Michigan State at Maryland - 2022 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, October 1st 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -7.5 (58.5)
Maryland 27 - Michigan State: 13 (Big Ten)

Spartans (5 - 7) (3 - 6 - 3)
Coach Mel Tucker (13 - 7)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD is playing their 5th straight game
MSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5 (SP+ MD -10)
Projected Score: MSU: 25 - MD: 28 (53)
MD Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 471 miles

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (12 - 23)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (26 - 27 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/2	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-22.0	54.5	W 35 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/10	Michigan State vs Akron	-34.5	56.0	W 52 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Michigan State at Washington	+3.5	56.5	L 28 - 39	O	N
Sat 9/24	Michigan State vs Minnesota	+3.0	50.0	L 7 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan State at Maryland	+7.5	58.5	L 13 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/8	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+27.0	64.5	L 20 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan State vs Wisconsin	+7.0	49.5	W 34 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan State at Michigan	+22.0	55.0	L 7 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Michigan State at Illinois	+16.5	41.0	W 23 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-10.0	41.0	W 27 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/19	Michigan State vs Indiana	-12.0	47.0	L 31 - 39	O	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan State at Penn State	+19.0	54.5	L 16 - 35	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Maryland's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Maryland vs Buffalo	-24.0	66.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Maryland at Charlotte	-28.0	65.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Maryland vs SMU	-3.0	74.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Maryland at Michigan	+17.0	66.0	L 27 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	58.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Maryland vs Purdue	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Maryland at Indiana	-11.0	63.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/22	Maryland vs Northwestern	-14.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Maryland at Wisconsin	+5.0	47.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Maryland at Penn State	+10.5	56.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Maryland vs Ohio State	+26.5	62.5	L 30 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Maryland vs Rutgers	-14.5	48.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.27	43%	24.6	44%	2.94	176	43%	254	3.78	.19	44%	29.9	41%	46%	3.43	63.9	1.4	1.7
MD	.26	49%	23.5	47%	2.94	136	50%	305	3.8	.22	44%	26.5	46%	41%	3.81	56.8	1.4	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.6	21.6	43.3%	3.78	1.4	21	429	176	254	4.8	52%	48%	44%	43%	18%	.27
MD Defense	13	26.5	27.3	43.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	41%	14%	.22

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	29.9	32.8	44%	3.43	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	38%	61%	41%	46%	17%	.19
MD Offense	13	23.5	26.3	48.7%	3.8	1.4	23	441	136	305	4	41%	59%	47%	50%	14%	.26

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	28:28	20.8	40%	70%	6.9	63.9	1.4	1.7	6.5	3.3	4	29.3
Maryland	13	29:24	23.3	38%	50%	6.7	56.8	1.4	0.8	4.9	2.4	1	27.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	52%	44%	36.8	175.6	4.8	23	.18	2.94	67%	10%	1.12
MD Defense	13	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.01	75%	8%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	38%	41%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	70%	10%	0.85
MD Offense	13	41%	47%	33.8	136.2	4	20	.13	2.94	69%	10%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	48%	43%	18.7	30.8	253.7	8.3	13.6	27	10	.38	1.8	32%	33%	.4	7%	2.1
MD Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.29	1.7	30%	33%	.47	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	61%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.28	1.4	33%	32%	.38	6%	2.1
MD Offense	13	59%	50%	26.1	37.6	304.6	8.1	11.7	27	12	.36	1.4	28%	32%	.43	5%	2.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 1.2 #67
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.9 #48
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.7 #82

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Maryland: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 1.2 Maryland: 11.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2022 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #32
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #39
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 3
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 2 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 2
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 28
Michigan State 25

Projected Total Points: 53

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.3
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Maryland's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Michigan State	38	Maryland	28	Michigan State -4.0	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2024	09/07	Maryland	24	Michigan State	27	Maryland -7.5	Michigan State	44.5	Over
2023	09/23	Michigan State	9	Maryland	31	Maryland -7	Maryland	52.5	Under
2022	10/01	Maryland	27	Michigan State	13	Maryland -7.5	Maryland	58.5	Under
2021	11/13	Michigan State	40	Maryland	21	Michigan State -11.5	Michigan State	60.0	Over
2019	11/30	Michigan State	19	Maryland	16	Michigan State -21.5	Maryland	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Maryland	3	Michigan State	24	Michigan State -3	Michigan State	43.0	Under
2017	11/18	Michigan State	17	Maryland	7	Michigan State -14	Maryland	44.5	Under
2016	10/22	Maryland	28	Michigan State	17	Michigan State -2.5	Maryland	49.0	Under
2015	11/14	Michigan State	24	Maryland	7	Michigan State -16	Michigan State	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Maryland	15	Michigan State	37	Michigan State -10.5	Michigan State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	3	5	3 Overs
Michigan State	8	6	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	4 - 7	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#) MSU at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#67	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#75	#68
OffenseOff	#52	#62
DefenseDef	#96	#90
Spec TeamsST	#92	#49
TalentTal	#34	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#52	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#48	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#103	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#27	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#58	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#28	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#96
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#82
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#74	#72
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#64

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#125
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#88
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Maryland -7.5 (58.5)
Maryland won vs Michigan State this year (27-13)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Maryland last year (38-28)
Michigan State beat Maryland in 2024 (27-24)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2023 (31-9)

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD