Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan State Spartans
Friday, August 29th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Michigan State -18.5 (49.5) (-950) Open: -18.5 | 49.5
Michigan State 23 - Western Michigan: 6
Broncos (0 - 3) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (3 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 12 - 31 (3 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#115)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 10)
Our Line: Michigan State -28.5 (SP+ MSU -21)
Projected Score: WMU: 10 - MSU: 39 (49)
MSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
WMU Travel: 65 miles
Projected Score: WMU: 10 - MSU: 39 (49)
MSU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 44%
WMU Travel: 65 miles
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Western Michigan at Michigan State | +18.5 | 49.5 | L 6 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Western Michigan vs North Texas | +12.0 | 56.0 | L 30 - 33 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Western Michigan at Illinois | +27.5 | 50.5 | L 0 - 38 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Western Michigan vs Toledo | +14.0 | 51.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Western Michigan vs Rhode Island | -6 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Western Michigan at Massachusetts | -4 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Western Michigan vs Ball State | -7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/25 | Western Michigan at Miami (OH) | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Western Michigan vs Central Michigan | -6.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 11/11 | Western Michigan vs Ohio | +9 | |||||
| Tue 11/18 | Western Michigan at Northern Illinois | +13.5 | |||||
| Tue 11/25 | Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan | +2 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | #134 (-.08) | 31% (132) | 12 | 33% (123) | 2.48 (113) | 119 | 28% (132) | 122 | 1.31 (133) | #105 (.21) | 48% (120) | 31.3 | 54% (130) | 43% (96) | 4.89 (119) | 55 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | #43 (.24) | 45% (33) | 45% (59) | 3.05 (62) | 184 | 46% (27) | 187 | 4.11 (49) | #122 (.29) | 49% (128) | 48% (115) | 51% (132) | 4.38 (119) | 39.2 | 1 | 1.6 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 3 | 12 | 3 | 31.1% | 1.31 | 0.3 | 13 | 241 | 119 | 122 | 3.1 | 62% | 37% | 33% | 28% | 19% | -.08 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 3 | 31.3 | 30.5 | 48.4% | 4.89 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 51% | 48% | 54% | 43% | 14% | .21 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan | 3 | 28:55 | 13.3 | 35% | 17% | 6.7 | 55 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 3 | 1 | 26.5 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 3 | 62% (12) | 33% (123) | 38.3 | 119.3 | 3.1 | 2 (109) | -.04 (118) | 2.48 (113) | 58% (109) | 15% (129) | 1.09 (42) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 3 | 51% (76) | 54% (130) | - | - | - | - | .25 (117) | 3.32 (124) | 75% (80) | 10% (72) | 1.04 (88) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Offense | 3 | 37% (124) | 28% (132) | 12 | 23.7 | 122 | 5.2 | 10.2 | 1 (123) | 1 (23) | -.11 (133) | 1.4 (92) | 39% (128) | 27% (101) | .19 (102) | 4% (51) | 1.9 (77) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WMU Defense | 3 | 48% (55) | 43% (96) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .2 (63) | 1.2 (17) | 28% (120) | 40% (125) | .44 (107) | 4% (108) | 1.5 (21) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -18.86 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -16.4 Michigan State: 4.6
Western Michigan: -18.86 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Michigan: -16.4 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12 PPG
Offense on Road: 3
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 39
Western Michigan 10
Total Points: 49
Michigan State 39
Western Michigan 10
Total Points: 49
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 08/29 | Michigan State | 23 | Western Michigan | 6 | Michigan State | Michigan State -18.5 | Western Michigan | 49.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 09/02 | Michigan State | 35 | Western Michigan | 13 | Michigan State | Michigan State -22 | Push | 54.5 | Under |
| 2019 | 09/07 | Michigan State | 51 | Western Michigan | 17 | Michigan State | Michigan State -14.5 | Michigan State | 46.5 | Over |
| 2017 | 09/09 | Michigan State | 28 | Western Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | Michigan State -7 | Michigan State | 51.5 | Under |
| 2015 | 09/04 | Western Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan State | Michigan State -23.5 | Western Michigan | 55.0 | Over |
| 2013 | 08/30 | Michigan State | 26 | Western Michigan | 13 | Michigan State | Michigan State -24 | Western Michigan | 0 | |
| 2010 | 09/04 | Michigan State | 38 | Western Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2009 | 11/07 | Michigan State | 49 | Western Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2003 | 08/30 | Michigan State | 26 | Western Michigan | 21 | Michigan State |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 9 | 2 | 2 Overs |
| Western Michigan | 0 | 3 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 8 - 1 | 3 - 2 | 2 - 2 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 8 | 2 - 3 | 0 - 1 | 2 - 2 |
(#126) Western Michigan Info
Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
Power Rating: -18.86 #126
Offense Rating: 2.61 #118
Defense Rating: 21.47 #123
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #122
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.5 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.0 #115
Talent Rating: 558.00 #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.31 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 28%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 54%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Western Michigan Notes
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND
Western Michigan Highlights
Western Michigan Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Western Michigan has a great TO Margin (#11)
Western Michigan Deficiencies
Western Michigan has a really bad Offense
Western Michigan Can Not Run the Ball (#108)
Western Michigan offense is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#110)
Western Michigan offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#133)
Western Michigan run game is really bad (#123)
Western Michigan pass game is really bad (#132)
Western Michigan offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Western Michigan Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Western Michigan has a bad defense (#120)
Western Michigan has a bad defensive line (#124)
Western Michigan has a bad red zone defense (#119)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | WMU |
| OverallOver | #25 | #111 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #109 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #109 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #42 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #110 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #83 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #108 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #92 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #101 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #84 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #112 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #55 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #112 |
Rematch from Week 1
Michigan State -18.5 (49.5)
Michigan State won vs Western Michigan this year (23-6)
Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Western Michigan in 2022 (35-13)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: WMU | MSU
Depth Chart: WMU | MSU
Rosters: WMU | MSU
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broc Lowry | 20 | 36 | 56% | 244 | 1 | 0 | 6.8 |
| Brady Jones | 16 | 35 | 46% | 122 | 0 | 1 | 3.5 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Buckley | 45 | 146 | 0 | 3.2 | 26 |
| Broc Lowry | 23 | 125 | 2 | 5.4 | 25 |
| Devin Miles | 19 | 56 | 0 | 2.9 | 8 |
| Ofa Mataele | 8 | 46 | 0 | 5.8 | 21 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylin Brooks (Tr) | 7 | 114 | 0 | 16.3 | 42 |
| Tailique Williams (Tr) | 6 | 74 | 0 | 12.3 | 35 |
| Jalen Buckley | 6 | 58 | 1 | 9.7 | 34 |
| Blake Bosma | 6 | 49 | 0 | 8.2 | 15 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Hallock | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sefa Saipaia Jr. | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Micah Davis (Tr) | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadame Tucker (Tr) | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Rodney McGraw | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sefa Saipaia Jr. | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Franklin | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jarvarius Sims (Tr) | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Kershawn Fisher (Tr) | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |