UCLA at Michigan State Game Matchup

Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI (Big Ten)

Bruins (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach DeShaun Foster (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 18 - 25 (21 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.9 - 7.1 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)

Our Line: Michigan State -3 (SP+ UCLA -3)
Projected Score: UCLA: 21 - MSU: 24 (44)
MSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
UCLA Travel: 1902 miles, 3 hrs behind

Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
UCLA Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UCLA's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	UCLA vs Utah	+3.5	50.5
Sat 9/6	UCLA at UNLV	-5.5
Sat 9/13	UCLA vs New Mexico	-21.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	UCLA vs Northwestern	-2.5
Sat 10/4	UCLA vs Penn State	+23.5
Sat 10/11	UCLA at Michigan State	+3
Sat 10/18	UCLA vs Maryland	-8
Sat 10/25	UCLA at Indiana	+12.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	UCLA vs Nebraska	+6.5
Sat 11/15	UCLA at Ohio State	+31
Sat 11/22	UCLA vs Washington	+3
Sat 11/29	UCLA at USC	+10.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UCLA's Schedule

Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Michigan State vs Western Michigan	-17.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Michigan State vs Boston College	-3
Sat 9/13	Michigan State vs Youngstown State	-26.5
Sat 9/20	Michigan State at USC	+10.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Michigan State at Nebraska	+11
Sat 10/11	Michigan State vs UCLA	-3
Sat 10/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+12
Sat 10/25	Michigan State vs Michigan	+15.5
Sat 11/1	Michigan State at Minnesota	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Michigan State vs Penn State	+23.5
Sat 11/22	Michigan State at Iowa	+11
Sat 11/29	Michigan State vs Maryland	-8.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA	#99 (.14)	39% (112)	18.4	34% (131)	2.47 (132)	87	43% (56)	242	3.15 (123)	#68 (.16)	46% (110)	25.3	45% (83)	47% (120)	4.45 (123)	68.9	1.4	1.1
MSU	#105 (.13)	42% (86)	19.3	45% (50)	2.76 (109)	118	38% (107)	218	3.34 (116)	#85 (.19)	42% (69)	26.1	39% (25)	45% (111)	4.06 (98)	63.3	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UCLA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Offense	12	18.4	20.8	39%	3.15	1.4	18	329	87	242	3.1	41%	59%	34%	43%	17%	.14
MSU Defense	12	26.1	24.7	41.7%	4.06	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	50%	50%	39%	45%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UCLA Defense	12	25.3	26.2	45.9%	4.45	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	43%	57%	45%	47%	18%	.16
MSU Offense	12	19.3	20.4	41.6%	3.34	1.6	19	337	118	218	3.7	50%	50%	45%	38%	18%	.13

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UCLA	12	31:07	18	43%	50%	8.2	68.9	1.4	1.1	5.3	1.8	2	27.8
Michigan State	12	30:54	18.8	38%	52%	6.7	63.3	1.6	0.9	5.5	1.6	1	26.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Offense	12	41% (122)	34% (131)	28	86.9	3.1	4 (133)	-.05 (129)	2.47 (132)	70% (87)	10% (85)	0.94 (84)
MSU Defense	12	50% (56)	39% (25)	-	-	-	-	.06 (36)	2.8 (37)	67% (29)	10% (64)	1.01 (80)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UCLA Defense	12	43% (2)	45% (83)	-	-	-	-	.05 (30)	2.92 (52)	78% (101)	10% (68)	0.72 (2)
MSU Offense	12	50% (74)	45% (50)	32.4	118.4	3.7	11 (116)	.02 (116)	2.76 (109)	74% (66)	12% (112)	0.82 (126)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Offense	12	59% (12)	43% (56)	21.6	33.2	242.2	7.3	11.2	17 (79)	11 (72)	.26 (62)	1.5 (95)	36% (126)	36% (21)	.42 (30)	7% (99)	1.9 (102)
MSU Defense	12	50% (79)	45% (111)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.34 (111)	1.7 (101)	32% (70)	35% (118)	.43 (111)	4% (121)	2.1 (74)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UCLA Defense	12	57% (132)	47% (120)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (66)	.26 (82)	1.4 (15)	30% (100)	33% (106)	.31 (70)	8% (8)	2 (53)
MSU Offense	12	50% (61)	38% (107)	17.7	29.5	218.1	7.4	12.3	13 (116)	13 (103)	.24 (79)	1.6 (57)	33% (106)	25% (122)	.18 (113)	6% (63)	2 (80)

UCLA's Power Ratings
UCLA's Power Rating: 2.62 #59
UCLA's Offense Rating: 15.55 #59
UCLA's Defense Rating: 12.93 #60
2025 Talent Rating: 892.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
UCLA's 2025 Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1
UCLA's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #51
UCLA's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
UCLA's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 2.62 Michigan State: 5.575

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UCLA: 2.9 Michigan State: -0.2

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 5.575 #49
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

UCLA Scoring
Offense: 18.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.8
Defense: 25.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

UCLA's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan State 24
UCLA 21

Projected Total Points: 44

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	0	0	0 Overs
UCLA	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#59) UCLA Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 2.62 #59
Offense Rating: 15.55 #59
Defense Rating: 12.93 #60
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.9 #51
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.5 #72
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7 #37
Talent Rating: 892.00 #20
Blue Chip Ratio: 10% #37
Expected Record: 4.9 - 7.1

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.15 PPO
Awful Run Success 34%
Avg Pass Success 43%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.45 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UCLA Notes
(5/23) New OC Sunseri (IU) good hire, Bieniemy fired
(5/21) WR 3 portal adds, have exp, talent. Decent
(5/21) DT looks bad, DE added 3 but pass rush ?
(5/21) DB added 9 portals. Pass Def awful LY
(5/21) Def big step back under DC Ikaika Malloe LY
(5/21) Wk 2 UNLV game a must win for morale
(5/21) QB Nico (Tenn) in, Aguilar (QB1 in spring) gone
(5/21) RB rebuild. Thomas (Cal) best add, Berger health?
(5/21) OL 2/5 back. 4 portals, biggest ? on roster

UCLA Ratings Matchup Michigan State

Power #59

#49

Off #59

#53

Def #60

#36

Talent #20

#37

SP+ #51

#64

SP+ Off #72

#107

SP+ Def #37

#32

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UCLA | MSU
Depth Chart: UCLA | MSU
Rosters: UCLA | MSU

(#49) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 5.575 #49
Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Michigan State Notes
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
(5/21) If Chiles improves they have WR/TE weapons
(5/21) Def 14 portal adds, 5 DL & 7 DBs
(5/7) WR Fr Marsh big find LY, sneaky great portal adds
(5/7) OL 2/5 back. Awful LY, 3 portal adds, Moore huge
(5/7) RB - Tullis & Frazier lead, not much exp. 1 portal
(4/4) TE Velling a big target, top 10 TE via PFF
(3/19) Def OK LY, need playmakers/pass rush
(3/19) Year 2 for HC Smith, need to show progress
(3/18) QB Chiles must improve, limit TO's

UCLA's OC Tino Sunseri

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	213	334	64%	2616	19	5	7.8
Pierce Clarkson (Tr)	3	4	75%	11	0	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaivian Thomas (Tr)	100	626	7	6.3	75
Nico Iamaleava (Tr)	109	364	3	3.3	31
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18
Anthony Frias II	15	47	0	3.1	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kaedin Robinson (Tr)	53	840	2	15.8	50
Kwazi Gilmer	31	345	2	11.1	48
Titus Mokiao-Atimalala	28	294	1	10.5	28
Mikey Matthews (Tr)	34	292	1	8.6	46

View UCLA's Full Roster

UCLA's DC Ikaika Malloe

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Isaiah Chisom (Tr)	75	5	0	2	0
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5
Ramon Henderson	33	1	1	2	4
Benjamin Perry (Tr)	28	3	1	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Anthony Jones (Tr)	25	4	2	5	0
Devin Aupiu	15	5	2	1	1
Luke Schuermann	8	2	1	0	0
Ramon Henderson	33	1	1	2	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryan Addison	43	1	0	0	5
Ramon Henderson	33	1	1	2	4
Andre Jordan	27	2	0	0	4

Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Aidan Chiles	192	324	59%	2415	13	12	7.5
Alessio Milivojevic	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Aidan Chiles	96	234	3	2.4	26
Nick Marsh	4	23	0	5.8	11
Makhi Frazier	7	21	0	3.0	8
Brandon Tullis	7	20	0	2.9	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)	53	869	4	16.4	71
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)	40	705	9	17.6	68
Nick Marsh	41	649	3	15.8	77
Jack Velling	36	411	1	11.4	34

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikai Martinez	51	3	0	1	2
Malik Spencer	44	1	0	0	2
Tracy Revels (Tr)	40	0	0	2	1
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3
Isaac Smith (Tr)	31	4	3	1	0
Alex VanSumeren	16	3	2	0	0
Ben Roberts	8	2	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)	24	2	1	1	5
David Santiago (Tr)	37	5	4	2	3
Malcolm Bell (Tr)	26	1	0	0	3