Boston College at Michigan State Game Matchup

Boston College Eagles at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI

Eagles (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (22 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 2) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 4)

MSU 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Michigan State -3 (SP+ BC -0.5)
Projected Score: BC: 23 - MSU: 26 (49)
MSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
BC Travel: 678 miles

Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
BC Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Boston College's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Boston College vs Fordham	-26
Sat 9/6	Boston College at Michigan State	+3
Sat 9/13	Boston College at Stanford	-5.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Boston College vs California	-7
Sat 10/4	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+4.5
Sat 10/11	Boston College vs Clemson	+20.5
Sat 10/18	Boston College vs UConn	-9
Sat 10/25	Boston College at Louisville	+12
Sat 11/1	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+21
Sat 11/8	Boston College vs SMU	+8.5
Sat 11/15	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+2.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Boston College at Syracuse	+5.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-17.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Michigan State vs Boston College	-3
Sat 9/13	Michigan State vs Youngstown State	-26.5
Sat 9/20	Michigan State at USC	+10.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Michigan State at Nebraska	+11
Sat 10/11	Michigan State vs UCLA	-3
Sat 10/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+12
Sat 10/25	Michigan State vs Michigan	+15.5
Sat 11/1	Michigan State at Minnesota	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Michigan State vs Penn State	+23.5
Sat 11/22	Michigan State at Iowa	+11
Sat 11/29	Michigan State vs Maryland	-8.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)	28.2	41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)	23.8	40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)	19.3	45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)	26.1	39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
BC		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Offense	13	28.2	22.4	40.9%	4	1.2	18	340	164	176	4.3	56%	44%	41%	41%	13%	.16
MSU Defense	12	26.1	24.7	41.7%	4.06	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	45%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
BC Defense	13	23.8	28.8	42.2%	3.64	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	55%	40%	44%	16%	.15
MSU Offense	12	19.3	20.4	41.6%	3.34	1.6	19	337	118	218	3.7	50%	50%	45%	38%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Boston College	13	29:25	17.8	43%	50%	4.2	40	1.2	1.8	4.7	2	3	30.3
Michigan State	12	30:54	18.8	38%	52%	6.7	63.3	1.6	0.9	5.5	1.6	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Offense	13	56% (26)	41% (96)	38.2	164.2	4.3	22 (55)	.01 (120)	2.87 (99)	72% (79)	9% (53)	0.86 (120)
MSU Defense	12	50% (56)	39% (25)	-	-	-	-	.06 (36)	2.8 (37)	67% (29)	10% (64)	1.01 (80)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
BC Defense	13	45% (12)	40% (40)	-	-	-	-	.05 (33)	2.84 (43)	82% (120)	9% (96)	0.92 (40)
MSU Offense	12	50% (74)	45% (50)	32.4	118.4	3.7	11 (116)	.02 (116)	2.76 (109)	74% (66)	12% (112)	0.82 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Offense	13	44% (108)	41% (78)	13.9	22.2	176.2	7.9	12.7	24 (38)	7 (26)	.34 (29)	1.9 (7)	30% (50)	32% (68)	.34 (68)	4% (12)	2.3 (11)
MSU Defense	12	50% (79)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.34 (111)	1.7 (101)	32% (70)	35% (118)	.43 (111)	4% (121)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
BC Defense	13	55% (123)	44% (104)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (10)	.23 (67)	1.4 (12)	32% (71)	29% (43)	.2 (26)	7% (36)	1.8 (22)
MSU Offense	12	50% (61)	38% (107)	17.7	29.5	218.1	7.4	12.3	13 (116)	13 (103)	.24 (79)	1.6 (57)	33% (106)	25% (122)	.18 (113)	6% (63)	2 (80)

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
2025 Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 826.12
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 4.57 Michigan State: 5.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Boston College: 0.3 Michigan State: -0.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 5.575 #49
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 22.4
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 28.8

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 26
Boston College 23

Projected Total Points: 49

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/21	Boston College	23	Michigan State	19	Boston College	Boston College -4.5	Michigan State	45.5	Under
2007	12/28	Michigan State	21	Boston College	24	Boston College

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	0	1	0 Overs
Boston College	2	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#54) Boston College Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 4.57 #54
Offense Rating: 16.27 #52
Defense Rating: 11.70 #50
Overall SP+ Rating: 0.3 #62
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #55
Talent Rating: 786.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.4 - 6.6

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.64 PPO
Good Run Def Success 40%
Poor Pass Def Success 44%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Boston College Notes
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
(3/21) OL 3/5 back, bad LY, needs to improve
(3/21) Def below avg LY. Need to find a pass rush
(3/21) Took 6 FCS portals on lines, 4 Def, 2 Off.
(3/21) Off could be much improved if OL/QB jump.
(3/21) O'Brien central casting BC HC. 2nd yr staff

Boston College Ratings Matchup Michigan State

Power #54

#49

Off #52

#53

Def #50

#36

Talent #51

#37

SP+ #62

#64

SP+ Off #68

#107

SP+ Def #55

#32

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat Michigan State last year (23-19)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BC | MSU
Depth Chart: BC | MSU
Rosters: BC | MSU

(#49) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.575 #49
Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Michigan State Notes
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
(5/21) If Chiles improves they have WR/TE weapons
(5/21) Def 14 portal adds, 5 DL & 7 DBs
(5/7) WR Fr Marsh big find LY, sneaky great portal adds
(5/7) OL 2/5 back. Awful LY, 3 portal adds, Moore huge
(5/7) RB - Tullis & Frazier lead, not much exp. 1 portal
(4/4) TE Velling a big target, top 10 TE via PFF
(3/19) Def OK LY, need playmakers/pass rush
(3/19) Year 2 for HC Smith, need to show progress
(3/18) QB Chiles must improve, limit TO's

Boston College's OC Will Lawing

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Grayson James	106	166	64%	1202	6	2	7.2
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)	5	6	83%	23	0	0	3.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Mcdonald	53	361	3	6.8	41
Turbo Richard	55	278	2	5.1	30
Vaughn Pemberton (Tr)	61	276	2	4.5	41
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)	21	108	1	5.1	55

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	67	689	3	10.3	49
Vincent Wilkins (Tr)	37	504	6	13.6	75
Reed Harris	17	486	4	28.6	72
Jeremiah Franklin	27	311	3	11.5	34

View Boston College's Full Roster

Boston College's DC Tim Lewis

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
Carter Davis	43	1	0	0	3
Max Tucker	30	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quintayvious Hutchins	29	6	4	8	0
Owen Stoudmire	29	4	3	2	0
Daveon Crouch	74	7	2	3	3
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	81	2	1	1	5
Amari Jackson	18	0	0	0	4
Ashton McShane	20	1	0	0	4

Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Chiles	192	324	59%	2415	13	12	7.5
Alessio Milivojevic	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aidan Chiles	96	234	3	2.4	26
Nick Marsh	4	23	0	5.8	11
Makhi Frazier	7	21	0	3.0	8
Brandon Tullis	7	20	0	2.9	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)	53	869	4	16.4	71
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)	40	705	9	17.6	68
Nick Marsh	41	649	3	15.8	77
Jack Velling	36	411	1	11.4	34

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikai Martinez	51	3	0	1	2
Malik Spencer	44	1	0	0	2
Tracy Revels (Tr)	40	0	0	2	1
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3
Isaac Smith (Tr)	31	4	3	1	0
Alex VanSumeren	16	3	2	0	0
Ben Roberts	8	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)	24	2	1	1	5
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3
Malcolm Bell (Tr)	26	1	0	0	3