UCLA Bruins at Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI (Big Ten)
Bruins (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.8 - 11.2 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Tim Skipper (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 36 (23 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0.8 - 11.2 (#136)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 4) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Michigan State -17.5 (SP+ MSU -9)
Projected Score: UCLA: 19 - MSU: 36 (55)
MSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
UCLA Travel: 1902 miles, 3 hrs behind
Projected Score: UCLA: 19 - MSU: 36 (55)
MSU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
UCLA Travel: 1902 miles, 3 hrs behind
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| UCLA's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | UCLA vs Utah | +6.5 | 50.5 | L 10 - 43 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | UCLA at UNLV | -2.5 | 54.5 | L 23 - 30 | U | N | |
| Fri 9/12 | UCLA vs New Mexico | -15.5 | 52.5 | L 10 - 35 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/27 | UCLA vs Northwestern | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/4 | UCLA vs Penn State | +34.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | UCLA at Michigan State | +17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | UCLA vs Maryland | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | UCLA at Indiana | +29.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/8 | UCLA vs Nebraska | +21.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | UCLA at Ohio State | +39 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | UCLA vs Washington | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | UCLA at USC | +35 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Predictions for UCLA's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | #69 (.2) | 43% (70) | 14.3 | 43% (81) | 3.27 (38) | 122 | 44% (62) | 203 | 3.67 (86) | #129 (.4) | 57% (134) | 36 | 55% (131) | 61% (136) | 5.62 (133) | 91.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | #99 (.14) | 39% (112) | 34% (131) | 2.47 (132) | 87 | 43% (56) | 242 | 3.15 (123) | #68 (.16) | 46% (110) | 45% (83) | 47% (120) | 4.45 (123) | 68.9 | 1.4 | 1.1 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Offense | 3 | 14.3 | 23 | 43.4% | 3.67 | 1.3 | 19 | 325 | 122 | 203 | 4.6 | 43% | 56% | 43% | 44% | 15% | .2 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Defense | 3 | 36 | 30 | 57.4% | 5.62 | 0.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 60% | 40% | 55% | 61% | 7% | .4 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | 3 | 25:46 | 18.7 | 23% | 70% | 10 | 91.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0 | 24.9 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Offense | 3 | 43% (106) | 43% (81) | 26.7 | 122 | 4.6 | 1 (127) | .3 (30) | 3.27 (38) | 53% (123) | 9% (76) | 1.38 (12) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Defense | 3 | 60% (123) | 55% (131) | - | - | - | - | .24 (116) | 3.51 (129) | 92% (124) | 5% (130) | 0.77 (28) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Offense | 3 | 56% (30) | 44% (62) | 20.7 | 32.3 | 202.7 | 6.3 | 9.8 | 3 (90) | 3 (92) | .19 (94) | 1.2 (127) | 25% (22) | 32% (64) | .08 (119) | 6% (86) | 1.5 (124) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA Defense | 3 | 40% (14) | 61% (136) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 0 | .62 (131) | 1.4 (35) | 20% (135) | 44% (130) | .5 (114) | 2% (136) | 1.3 (5) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: -8.32 #102
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
UCLA's Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UCLA's Power Rating: -8.32 #102
UCLA's Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
UCLA's Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -8.32 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -4.6 Michigan State: 4.6
UCLA: -8.32 Michigan State: 11.015
SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: -4.6 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
UCLA Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 30
UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 36 PPG
Defense on Road: 30
UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan State 36
UCLA 19
Total Points: 55
Michigan State 36
UCLA 19
Total Points: 55
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| UCLA | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#102) UCLA Info
Power Rating: -8.32 #102
Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 57%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Awful Pass Def Success 61%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCLA has lost 5 straight
UCLA has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UCLA Notes
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
(8/27) Def lost top 11 tacklers and every DB starter
(8/22) Off will score points, but Def looks really meh
(8/22) New OC Sunseri (IU) a massive upgrade
(8/21) WR Kaedin Robinson ruled ineligible, big blow?
(6/6) WR 3 portals + Gilmer & Atimalala. Stock up
(6/6) DB added 9 portals. Will find CBs with sheer #'s
UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UCLA does not Sack the QB (#122)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA Does Not Stuff Runs (#134)
UCLA has a bad defensive line (#129)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)
Power Rating: -8.32 #102
Offense Rating: 13.35 #65
Defense Rating: 21.67 #125
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #85
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #89
Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #84
Talent Rating: 796.00 #54
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #37
Expected Record: 0.8 - 11.2
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 56%, Run: 43%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.67 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 57%
Awful in Scoring Position 5.62 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 55%
Awful Pass Def Success 61%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
UCLA has lost 5 straight
UCLA has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
UCLA Notes
(9/13) Outscored 30-0 in 1st quarter in 1st 3 games
(9/13) NM mauled Bruins Def up front. Run Off sucks
(9/13) 1st team on quit watch. 0-12 very much in play
(9/8) QB2 Clarkson arrested (9/8) serious charges
(8/27) Def lost top 11 tacklers and every DB starter
(8/22) Off will score points, but Def looks really meh
(8/22) New OC Sunseri (IU) a massive upgrade
(8/21) WR Kaedin Robinson ruled ineligible, big blow?
(6/6) WR 3 portals + Gilmer & Atimalala. Stock up
(6/6) DB added 9 portals. Will find CBs with sheer #'s
UCLA Highlights
UCLA defense does not give up big plays (#15)
UCLA defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)
UCLA Deficiencies
UCLA has a really bad Offense
UCLA Can Not Run the Ball (#102)
UCLA Commits a Lot of Penalties (#133)
UCLA offense is bad on 3rd Downs
UCLA Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
UCLA does not Sack the QB (#122)
UCLA has a bad defense (#134)
UCLA Does Not Stuff Runs (#134)
UCLA has a bad defensive line (#129)
UCLA has a bad red zone defense (#133)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | UCLA |
| OverallOver | #25 | #94 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #93 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #96 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #75 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #46 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #73 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #92 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #114 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #73 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #92 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #83 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #86 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #108 |
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 2 straight
Michigan State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 11.015 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 2 straight
Michigan State has won 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State is Undefeated at Home
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Iamaleava (Tr) | 62 | 97 | 64% | 608 | 3 | 3 | 6.3 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nico Iamaleava (Tr) | 30 | 139 | 1 | 4.6 | 30 |
| Anthony Woods (Tr) | 21 | 117 | 0 | 5.6 | 33 |
| Jaivian Thomas (Tr) | 16 | 74 | 0 | 4.6 | 32 |
| Jalen Berger | 13 | 36 | 0 | 2.8 | 20 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kwazi Gilmer | 16 | 174 | 0 | 10.9 | 21 |
| Mikey Matthews (Tr) | 10 | 123 | 0 | 12.3 | 32 |
| Anthony Woods (Tr) | 10 | 91 | 1 | 9.1 | 19 |
| Titus Mokiao-Atimalala | 5 | 57 | 1 | 11.4 | 15 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Chisom (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| JonJon Vaughns | 35 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Key Lawrence (Tr) | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Cole Martin (Tr) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kechaun Bennett (Tr) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Jones (Tr) | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Isaiah Chisom (Tr) | 37 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| A.J. Fuimaono | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Martin (Tr) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kanye Clark | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Rodrick Pleasant (Tr) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |