Rutgers at Michigan State - 2024 Matchup Preview
Rutgers logo Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, November 30th 2024 (3:30 PM EST)
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5 | 48.5
Rutgers 41 - Michigan State: 14  (Big Ten)

 
Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Greg Schiano (19 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (25 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 6 (#59)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Temp: 24.1°
Wind: 15 MPH
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
RUTG is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -6   (SP+ RUTG -11)

Projected Score: RUTG: 27 - MSU: 21 (50)
MSU Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
RUTG Travel: 539 miles
Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Rutgers's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/29 Rutgers vs Howard-38.551.5W 44 - 7UN
Sat 9/7 Rutgers vs Akron-24.541.5W 49 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/21 Rutgers at Virginia Tech+3.045.0W 26 - 23OY
Fri 9/27 Rutgers vs Washington-1.544.5W 21 - 18UY
Sat 10/5 Rutgers at Nebraska+7.039.5L 7 - 14UY
Sat 10/12 Rutgers vs Wisconsin-1.043.5L 7 - 42ON
Sat 10/19 Rutgers vs UCLA-4.042.5L 32 - 35ON
Fri 10/25 Rutgers at USC+14.057.0L 20 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9 Rutgers vs Minnesota+6.544.5W 26 - 19OY
Sat 11/16 Rutgers at Maryland+4.554.5W 31 - 17UY
Sat 11/23 Rutgers vs Illinois-2.048.0L 31 - 38ON
Sat 11/30 Rutgers at Michigan State+1.546.5W 41 - 14OY
Thu 12/26 Rutgers vs Kansas State+7.551.5L 41 - 44OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 4, Bad 2, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Rutgers's Schedule
Michigan State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/30 Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic-12.045.0W 16 - 10UN
Sat 9/7 Michigan State at Maryland+7.544.5W 27 - 24OY
Sat 9/14 Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M-42.553.5W 40 - 0UN
Sat 9/21 Michigan State at Boston College+4.545.5L 19 - 23UY
Sat 9/28 Michigan State vs Ohio State+23.548.5L 7 - 38UN
Fri 10/4 Michigan State at Oregon+22.553.0L 10 - 31UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19 Michigan State vs Iowa+7.039.5W 32 - 20OY
Sat 10/26 Michigan State at Michigan+3.539.0L 17 - 24ON
Sat 11/2 Michigan State vs Indiana+7.553.5L 10 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16 Michigan State at Illinois+2.047.5L 16 - 38ON
Fri 11/22 Michigan State vs Purdue-14.049.0W 24 - 17UN
Sat 11/30 Michigan State vs Rutgers-1.546.5L 14 - 41ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG#107 (.12)40% (91)28.943% (65)3.03 (84)16935% (118)1383.95 (62)#43 (.14)45% (104)25.448% (123)42% (69)3.48 (44)45.211.4
MSU#131 (.03)38% (115)19.338% (122)2.84 (114)8938% (99)1972.97 (125)#75 (.19)44% (95)26.145% (85)44% (105)3.89 (76)591.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
RUTG0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Offense1328.92540.1%3.951173061691384.262%38%43%35%12%.12
MSU Defense1226.124.743.9%3.891.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%44%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
RUTG Defense1325.42244.6%3.481.4 - - - - - 52%47%48%42%15%.14
MSU Offense1219.320.437.6%2.971.817286891972.945%54%38%38%19%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Rutgers1331:4817.537%64%5.145.211.43.81.5130
Michigan State1228:0516.530%50%6.8591.81.35.62.5027.6
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Offense1362% (7)43% (65)39.8168.84.224 (41).16 (64)3.03 (84)77% (38)7% (11)0.95 (94)
MSU Defense1248% (48)45% (85) - - - - .16 (83)3.28 (106)87% (128)10% (72)0.93 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
RUTG Defense1352% (99)48% (123) - - - - .12 (54)3.2 (91)71% (53)8% (122)0.77 (4)
MSU Offense1245% (104)38% (122)30.988.72.97 (131)-.03 (131)2.84 (114)76% (50)12% (119)0.85 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Offense1338% (126)35% (118)10.922.6137.56.112.610 (120)8 (30).07 (126)1.7 (46)30% (42)33% (52).34 (64)5% (19)1.8 (127)
MSU Defense1251% (85)44% (105) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (78)1.5 (26)29% (116)32% (92).36 (92)6% (66)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
RUTG Defense1347% (33)42% (69) - - - - - - 9 (87).22 (40)1.4 (5)30% (111)30% (65).17 (8)6% (55)1.7 (5)
MSU Offense1254% (33)38% (99)18.531.8197.26.210.714 (106)13 (97).17 (101)1.4 (121)35% (113)26% (107).16 (115)7% (105)2 (97)

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
2024 Talent Rating: 742.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Rutgers's 2024 Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0
Rutgers's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 3.77   Michigan State: -0.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Rutgers: 6.4   Michigan State: -4.6




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -0.955 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 25
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Rutgers's 2024 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Rutgers 27
Michigan State 21


Projected Total Points: 50
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/30Michigan State14Rutgers41RutgersMichigan State -1.5Rutgers46.5Over
202310/14Rutgers27Michigan State24RutgersRutgers -4Michigan State38.5Over
202211/12Michigan State27Rutgers21Michigan StateMichigan State -10.0Rutgers41.0Over
202110/09Rutgers13Michigan State31Michigan StateMichigan State -4.5Michigan State50.0Under
202010/24Michigan State27Rutgers38RutgersMichigan State -9.5Rutgers45.0Over
201911/23Rutgers0Michigan State27Michigan StateMichigan State -22.5Michigan State43.5Under
201811/24Michigan State14Rutgers10Michigan StateMichigan State -24.5Rutgers37.0Under
201711/25Rutgers7Michigan State40Michigan StateMichigan State -14Michigan State42.5Over
201611/12Michigan State49Rutgers0Michigan StateMichigan State -15.5Michigan State53.5Under
201510/10Rutgers24Michigan State31Michigan StateMichigan State -17Rutgers56.0Under
201411/22Michigan State45Rutgers3Michigan StateMichigan State -22Michigan State0
200409/04Rutgers19Michigan State14Rutgers
200309/06Michigan State44Rutgers28Michigan State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State965 Overs
Rutgers455 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 63 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams6 - 78 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#47) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.77 #47
Offense Rating: 20.78 #57
Defense Rating: 9.63 #70
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #42
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #58
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.8 #38
Talent Rating: 742.00 #44
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #82
Expected Record: 7.0 - 6.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.19 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Avg Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.03 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Avg Pass Def Success 40%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Rutgers Notes
(11/18) 2 str W's after bye, outplayed by MD but W
(11/13) Great W (Minn), Def great, QB 240/3 TD's
(11/13) Great W over Minn after bye, had 4 cons L's
(10/19) Def awful, esp vs pass. UCLA 225 yds 1st half
(10/19) Torched by UCLA QB, Off got in gear later
(10/12) Torched by Wisc, Def all 300+ rush yds, QB awful
(10/4) Run Def bottom 20 success rate. Off 60% Runs
(9/27) Beat UW but OG'd by 200+ yds, Rush/3rd Def +
(9/21) Huge W @ VT. Rgame shut down but great Pass D
(9/20) Off is solid, has identity, good QB play, tough
Rutgers     Ratings Matchup     Michigan State
Power #47
#70
Off #57
#101
Def #70
#75
Talent #44
#34
SP+ #42
#90
SP+ Off #58
#119
SP+ Def #38
#49

Rematch from Week 14
Michigan State -1.5 (46.5)
Rutgers won at Michigan State this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Michigan State last year (41-14)
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-24)
Michigan State beat Rutgers in 2022 (27-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 24° - Wind: 15 mph


Team Information
Injuries: RUTG | MSU
Depth Chart: RUTG | MSU
Rosters: RUTG | MSU
(#70) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -0.955 #70
Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15 #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Michigan State Notes
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)


  
Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)21339554%26961876.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Antwan Raymond10045784.665
Athan Kaliakmanis (Tr)9225132.720
Samuel Brown V4020135.037
Ja'shon Benjamin1910015.320
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dymere Miller (Tr)59757412.845
Ian Strong42668515.965
KJ Duff28433115.559
Chris Long11163114.858

View Rutgers's Full Roster
Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dariel Djabome1008441
Bo Mascoe491004
Kaj Sanders400014
Moses Walker321020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Walker197440
Dariel Djabome1008441
Jordan Thompson255271
Wesley Bailey111131
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kaj Sanders400014
Bo Mascoe491004
Al-Shadee Salaam160002

Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles (Tr)19232459%241513127.5
Tommy Schuster (Tr)202969%202007.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kay'Ron Adams13364924.963
Aidan Chiles (Tr)9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Makhi Frazier72103.08
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Jack Velling (Tr)36411111.434
Aziah Johnson16276217.352
Jaron Glover15192212.834

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Turner (Tr)6611341
Nikai Martinez (Tr)513012
Edward Woods494123
Malik Spencer441002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Turner (Tr)6611341
Anthony Jones (Tr)254250
Ken Talley62220
Alex VanSumeren163200
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Brantley272007
Edward Woods494123
Malik Spencer441002