Michigan State at Indiana Game Matchup
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Indiana HoosiersIndiana logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Bloomington, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Indiana -12   (SP+ IND -12)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - IND: 32 (52)
IND Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
MSU Travel: 267 miles
Hoosiers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (47 - 11 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.3 - 3.7 (#26)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)
 
Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-26.5
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+11
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-3
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+12
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+15.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+23.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+11
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland-8.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.50.0
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-36
Sat 9/13 Indiana vs Indiana State-36
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-1.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+17
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-12
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-12.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-13
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+19
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)19.345% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)26.139% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)41.350% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)15.635% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1219.317.841.6%3.341.6193371182183.750%50%45%38%18%.13
IND Defense1315.611.438.1%3.661.8 - - - - - 45%55%35%40%21%.09
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1226.12841.7%4.060.9 - - - - - 50%50%39%45%14%.19
IND Offense1341.346.952.4%5.030.7234281662614.552%48%50%56%13%.33

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.6126.3
Indiana1330:4223.548%59%4.843.90.71.86.72.7234.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)
IND Defense1345% (10)35% (7) - - - - .01 (16)2.4 (4)66% (27)13% (9)1.05 (96)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)
IND Offense1352% (60)50% (13)37.2166.24.537 (6).17 (48)3.09 (55)75% (53)7% (16)0.89 (107)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)
IND Defense1355% (127)40% (70) - - - - - - 15 (18).15 (29)1.3 (3)32% (59)28% (30).19 (21)7% (26)1.6 (1)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)
IND Offense1348% (73)56% (2)18.927.8261.39.413.833 (5)6 (10).53 (2)1.6 (64)27% (12)39% (3).5 (11)6% (73)2.1 (52)

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.35 #49
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 6.35   Indiana: 15.235

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -0.2   Indiana: 12.2




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 15.235 #24
Indiana's Offense Rating: 22.41 #20
Indiana's Defense Rating: 9.14 #33
2025 Talent Rating: 736.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #30
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #25

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 32
Michigan State 20

Projected Total Points: 52
Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.9
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 11.4

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Michigan State10Indiana47IndianaIndiana -7.5Indiana53.5Over
202311/18Indiana21Michigan State24Michigan StateIndiana -3.5Michigan State47.5Under
202211/19Michigan State31Indiana39IndianaMichigan State -12Indiana47.0Over
202110/16Indiana15Michigan State20Michigan StateMichigan State -3.5Michigan State48.5Under
202011/14Michigan State0Indiana24IndianaIndiana -7.5Indiana53.0Under
201909/28Michigan State40Indiana31Michigan StateMichigan State -14Indiana43.5Over
201809/22Indiana21Michigan State35Michigan StateMichigan State -5.5Michigan State51.0Over
201710/21Michigan State17Indiana9Michigan StateMichigan State -6.5Michigan State47.5Under
201610/01Indiana24Michigan State21IndianaMichigan State -8Indiana52.5Under
201510/24Michigan State52Indiana26Michigan StateMichigan State -17Michigan State59.0Over
201410/18Indiana17Michigan State56Michigan StateMichigan State -14Michigan State0
201310/12Michigan State42Indiana28Michigan StateMichigan State -7.5Michigan State0
201210/06Indiana27Michigan State31Michigan State
201111/19Michigan State55Indiana3Michigan State
200809/27Indiana29Michigan State42Michigan State
200710/13Michigan State52Indiana27Michigan State
200610/28Indiana46Michigan State21Indiana
200510/29Michigan State46Indiana15Michigan State
200409/25Indiana20Michigan State30Michigan State
200310/04Michigan State31Indiana3Michigan State
200211/09Indiana21Michigan State56Michigan State
200111/10Michigan State28Indiana37Indiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana655 Overs
Michigan State1675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 124 - 83 - 31 - 5
Road Teams12 - 108 - 45 - 13 - 3

(#49) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.35 #49
Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Michigan State Notes
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
(5/21) If Chiles improves they have WR/TE weapons
(5/21) Def 14 portal adds, 5 DL & 7 DBs
(5/7) WR Fr Marsh big find LY, sneaky great portal adds
(5/7) OL 2/5 back. Awful LY, 3 portal adds, Moore huge
(5/7) RB - Tullis & Frazier lead, not much exp. 1 portal
(4/4) TE Velling a big target, top 10 TE via PFF
(3/19) Def OK LY, need playmakers/pass rush
(3/19) Year 2 for HC Smith, need to show progress
(3/18) QB Chiles must improve, limit TO's
Michigan State     Ratings Matchup     Indiana
Power #49
#24
Off #53
#20
Def #36
#33
Talent #37
#64
SP+ #64
#22
SP+ Off #107
#30
SP+ Def #32
#25

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan State last year (47-10)
Michigan State beat Indiana in 2023 (24-21)
Indiana beat Michigan State in 2022 (39-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MSU | IND
Depth Chart: MSU | IND
Rosters: MSU | IND
(#24) Indiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.235 #24
Offense Rating: 22.41 #20
Defense Rating: 9.14 #33
Overall SP+ Rating: 12.2 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #30
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.9 #25
Talent Rating: 736.00 #64
Blue Chip Ratio: 7 #44
Expected Record: 8.3 - 3.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 48%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 52%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.03 PPO
Great Run Success 50%
Great Pass Success 56%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.66 PPO
Great Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Indiana Notes
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add
(3/19) WR Sarratt back, 2 portal adds, looks solid
(3/19) OL has 2/5 back. 4 portal adds. Good unit
(3/19) Def was solid LY, took 6 portals.


  
Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles19232459%241513127.5
Alessio Milivojevic010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Chiles9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Makhi Frazier72103.08
Brandon Tullis72002.99
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)40705917.668
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Jack Velling36411111.434

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikai Martinez513012
Malik Spencer441002
Tracy Revels (Tr)400021
David Santiago (Tr)375423
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Isaac Smith (Tr)314310
Alex VanSumeren163200
Ben Roberts82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)242115
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Malcolm Bell (Tr)261003

Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)26538669%30041667.8
Grant Wilson (Tr)488656%507435.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lee Beebe16688575.361
Roman Hemby (Tr)13460764.575
Kaelon Black4625125.521
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)8710521.250
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Elijah Sarratt53957818.184
Makai Jackson (Tr)46745516.264
Omar Cooper Jr.28594721.269
Jonathan Brady (Tr)34366310.830

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aiden Fisher1186234
Hosea Wheeler (Tr)624220
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Stephen Daley (Tr)519463
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mikail Kamara4614961
Stephen Daley (Tr)519463
Tyrique Tucker245341
Dominique Ratcliff (Tr)224240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Angelo Ponds555009
Jamari Sharpe131106
Aiden Fisher1186234