Richmond at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Richmond Spiders at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 9th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan State -29.5 (43.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan State 45 - Richmond: 14

Spiders (0 - 1) (0 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 14 - 45 (14 - 45 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -3.5 (SP+ MSU -7)
MSU Win prob: 99% | Cover: 51%

Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RICH Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Richmond's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/9	Richmond at Michigan State	+29.5	43.5	L 14 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Richmond's Schedule

Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-14.0	45.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Richmond	-29.5	43.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Michigan State vs Washington	+14.5	57.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Maryland	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State at Iowa	+10.0	36.5	L 16 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Rutgers	+4.0	38.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Michigan	+25.5	47.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Minnesota	+6.5	41.5	L 12 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+3.0	34.5	W 20 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+30.5	48.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+3.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Michigan State vs Penn State	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICH		0%	14	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	45	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU	#131 (.03)	38% (115)	15.9	38% (122)	2.84 (114)	89	38% (99)	197	2.97 (125)	#75 (.19)	44% (95)	28.3	45% (85)	44% (105)	3.89 (76)	59	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)		45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)		39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICH Offense	1	14	14	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MSU Defense	12	28.3	26.5	43.9%	3.89	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	45%	44%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RICH Defense	1	45	45	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
MSU Offense	12	15.9	18.7	37.6%	2.97	1.8	17	286	89	197	2.9	45%	54%	38%	38%	19%	.03

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Richmond	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Michigan State	12	28:05	16.5	30%	50%	6.8	59	1.8	1.3	5.6	2.5	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICH Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
MSU Defense	12	48% (48)	45% (85)	-	-	-	-	.16 (83)	3.28 (106)	87% (128)	10% (72)	0.93 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RICH Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
MSU Offense	12	45% (104)	38% (122)	30.9	88.7	2.9	7 (131)	-.03 (131)	2.84 (114)	76% (50)	12% (119)	0.85 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICH Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MSU Defense	12	51% (85)	44% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.28 (78)	1.5 (26)	29% (116)	32% (92)	.36 (92)	6% (66)	2 (58)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RICH Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
MSU Offense	12	54% (33)	38% (99)	18.5	31.8	197.2	6.2	10.7	14 (106)	13 (97)	.17 (101)	1.4 (121)	35% (113)	26% (107)	.16 (115)	7% (105)	2 (97)

Richmond's Power Ratings
Richmond's Power Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense Rating: NR
2023 Talent Rating: #215
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Richmond's 2023 Expected Record: -
Richmond's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Richmond's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average CAA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Richmond: Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Richmond: Michigan State: -6.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Richmond Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 45 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Richmond's 2023 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 31
Richmond 20

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan State 32
Richmond 19

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Michigan State 31
Richmond 21

Total Points: 52

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 15.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/09	Michigan State	45	Richmond	14	Michigan State -29.5	Michigan State	43.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	1	1	1 Overs
Richmond	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#NR) RICH at (#92) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RICH	MSU
Power RatePwr	NR	#92
SP+SP+	NR	#86
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#124
OffenseOff	NR	#125
DefenseDef	NR	#115
Spec TeamsST	NR	#68
TalentTal	#215	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#34

Richmond Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Richmond on Offense


CategoryCat	RICH Off	MSU Def
Perf GradePerf	NR	#115
SuccessSuc	NR	#95
ExplosiveExp	NR	#24
PPAPPA	NR	#75
PowerPwr	NR	#82
SP+SP+	NR	#47
Pts POPPO	NR	#76
HavocHav	NR	#68

Richmond Run Game


CategoryCat	RICH Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#56
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#85
Run ExplRExp	NR	#35
PPAExp	NR	#83
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#106
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#111
TackleTak	-	#74

Richmond Pass Game


CategoryCat	RICH Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#133
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#105
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#26
PPAExp	NR	#78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#70
F7 HavocF7	NR	#72
DB HavocDB	NR	#66

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RICH Def
Perf GradePerf	#125	NR
SuccessSuc	#115	NR
ExplosiveExp	#119	NR
PPAPPA	#131	NR
PowerPwr	#127	NR
SP+SP+	#122	NR
Pts POPPO	#125	NR
HavocHav	#115	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RICH Def
Run GameRun	#122	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	NR
Run ExplRExp	#124	NR
PPAExp	#131	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#73	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#103	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	RICH Def
Pass GamePass	#130	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#99	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#121	NR
PPAExp	#101	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#113	NR
F7 HavocF7	#119	NR
DB HavocDB	#105	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Michigan State -29.5 (43.5)
Michigan State won vs Richmond this year (45-14)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Richmond in 2023 (45-14)

RICH's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Camden Coleman	160	249	64%	2031	14	5	8.2
Kyle Wickersham	34	59	58%	335	1	3	5.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camden Coleman	75	338	6	4.5	59
Kyle Wickersham	39	176	2	4.5	20
Jamaal Brown	23	58	0	2.5	12
Jerry Garcia Jr.	3	39	0	13.0	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Landon Ellis	50	588	4	11.8	61
Nick DeGennaro	40	576	4	14.4	60
Jerry Garcia Jr.	29	378	2	13.0	48
Ja'Vion Griffin	22	311	1	14.1	32

View Richmond's Full Roster

RICH's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Angelo Rankin Jr.	45	3	0	1	2
Marlem Louis	10	4	4	0	0
Jabril Hayes	5	0	0	0	0
Wayne Galloway	5	1	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marlem Louis	10	4	4	0	0
Matei Fitz	5	1	1	0	0
Jeremiah Grant	3	1	1	0	0
Angelo Rankin Jr.	45	3	0	1	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Angelo Rankin Jr.	45	3	1	2
Matthew Traynor	5	0	0	1
D'Angelo Stocker	3	0	0	1

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Katin Houser	113	193	59%	1098	6	5	5.7
Noah Kim	91	160	57%	1090	6	6	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nathan Carter (Tr)	186	792	4	4.3	44
Jalen Berger	25	93	1	3.7	12
Jaren Mangham (Tr)	30	71	0	2.4	8
Sam Leavitt	13	67	0	5.2	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montorie Foster	43	575	3	13.4	42
Maliq Carr	32	335	3	10.5	36
Tre Mosley	28	288	2	10.3	30
Jaron Glover	14	261	0	18.6	33

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cal Haladay	91	6	1	1	0
Angelo Grose	72	3	1	0	5
Malik Spencer	72	2	0	1	6
Jordan Hall	67	8	5	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aaron Brule	64	9	5	1	2
Jordan Hall	67	8	5	0	1
Simeon Barrow Jr.	36	6	4	7	0
Brandon Wright	19	2	2	5	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dillon Tatum	45	3	0	1	7
Malik Spencer	72	2	0	1	6
Angelo Grose	72	3	1	0	5