Nebraska at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, November 4th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Nebraska -3 (34.5) (-155) Open: -3.5
Michigan State 20 - Nebraska: 17 (Big Ten)

Cornhuskers (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Matt Rhule (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 24 - 20 (16 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 5.5 (#68)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Nebraska -4.5 (SP+ NEB -7)
Projected Score: NEB: 22 - MSU: 17 (44)
NEB Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
NEB Travel: 643 miles, 1 hrs behind

Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NEB Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Nebraska's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	Nebraska at Minnesota	+7.5	43.0	L 10 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Nebraska at Colorado	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 36	U	N
Sat 9/16	Nebraska vs Northern Illinois	-11.5	42.5	W 35 - 11	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Nebraska vs Louisiana Tech	-20.5	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/30	Nebraska vs Michigan	+17.0	39.5	L 7 - 45	O	N
Fri 10/6	Nebraska at Illinois	+3.5	43.0	W 20 - 7	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-10.5	40.0	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 10/28	Nebraska vs Purdue	+1.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Nebraska at Michigan State	-3.0	34.5	L 17 - 20	O	N
Sat 11/11	Nebraska vs Maryland	+1.5	41.5	L 10 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/18	Nebraska at Wisconsin	+7.5	36.5	L 17 - 24	O	Y
Fri 11/24	Nebraska vs Iowa	-3.0	25.5	L 10 - 13	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Nebraska's Schedule

Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-14.0	45.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Richmond	-29.5	43.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Michigan State vs Washington	+14.5	57.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Maryland	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State at Iowa	+10.0	36.5	L 16 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Rutgers	+4.0	38.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Michigan	+25.5	47.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Minnesota	+6.5	41.5	L 12 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+3.0	34.5	W 20 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+30.5	48.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+3.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Michigan State vs Penn State	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB	.2	41%	23.5	40%	2.97	123	42%	221	3.84	.2	47%	19.5	52%	43%	4.11	42.5	1.6	1.6
MSU	.14	40%	19.3	39%	2.7	113	42%	240	3.77	.26	46%	26.1	43%	49%	3.81	54.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Offense	12	23.5	16.4	41%	3.84	1.6	18	344	123	221	3.5	51%	49%	40%	42%	17%	.2
MSU Defense	12	26.1	24.7	45.8%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	49%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NEB Defense	12	19.5	25.6	47.3%	4.11	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	52%	43%	14%	.2
MSU Offense	12	19.3	20.4	39.9%	3.77	1.3	20	353	113	240	3.8	44%	55%	39%	42%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Nebraska	12	26:48	18.1	40%	43%	5.4	42.5	1.6	1.6	5	1.8	1	26.7
Michigan State	12	26:12	20.1	39%	43%	5.8	54.5	1.3	1.3	6.3	2.4	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Offense	12	51%	40%	35	123.3	3.5	17	.08	2.97	76%	11%	0.86
MSU Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	63%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NEB Defense	12	51%	52%	-	-	-	-	.2	3.33	80%	8%	0.87
MSU Offense	12	44%	39%	30.1	113	3.8	16	.05	2.7	63%	9%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Offense	12	49%	42%	17.1	28.3	220.8	7.8	12.9	17	13	.35	1.7	34%	29%	.28	6%	1.8
MSU Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.45	1.6	29%	35%	.48	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NEB Defense	12	48%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.25	1.4	30%	31%	.22	6%	1.9
MSU Offense	12	55%	42%	21.5	34.3	240	7	11.2	23	12	.24	1.5	32%	31%	.28	7%	2

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.61 #53
Nebraska's Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Nebraska's Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
2023 Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Nebraska's 2023 Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50
Nebraska's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 1.61 Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Nebraska: 0.1 Michigan State: -6.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.4
Defense: 19.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.6

Nebraska's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 22
Michigan State 17

Projected Total Points: 44

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/04	Michigan State	20	Nebraska	17	Michigan State	Nebraska -3	Michigan State	34.5	Over
2021	09/25	Michigan State	23	Nebraska	20	Michigan State	Michigan State -3.5	Nebraska	55.0	Under
2018	11/17	Nebraska	9	Michigan State	6	Nebraska	Nebraska -1.5	Nebraska	48.5	Under
2015	11/07	Nebraska	39	Michigan State	38	Nebraska	Michigan State -4.5	Nebraska	55.5	Over
2014	10/04	Michigan State	27	Nebraska	22	Michigan State	Michigan State -8	Nebraska	0
2013	11/16	Nebraska	28	Michigan State	41	Michigan State	Michigan State -3.5	Michigan State	0
2012	11/03	Michigan State	24	Nebraska	28	Nebraska
2011	10/29	Nebraska	24	Michigan State	3	Nebraska
2003	12/29	Nebraska	17	Michigan State	3	Nebraska

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	4	2	2 Overs
Nebraska	5	4	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 2	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 7	3 - 3	1 - 2	2 - 1

(#53) Nebraska Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.61 #53
Offense Rating: 10.32 #121
Defense Rating: 5.24 #28
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.1 #65
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 14.4 #8
Talent Rating: 842.00 #21
Blue Chip Ratio: 24% #27
Expected Record: 6.50 - 5.50

Team Profile

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Nebraska Ratings Matchup Michigan State

Power #53

#92

Off #121

#127

Def #28

#82

Talent #21

#36

SP+ #65

#86

SP+ Off #123

#122

SP+ Def #8

#47

Rematch from Week 10
Nebraska 3.0 (34.5)
Michigan State won vs Nebraska this year (20-17)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Nebraska in 2023 (20-17)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 50°

Team Information
Injuries: NEB | MSU
Depth Chart: NEB | MSU
Rosters: NEB | MSU

(#92) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Nebraska's OC Marcus Satterfield

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jeff Sims (Tr)	13	25	52%	168	0	0	6.7
Brian Buschini	2	2	100%	38	0	0	19.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rahmir Johnson	54	260	1	4.8	22
Jeff Sims (Tr)	24	101	1	4.2	12
Maurice Mazzccua	5	8	0	1.6	5
Isaiah Neyor	2	6	0	3.0	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Isaiah Neyor	34	455	5	13.4	59
Thomas Fidone Jr.	36	373	0	10.4	33
Rahmir Johnson	21	179	1	8.5	36
Jake Appleget	4	45	0	11.3	20

View Nebraska's Full Roster

Nebraska's DC Tony White

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Randolph Kpai	80	5	1	5	3
Isaac Gifford	73	4	0	1	1
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Javier Morton	48	0	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
MJ Sherman (Tr)	29	5	4	4	0
Nash Hutmacher	24	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tamon Lynum	37	2	1	0	6
John Bullock	70	10	4	3	5
Ty Robinson	37	13	6	7	4

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Nathan Carter (Tr)	116	499	5	4.3	60
Sam Leavitt	110	443	5	4.0	40
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montorie Foster	46	588	3	12.8	40
Christian Fitzpatrick	34	576	6	16.9	69
Maliq Carr	19	186	1	9.8	23
Jordan Simmons	21	183	0	8.7	52

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cal Haladay	58	5	1	0	1
Angelo Grose	50	4	1	0	2
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Simeon Barrow Jr.	30	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Khris Bogle	37	8	4	6	0
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Pleasant III	11	0	0	0	5
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2