Maryland at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -7 (52.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Maryland 31 - Michigan State: 9 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (21 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 4th straight Home Game
MSU is playing their 4th straight game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -11.5 (SP+ MD -16)
Projected Score: MD: 32 - MSU: 20 (50)
MD Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 471 miles

Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Maryland vs Towson	-38.5	55.5	W 38 - 6	U	N
Sat 9/9	Maryland vs Charlotte	-24.5	50.0	W 38 - 20	O	N
Fri 9/15	Maryland vs Virginia	-16.5	48.5	W 42 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Maryland at Michigan State	-7.0	52.5	W 31 - 9	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-14.5	50.0	W 44 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Maryland at Ohio State	+17.0	56.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/14	Maryland vs Illinois	-13.5	52.0	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Maryland at Northwestern	-14.0	48.5	L 27 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Maryland vs Penn State	+8.5	50.5	L 15 - 51	O	N
Sat 11/11	Maryland at Nebraska	-1.5	41.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Maryland vs Michigan	+17.5	50.5	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Maryland at Rutgers	-2.0	45.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
Sat 12/30	Maryland vs Auburn	+4.0	47.5	W 31 - 13	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-14.0	45.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Richmond	-29.5	43.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Michigan State vs Washington	+14.5	57.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Maryland	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State at Iowa	+10.0	36.5	L 16 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Rutgers	+4.0	38.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Michigan	+25.5	47.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Minnesota	+6.5	41.5	L 12 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+3.0	34.5	W 20 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+30.5	48.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+3.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Michigan State vs Penn State	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	.19	41%	23.7	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	30.4	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6
MSU	.14	40%	19.3	39%	2.7	113	42%	240	3.77	.26	46%	26.1	43%	49%	3.81	54.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	13	23.7	20.6	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19
MSU Defense	12	26.1	24.7	45.8%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	49%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	13	30.4	37.2	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1
MSU Offense	12	19.3	20.4	39.9%	3.77	1.3	20	353	113	240	3.8	44%	55%	39%	42%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7
Michigan State	12	26:12	20.1	39%	43%	5.8	54.5	1.3	1.3	6.3	2.4	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02
MSU Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	63%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94
MSU Offense	12	44%	39%	30.1	113	3.8	16	.05	2.7	63%	9%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2
MSU Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.45	1.6	29%	35%	.48	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9
MSU Offense	12	55%	42%	21.5	34.3	240	7	11.2	23	12	.24	1.5	32%	31%	.28	7%	2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66 Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2 Michigan State: -6.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.6
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 37.2

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 32
Michigan State 20

Projected Total Points: 50

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/07	Maryland	24	Michigan State	27	Michigan State	Maryland -7.5	Michigan State	44.5	Over
2023	09/23	Michigan State	9	Maryland	31	Maryland	Maryland -7	Maryland	52.5	Under
2022	10/01	Maryland	27	Michigan State	13	Maryland	Maryland -7.5	Maryland	58.5	Under
2021	11/13	Michigan State	40	Maryland	21	Michigan State	Michigan State -11.5	Michigan State	60.0	Over
2019	11/30	Michigan State	19	Maryland	16	Michigan State	Michigan State -21.5	Maryland	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Maryland	3	Michigan State	24	Michigan State	Michigan State -3	Michigan State	43.0	Under
2017	11/18	Michigan State	17	Maryland	7	Michigan State	Michigan State -14	Maryland	44.5	Under
2016	10/22	Maryland	28	Michigan State	17	Maryland	Michigan State -2.5	Maryland	49.0	Under
2015	11/14	Michigan State	24	Maryland	7	Michigan State	Michigan State -16	Michigan State	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Maryland	15	Michigan State	37	Michigan State	Michigan State -10.5	Michigan State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	7	5	2 Overs
Maryland	3	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 4	4 - 6	3 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	4 - 6	6 - 4	3 - 1	3 - 3

(#31) Maryland Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 860.00 #18
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

,
,

Maryland Ratings Matchup Michigan State

Power #31

#92

Off #48

#127

Def #40

#82

Talent #18

#36

SP+ #33

#86

SP+ Off #50

#122

SP+ Def #20

#47

Rematch from Week 4
Maryland 7.0 (52.5)
Maryland won at Michigan State this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Maryland last year (27-24)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2023 (31-9)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2022 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 71° - Wind: 10 mph

Team Information
Injuries: MD | MSU
Depth Chart: MD | MSU
Rosters: MD | MSU

(#92) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

,
,

Maryland's OC Josh Gattis

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Antwain Littleton II	93	305	1	3.3	37
Colby McDonald	29	150	0	5.2	22
Tai Felton	2	23	0	11.5	19
Kaden Prather (Tr)	1	-1	0	-1.0	0

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tai Felton	96	1124	9	11.7	75
Kaden Prather (Tr)	56	624	4	11.1	33
Corey Dyches	17	181	1	10.6	28
Antwain Littleton II	16	134	1	8.4	20

View Maryland's Full Roster

Maryland's DC Brian Williams

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ruben Hyppolite II	66	7	0	1	2
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quashon Fuller	28	4	2	0	1
Taizse Johnson	12	3	2	0	0
Jaishawn Barham	66	4	1	5	2
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamarcus Cooley	39	3	1	2	6
Dante Trader Jr.	59	0	0	0	4
Gavin Gibson	52	7	0	1	3

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Nathan Carter (Tr)	116	499	5	4.3	60
Sam Leavitt	110	443	5	4.0	40
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montorie Foster	46	588	3	12.8	40
Christian Fitzpatrick	34	576	6	16.9	69
Maliq Carr	19	186	1	9.8	23
Jordan Simmons	21	183	0	8.7	52

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cal Haladay	58	5	1	0	1
Angelo Grose	50	4	1	0	2
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Simeon Barrow Jr.	30	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Khris Bogle	37	8	4	6	0
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Pleasant III	11	0	0	0	5
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2