Michigan State at Miami - 2021 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Miami Hurricanes

Saturday, September 18th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Miami -7 (57.5)
Michigan State 38 - Miami: 17

Spartans (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mel Tucker (5 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MIAMI 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ MSU -0.5)
Projected Score: MSU: 18 - MIAMI: 32 (50)
MIAMI Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 1183 miles

Hurricanes (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (36 - 12 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
MIAMI Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Michigan State at Northwestern	+3.0	45.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Michigan State vs Youngstown State	-28.5	52.0	W 42 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Michigan State at Miami	+7.0	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Michigan State vs Nebraska	-3.5	55.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Michigan State vs Western Kentucky	-10.5	66.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Michigan State at Rutgers	-4.5	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Michigan State at Indiana	-3.5	48.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Michigan State vs Michigan	+4.0	50.5	W 37 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Michigan State at Purdue	-2.5	53.0	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/13	Michigan State vs Maryland	-11.5	60.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.5	70.5	L 7 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/27	Michigan State vs Penn State	+3.5	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Michigan State vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	55.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Miami's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Miami vs Alabama	+19.5	61.5	L 13 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/11	Miami vs App State	-7.5	55.0	W 25 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/18	Miami vs Michigan State	-7.0	57.5	L 17 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/25	Miami vs Central Connecticut	-46.0	55.5	W 69 - 0	O	Y
Thu 9/30	Miami vs Virginia	-3.5	63.5	L 28 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16	Miami at North Carolina	+7.5	63.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y
Sat 10/23	Miami vs NC State	+3.5	54.5	W 31 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Miami at Pittsburgh	+9.5	61.0	W 38 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Miami vs Georgia Tech	-10.0	63.0	W 33 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/13	Miami at Florida State	-2.5	61.5	L 28 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/20	Miami vs Virginia Tech	-7.0	55.5	W 38 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/27	Miami at Duke	-20.5	67.0	W 47 - 10	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	-.02	33%	24.6	28%	2.17	92	38%	239	2.49	.13	40%	29.9	38%	41%	3.71	65.1	2.9	1.4
MIAMI	.24	42%	30.9	41%	2.75	164	43%	277	4.27	.2	43%	14.8	46%	40%	3.79	72.2	1.1	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MIAMI		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	7	24.6	21.6	33.2%	2.49	2.9	16	331	92	239	2.7	48%	52%	28%	38%	21%	-.02
MIAMI Defense	11	14.8	11.8	42.9%	3.79	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	20%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	7	29.9	32.8	39.6%	3.71	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	41%	16%	.13
MIAMI Offense	11	30.9	36.1	42.2%	4.27	1.1	23	441	164	277	4.3	49%	51%	41%	43%	20%	.24

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	7	27:14	16.1	33%	42%	6.9	65.1	2.9	1.4	6.1	1.7	0	25.7
Miami	11	27:11	22.7	40%	68%	7.8	72.2	1.1	1.5	8.5	2.8	0	27.8

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	7	48%	28%	34	92.1	2.7	2	-.17	2.17	63%	13%	0.9
MIAMI Defense	11	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.18	2.72	76%	14%	1.04

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	7	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	2.42	64%	10%	1.06
MIAMI Offense	11	49%	41%	38.1	163.6	4.3	18	.14	2.75	77%	13%	1.06

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	7	52%	38%	18.9	34.7	238.9	6.9	12.7	11	12	.14	1.6	36%	23%		8%	1.8
MIAMI Defense	11	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.21	1.5	33%	29%	.25	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	7	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	36%	.46	6%	2
MIAMI Offense	11	51%	43%	21.7	34.6	277.3	8	12.8	26	6	.35	1.7	34%	34%	.44	8%	2.1

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #28
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Miami: 7.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 11.2 Miami: 10.8

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: 7.9 NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Miami's 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8 #32
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Miami 32
Michigan State 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.8

Miami's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	09/18	Miami	17	Michigan State	38	Miami -7	Michigan State	57.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Miami	0	0	0 Overs
Michigan State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) MSU at (#) MIAMI

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	MIAMI
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#28	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#36	#91
OffenseOff	#26	#65
DefenseDef	#43	#102
Spec TeamsST	#126	#120
TalentTal	#36	#13
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Miami Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MIAMI Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#102
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MIAMI Def
Run GameRun	#51	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#134

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MIAMI Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#84
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#22	#108
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Miami on Offense


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#65	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Miami Run Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#97	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#89	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Miami Pass Game


CategoryCat	MIAMI Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#36	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#7	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Hard Rock Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 3
Miami -7.0 (57.5)
Michigan State won at Miami this year (38-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MIAMI's OC Rhett Lashlee (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD