Youngstown State at Michigan State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Youngstown State logo   Youngstown State Penguins at Michigan State Spartans  Michigan State logo
Saturday, September 13th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Michigan State -23.5 (55.5) (-2100)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 41 - Youngstown State: 24

 
Penguins (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 24 - 41 (24 - 41 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Michigan State -6.5  (SP+ MSU -3)
MSU Win prob: 96% | Cover: 54%
Spartans (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Youngstown State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Youngstown State at Michigan State+23.555.5L 24 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Youngstown State's Schedule
Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-18.549.5W 23 - 6UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3.545.5W 42 - 40ON
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-23.555.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+18.555.5L 31 - 45OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+12.548.5L 27 - 38OY
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-7.051.5L 13 - 38UN
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+26.549.5L 13 - 38OY
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+13.547.5L 20 - 31OY
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+4.544.5L 20 - 23UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+7.048.5L 10 - 28UN
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+17.543.0L 17 - 20UY
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland-4.049.5W 38 - 28OY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
YSU0%240%000%000%410%0%0000
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)24.645% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)29.939% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
YSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
YSU Offense124240%00000000%0%0%0%0%
MSU Defense1229.927.841.7%4.060.9 - - - - - 50%50%39%45%14%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
YSU Defense141410%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
MSU Offense1224.624.841.6%3.341.6193371182183.750%50%45%38%18%.13

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Youngstown State10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Michigan State1230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.6126.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
YSU Offense10%0%000000%0%0
MSU Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
YSU Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
MSU Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
YSU Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
MSU Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
YSU Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
MSU Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)

Youngstown State's Power Ratings
Youngstown State's Power Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Offense Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Youngstown State's 2025 Expected Record: -
Youngstown State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Youngstown State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Youngstown State:    Michigan State: 6.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Youngstown State:    Michigan State: -3.4




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.53  #37
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 19.95  #28
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 8.49  #35
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00  #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14  #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4  #82
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6  #70
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7  #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Youngstown State Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 41 PPG
Defense on Road: 41

Youngstown State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 32
Youngstown State 25

Projected Total Points: 57
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/13Michigan State41Youngstown State24Michigan State -23.5Youngstown State55.5Over
202109/11Michigan State42Youngstown State14Michigan State -28.5Youngstown State52.0Over
201309/14Michigan State55Youngstown State17Michigan State -27Michigan State0
201109/02Michigan State28Youngstown State6
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State412 Overs
Youngstown State020 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 01 - 21 - 20 - 0
Road Teams0 - 42 - 10 - 02 - 1

(#) YSU at (#37) MSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatYSUMSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #37
SP+SP+NR #82
Perf GradeGradeNR #91
OffenseOffNR #61
DefenseDefNR #96
Spec TeamsSTNR #133
TalentTalNR #30
Blue ChipsBC%NR #33
Michigan State Notes
(12/6) Hired Pat Fitzgerald? Sparty gonna regret this one.
(12/6) DC Joe Rossi will remain under HC Fitzgerald
(11/30) HC Smith has been fired after 2 years, 9-15
(11/22) Blew 17-7 lead vs Iowa. 4 str 3 & outs to lose
(11/2) Outplayed Minn, penalties costly, tough loss
(10/27) 3 backdoor covers, otherwise awful team
(10/12) Doesn't feel like HC Smith is working out for Sparty
(10/11) Def may be worst in B1G, dump trucked in conf play
(9/21) Injuries piling up at LB, thin situation
(9/14) Success #'s bad on both sides vs meh so far
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
Michigan State Injury Report
Youngstown State on Offense
CategoryCat
YSU OffMSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #96
SuccessSucNR #69
ExplosiveExpNR #110
PPAPPANR #85
PowerPwrNR #35
SP+SP+NR #81
Pts POPPONR #98
HavocHavNR #93
Youngstown State Run Game
CategoryCat
YSU OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNR #89
Run SuccessRSucNR #25
Run ExplRExpNR #80
PPAExpNR #36
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #37
Stuff RateStuffNR #33
TackleTak -  #40
Youngstown State Pass Game
CategoryCat
YSU OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #86
Pass SuccessPSucNR #111
Pass ExplPExlNR #101
PPAExpNR #111
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #102
F7 HavocF7NR #64
DB HavocDBNR #121
Michigan State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatMSU OffYSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #61NR
SuccessSuc #86NR
ExplosiveExp #118NR
PPAPPA #105NR
PowerPwr #28NR
SP+SP+ #70NR
Pts POPPO #116NR
HavocHav #98NR
Michigan State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
MSU OffYSU Def
Run GameRun #78NR
Run SuccessRSuc #50NR
Run ExplRExp #126NR
PPAExp #116NR
Run BlockR Blk #32 -
OL YdsOLY #109NR
Stuff RateStuff #113NR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCatMSU OffYSU Def
Pass GamePass #89NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #107NR
Pass ExplPExl #57NR
PPAExp #79NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #121NR
F7 HavocF7 #112NR
DB HavocDB #63NR
Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

YSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 3
Michigan State -23.5 (55.5)
Michigan State won vs Youngstown State this year (41-24)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Youngstown State last year (41-24)

  
YSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Beau Brungard27740369%32302638.0
Devin Sherwood88100%47005.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Beau Brungard2421468276.178
Jaden Gilbert9667037.073
Ethan Wright4122215.419
Ky Wilson1910115.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Max Tomczak701021814.640
Ky Wilson64652610.262
Jaden Gilbert4241219.839
Mike Solomon20329216.548

View Youngstown State's Full Roster

YSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Zandier111000
Dayne Hodge (Tr)91000
Justin Wimpye70001
Dathan Hickey60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Preston Zandier111000
Dayne Hodge (Tr)91000
Justin Wimpye70001
Dathan Hickey60000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Justin Wimpye70001
Carston Marshall62001
Makai Shahid60001

MSU's OC Brian Lindgren (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles12820363%13921036.9
Alessio Milivojevic11117364%12671037.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Frazier11652024.549
Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr)7242825.985
Brandon Tullis6829744.435
Aidan Chiles8122762.864
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh59662611.248
Omari Kelly (Tr)47626213.375
Jack Velling36359310.028
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)24330313.845

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Joe Rossi (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall885321
Wayne Matthews III735001
Malik Spencer523215
Alex VanSumeren502221
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall885321
Jalen Thompson296381
Quindarius Dunnigan255390
Malik Spencer523215
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcolm Bell (Tr)495106
Malik Spencer523215
Chance Rucker70012