Michigan State at Wake Forest - 2019 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Friday, December 27th 2019 (3:20 PM EST)
Michigan State -3.5 (50.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Michigan State 27 - Wake Forest: 21 (NEW ERA PINSTRIPE BOWL)

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2.5 (SP+ MSU -5)
Projected Score: MSU: 21 - WAKE: 30 (51)
MSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 559 miles

Demon Deacons (8 - 5) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (28 - 17 @ Home)
'19 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MSU Players
WAKE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Michigan State vs Tulsa	-22.0	47.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/7	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-14.5	46.5	W 51 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/14	Michigan State vs Arizona State	-15.5	42.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/21	Michigan State at Northwestern	-7.5	35.0	W 31 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/28	Michigan State vs Indiana	-14.0	43.5	W 40 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/5	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.0	51.0	L 10 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/12	Michigan State at Wisconsin	+8.0	39.0	L 0 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/26	Michigan State vs Penn State	+5.5	41.0	L 7 - 28	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/9	Michigan State vs Illinois	-15.5	48.0	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/16	Michigan State at Michigan	+13.5	43.5	L 10 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/23	Michigan State at Rutgers	-22.5	43.5	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Michigan State vs Maryland	-21.5	47.5	W 19 - 16	U	N
Fri 12/27	Michigan State vs Wake Forest	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 21	U	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Wake Forest's 2019 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/30	Wake Forest vs Utah State	-5.0	61.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Fri 9/6	Wake Forest at Rice	-20.0	59.5	W 41 - 21	O	N
Fri 9/13	Wake Forest vs North Carolina	-3.0	65.0	W 24 - 18	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Wake Forest vs Elon	-29.5	58.5	W 49 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/28	Wake Forest at Boston College	-4.5	69.0	W 27 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12	Wake Forest vs Louisville	-7.0	65.0	L 59 - 62	O	N
Sat 10/19	Wake Forest vs Florida State	+3.0	69.0	W 22 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/2	Wake Forest vs NC State	-7.5	60.0	W 44 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Wake Forest at Virginia Tech	-3.0	61.0	L 17 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/16	Wake Forest at Clemson	+35.0	59.0	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 11/23	Wake Forest vs Duke	-6.5	50.0	W 39 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/30	Wake Forest at Syracuse	-6.5	68.0	L 30 - 39	O	N
Fri 12/27	Wake Forest vs Michigan State	+3.5	50.5	L 21 - 27	U	N

Important Stats (2018)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.02	38%	24.6	37%	2.51	125	36%	217	2.77	.01	37%	29.9	30%	39%	2.29	54.5	1.7	1.8
WAKE	.16	43%	28.1	44%	3.14	215	40%	236	4.03	.19	42%	22.1	41%	41%	4.15	41.8	1.5	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
WAKE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2018

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.6	21.6	37.7%	2.77	1.7	20	342	125	217	3.5	45%	53%	37%	36%	17%	.02
WAKE Defense	13	22.1	17.3	41.5%	4.15	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	41%	41%	15%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	29.9	32.8	36.6%	2.29	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	57%	30%	39%	20%	.01
WAKE Offense	13	28.1	28.3	43.5%	4.03	1.5	25	451	215	236	4.5	51%	47%	44%	40%	15%	.16

Additional Stats 2018

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	32:50	20.2	33%	37%	6	54.5	1.7	1.8	6.5	2	1	28
Wake Forest	13	28:12	24.6	42%	58%	4.2	41.8	1.5	1.2	6.4	1.9	4	27.9

Run Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	45%	37%	35.8	124.7	3.5	13	.01	2.51	68%	9%	0.93
WAKE Defense	13	48%	41%	-	-	-	-	.13	2.7	84%	10%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	41%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.17	2.03	59%	12%	0.79
WAKE Offense	13	51%	44%	48.1	214.9	4.5	21	.12	3.14	84%	9%	0.83

Pass Game Stats (2019)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	53%	36%	19.5	37.8	217.4	5.8	11.1	12	14	.05	1.4	34%	30%	.08	8%	1.5
WAKE Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.25	1.6	35%	33%	.38	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.16	1.4	36%	27%	.18	9%	1.6
WAKE Offense	13	47%	40%	19	34	236.1	6.9	12.4	25	13	.23	1.7	35%	35%	.28	6%	1.6

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #32
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2019 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.2 #41
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.4 #91
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #13

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Wake Forest: 1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 7.2 Wake Forest: 2.0

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 1 NR
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: NR
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: NR
2019 Talent Rating: #66
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wake Forest's 2019 Expected Record: -
Wake Forest's 2019 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.0 #55
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.4 #60
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #68

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2019 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Wake Forest 30
Michigan State 21

Projected Total Points: 51

Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.3
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.3

Wake Forest's 2019 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2019	12/27	Wake Forest	21	Michigan State	27	Michigan State -3.5	Michigan State	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wake Forest	0	0	0 Overs
Michigan State	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Pinstripe Bowl	Michigan State vs Wake Forest	-3.5	50.5	W 27 - 21
2018	N/A	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7
2017	Holiday Bowl	Michigan State vs Washington State	-2.5	47.5	W 42 - 17
2015	CFP Semifinal	Michigan State vs Alabama	+9.5		L 0 - 38
2014	Cotton Bowl	Michigan State vs Baylor	+3.0	68.0	W 42 - 41
2013	Rose Bowl	Michigan State vs Stanford	+6.5	41.0	W 24 - 20

Wake Forest Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2019	Pinstripe Bowl	Wake Forest vs Michigan State	+3.5	50.5	L 21 - 27
2018	Birmingham Bowl	Wake Forest vs Memphis	+2.0	71.0	W 37 - 34
2017	N/A	Wake Forest vs Texas A&M	-3.5	63.0	W 55 - 52
2016	Military Bowl	Wake Forest vs Temple	+12.5	42.0	W 34 - 26

(#) MSU at (#) WAKE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	WAKE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#41	#55
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#32	#66
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Wake Forest Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WAKE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#68
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WAKE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	WAKE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Wake Forest on Offense


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#13
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wake Forest Run Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Wake Forest Pass Game


CategoryCat	WAKE Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
WAKE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'19 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'19 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Yankee Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan State 3.5 (50.5)
Michigan State won at Wake Forest this year (27-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

WAKE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD