Michigan State at Indiana - 2025 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Indiana Hoosiers(#19)Indiana logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Bloomington, IN  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Indiana -14.5   (SP+ IND -14)
Projected Score: MSU: 23 - IND: 37 (60)
IND Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
MSU Travel: 267 miles
Hoosiers (3 - 0) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Curt Cignetti (11 - 1)
Avg Score : 52 - 8 (52 - 8 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 2.8 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
 
Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-18.549.5W 23 - 6UN
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3.545.5W 42 - 40ON
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-23.555.5W 41 - 24ON
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+17.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+11.5
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-17.5
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+14.5
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+11.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+19.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+8
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland-0.5

Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Indiana's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Indiana vs Old Dominion-23.554.5W 27 - 14UN
Sat 9/6 Indiana vs Kennesaw State-35.551.5W 56 - 9OY
Fri 9/12 Indiana vs Indiana State-47.560.0W 73 - 0OY
Sat 9/20 Indiana vs Illinois-4.552.5
Sat 9/27 Indiana at Iowa-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Indiana at Oregon+12
Sat 10/18 Indiana vs Michigan State-14.5
Sat 10/25 Indiana vs UCLA-29.5
Sat 11/1 Indiana at Maryland-7.5
Sat 11/8 Indiana at Penn State+12
Sat 11/15 Indiana vs Wisconsin-14
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Indiana at Purdue-22.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#119 (.07)41% (93)35.340% (96)2.54 (105)16842% (77)2194.22 (56)#62 (.12)42% (80)23.334% (33)48% (113)1.89 (12)351.31
IND#23 (.37)59% (7)5258% (8)3.71 (15)30960% (5)2844.82 (36)#56 (.1)29% (7)7.728% (8)31% (21)2.25 (23)36.70.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
IND#6 (.33)52% (2)50% (13)3.09 (55)16656% (2)2615.03 (1)#19 (.09)38% (24)35% (7)40% (70)3.66 (55)43.90.71.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense335.335.340.7%4.221.3213871682194.557%42%40%42%18%.07
IND Defense37.77.729%2.251.7 - - - - - 50%49%28%31%30%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense323.323.341.7%1.891 - - - - - 39%58%34%48%21%.12
IND Offense3525259.1%4.820.330593309284757%43%58%60%9%.37

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State332:1321.343%60%4.3351.317.32031.1
Indiana335:5130.362%25%4.336.70.31.711.32.7133.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense357% (31)40% (96)37.31684.57 (38)-.04 (117)2.54 (105)56% (118)16% (133)0.98 (64)
IND Defense350% (74)28% (8) - - - - .08 (75)1.92 (8)43% (10)24% (1)1.78 (136)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense339% (6)34% (33) - - - - -.19 (9)1.71 (5)100% (127)15% (17)0.57 (4)
IND Offense357% (28)58% (8)44308.778 (26).39 (12)3.71 (15)68% (84)5% (10)0.92 (77)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense342% (108)42% (77)19.327.3218.7811.36 (34)2 (60).22 (83)1.4 (100)28% (42)32% (63).35 (62)2% (4)1.9 (91)
IND Defense349% (59)31% (21) - - - - - - 4 (12).13 (46)1.7 (102)40% (8)30% (78).38 (98)6% (62)2 (76)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense358% (119)48% (113) - - - - - - 2 (56).33 (106)1.3 (23)38% (23)24% (39).24 (63)6% (65)2.1 (94)
IND Offense343% (106)60% (5)21.7302849.513.112 (3)0 (1).36 (57)1.2 (126)15% (1)42% (24).5 (40)4% (42)1.5 (119)

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 12.43 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 12.43   Indiana: 23.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 4.6   Indiana: 19.0




Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: 23.22 #25
Indiana's Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Indiana's Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
2025 Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Indiana's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8
Indiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.3

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Indiana 37
Michigan State 23


Total Points: 60

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 52 PPG
Offense at Home: 52
Defense: 7.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 7.7

Indiana's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02Michigan State10Indiana47IndianaIndiana -7.5Indiana53.5Over
202311/18Indiana21Michigan State24Michigan StateIndiana -3.5Michigan State47.5Under
202211/19Michigan State31Indiana39IndianaMichigan State -12Indiana47.0Over
202110/16Indiana15Michigan State20Michigan StateMichigan State -3.5Michigan State48.5Under
202011/14Michigan State0Indiana24IndianaIndiana -7.5Indiana53.0Under
201909/28Michigan State40Indiana31Michigan StateMichigan State -14Indiana43.5Over
201809/22Indiana21Michigan State35Michigan StateMichigan State -5.5Michigan State51.0Over
201710/21Michigan State17Indiana9Michigan StateMichigan State -6.5Michigan State47.5Under
201610/01Indiana24Michigan State21IndianaMichigan State -8Indiana52.5Under
201510/24Michigan State52Indiana26Michigan StateMichigan State -17Michigan State59.0Over
201410/18Indiana17Michigan State56Michigan StateMichigan State -14Michigan State0
201310/12Michigan State42Indiana28Michigan StateMichigan State -7.5Michigan State0
201210/06Indiana27Michigan State31Michigan State
201111/19Michigan State55Indiana3Michigan State
200809/27Indiana29Michigan State42Michigan State
200710/13Michigan State52Indiana27Michigan State
200610/28Indiana46Michigan State21Indiana
200510/29Michigan State46Indiana15Michigan State
200409/25Indiana20Michigan State30Michigan State
200310/04Michigan State31Indiana3Michigan State
200211/09Indiana21Michigan State56Michigan State
200111/10Michigan State28Indiana37Indiana
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Indiana655 Overs
Michigan State1675 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 124 - 83 - 31 - 5
Road Teams12 - 108 - 45 - 13 - 3

(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 12.43 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14% #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Michigan State has lost 3 straight
Michigan State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)

Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated

Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatINDMSU
OverallOver#2#25
OffenseOff#2#21
DefenseDef#7#36
Special TeamsST#18#83
PassingPass#2#88
RushingRush#12#56
Run BlockRBLK#13#14
Pass BlockPBLK#3#67
Route RunningWR Rt#6#8
TacklingTkl#65#48
Run DefenseR Def#15#9
Pass Rush DefPRush#11#48
Coverage DefCov#13#54

Previous Matchups
Indiana beat Michigan State last year (47-10)
Michigan State beat Indiana in 2023 (24-21)
Indiana beat Michigan State in 2022 (39-31)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MSU | IND
Depth Chart: MSU | IND
Rosters: MSU | IND
(#25) Indiana Info
Power Rating: 23.22 #25
Offense Rating: 23.73 #23
Defense Rating: 1.29 #32
Overall SP+ Rating: 19.0 #13
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.8 #18
Defense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #19
Talent Rating: 726.00 #69
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #44
Expected Record: 9.2 - 2.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 43%
Great Offense Success Rate of 59%
Great Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.82 PPO
Great Run Success 58%
Great Pass Success 60%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 29%
Good in Scoring Position 2.25 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 31%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Indiana has lost 3 straight
Indiana has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (2 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Indiana Notes
(9/12) The cupcake murder tour is finally over.
(8/30) 500 yds but 27 pts vs ODU? Run Def issues
(5/23) CBs Ponds & Sharpe a top duo in CFB
(4/18) RB solid with Beebe (UAB)/Hemby (MD)/Black
(4/4) CB D'Angelo Ponds the #3 CB via PFF
(4/4) DE Mikail Kamara a top 10 DE via PFF
(4/4) OT Carter Smith a top OT via PFF
(3/22) Portal DT Ratcliff big add w/ DE Kamara rush
(3/22) Portal class includes 6 P4 starters from LY
(3/20) QB Mendoza (Cal) was good portal add

Indiana Highlights
Indiana in Undefeated
Indiana is Undefeated at Home

Indiana has Really Good Running Game (#2)
Indiana offense is efficent (#7)
Indiana has a top Offensive Line (#15)
Indiana offense is good on 3rd downs
Indiana does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#22)

Indiana has a really good defense (#7)
Indiana defense is really good in red zone (#23)
Indiana has a good run defense (#8)
Indiana has a good pass defense (#21)
Indiana Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#4)
Indiana Defensive Line is very good (#8)
Indiana Front 7 is disruptive (#1)
Indiana has a great TO Margin (#11)
Indiana commits very few Penalties (#30)
Indiana defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#12)

Indiana Deficiencies
Indiana offense is not Explosive (#124)
Indiana gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#135)


  
Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles588172%656618.1
Alessio Milivojevic010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Frazier4320624.828
Aidan Chiles3012314.128
Brandon Tullis1811226.214
Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr)135514.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Nick Marsh16194312.141
Omari Kelly (Tr)15184012.330
Michael Masunas681213.528
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)580016.028

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall274210
Wayne Matthews III241000
Ade Willie142011
Malik Spencer101100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Hall274210
Anelu Lafaele (Tr)32210
Malik Spencer101100
Jalen Thompson93120
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brady Pretzlaff41002
Chance Rucker60012
Malcolm Bell (Tr)51001

Indiana's OC Mike Shanahan
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Fernando Mendoza (Tr)557672%708909.3
Alberto Mendoza91275%1393011.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaelon Black3421716.436
Lee Beebe2720917.724
Roman Hemby (Tr)3620005.630
Khobie Martin1311528.822
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omar Cooper Jr.13299423.058
Elijah Sarratt15164310.927
E.J. Williams109919.922
Charlie Becker470117.531

View Indiana's Full Roster
Indiana's DC Bryant Haines
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Louis Moore (Tr)172000
Aiden Fisher154120
Kellan Wyatt (Tr)134010
Isaiah Jones125200
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Jones125200
Stephen Daley (Tr)84100
Mikail Kamara62111
Tyrique Tucker63101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Amare Ferrell61002
Devan Boykin (Tr)81021
D'Angelo Ponds103001