.11.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1224.621.641.7%3.751193451232233.847%51%42%42%18%.12
MICH Defense1320.413.342.3%3.791.4 - - - - - 46%52%41%44%17%.12
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1229.932.845.2%3.910.8 - - - - - 49%49%47%44%14%.21
MICH Offense1327.529.244.4%3.641.3203982111875.554%44%49%40%12%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1230:1118.835%44%5.344.910.84.71.8127.3
Michigan1329:4720.244%39%4.439.11.31.45.82.2031.1
Run Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1247% (90)42% (84)32.3122.73.816 (60).06 (96)2.56 (128)65% (109)13% (131)0.95 (73)
MICH Defense1346% (23)41% (58) - - - - .07 (49)2.68 (28)59% (11)10% (52)0.88 (23)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1249% (53)47% (121) - - - - .16 (101)2.87 (66)81% (125)9% (97)0.91 (44)
MICH Offense1354% (33)49% (13)38.2211.25.533 (23).23 (17)3.29 (16)77% (32)8% (27)0.98 (62)

Pass Game Stats (2026)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1251% (52)42% (67)2031.5222.77.111.120 (50)6 (34).24 (74)1.4 (112)30% (54)30% (78).37 (44)5% (23)2.1 (49)
MICH Defense1352% (116)44% (105) - - - - - - 13 (4).22 (57)1.3 (3)30% (98)33% (111).4 (114)7% (38)2 (69)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1249% (83)44% (103) - - - - - - 5 (100).32 (103)1.5 (34)29% (111)30% (74).33 (86)5% (114)2.1 (88)
MICH Offense1344% (103)40% (89)15.526.2186.87.11211 (106)10 (20).2 (96)1.5 (107)30% (51)30% (74).25 (91)4% (20)1.7 (132)

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -0.25  #60
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 12.05  #61
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 17.30  #69
2026 Talent Rating: 786.00  #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 12%  #6
Michigan State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Michigan State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #70
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -0.25   Michigan: 17.925

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -3.4   Michigan: 12.4




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 17.925  #16
Michigan's Offense Rating: 20.68  #15
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.23  #17
2026 Talent Rating: 928.00  #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #24
Michigan's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Michigan's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.4  #25
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 35
Michigan State 15

Projected Total Points: 50
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Michigan State20Michigan31Michigan -13.5Michigan State47.5Over
202410/26Michigan24Michigan State17Michigan -3.5Michigan39.0Over
202310/21Michigan State0Michigan49Michigan -25.5Michigan47.0Over
202210/29Michigan29Michigan State7Michigan -22Push55.0Under
202110/30Michigan State37Michigan33Michigan -4Michigan State50.5Over
202010/31Michigan24Michigan State27Michigan -25.0Michigan State0
201911/16Michigan44Michigan State10Michigan -13.5Michigan43.5Over
201810/20Michigan State7Michigan21Michigan -7.5Michigan38.5Under
201710/07Michigan10Michigan State14Michigan -12.5Michigan State40.0Under
201610/29Michigan State23Michigan32Michigan -21Michigan State49.5Over
201510/17Michigan23Michigan State27Michigan -7Michigan State42.5Over
201410/25Michigan State35Michigan11Michigan State -15.5Michigan State0
201311/02Michigan State29Michigan6Michigan State -3.5Michigan State0
201210/20Michigan12Michigan State10
201110/15Michigan State28Michigan14
201010/09Michigan17Michigan State34
200910/03Michigan State26Michigan20
200810/25Michigan21Michigan State35
200711/03Michigan State24Michigan28
200610/07Michigan31Michigan State13
200510/01Michigan State31Michigan34
200410/30Michigan45Michigan State37
200311/01Michigan State20Michigan27
200211/02Michigan49Michigan State3
200111/03Michigan State26Michigan24
200010/20Michigan14Michigan State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1547 Overs
Michigan State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#60) MSU at (#16) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #60 #16
SP+SP+ #82 #25
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTal #59 #24
Blue ChipsBC% #6 #24
Michigan State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #79 #78
ExplosiveExp #97 #10
PPAPPA #97 #52
PowerPwr #61 #17
SP+SP+ #70 #15
Pts POPPO #64 #80
HavocHav #115 #46
Michigan State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #84 #58
Run ExplRExp #73 #23
PPAExp #96 #49
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #128 #28
Stuff RateStuff #132 #85
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #67 #105
Pass ExplPExl #112 #3
PPAExp #74 #57
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #131 #52
DB HavocDB #23 #38
Michigan on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSuc #47 #115
ExplosiveExp #119 #30
PPAPPA #54 #104
PowerPwr #15 #69
SP+SP+ #48 #81
Pts POPPO #75 #93
HavocHav #13 #110
Michigan Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCat
MICH OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSuc #13 #121
Run ExplRExp #62 #44
PPAExp #17 #101
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLY #16 #66
Stuff RateStuff #9 #104
TackleTak - NR
Michigan Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 43%
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSuc #89 #103
Pass ExplPExl #107 #34
PPAExp #96 #103
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7 #27 #97
DB HavocDB #20 #114
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'26 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (31-20)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2024 (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)

  
MSU's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alessio Milivojevic11117364%12671037.3
Cam Fancher (Tr)417257%333004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Camryn Edwards2101240155.973
Brandon Tullis6829744.435
Jaziun Patterson (Tr)6029604.917
Cam Fancher (Tr)3117015.525
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chrishon Mccray24330313.845
Camryn Edwards1918619.834
KK Smith (Tr)8123215.434
Brandon Tullis118207.524

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Joe Rossi (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall885321
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)804162
Dion Crawford (Tr)795431
Malik Spencer523215
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dion Crawford (Tr)795431
Jordan Hall885321
Malik Spencer523215
Anelu Lafaele72210
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malik Spencer523215
Michael Richard Jr.385003
Tre Bell (Tr)364002

MICH's OC Jason Beck (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Bryce Underwood20233560%24281197.2
Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi (Tr)448254%488126.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Marshall150932106.265
Bryce Underwood8839264.537
Tomas O'Meara118307.537
Smith Snowden (Tr)84015.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Andrew Marsh45651414.569
JJ Buchanan (Tr)26427516.460
Zack Marshall16199112.437
Channing Goodwin12148012.339

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jay Hill (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
John Henry Daley45181201
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
John Henry Daley45181201
Dominic Nichols196210
Max Alford (Tr)212110
Jyaire Hill363105
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Bracy (Tr)717019
Smith Snowden (Tr)372009
Jyaire Hill363105