Ohio State at Michigan State - 2022 Matchup Preview

Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, October 8th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Ohio State -27 (64.5)
Ohio State 49 - Michigan State: 20 (Big Ten)

Buckeyes (11 - 2) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Ryan Day (34 - 4)
Avg Score : 33 - 9 (31 - 8 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU is playing their 6th straight game
OSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -12.5 (SP+ OSU -30)
Projected Score: OSU: 31 - MSU: 17 (48)
OSU Win prob: 98% | Cover: 56%
OSU Travel: 203 miles

Spartans (5 - 7) (3 - 6 - 3)
Coach Mel Tucker (13 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
OSU Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Ohio State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Ohio State vs Notre Dame	-17.0	58.5	W 21 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Ohio State vs Arkansas State	-44.5	68.5	W 45 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/17	Ohio State vs Toledo	-34.5	63.0	W 77 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Ohio State vs Wisconsin	-19.0	56.5	W 52 - 21	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Ohio State vs Rutgers	-39.0	58.0	W 49 - 10	O	N
Sat 10/8	Ohio State at Michigan State	-27.0	64.5	W 49 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Ohio State vs Iowa	-29.5	50.0	W 54 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Ohio State at Penn State	-15.5	60.5	W 44 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/5	Ohio State at Northwestern	-37.5	55.0	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/12	Ohio State vs Indiana	-40.0	62.0	W 56 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Ohio State at Maryland	-26.5	62.5	W 43 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/26	Ohio State vs Michigan	-9.0	56.0	L 23 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/31	Ohio State vs Georgia	+5.5	62.0	L 41 - 42	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Ohio State's Schedule

Michigan State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-22.0	54.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/10	Michigan State vs Akron	-34.5	56.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Michigan State at Washington	+3.5	56.5	L 28 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/24	Michigan State vs Minnesota	+3.0	50.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan State at Maryland	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+27.0	64.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan State vs Wisconsin	+7.0	49.5	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan State at Michigan	+22.0	55.0	L 7 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Michigan State at Illinois	+16.5	41.0	W 23 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-10.0	41.0	W 27 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/19	Michigan State vs Indiana	-12.0	47.0	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan State at Penn State	+19.0	54.5	L 16 - 35	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU	.47	53%	33.4	48%	3.29	180	57%	381	4.88	.18	43%	9.3	43%	44%	3.66	59.2	0.8	1.6
MSU	.27	43%	24.6	44%	2.94	176	43%	254	3.78	.19	44%	29.9	41%	46%	3.43	63.9	1.4	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
OSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Offense	13	33.4	30.6	53.5%	4.88	0.8	27	561	180	381	5.5	41%	59%	48%	57%	11%	.47
MSU Defense	13	29.9	27.8	44%	3.43	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	38%	61%	41%	46%	17%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
OSU Defense	13	9.3	8.2	43.4%	3.66	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	43%	44%	19%	.18
MSU Offense	13	24.6	24.8	43.3%	3.78	1.4	21	429	176	254	4.8	52%	48%	44%	43%	18%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Ohio State	13	29:22	26.8	52%	58%	6.5	59.2	0.8	1.6	6.4	2.8	4	29.6
Michigan State	13	28:28	20.8	40%	70%	6.9	63.9	1.4	1.7	6.5	3.3	4	29.3

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Offense	13	41%	48%	32.5	180.3	5.5	24	.23	3.29	67%	6%	1.02
MSU Defense	13	38%	41%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	70%	10%	0.85

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
OSU Defense	13	46%	43%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.74	75%	11%	0.98
MSU Offense	13	52%	44%	36.8	175.6	4.8	23	.18	2.94	67%	10%	1.12

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Offense	13	59%	57%	26.8	38	380.9	10	14.2	46	8	.63	1.6	26%	40%	.68	4%	2.1
MSU Defense	13	61%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.4	33%	32%	.38	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
OSU Defense	13	54%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.25	1.5	31%	34%	.29	8%	1.8
MSU Offense	13	48%	43%	18.7	30.8	253.7	8.3	13.6	27	10	.38	1.8	32%	33%	.4	7%	2.1

Ohio State's Power Ratings
Ohio State's Power Rating: NR
Ohio State's Offense Rating: NR
Ohio State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Ohio State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Ohio State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 31.1 #3
Ohio State's Offense SP+ Rating: 45.1 #4
Ohio State's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.7 #15

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: Michigan State: 3.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ohio State: 31.1 Michigan State: 1.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 3.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #67
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #48
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #82

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Ohio State Scoring
Offense: 33.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.6
Defense: 9.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 8.2

Ohio State's 2022 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 10 - 3
Record on Road: 4 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Ohio State 31
Michigan State 17

Projected Total Points: 48

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 3
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 2
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/28	Michigan State	7	Ohio State	38	Ohio State -23.5	Ohio State	48.5	Under
2023	11/11	Ohio State	38	Michigan State	3	Ohio State -30.5	Ohio State	48.5	Under
2022	10/08	Michigan State	20	Ohio State	49	Ohio State -27	Ohio State	64.5	Over
2021	11/20	Ohio State	56	Michigan State	7	Ohio State -19.5	Ohio State	70.5	Under
2020	12/05	Michigan State	12	Ohio State	52	Ohio State -22.5	Ohio State	59.0	Over
2019	10/05	Ohio State	34	Michigan State	10	Ohio State -19	Ohio State	51.0	Under
2018	11/10	Michigan State	6	Ohio State	26	Ohio State -3	Ohio State	50.0	Under
2017	11/11	Ohio State	48	Michigan State	3	Ohio State -17.5	Ohio State	56.5	Under
2016	11/19	Michigan State	16	Ohio State	17	Ohio State -23.5	Michigan State	50.0	Under
2015	11/21	Ohio State	14	Michigan State	17	Ohio State -13	Michigan State	53.5	Under
2014	11/08	Michigan State	37	Ohio State	49	Michigan State -2	Ohio State	0
2013	12/07	Michigan State	34	Ohio State	24	Ohio State -6.5	Michigan State	0
2012	09/29	Michigan State	16	Ohio State	17
2011	10/01	Ohio State	7	Michigan State	10
2008	10/18	Michigan State	7	Ohio State	45
2007	10/20	Ohio State	24	Michigan State	17
2006	10/14	Michigan State	7	Ohio State	38
2005	10/15	Ohio State	35	Michigan State	24
2004	11/06	Michigan State	19	Ohio State	32
2003	11/08	Ohio State	33	Michigan State	23
2000	11/03	Ohio State	27	Michigan State	13

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	3	3	2 Overs
Ohio State	18	9	8 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	9 - 12	6 - 6	4 - 2	2 - 4
Road Teams	12 - 9	6 - 6	4 - 2	2 - 4

(#) OSU at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	OSU	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#3	#67
Perf GradeGrade	#1	#75
OffenseOff	#1	#52
DefenseDef	#6	#96
Spec TeamsST	#92	#92
TalentTal	#3	#34
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Ohio State Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Ohio State on Offense


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#1	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#4	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Ohio State Run Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#13	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#4	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#64

Ohio State Pass Game


CategoryCat	OSU Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#6	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#26	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	OSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#6
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#15
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	OSU Def
Run GameRun	#103	#14
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#33

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	OSU Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#22
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#28	#7
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

OSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'22 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 6
Ohio State 27.0 (64.5)
Ohio State won at Michigan State this year (49-20)

Previous Matchups
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2024 (38-7)
Ohio State beat Michigan State in 2023 (38-3)

OSU's OC Kevin Wilson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Ohio State's Full Roster

OSU's DC Jim Knowles (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD