Rutgers at Michigan State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5 | 48.5
Rutgers 41 - Michigan State: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 24.1°
Wind: 15 MPH
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -6  (SP+ RUTG -11)

Projected Score: RUTG: 27 - MSU: 21 (49)
MSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 539 miles
Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24ON
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38ON
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)28.944% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)25.448% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)19.345% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)26.139% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#84 (.16)43% (67)44% (69)2.92 (88)16442% (63)1894.19 (44)#106 (.23)43% (85)48% (113)40% (59)4.03 (92)33.80.60.9
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1328.92542.9%4.190.6213531641894.553%47%44%42%14%.16
MSU Defense1226.124.741.7%4.060.9 - - - - - 50%50%39%45%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1325.42243.3%4.030.9 - - - - - 46%54%48%40%15%.23
MSU Offense1219.320.441.6%3.341.6193371182183.750%50%45%38%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1329:302143%48%3.933.80.60.93.71.5129.4
Michigan State1230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.6126.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1353% (51)44% (69)36.8163.84.524 (45).1 (87)2.92 (88)76% (52)7% (11)0.91 (97)
MSU Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1346% (18)48% (113) - - - - .26 (126)3.2 (99)82% (123)8% (115)1.07 (104)
MSU Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1347% (88)42% (63)15.327.9189.26.812.417 (79)6 (10).25 (75)1.6 (63)30% (42)34% (37).42 (32)7% (108)2 (69)
MSU Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1354% (117)40% (59) - - - - - - 7 (104).23 (69)1.6 (82)33% (50)31% (75).32 (76)7% (49)2.2 (101)
MSU Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77  #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78  #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63  #70
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4  #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8  #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77   Michigan State: -0.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4   Michigan State: -4.6




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -0.955  #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47  #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30  #75
2024 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 15  #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0  #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Rutgers 27
Michigan State 21


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Rutgers 29
Michigan State 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Rutgers 26
Michigan State 22

Total Points: 48
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Michigan State14Rutgers41Michigan State -1.5Rutgers46.5Over
202310/14Rutgers27Michigan State24Rutgers -4Michigan State38.5Over
202211/12Michigan State27Rutgers21Michigan State -10.0Rutgers41.0Over
202110/09Rutgers13Michigan State31Michigan State -4.5Michigan State50.0Under
202010/24Michigan State27Rutgers38Michigan State -9.5Rutgers45.0Over
201911/23Rutgers0Michigan State27Michigan State -22.5Michigan State43.5Under
201811/24Michigan State14Rutgers10Michigan State -24.5Rutgers37.0Under
201711/25Rutgers7Michigan State40Michigan State -14Michigan State42.5Over
201611/12Michigan State49Rutgers0Michigan State -15.5Michigan State53.5Under
201510/10Rutgers24Michigan State31Michigan State -17Rutgers56.0Under
201411/22Michigan State45Rutgers3Michigan State -22Michigan State0
200409/04Rutgers19Michigan State14
200309/06Michigan State44Rutgers28
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State965 Overs
Rutgers455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 63 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams6 - 78 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#47) RUTG at (#70) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatRUTGMSU
Power RatePwr #47 #70
SP+SP+ #42 #90
Perf GradeGrade #39 #107
OffenseOff #21 #105
DefenseDef #57 #104
Spec TeamsST #127 #122
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #82 #31
Rutgers Notes
(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report
Michigan State Notes
(11/24) Nearly gagged to Pur, Chiles bad, Rgame meh
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
(7/30) Smith and OC from Oreg St, DC from Minn
Michigan State Injury Report
Rutgers on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffMSU Def
Perf GradePerf #21 #104
SuccessSuc #67 #69
ExplosiveExp #103 #110
PPAPPA #84 #85
PowerPwr #57 #75
SP+SP+ #58 #49
Pts POPPO #44 #98
HavocHav #38 #93
Rutgers Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffMSU Def
Run GameRun #59 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #69 #25
Run ExplRExp #97 #80
PPAExp #87 #36
Run BlockR Blk #8 -
OL YdsOLY #88 #37
Stuff RateStuff #70 #33
TackleTak -  #31
Rutgers Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
RUTG OffMSU Def
Pass GamePass #39 #126
Pass SuccessPSuc #63 #111
Pass ExplPExl #63 #101
PPAExp #75 #111
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #82 #127
F7 HavocF7 #11 #64
DB HavocDB #108 #121
Michigan State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMSU OffRUTG Def
Perf GradePerf #105 #57
SuccessSuc #86 #85
ExplosiveExp #118 #105
PPAPPA #105 #106
PowerPwr #101 #70
SP+SP+ #119 #38
Pts POPPO #116 #92
HavocHav #98 #85
Michigan State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat
MSU OffRUTG Def
Run GameRun #31 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #50 #113
Run ExplRExp #126 #104
PPAExp #116 #126
Run BlockR Blk #112 -
OL YdsOLY #109 #99
Stuff RateStuff #113 #78
TackleTak -  #57
Michigan State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCatMSU OffRUTG Def
Pass GamePass #107 #72
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #59
Pass ExplPExl #57 #82
PPAExp #79 #69
Pass Block/RushP Blk #126 #27
F7 HavocF7 #112 #115
DB HavocDB #63 #49
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 24° - Wind: 15 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5)
Rutgers won at Michigan State this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Michigan State last year (41-14)
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-24)
Michigan State beat Rutgers in 2022 (27-21)

  
RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kyle Monangai2561279135.062
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004
Tyreem Powell564032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Kyonte Hamilton325431
Dariel Djabome1008441
Aaron Lewis274362
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Robert Longerbeam4220011
Shaquan Loyal755105
Michael Dixon600004

MSU's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles (Tr)19232459%241513127.5
Tommy Schuster (Tr)202969%202007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Nathan Carter11649954.360
Aidan Chiles (Tr)9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Montorie Foster46588312.840
Jack Velling (Tr)36411111.434
Aziah Johnson16276217.352

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Turner (Tr)6611341
Cal Haladay585101
Nikai Martinez (Tr)513012
Angelo Grose504102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Khris Bogle378460
Jordan Turner (Tr)6611341
Anthony Jones (Tr)254250
Ken Talley62220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Brantley272007
Edward Woods494123
Jordan Hall241012