Maryland at Michigan State - 2021 Matchup Preview

Maryland Terrapins at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, November 13th 2021 (4:00 PM EST)
Michigan State -11.5 (60.0)
Michigan State 40 - Maryland: 21 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (7 - 6) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (9 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -5 (SP+ MSU -5)
Projected Score: MD: 25 - MSU: 25 (50)
MSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
MD Travel: 471 miles

Spartans (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Mel Tucker (5 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Maryland vs West Virginia	+2.5	56.0	W 30 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Maryland vs Howard	-48.5	56.0	W 62 - 0	O	Y
Fri 9/17	Maryland at Illinois	-7.0	61.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/25	Maryland vs Kent State	-13.0	71.5	W 37 - 16	U	Y
Fri 10/1	Maryland vs Iowa	+3.0	47.5	L 14 - 51	O	N
Sat 10/9	Maryland at Ohio State	+22.0	71.5	L 17 - 66	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/23	Maryland at Minnesota	+4.0	53.0	L 16 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/30	Maryland vs Indiana	-3.5	48.0	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/6	Maryland vs Penn State	+10.0	56.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/13	Maryland at Michigan State	+11.5	60.0	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/20	Maryland vs Michigan	+16.0	58.5	L 18 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/27	Maryland at Rutgers	+2.0	53.0	W 40 - 16	O	Y
Wed 12/29	Maryland vs Virginia Tech	-4.0	55.0	W 54 - 10	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Michigan State's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Michigan State at Northwestern	+3.0	45.5	W 38 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Michigan State vs Youngstown State	-28.5	52.0	W 42 - 14	O	N
Sat 9/18	Michigan State at Miami	+7.0	57.5	W 38 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/25	Michigan State vs Nebraska	-3.5	55.0	W 23 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/2	Michigan State vs Western Kentucky	-10.5	66.5	W 48 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/9	Michigan State at Rutgers	-4.5	50.0	W 31 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Michigan State at Indiana	-3.5	48.5	W 20 - 15	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Michigan State vs Michigan	+4.0	50.5	W 37 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/6	Michigan State at Purdue	-2.5	53.0	L 29 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/13	Michigan State vs Maryland	-11.5	60.0	W 40 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Michigan State at Ohio State	+19.5	70.5	L 7 - 56	U	N
Sat 11/27	Michigan State vs Penn State	+3.5	51.5	W 30 - 27	O	Y
Thu 12/30	Michigan State vs Pittsburgh	-3.5	55.0	W 31 - 21	U	Y

Important Stats (2020)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	.18	38%	23.5	39%	2.76	143	39%	258	2.44	.21	42%	26.5	46%	37%	4.41	79	2.2	0.8
MSU	-.02	33%	24.6	28%	2.17	92	38%	239	2.49	.13	40%	29.9	38%	41%	3.71	65.1	2.9	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2020

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	5	23.5	17.5	38.5%	2.44	2.2	18	401	143	258	4.8	44%	56%	39%	39%	19%	.18
MSU Defense	7	29.9	27.8	39.6%	3.71	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	41%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	5	26.5	22.3	42.1%	4.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	45%	46%	37%	17%	.21
MSU Offense	7	24.6	24.8	33.2%	2.49	2.9	16	331	92	239	2.7	48%	52%	28%	38%	21%	-.02

Additional Stats 2020

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	5	24:19	18	38%	100%	8.8	79	2.2	0.8	6.6	2.6	0	27.8
Michigan State	7	27:14	16.1	33%	42%	6.9	65.1	2.9	1.4	6.1	1.7	0	25.7

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	5	44%	39%	29.6	143	4.8	5	.13	2.76	54%	12%	1.28
MSU Defense	7	48%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	2.42	64%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	5	55%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.15	75%	10%	1.08
MSU Offense	7	48%	28%	34	92.1	2.7	2	-.17	2.17	63%	13%	0.9

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	5	56%	39%	19.2	31.4	258.2	8.2	13.5	9	9	.22	1.8	33%	26%	.33	7%	2.6
MSU Defense	7	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	5	.26	1.5	33%	36%	.46	6%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	5	45%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.19	1.5	30%	37%	.42	6%	1.8
MSU Offense	7	52%	38%	18.9	34.7	238.9	6.9	12.7	11	12	.14	1.6	36%	23%		8%	1.8

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #33
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Maryland's 2021 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.2 #60
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #25
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.4 #74

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: Michigan State: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 6.2 Michigan State: 11.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan State's 2021 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #28
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #31
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #30

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 25
Michigan State 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Michigan State	38	Maryland	28	Michigan State -4.0	Michigan State	49.5	Over
2024	09/07	Maryland	24	Michigan State	27	Maryland -7.5	Michigan State	44.5	Over
2023	09/23	Michigan State	9	Maryland	31	Maryland -7	Maryland	52.5	Under
2022	10/01	Maryland	27	Michigan State	13	Maryland -7.5	Maryland	58.5	Under
2021	11/13	Michigan State	40	Maryland	21	Michigan State -11.5	Michigan State	60.0	Over
2019	11/30	Michigan State	19	Maryland	16	Michigan State -21.5	Maryland	47.5	Under
2018	11/03	Maryland	3	Michigan State	24	Michigan State -3	Michigan State	43.0	Under
2017	11/18	Michigan State	17	Maryland	7	Michigan State -14	Maryland	44.5	Under
2016	10/22	Maryland	28	Michigan State	17	Michigan State -2.5	Maryland	49.0	Under
2015	11/14	Michigan State	24	Maryland	7	Michigan State -16	Michigan State	54.0	Under
2014	11/15	Maryland	15	Michigan State	37	Michigan State -10.5	Michigan State	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	8	6	3 Overs
Maryland	3	5	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 4	5 - 6	4 - 3	1 - 3
Road Teams	4 - 7	6 - 5	3 - 1	3 - 4

(#) MD at (#) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#28
Perf GradeGrade	#94	#36
OffenseOff	#48	#26
DefenseDef	#115	#43
Spec TeamsST	#108	#126
TalentTal	#33	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Maryland Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#48	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#25	#30
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	#31	#20
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#104	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#109

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	#14	#91
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#21	#20
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#26	#115
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#74
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#51	#105
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#61	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#22	#113
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

MD 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 11
Michigan State -11.5 (60.0)
Michigan State won vs Maryland this year (40-21)

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Maryland last year (38-28)
Michigan State beat Maryland in 2024 (27-24)
Maryland beat Michigan State in 2023 (31-9)

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MSU's OC Jay Johnson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD