Michigan State at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines(#25)Michigan logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -22 (55.0)
Michigan 29 - Michigan State: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (5 - 7) (3 - 6 - 3)
Coach Mel Tucker (13 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (17 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU coming off BYE
MICH coming off BYE
Our Line: -18  (SP+ MICH -31)
Projected Score: MSU: 17 - MICH: 34 (51)
MICH Win prob: 96% | Cover: 52%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 40 - 16 (40 - 11 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/2 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-22.054.5W 35 - 13UN
Sat 9/10 Michigan State vs Akron-34.556.0W 52 - 0UY
Sat 9/17 Michigan State at Washington+3.556.5L 28 - 39ON
Sat 9/24 Michigan State vs Minnesota+3.050.0L 7 - 34UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan State at Maryland+7.558.5L 13 - 27UN
Sat 10/8 Michigan State vs Ohio State+27.064.5L 20 - 49ON
Sat 10/15 Michigan State vs Wisconsin+7.049.5W 34 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Michigan State at Michigan+22.055.0L 7 - 29UY
Sat 11/5 Michigan State at Illinois+16.541.0W 23 - 15UY
Sat 11/12 Michigan State vs Rutgers-10.041.0W 27 - 21ON
Sat 11/19 Michigan State vs Indiana-12.047.0L 31 - 39ON
Sat 11/26 Michigan State at Penn State+19.054.5L 16 - 35UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Michigan's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Michigan vs Colorado State-31.060.5W 51 - 7UY
Sat 9/10 Michigan vs Hawai'i-52.566.5W 56 - 10UN
Sat 9/17 Michigan vs UConn-47.559.0W 59 - 0UY
Sat 9/24 Michigan vs Maryland-17.066.0W 34 - 27UN
Sat 10/1 Michigan at Iowa-10.542.0W 27 - 14UY
Sat 10/8 Michigan at Indiana-23.557.5W 31 - 10UN
Sat 10/15 Michigan vs Penn State-7.049.0W 41 - 17OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Michigan vs Michigan State-22.055.0W 29 - 7UN
Sat 11/5 Michigan at Rutgers-26.045.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/12 Michigan vs Nebraska-30.549.5W 34 - 3UY
Sat 11/19 Michigan vs Illinois-17.041.5W 19 - 17UN
Sat 11/26 Michigan at Ohio State+9.056.0W 45 - 23OY
Sat 12/3 Michigan vs Purdue-16.053.0W 43 - 22OY
Sat 12/31 Michigan vs TCU-8.056.0L 45 - 51ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.1440%24.439%2.711342%2403.77.2646%27.443%49%3.8154.51.31.3
MICH.2850%40.452%3.1523948%2204.55.0437%16.138%36%3.4320.71.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
MICH#113 (.1)40% (102)41% (101)3 (80)14940% (92)1234.18 (45)#40 (.13)38% (28)38% (18)39% (42)3.48 (36)36.81.51.2



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1224.417.439.9%3.771.3203531132403.844%55%39%42%16%.14
MICH Defense1416.11136.7%3.41.4 - - - - - 41%59%38%36%16%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1227.42945.8%3.811.3 - - - - - 54%46%43%49%15%.26
MICH Offense1440.440.450%4.550.7234592392205.659%41%52%48%12%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1226:1220.139%43%5.854.51.31.36.32.4128.1
Michigan1433:4723.345%86%4.1320.71.44.92.6232.7
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1244%39%30.11133.816.052.763%9%0.96
MICH Defense1441%38% - - - - .022.780%9%0.87
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1254%43% - - - - .113.0463%11%0.96
MICH Offense1459%52%42.9238.95.641.283.1576%8%1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1255%42%21.534.3240711.22312.241.532%31%.287%2
MICH Defense1459%36% - - - - - - 14.071.434%22%.147%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 2.451.629%35%.484%2.1
MICH Offense1441%48%1726.4219.98.312.9246.311.526%32%.314%1.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2  #67
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9  #48
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7  #82

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Michigan: 18.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2   Michigan: 32.0




Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 18.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0  #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0  #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6  #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.4
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Michigan State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 3
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 34
Michigan State 17

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Michigan 33
Michigan State 18

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Michigan 34
Michigan State 17

Total Points: 51
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 40.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 11

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Michigan State20Michigan31Michigan -13.5Michigan State47.5Over
202410/26Michigan24Michigan State17Michigan -3.5Michigan39.0Over
202310/21Michigan State0Michigan49Michigan -25.5Michigan47.0Over
202210/29Michigan29Michigan State7Michigan -22Push55.0Under
202110/30Michigan State37Michigan33Michigan -4Michigan State50.5Over
202010/31Michigan24Michigan State27Michigan -25.0Michigan State0
201911/16Michigan44Michigan State10Michigan -13.5Michigan43.5Over
201810/20Michigan State7Michigan21Michigan -7.5Michigan38.5Under
201710/07Michigan10Michigan State14Michigan -12.5Michigan State40.0Under
201610/29Michigan State23Michigan32Michigan -21Michigan State49.5Over
201510/17Michigan23Michigan State27Michigan -7Michigan State42.5Over
201410/25Michigan State35Michigan11Michigan State -15.5Michigan State0
201311/02Michigan State29Michigan6Michigan State -3.5Michigan State0
201210/20Michigan12Michigan State10
201110/15Michigan State28Michigan14
201010/09Michigan17Michigan State34
200910/03Michigan State26Michigan20
200810/25Michigan21Michigan State35
200711/03Michigan State24Michigan28
200610/07Michigan31Michigan State13
200510/01Michigan State31Michigan34
200410/30Michigan45Michigan State37
200311/01Michigan State20Michigan27
200211/02Michigan49Michigan State3
200111/03Michigan State26Michigan24
200010/20Michigan14Michigan State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan1547 Overs
Michigan State1183 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 127 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams12 - 145 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#) MSU at (#) MICH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUMICH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #67 #2
Perf GradeGrade #75 #2
OffenseOff #52 #10
DefenseDef #96 #2
Spec TeamsST #92 #27
TalentTal #34 #14
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #52 #2
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #48 #4
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Run GameRun #103 #2
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #2
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffMICH Def
Pass GamePass #58 #2
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #28 #17
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Michigan on Offense
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #10 #96
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #21 #82
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan Run Game
CategoryCat
MICH OffMSU Def
Run GameRun #1 #72
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #64
Michigan Pass Game
CategoryCatMICH OffMSU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #125
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #24 #88
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 45°
Rematch from Week 9
Michigan -22.0 (55.0)
Michigan won vs Michigan State this year (29-7)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2022 (29-7)

  
MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

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MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD