Maryland at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, September 23rd 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -7 (52.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Maryland 31 - Michigan State: 9  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (24 - 28)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (26 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.9 - 5.1 (#46)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 4th straight Home Game
MSU is playing their 4th straight game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -11.5   (SP+ MD -16)

Projected Score: MD: 31 - MSU: 19 (50)
MD Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
MD Travel: 471 miles
Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Maryland vs Towson-38.555.5W 38 - 6UN
Sat 9/9 Maryland vs Charlotte-24.550.0W 38 - 20ON
Fri 9/15 Maryland vs Virginia-16.548.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/23 Maryland at Michigan State-7.052.5W 31 - 9UY
Sat 9/30 Maryland vs Indiana-14.550.0W 44 - 17OY
Sat 10/7 Maryland at Ohio State+17.056.5L 17 - 37UN
Sat 10/14 Maryland vs Illinois-13.552.0L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Maryland at Northwestern-14.048.5L 27 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Maryland vs Penn State+8.550.5L 15 - 51ON
Sat 11/11 Maryland at Nebraska-1.541.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/18 Maryland vs Michigan+17.550.5L 24 - 31OY
Sat 11/25 Maryland at Rutgers-2.045.5W 42 - 24OY
Sat 12/30 Maryland vs Auburn+4.047.5W 31 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-14.045.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Michigan State vs Richmond-29.543.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 9/16 Michigan State vs Washington+14.557.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan State vs Maryland+7.052.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan State at Iowa+10.036.5L 16 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Michigan State at Rutgers+4.038.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan State vs Michigan+25.547.0L 0 - 49ON
Sat 10/28 Michigan State at Minnesota+6.541.5L 12 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Michigan State vs Nebraska+3.034.5W 20 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan State at Ohio State+30.548.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Michigan State at Indiana+3.547.5W 24 - 21UY
Fri 11/24 Michigan State vs Penn State+20.042.0L 0 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#43 (.24)44% (45)29.742% (76)3.07 (79)10845% (30)2794.15 (43)#24 (.11)41% (53)22.544% (81)39% (32)3.62 (53)56.51.61.8
MSU#131 (.03)38% (115)15.938% (122)2.84 (114)8938% (99)1972.97 (125)#75 (.19)44% (95)28.345% (85)44% (105)3.89 (76)591.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense1329.72644%4.151.6213871082793.741%58%42%45%17%.24
MSU Defense1228.326.543.9%3.891.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%44%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense1322.522.640.7%3.621.8 - - - - - 50%49%44%39%14%.11
MSU Offense1215.918.737.6%2.971.817286891972.945%54%38%38%19%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland1327:5620.842%68%5.556.51.61.84.72.4230.9
Michigan State1228:0516.530%50%6.8591.81.35.62.5027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense1341% (121)42% (76)29.4108.43.720 (61).17 (54)3.07 (79)69% (101)10% (77)1.07 (32)
MSU Defense1248% (48)45% (85) - - - - .16 (83)3.28 (106)87% (128)10% (72)0.93 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense1350% (60)44% (81) - - - - .12 (57)3.17 (87)73% (72)8% (116)0.84 (8)
MSU Offense1245% (104)38% (122)30.988.72.97 (131)-.03 (131)2.84 (114)76% (50)12% (119)0.85 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense1358% (11)45% (30)23.636.7278.97.611.827 (25)13 (97).31 (56)1.5 (98)32% (65)35% (28).32 (73)6% (75)2 (94)
MSU Defense1251% (85)44% (105) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (78)1.5 (26)29% (116)32% (92).36 (92)6% (66)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense1349% (57)39% (32) - - - - - - 17 (3).19 (22)1.5 (31)29% (118)30% (58).27 (45)6% (65)1.8 (12)
MSU Offense1254% (33)38% (99)18.531.8197.26.210.714 (106)13 (97).17 (101)1.4 (121)35% (113)26% (107).16 (115)7% (105)2 (97)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Maryland's Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Maryland's Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Maryland's 2023 Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10
Maryland's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.66   Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 9.2   Michigan State: -6.9




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 29.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 22.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.6

