Michigan State at Iowa Game Matchup
Michigan State logo Michigan State Spartans at Iowa HawkeyesIowa logo
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Kinnick Stadium - Iowa City, IA  (Big Ten)

 
Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.1 - 6.9 (#91)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Our Line: Iowa -11   (SP+ IOWA -12)
Projected Score: MSU: 18 - IOWA: 29 (46)
IOWA Win prob: 78% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 369 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Hawkeyes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 28 - 18 (33 - 13 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.8 - 5.2 (#60)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 7) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
 
Michigan State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Western Michigan-17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Michigan State vs Boston College-3
Sat 9/13 Michigan State vs Youngstown State-26.5
Sat 9/20 Michigan State at USC+10.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Michigan State at Nebraska+11
Sat 10/11 Michigan State vs UCLA-3
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana+12
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan+15.5
Sat 11/1 Michigan State at Minnesota+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Michigan State vs Penn State+23.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan State at Iowa+11
Sat 11/29 Michigan State vs Maryland-8.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Iowa vs UAlbany-35
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+2
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-36.5
Sat 9/20 Iowa at Rutgers-2.5
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana-1
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-1.5
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State+15
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-4.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+13
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+2
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-11
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska+3

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 7, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)19.345% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)26.139% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)27.744% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)17.846% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
IOWA0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1219.317.841.6%3.341.6193371182183.750%50%45%38%18%.13
IOWA Defense1317.81342%3.371.8 - - - - - 46%54%46%39%17%.11
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1226.12841.7%4.060.9 - - - - - 50%50%39%45%14%.19
IOWA Offense1327.733.142.3%3.770.8153061851215.262%37%44%40%13%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1230:5418.838%52%6.763.31.60.95.51.6126.3
Iowa1327:0515.441%50%2.826.30.81.84.52.1233.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1250% (74)45% (50)32.4118.43.711 (116).02 (116)2.76 (109)74% (66)12% (112)0.82 (126)
IOWA Defense1346% (17)46% (97) - - - - .07 (38)3.07 (84)84% (126)10% (68)0.68 (1)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1250% (56)39% (25) - - - - .06 (36)2.8 (37)67% (29)10% (64)1.01 (80)
IOWA Offense1362% (7)44% (63)35.51855.229 (18).13 (71)2.92 (89)62% (120)10% (76)1.02 (47)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1250% (61)38% (107)17.729.5218.17.412.313 (116)13 (103).24 (79)1.6 (57)33% (106)25% (122).18 (113)6% (63)2 (80)
IOWA Defense1354% (118)39% (51) - - - - - - 16 (10).18 (39)1.5 (36)32% (76)28% (36).24 (39)7% (27)1.8 (7)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1250% (79)45% (111) - - - - - - 9 (76).34 (111)1.7 (101)32% (70)35% (118).43 (111)4% (121)2.1 (74)
IOWA Offense1337% (129)40% (94)11.518.6121.56.510.69 (128)7 (26).21 (93)1.5 (93)26% (4)28% (99).2 (108)3% (7)2 (72)

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 6.35 #49
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
2025 Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 6.35   Iowa: 13.93

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -0.2   Iowa: 11.4




Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 13.93 #31
Iowa's Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Iowa's Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
2025 Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.44
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 29
Michigan State 18

Projected Total Points: 46
Iowa Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.1
Defense: 17.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 13

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Michigan State32Iowa20Michigan StateIowa -7Michigan State39.5Over
202309/30Iowa26Michigan State16IowaIowa -10Push36.5Over
202011/07Iowa49Michigan State7IowaIowa -5.5Iowa46.0Over
201709/30Michigan State17Iowa10Michigan StateMichigan State -3.5Michigan State44.5Under
201512/05Iowa13Michigan State16Michigan StateMichigan State -4Iowa50.0Under
201310/05Iowa14Michigan State26Michigan StateIowa -2Michigan State0
201210/13Michigan State16Iowa19Iowa
201111/12Iowa21Michigan State37Michigan State
201010/30Iowa37Michigan State6Iowa
200910/24Michigan State13Iowa15Iowa
200810/04Michigan State16Iowa13Michigan State
200710/27Iowa34Michigan State27Iowa
200410/02Iowa38Michigan State16Iowa
200309/27Michigan State20Iowa10Michigan State
200210/12Iowa44Michigan State16Iowa
200110/13Michigan State31Iowa28Michigan State
200010/06Iowa21Michigan State16Iowa
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Iowa923 Overs
Michigan State832 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 54 - 12 - 12 - 0
Road Teams5 - 121 - 40 - 21 - 2

(#49) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 6.35 #49
Offense Rating: 16.21 #53
Defense Rating: 9.86 #36
Overall SP+ Rating: -0.2 #64
Offense SP+ Rating: 21.6 #107
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #32
Talent Rating: 828.00 #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #34
Expected Record: 5.1 - 6.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Michigan State Notes
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
(5/21) If Chiles improves they have WR/TE weapons
(5/21) Def 14 portal adds, 5 DL & 7 DBs
(5/7) WR Fr Marsh big find LY, sneaky great portal adds
(5/7) OL 2/5 back. Awful LY, 3 portal adds, Moore huge
(5/7) RB - Tullis & Frazier lead, not much exp. 1 portal
(4/4) TE Velling a big target, top 10 TE via PFF
(3/19) Def OK LY, need playmakers/pass rush
(3/19) Year 2 for HC Smith, need to show progress
(3/18) QB Chiles must improve, limit TO's
Michigan State     Ratings Matchup     Iowa
Power #49
#31
Off #53
#44
Def #36
#25
Talent #37
#36
SP+ #64
#28
SP+ Off #107
#68
SP+ Def #32
#10

Previous Matchups
Michigan State beat Iowa last year (32-20)
Iowa beat Michigan State in 2023 (26-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MSU | IOWA
Depth Chart: MSU | IOWA
Rosters: MSU | IOWA
(#31) Iowa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.93 #31
Offense Rating: 18.30 #44
Defense Rating: 6.84 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: 11.4 #28
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.9 #68
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.5 #10
Talent Rating: 832.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #34
Expected Record: 6.8 - 5.2

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 62%, Pass: 37%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.77 PPO
Avg Run Success 44%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Good in Scoring Position 3.37 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Avg Pass Def Success 39%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Iowa Notes
(5/21) WRs bad LY, only 1 portal add (FCS)? No obv TE
(5/21) LB a big ? this year. Not one has 100 snaps
(5/2) DT Graves/ S Nwankpa both top 10 via PFF
(4/4) OL 3/5 back. Good not great LY, have options
(4/4) OL G L Jones/T G Dunker top 10 via PFF
(3/31) QB Gronowski (SDSU) big add. Surgery ?'s
(3/31) TE Ostrenga was hurt LY, but staff high, jump TY?
(3/19) RB replacing Johnson (1.5k), who's next?
(3/19) Def always good, but new LB's needed
(3/19) Talent #'s higher than exp. Ferentz HOF HC


  
Michigan State's OC Brian Lindgren
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Chiles19232459%241513127.5
Alessio Milivojevic010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Aidan Chiles9623432.426
Nick Marsh42305.811
Makhi Frazier72103.08
Brandon Tullis72002.99
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Chrishon Mccray (Tr)40705917.668
Nick Marsh41649315.877
Jack Velling36411111.434

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Joe Rossi
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nikai Martinez513012
Malik Spencer441002
Tracy Revels (Tr)400021
David Santiago (Tr)375423
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Isaac Smith (Tr)314310
Alex VanSumeren163200
Ben Roberts82100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Eaton (Tr)242115
David Santiago (Tr)375423
Malcolm Bell (Tr)261003

Iowa's OC Tim Lester
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)19432260%25702178.0
Hank Brown (Tr)274363%403639.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton8447335.668
Mark Gronowski (Tr)9337684.020
Jaziun Patterson6330924.939
Terrell Washington Jr.123402.89
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacob Gill35411211.759
Reece Vander Zee14176312.619
Zach Ortwerth11133012.152
Addison Ostrenga1511417.629

View Iowa's Full Roster
Iowa's DC Phil Parker
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Deshaun Lee421004
Xavier Nwankpa410001
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ethan Hurkett5612720
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673
Jonah Pace (Tr)3411462
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deshaun Lee421004
Aaron Graves338623
Max Llewellyn228673