Wisconsin at Michigan State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, October 15th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -7 (49.5)
Michigan State 34 - Wisconsin: 28 (Big Ten)

Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (65 - 23)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (9 - 26 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WIS 2nd straight Road Game
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
MSU is playing their 7th straight game
WIS is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -1 (SP+ WIS -7)
Projected Score: WIS: 20 - MSU: 24 (44)
WIS Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
WIS Travel: 251 miles, 1 hrs behind

Spartans (5 - 7) (3 - 6 - 3)
Coach Mel Tucker (13 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WIS Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wisconsin's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Wisconsin vs Illinois State	-36.5	42.5	W 38 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Wisconsin vs Washington State	-17.5	48.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/17	Wisconsin vs New Mexico State	-38.0	45.5	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Wisconsin at Ohio State	+19.0	56.5	L 21 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/1	Wisconsin vs Illinois	-6.5	43.0	L 10 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wisconsin at Northwestern	-10.0	44.5	W 42 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Wisconsin at Michigan State	-7.0	49.5	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/22	Wisconsin vs Purdue	-1.5	51.5	W 35 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Wisconsin vs Maryland	-5.0	47.5	W 23 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Wisconsin at Iowa	+1.0	35.5	L 10 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wisconsin at Nebraska	-10.0	40.5	W 15 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/26	Wisconsin vs Minnesota	-3.0	37.0	L 16 - 23	O	N
Tue 12/27	Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State	-5.0	45.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Michigan State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-22.0	54.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/10	Michigan State vs Akron	-34.5	56.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Michigan State at Washington	+3.5	56.5	L 28 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/24	Michigan State vs Minnesota	+3.0	50.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan State at Maryland	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+27.0	64.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan State vs Wisconsin	+7.0	49.5	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan State at Michigan	+22.0	55.0	L 7 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Michigan State at Illinois	+16.5	41.0	W 23 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-10.0	41.0	W 27 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/19	Michigan State vs Indiana	-12.0	47.0	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan State at Penn State	+19.0	54.5	L 16 - 35	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS	.14	45%	12.8	47%	3.15	211	42%	160	3.07	.02	33%	21.6	33%	33%	2.87	43.6	1.8	2.1
MSU	.27	43%	24.6	44%	2.94	176	43%	254	3.78	.19	44%	29.9	41%	46%	3.43	63.9	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WIS		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Offense	13	12.8	9	44.5%	3.07	1.8	20	371	211	160	4.8	62%	38%	47%	42%	13%	.14
MSU Defense	13	29.9	27.8	44%	3.43	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	38%	61%	41%	46%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WIS Defense	13	21.6	26.2	32.9%	2.87	2.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	33%	33%	21%	.02
MSU Offense	13	24.6	24.8	43.3%	3.78	1.4	21	429	176	254	4.8	52%	48%	44%	43%	18%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wisconsin	13	33:47	20.1	34%	55%	5.4	43.6	1.8	2.1	7	3	3	29.6
Michigan State	13	28:28	20.8	40%	70%	6.9	63.9	1.4	1.7	6.5	3.3	4	29.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Offense	13	62%	47%	43.6	210.9	4.8	26	.16	3.15	70%	8%	0.92
MSU Defense	13	38%	41%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	70%	10%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WIS Defense	13	49%	33%	-	-	-	-	-.04	2.11	73%	14%	0.93
MSU Offense	13	52%	44%	36.8	175.6	4.8	23	.18	2.94	67%	10%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Offense	13	38%	42%	13.6	23.1	160.2	6.9	11.8	11	13	.14	1.4	27%	32%	.16	5%	1.6
MSU Defense	13	61%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.4	33%	32%	.38	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WIS Defense	13	51%	33%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.08	1.6	38%	28%	.26	7%	1.9
MSU Offense	13	48%	43%	18.7	30.8	253.7	8.3	13.6	27	10	.38	1.8	32%	33%	.4	7%	2.1

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3 #42
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7 #68
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: Michigan State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 8.3 Michigan State: 1.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #67
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #48
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #82

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 24
Wisconsin 20

Projected Total Points: 44

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 3
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	10/15	Michigan State	34	Wisconsin	28	Wisconsin -7	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2019	10/12	Wisconsin	38	Michigan State	0	Wisconsin -8	Wisconsin	39.0	Under
2016	09/24	Michigan State	6	Wisconsin	30	Michigan State -6	Wisconsin	42.5	Under
2012	10/27	Wisconsin	13	Michigan State	16
2011	12/03	Michigan State	39	Wisconsin	42
2011	10/22	Michigan State	37	Wisconsin	31
2010	10/02	Michigan State	34	Wisconsin	24
2009	09/26	Wisconsin	38	Michigan State	30
2008	11/01	Michigan State	25	Wisconsin	24
2007	09/29	Wisconsin	37	Michigan State	34
2004	11/13	Michigan State	49	Wisconsin	14
2003	11/15	Wisconsin	56	Michigan State	21
2002	10/26	Michigan State	24	Wisconsin	42
2001	10/27	Wisconsin	28	Michigan State	42
2000	10/13	Michigan State	10	Wisconsin	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	7	1	1 Overs
Wisconsin	8	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 6	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 9	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#) WIS at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WIS	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#42	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#27	#75
OffenseOff	#47	#52
DefenseDef	#26	#96
Spec TeamsST	#34	#92
TalentTal	#25	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wisconsin Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Wisconsin on Offense


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#68	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wisconsin Run Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#74	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#64

Wisconsin Pass Game


CategoryCat	WIS Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#50	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#15	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#26
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#20
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#103	#47
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#75

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#23
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 7
Wisconsin 7.0 (49.5)
Michigan State won vs Wisconsin this year (34-28)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WIS's OC Bobby Engram (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD