Rutgers at Michigan State - 2024 Matchup Preview

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5) (-125) Open: -1.5 | 48.5
Rutgers 41 - Michigan State: 14 (Big Ten)

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 32 (19 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 2nd straight Home Game
RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -6 (SP+ RUTG -11)
Projected Score: RUTG: 28 - MSU: 22 (51)
MSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 539 miles

Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'24 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
RUTG Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/29	Rutgers vs Howard	-38.5	51.5	W 44 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Rutgers vs Akron	-24.5	41.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21	Rutgers at Virginia Tech	+3.0	45.0	W 26 - 23	O	Y
Fri 9/27	Rutgers vs Washington	-1.5	44.5	W 21 - 18	U	Y
Sat 10/5	Rutgers at Nebraska	+7.0	39.5	L 7 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/12	Rutgers vs Wisconsin	-1.0	43.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/19	Rutgers vs UCLA	-4.0	42.5	L 32 - 35	O	N
Fri 10/25	Rutgers at USC	+14.0	57.0	L 20 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Rutgers vs Minnesota	+6.5	44.5	W 26 - 19	O	Y
Sat 11/16	Rutgers at Maryland	+4.5	54.5	W 31 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/23	Rutgers vs Illinois	-2.0	48.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/30	Rutgers at Michigan State	+1.5	46.5	W 41 - 14	O	Y
Thu 12/26	Rutgers vs Kansas State	+7.5	51.5	L 41 - 44	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule

Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic	-12.0	45.0	W 16 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan State at Maryland	+7.5	44.5	W 27 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M	-42.5	53.5	W 40 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan State at Boston College	+4.5	45.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+23.5	48.5	L 7 - 38	U	N
Fri 10/4	Michigan State at Oregon	+22.5	53.0	L 10 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Michigan State vs Iowa	+7.0	39.5	W 32 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Michigan State at Michigan	+3.5	39.0	L 17 - 24	O	N
Sat 11/2	Michigan State vs Indiana	+7.5	53.5	L 10 - 47	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Michigan State at Illinois	+2.0	47.5	L 16 - 38	O	N
Fri 11/22	Michigan State vs Purdue	-14.0	49.0	W 24 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/30	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-1.5	46.5	L 14 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG	#107 (.12)	40% (91)	28.7	43% (65)	3.03 (84)	169	35% (118)	138	3.95 (62)	#43 (.14)	45% (104)	31.8	48% (123)	42% (69)	3.48 (44)	45.2	1	1.4
MSU	#131 (.03)	38% (115)	24.6	38% (122)	2.84 (114)	89	38% (99)	197	2.97 (125)	#75 (.19)	44% (95)	29.9	45% (85)	44% (105)	3.89 (76)	59	1.8	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Offense	13	28.7	19.2	40.1%	3.95	1	17	306	169	138	4.2	62%	38%	43%	35%	12%	.12
MSU Defense	12	29.9	27.8	43.9%	3.89	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	45%	44%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
RUTG Defense	13	31.8	34	44.6%	3.48	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	42%	15%	.14
MSU Offense	12	24.6	24.8	37.6%	2.97	1.8	17	286	89	197	2.9	45%	54%	38%	38%	19%	.03

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Rutgers	13	31:48	17.5	37%	64%	5.1	45.2	1	1.4	3.8	1.5	1	30
Michigan State	12	28:05	16.5	30%	50%	6.8	59	1.8	1.3	5.6	2.5	0	27.6

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense	13	62% (7)	43% (65)	39.8	168.8	4.2	24 (41)	.16 (64)	3.03 (84)	77% (38)	7% (11)	0.95 (94)
MSU Defense	12	48% (48)	45% (85)	-	-	-	-	.16 (83)	3.28 (106)	87% (128)	10% (72)	0.93 (35)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense	13	52% (99)	48% (123)	-	-	-	-	.12 (54)	3.2 (91)	71% (53)	8% (122)	0.77 (4)
MSU Offense	12	45% (104)	38% (122)	30.9	88.7	2.9	7 (131)	-.03 (131)	2.84 (114)	76% (50)	12% (119)	0.85 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense	13	38% (126)	35% (118)	10.9	22.6	137.5	6.1	12.6	10 (120)	8 (30)	.07 (126)	1.7 (46)	30% (42)	33% (52)	.34 (64)	5% (19)	1.8 (127)
MSU Defense	12	51% (85)	44% (105)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.28 (78)	1.5 (26)	29% (116)	32% (92)	.36 (92)	6% (66)	2 (58)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense	13	47% (33)	42% (69)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.22 (40)	1.4 (5)	30% (111)	30% (65)	.17 (8)	6% (55)	1.7 (5)
MSU Offense	12	54% (33)	38% (99)	18.5	31.8	197.2	6.2	10.7	14 (106)	13 (97)	.17 (101)	1.4 (121)	35% (113)	26% (107)	.16 (115)	7% (105)	2 (97)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 373.00 #48
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77 Michigan State: -0.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4 Michigan State: -4.6

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -0.955 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 407.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 444.83
Average Power Five Talent: 432.03
Average FBS Talent: 332.4

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.2
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 28
Michigan State 22

Projected Total Points: 51

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	41	Michigan State -1.5	Rutgers	46.5	Over
2023	10/14	Rutgers	27	Michigan State	24	Rutgers -4	Michigan State	38.5	Over
2022	11/12	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	21	Michigan State -10.0	Rutgers	41.0	Over
2021	10/09	Rutgers	13	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -4.5	Michigan State	50.0	Under
2020	10/24	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	38	Michigan State -9.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2019	11/23	Rutgers	0	Michigan State	27	Michigan State -22.5	Michigan State	43.5	Under
2018	11/24	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	10	Michigan State -24.5	Rutgers	37.0	Under
2017	11/25	Rutgers	7	Michigan State	40	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	42.5	Over
2016	11/12	Michigan State	49	Rutgers	0	Michigan State -15.5	Michigan State	53.5	Under
2015	10/10	Rutgers	24	Michigan State	31	Michigan State -17	Rutgers	56.0	Under
2014	11/22	Michigan State	45	Rutgers	3	Michigan State -22	Michigan State	0
2004	09/04	Rutgers	19	Michigan State	14
2003	09/06	Michigan State	44	Rutgers	28

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	9	6	5 Overs
Rutgers	4	5	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#47) RUTG at (#70) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	RUTG	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#47	#70
SP+SP+	#42	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#39	#107
OffenseOff	#21	#105
DefenseDef	#57	#104
Spec TeamsST	#127	#122
TalentTal	#48	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	#82	#31

Rutgers Notes(11/24) Hard L vs Ill, Off 30 1st downs, Def bad though
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
(8/20) Star LB/captain Toure out for season (ACL)
Rutgers Injury Report

Michigan State Notes(11/24) Nearly gagged to Pur, Chiles bad, Rgame meh
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
(7/30) Smith and OC from Oreg St, DC from Minn
Michigan State Injury Report

Rutgers on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#21	#104
SuccessSuc	#91	#95
ExplosiveExp	#116	#24
PPAPPA	#107	#75
PowerPwr	#57	#75
SP+SP+	#58	#49
Pts POPPO	#62	#76
HavocHav	#10	#68

Rutgers Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#59	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	#65	#85
Run ExplRExp	#94	#35
PPAExp	#64	#83
Run BlockR Blk	#8	-
OL YdsOLY	#84	#106
Stuff RateStuff	#66	#111
TackleTak	-	#31

Rutgers Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat	RUTG Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#39	#126
Pass SuccessPSuc	#118	#105
Pass ExplPExl	#46	#26
PPAExp	#126	#78
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#82	#127
F7 HavocF7	#11	#72
DB HavocDB	#19	#66

Michigan State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#105	#57
SuccessSuc	#115	#104
ExplosiveExp	#119	#1
PPAPPA	#131	#43
PowerPwr	#101	#70
SP+SP+	#119	#38
Pts POPPO	#125	#44
HavocHav	#115	#107

Michigan State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
Run GameRun	#31	#88
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#123
Run ExplRExp	#124	#4
PPAExp	#131	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	#114	#91
Stuff RateStuff	#103	#120
TackleTak	-	#57

Michigan State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	RUTG Def
Pass GamePass	#107	#72
Pass SuccessPSuc	#99	#69
Pass ExplPExl	#121	#5
PPAExp	#101	#40
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#126	#27
F7 HavocF7	#119	#122
DB HavocDB	#105	#55

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'24 Profile: Down to Average G5

RUTG 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'24 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5)
Rutgers won at Michigan State this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2024 (41-14)
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-24)

RUTG's OC Kirk Ciarrocca (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	213	395	54%	2696	18	7	6.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Antwan Raymond	100	457	8	4.6	65
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)	92	251	3	2.7	20
Samuel Brown V	40	201	3	5.0	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)	59	757	4	12.8	45
Ian Strong	42	668	5	15.9	65
KJ Duff	28	433	1	15.5	59
Chris Long	11	163	1	14.8	58

View Rutgers's Full Roster

RUTG's DC Joe Harasymiak (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Walker	19	7	4	4	0
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Dariel Djabome	100	8	4	4	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon	60	0	0	4

MSU's OC Brian Lindgren (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Chiles (Tr)	192	324	59%	2415	13	12	7.5
Tommy Schuster (Tr)	20	29	69%	202	0	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kay'Ron Adams	133	649	2	4.9	63
Nathan Carter	116	499	5	4.3	60
Aidan Chiles (Tr)	96	234	3	2.4	26
Nick Marsh	4	23	0	5.8	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nick Marsh	41	649	3	15.8	77
Montorie Foster	46	588	3	12.8	40
Jack Velling (Tr)	36	411	1	11.4	34
Aziah Johnson	16	276	2	17.3	52

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Joe Rossi (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Turner (Tr)	66	11	3	4	1
Cal Haladay	58	5	1	0	1
Nikai Martinez (Tr)	51	3	0	1	2
Angelo Grose	50	4	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Khris Bogle	37	8	4	6	0
Jordan Turner (Tr)	66	11	3	4	1
Anthony Jones (Tr)	25	4	2	5	0
Ken Talley	6	2	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Charles Brantley	27	2	0	0	7
Edward Woods	49	4	1	2	3
Jordan Hall	24	1	0	1	2