Maryland's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 31
Michigan State 19


Total Points: 50

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 15.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/07Maryland24Michigan State27Michigan StateMaryland -7.5Michigan State44.5Over
202309/23Michigan State9Maryland31MarylandMaryland -7Maryland52.5Under
202210/01Maryland27Michigan State13MarylandMaryland -7.5Maryland58.5Under
202111/13Michigan State40Maryland21Michigan StateMichigan State -11.5Michigan State60.0Over
201911/30Michigan State19Maryland16Michigan StateMichigan State -21.5Maryland47.5Under
201811/03Maryland3Michigan State24Michigan StateMichigan State -3Michigan State43.0Under
201711/18Michigan State17Maryland7Michigan StateMichigan State -14Maryland44.5Under
201610/22Maryland28Michigan State17MarylandMichigan State -2.5Maryland49.0Under
201511/14Michigan State24Maryland7Michigan StateMichigan State -16Michigan State54.0Under
201411/15Maryland15Michigan State37Michigan StateMichigan State -10.5Michigan State0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State752 Overs
Maryland357 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 44 - 63 - 31 - 3
Road Teams4 - 66 - 43 - 13 - 3

(#31) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 6.66 #31
Offense Rating: 18.55 #48
Defense Rating: 7.24 #40
Overall SP+ Rating: 9.2 #33
Offense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.7 #20
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 19% #33
Expected Record: 7.90 - 5.10


Maryland has won 3 straight
Record on Road: 3 - 2 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Maryland Highlights
Maryland defense does not give up big plays (#115)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Does Not Stuff Runs (#62)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMSUMD
OverallOver#103#53
OffenseOff#107#58
DefenseDef#88#49
Special TeamsST#54#52
PassingPass#110#35
RushingRush#88#49
Run BlockRBLK#58#58
Pass BlockPBLK#97#47
Route RunningWR Rt#75#47
TacklingTkl#64#30
Run DefenseR Def#50#82
Pass Rush DefPRush#54#60
Coverage DefCov#112#17

Rematch from Week 4
Maryland 7.0 (52.5)
Maryland won at Michigan State this year (31-9)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Maryland last year (27-24)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2023 (31-9)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2022 (27-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | MSU
Depth Chart: MD | MSU
Rosters: MD | MSU
(#92) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


Michigan State has lost 1 straight
Michigan State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State defense does not give up big plays (#31)

Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State has a really bad Offense
Michigan State has a really bad Offense at Home
Michigan State has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Michigan State Can Not Run the Ball (#59)
Michigan State offense is really bad (#93)
Michigan State offense is not Explosive (#95)
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Michigan State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#56)
Michigan State run game is really bad (#96)
Michigan State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Michigan State Does Not Stuff Runs (#10)
Michigan State has a bad defensive line (#5)


  
Maryland's OC Josh Gattis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Taulia Tagovailoa29043766%337725117.7
Billy Edwards103033%128114.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Roman Hemby14368044.840
Colby McDonald5330625.835
Antwain Littleton II6925523.732
Billy Edwards299173.117
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeshaun Jones56790414.164
Tai Felton48723615.157
Kaden Prather (Tr)42666515.957
Corey Dyches49491210.044

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Brian Williams
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Beau Brade754006
Ruben Hyppolite II663101
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Tarheeb Still452002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kellan Wyatt347531
Caleb Wheatland416421
Tre Colbert273300
Jaishawn Barham373331
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaquan Sheppard313108
Dante Trader Jr.531007
Beau Brade754006

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser11319359%1098655.7
Noah Kim9116057%1090666.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nathan Carter (Tr)18679244.344
Jalen Berger259313.712
Jaren Mangham (Tr)307102.48
Sam Leavitt136705.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Montorie Foster43575313.442
Maliq Carr32335310.536
Tre Mosley28288210.330
Jaron Glover14261018.633

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cal Haladay916110
Angelo Grose723105
Malik Spencer722016
Jordan Hall678501
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Brule649512
Jordan Hall678501
Simeon Barrow Jr.366470
Brandon Wright192251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Tatum453017
Malik Spencer722016
Angelo Grose723105