Boston College Eagles at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan State -3.5 (45.5) (-150) Open: -3.0 | 49.5
Michigan State 42 - Boston College: 40
Eagles (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 27 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 42 - 27 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#101)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
MSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Michigan State -3.5 (SP+ MSU -2)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - MSU: 29 (54)
MSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 678 miles
Our Line: Michigan State -3.5 (SP+ MSU -2)
Projected Score: BC: 25 - MSU: 29 (54)
MSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
BC Travel: 678 miles
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
| Boston College's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Boston College vs Fordham | -35.0 | 53.5 | W 66 - 10 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/6 | Boston College at Michigan State | +3.5 | 45.5 | L 40 - 42 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Boston College at Stanford | -14.0 | 44.5 | L 20 - 30 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | Boston College vs California | -1.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | Boston College at Pittsburgh | +5.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Boston College vs Clemson | +6 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Boston College vs UConn | -6.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Boston College at Louisville | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Boston College vs Notre Dame | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Boston College vs SMU | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Boston College vs Georgia Tech | +2.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/29 | Boston College at Syracuse | +1.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC | #63 (.22) | 48% (41) | 42 | 40% (100) | 2.33 (122) | 74 | 52% (26) | 394 | 3.9 (71) | #38 (.04) | 33% (27) | 27.3 | 36% (40) | 30% (20) | 3.6 (70) | 34.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC | #89 (.16) | 41% (93) | 41% (96) | 2.87 (99) | 164 | 41% (78) | 176 | 4 (58) | #56 (.15) | 42% (74) | 40% (40) | 44% (104) | 3.64 (51) | 40 | 1.2 | 1.8 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Offense | 3 | 42 | 30 | 47.7% | 3.9 | 1.3 | 23 | 467 | 74 | 394 | 2.6 | 35% | 64% | 40% | 52% | 12% | .22 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Defense | 3 | 27.3 | 36 | 33.1% | 3.6 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 55% | 44% | 36% | 30% | 17% | .04 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | 3 | 30:51 | 23.3 | 52% | 50% | 4.7 | 34.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 6.3 | 2.7 | 1 | 30.2 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Offense | 3 | 35% (135) | 40% (100) | 28.7 | 73.7 | 2.6 | 5 (62) | -.17 (133) | 2.33 (122) | 100% (1) | 8% (51) | 0.46 (135) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Defense | 3 | 55% (108) | 36% (40) | - | - | - | - | .01 (50) | 2.43 (36) | 56% (26) | 12% (46) | 0.91 (63) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Offense | 3 | 64% (3) | 52% (26) | 31.7 | 42.7 | 393.7 | 9.2 | 12.4 | 10 (7) | 1 (23) | .42 (42) | 1.3 (118) | 30% (65) | 31% (70) | .33 (72) | 5% (54) | 1.9 (90) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BC Defense | 3 | 44% (28) | 30% (20) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 (87) | .09 (35) | 1.7 (110) | 31% (85) | 24% (40) | .04 (25) | 6% (70) | 2 (70) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Boston College's Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Boston College's Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Boston College's Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Boston College's Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Boston College's Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 12.05 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.9 Michigan State: 4.6
Boston College: 12.05 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 2.9 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36
Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 30
Defense: 27.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 36
Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 29
Boston College 25
Total Points: 54
Michigan State 29
Boston College 25
Total Points: 54
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 09/06 | Michigan State | 42 | Boston College | 40 | Michigan State | Michigan State -3.5 | Boston College | 45.5 | Over |
| 2024 | 09/21 | Boston College | 23 | Michigan State | 19 | Boston College | Boston College -4.5 | Michigan State | 45.5 | Under |
| 2007 | 12/28 | Michigan State | 21 | Boston College | 24 | Boston College |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 1 | 1 | 1 Overs |
| Boston College | 2 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 2 - 1 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 2 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 2 | 2 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 2 - 0 |
(#47) Boston College Info
Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boston College has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Boston College Notes
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush
Boston College Highlights
Boston College offense is good on 3rd downs
Boston College has a really good defense (#27)
Boston College has a good pass defense (#20)
Boston College Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#25)
Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boston College Can Not Run the Ball (#130)
Boston College offense is not Explosive (#120)
Boston College run game is really bad (#100)
Power Rating: 12.05 #47
Offense Rating: 14.25 #58
Defense Rating: 2.21 #35
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.5 #54
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.4 #67
Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.9 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Good Pass Success 52%
Avg OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 33%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Good Run Def Success 36%
Great Pass Def Success 30%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Boston College has won 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Boston College Notes
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush
Boston College Highlights
Boston College offense is good on 3rd downs
Boston College has a really good defense (#27)
Boston College has a good pass defense (#20)
Boston College Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#25)
Boston College Deficiencies
Boston College Fumbles a Lot (#113)
Boston College Can Not Run the Ball (#130)
Boston College offense is not Explosive (#120)
Boston College run game is really bad (#100)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | BC |
| OverallOver | #25 | #32 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #39 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #44 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #54 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #13 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #98 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #82 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #27 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #22 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #97 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #40 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #33 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #61 |
Rematch from Week 2
Michigan State -3.5 (45.5)
Michigan State won vs Boston College this year (42-40)
Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Michigan State last year (23-19)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: BC | MSU
Depth Chart: BC | MSU
Rosters: BC | MSU
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has won 1 straight
Michigan State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has won 1 straight
Michigan State has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Lonergan (Tr) | 90 | 123 | 73% | 991 | 9 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Grayson James | 5 | 5 | 100% | 190 | 1 | 0 | 38.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turbo Richard | 43 | 158 | 2 | 3.7 | 13 |
| Jordan Mcdonald | 15 | 46 | 1 | 3.1 | 8 |
| Anthony Ferrucci | 4 | 14 | 0 | 3.5 | 5 |
| Bo MacCormack III | 4 | 9 | 1 | 2.3 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Bond | 29 | 275 | 0 | 9.5 | 32 |
| Reed Harris | 11 | 196 | 2 | 17.8 | 46 |
| Jeremiah Franklin | 19 | 175 | 1 | 9.2 | 21 |
| Turbo Richard | 12 | 149 | 2 | 12.4 | 49 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Thornton | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| KP Price | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Owen McGowan | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Davis | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Thornton | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Owen McGowan | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carter Davis | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Daveon Crouch | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Syair Torrence | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Max Tucker | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Amari Jackson | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |