Michigan State at Indiana - 2021 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers

Saturday, October 16th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -3.5 (48.5)
Michigan State 20 - Indiana: 15 (Big Ten)

Spartans (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mel Tucker (5 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 2nd straight Road Game
IND coming off BYE
MSU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -7 (SP+ MSU -19)
Projected Score: MSU: 17 - IND: 39 (56)
MSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 267 miles

Hoosiers (2 - 10) (2 - 10 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (25 - 24)
Avg Score : 42 - 12 (49 - 8 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
IND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Michigan State at Northwestern	+3.0	45.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Michigan State vs Youngstown State	-28.5	52.0	W 42 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Michigan State at Miami	+7.0	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Michigan State vs Nebraska	-3.5	55.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Michigan State vs Western Kentucky	-10.5	66.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Michigan State at Rutgers	-4.5	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Michigan State at Indiana	-3.5	48.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Michigan State vs Michigan	+4.0	50.5	W 37 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Michigan State at Purdue	-2.5	53.0	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/13	Michigan State vs Maryland	-11.5	60.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.5	70.5	L 7 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/27	Michigan State vs Penn State	+3.5	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Michigan State vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	55.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Indiana's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Indiana at Iowa	+3.5	45.5	L 6 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/11	Indiana vs Idaho	-31.5	52.5	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Indiana vs Cincinnati	+4.0	50.0	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/25	Indiana at Western Kentucky	-9.5	62.5	W 33 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/2	Indiana at Penn State	+12.0	54.5	L 0 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Indiana vs Michigan State	+3.5	48.5	L 15 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/23	Indiana vs Ohio State	+21.0	59.0	L 7 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/30	Indiana at Maryland	+3.5	48.0	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Indiana at Michigan	+20.5	51.0	L 7 - 29	U	N
Sat 11/13	Indiana vs Rutgers	-6.5	42.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/20	Indiana vs Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 14 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/27	Indiana at Purdue	+18.0	50.5	L 7 - 44	O	N

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	-.02	33%	24.6	28%	2.17	92	38%	239	2.49	.13	40%	29.9	38%	41%	3.71	65.1	2.9	1.4
IND	.11	39%	41.6	40%	2.39	109	38%	251	3.88	.12	40%	11.7	40%	40%	2.55	44.6	1.4	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	7	24.6	21.6	33.2%	2.49	2.9	16	331	92	239	2.7	48%	52%	28%	38%	21%	-.02
IND Defense	8	11.7	8.4	39.9%	2.55	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	40%	40%	19%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	7	29.9	32.8	39.6%	3.71	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	41%	16%	.13
IND Offense	8	41.6	49.1	39%	3.88	1.4	20	361	109	251	3.2	46%	54%	40%	38%	14%	.11

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	7	27:14	16.1	33%	42%	6.9	65.1	2.9	1.4	6.1	1.7	0	25.7
Indiana	8	30:52	20.1	39%	57%	4.3	44.6	1.4	2.5	5.9	3.1	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	7	48%	28%	34	92.1	2.7	2	-.17	2.17	63%	13%	0.9
IND Defense	8	45%	40%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.27	64%	10%	0.98

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	7	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	2.42	64%	10%	1.06
IND Offense	8	46%	40%	34.3	109.4	3.2	12	-.03	2.39	75%	8%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	7	52%	38%	18.9	34.7	238.9	6.9	12.7	11	12	.14	1.6	36%	23%		8%	1.8
IND Defense	8	55%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.13	1.6	32%	30%	.26	9%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	7	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	36%	.46	6%	2
IND Offense	8	54%	38%	20.9	36.4	251.4	6.9	12	16	5	.22	1.6	34%	31%	.28	6%	2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #28
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Indiana: -1.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 11.2 Indiana: -7.8

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -1.4 NR
Indiana's Offense Rating: NR
Indiana's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Indiana's 2021 Expected Record: -
Indiana's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8 #101
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.4 #113
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Indiana 39
Michigan State 17

Projected Total Points: 56

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 49.1
Defense: 11.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 8.4

Indiana's 2021 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Indiana	38	Michigan State	13	Indiana -26.5	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2024	11/02	Michigan State	10	Indiana	47	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	53.5	Over
2023	11/18	Indiana	21	Michigan State	24	Indiana -3.5	Michigan State	47.5	Under
2022	11/19	Michigan State	31	Indiana	39	Michigan State -12	Indiana	47.0	Over
2021	10/16	Indiana	15	Michigan State	20	Michigan State -3.5	Michigan State	48.5	Under
2020	11/14	Michigan State	0	Indiana	24	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	53.0	Under
2019	09/28	Michigan State	40	Indiana	31	Michigan State -14	Indiana	43.5	Over
2018	09/22	Indiana	21	Michigan State	35	Michigan State -5.5	Michigan State	51.0	Over
2017	10/21	Michigan State	17	Indiana	9	Michigan State -6.5	Michigan State	47.5	Under
2016	10/01	Indiana	24	Michigan State	21	Michigan State -8	Indiana	52.5	Under
2015	10/24	Michigan State	52	Indiana	26	Michigan State -17	Michigan State	59.0	Over
2014	10/18	Indiana	17	Michigan State	56	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	0
2013	10/12	Michigan State	42	Indiana	28	Michigan State -7.5	Michigan State	0
2012	10/06	Indiana	27	Michigan State	31
2011	11/19	Michigan State	55	Indiana	3
2008	09/27	Indiana	29	Michigan State	42
2007	10/13	Michigan State	52	Indiana	27
2006	10/28	Indiana	46	Michigan State	21
2005	10/29	Michigan State	46	Indiana	15
2004	09/25	Indiana	20	Michigan State	30
2003	10/04	Michigan State	31	Indiana	3
2002	11/09	Indiana	21	Michigan State	56
2001	11/10	Michigan State	28	Indiana	37

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Indiana	7	5	6 Overs
Michigan State	16	8	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	4 - 9	3 - 4	1 - 5
Road Teams	12 - 11	9 - 4	5 - 1	4 - 3

(#) MSU at (#) IND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	IND
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#101
Perf GradeGrade	#36	#110
OffenseOff	#26	#123
DefenseDef	#43	#80
Spec TeamsST	#126	#94
TalentTal	#36	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Indiana Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#80
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#72
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
Run GameRun	#51	#53
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#17

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	IND Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#88
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#22	#131
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Indiana on Offense


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#113	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Indiana Run Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#130	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Indiana Pass Game


CategoryCat	IND Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#124	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IND 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'21 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Michigan State 3.5 (48.5)
Michigan State won at Indiana this year (20-15)

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan State last year (38-13)
Indiana beat Michigan State in 2024 (47-10)
Michigan State beat Indiana in 2023 (24-21)

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IND's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Indiana's Full Roster

IND's DC Charlton Warren (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD