Michigan State at Rutgers - 2023 Matchup Preview

Michigan State Spartans at Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Rutgers -4 (38.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Rutgers 27 - Michigan State: 24 (Big Ten)

Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Heavy Rain Predicted
MSU coming off BYE
RUTG is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Rutgers -9.5 (SP+ RUTG -9)
Projected Score: MSU: 18 - RUTG: 27 (50)
RUTG Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 539 miles

Scarlet Knights (7 - 6) (7 - 4 - 2)
Coach Greg Schiano (15 - 22)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (30 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 7.2 (#81)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MSU Players
RUTG Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-14.0	45.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Richmond	-29.5	43.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Michigan State vs Washington	+14.5	57.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Maryland	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State at Iowa	+10.0	36.5	L 16 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Rutgers	+4.0	38.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Michigan	+25.5	47.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Minnesota	+6.5	41.5	L 12 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+3.0	34.5	W 20 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+30.5	48.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+3.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Michigan State vs Penn State	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 42	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Rutgers's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 9/3	Rutgers vs Northwestern	-5.0	39.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Rutgers vs Temple	-7.5	43.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Rutgers vs Virginia Tech	-6.5	37.5	W 35 - 16	O	Y
Sat 9/23	Rutgers at Michigan	+24.0	44.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Rutgers vs Wagner	-46.0	52.5	W 52 - 3	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Rutgers at Wisconsin	+12.5	44.0	L 13 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/14	Rutgers vs Michigan State	-4.0	38.5	W 27 - 24	O	N
Sat 10/21	Rutgers at Indiana	-6.0	39.5	W 31 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Rutgers vs Ohio State	+19.0	42.5	L 16 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Rutgers at Iowa	-2.5	27.5	L 0 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Rutgers at Penn State	+19.5	39.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/25	Rutgers vs Maryland	+2.0	45.5	L 24 - 42	O	N
Thu 12/28	Rutgers vs Miami	-3.0	41.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.14	40%	19.3	39%	2.7	113	42%	240	3.77	.26	46%	26.1	43%	49%	3.81	54.5	1.3	1.3
RUTG	.05	37%	28.9	41%	3.01	127	34%	154	3.32	.14	42%	25.4	45%	39%	3.86	64.2	1.7	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
RUTG		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	12	19.3	17.8	39.9%	3.77	1.3	20	353	113	240	3.8	44%	55%	39%	42%	16%	.14
RUTG Defense	12	25.4	25.1	41.7%	3.86	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	45%	39%	20%	.14

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	12	26.1	28	45.8%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	49%	15%	.26
RUTG Offense	12	28.9	30	37.4%	3.32	1.7	15	281	127	154	3.5	53%	47%	41%	34%	19%	.05

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	12	26:12	20.1	39%	43%	5.8	54.5	1.3	1.3	6.3	2.4	1	28.1
Rutgers	12	29:11	14.8	28%	53%	7.8	64.2	1.7	1.4	5.5	1.7	3	27.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	12	44%	39%	30.1	113	3.8	16	.05	2.7	63%	9%	0.96
RUTG Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	2.8	69%	11%	0.9

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	63%	11%	0.96
RUTG Offense	12	53%	41%	36	126.9	3.5	11	-.01	3.01	74%	13%	0.71

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	12	55%	42%	21.5	34.3	240	7	11.2	23	12	.24	1.5	32%	31%	.28	7%	2
RUTG Defense	12	51%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.17	1.5	33%	26%	.12	9%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.45	1.6	29%	35%	.48	4%	2.1
RUTG Offense	12	47%	34%	14	27.7	154.3	5.6	11	11	14	.12	1.7	34%	21%	.11	7%	2.3

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -5.38 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -5.38 Rutgers: 3.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -6.9 Rutgers: 2.3

Rutgers's Power Ratings
Rutgers's Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Rutgers's Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Rutgers's Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
2023 Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Rutgers's 2023 Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20
Rutgers's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Rutgers's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Rutgers's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Rutgers 27
Michigan State 18

Projected Total Points: 50

Rutgers Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 30
Defense: 25.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Rutgers's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 2
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/30	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	41	Rutgers	Michigan State -1.5	Rutgers	46.5	Over
2023	10/14	Rutgers	27	Michigan State	24	Rutgers	Rutgers -4	Michigan State	38.5	Over
2022	11/12	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	21	Michigan State	Michigan State -10.0	Rutgers	41.0	Over
2021	10/09	Rutgers	13	Michigan State	31	Michigan State	Michigan State -4.5	Michigan State	50.0	Under
2020	10/24	Michigan State	27	Rutgers	38	Rutgers	Michigan State -9.5	Rutgers	45.0	Over
2019	11/23	Rutgers	0	Michigan State	27	Michigan State	Michigan State -22.5	Michigan State	43.5	Under
2018	11/24	Michigan State	14	Rutgers	10	Michigan State	Michigan State -24.5	Rutgers	37.0	Under
2017	11/25	Rutgers	7	Michigan State	40	Michigan State	Michigan State -14	Michigan State	42.5	Over
2016	11/12	Michigan State	49	Rutgers	0	Michigan State	Michigan State -15.5	Michigan State	53.5	Under
2015	10/10	Rutgers	24	Michigan State	31	Michigan State	Michigan State -17	Rutgers	56.0	Under
2014	11/22	Michigan State	45	Rutgers	3	Michigan State	Michigan State -22	Michigan State	0
2004	09/04	Rutgers	19	Michigan State	14	Rutgers
2003	09/06	Michigan State	44	Rutgers	28	Michigan State

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Rutgers	4	5	5 Overs
Michigan State	9	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 6	3 - 8	2 - 5	1 - 3
Road Teams	6 - 7	8 - 3	3 - 1	5 - 2

(#92) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -5.38 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18% #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Michigan State Ratings Matchup Rutgers

Power #92

#64

Off #127

#92

Def #82

#59

Talent #36

#39

SP+ #86

#59

SP+ Off #122

#98

SP+ Def #47

#21

Rematch from Week 7
Rutgers -4.0 (38.5)
Rutgers won vs Michigan State this year (27-24)

Previous Matchups
Rutgers beat Michigan State last year (41-14)
Rutgers beat Michigan State in 2023 (27-24)
Michigan State beat Rutgers in 2022 (27-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in SHI Stadium
Conditions: Heavy Rain
Temp: 52°Rain: 0.079

Team Information
Injuries: MSU | RUTG
Depth Chart: MSU | RUTG
Rosters: MSU | RUTG

(#64) Rutgers Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 3.5 #64
Offense Rating: 13.71 #92
Defense Rating: 8.88 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 2.3 #59
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.9 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.8 #21
Talent Rating: 734.00 #39
Blue Chip Ratio: 8 #53
Expected Record: 5.80 - 7.20

Team Profile

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Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Nathan Carter (Tr)	116	499	5	4.3	60
Sam Leavitt	110	443	5	4.0	40
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montorie Foster	46	588	3	12.8	40
Christian Fitzpatrick	34	576	6	16.9	69
Maliq Carr	19	186	1	9.8	23
Jordan Simmons	21	183	0	8.7	52

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cal Haladay	58	5	1	0	1
Angelo Grose	50	4	1	0	2
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Simeon Barrow Jr.	30	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Khris Bogle	37	8	4	6	0
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Pleasant III	11	0	0	0	5
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2

Rutgers's OC Kirk Ciarrocca

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Evan Simon	181	308	59%	2032	15	9	6.6
Gavin Wimsatt	16	39	41%	287	3	4	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kyle Monangai	256	1279	13	5.0	62
Gavin Wimsatt	49	183	2	3.7	24
Aaron Young	23	119	2	5.2	24
Evan Simon	87	20	3	0.2	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Max Patterson	25	286	0	11.4	39
Christian Dremel	12	162	1	13.5	36
Kyle Monangai	14	75	1	5.4	14
Aaron Young	2	39	0	19.5	37

View Rutgers's Full Roster

Rutgers's DC Joe Harasymiak

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	0	4
Tyreem Powell	56	4	0	3	2
Desmond Igbinosun	54	4	0	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kyonte Hamilton	32	5	4	3	1
Aaron Lewis	27	4	3	6	2
Rene Konga	20	3	3	2	0
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	0	5

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
Robert Longerbeam	42	2	0	11
Shaquan Loyal	75	5	1	5
Michael Dixon (Tr)	60	0	0	4