Michigan State at Oregon - 2018 Matchup Preview

Monday, December 31st 2018 (3:00 PM EST)
Michigan State -1 (47.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Oregon 7 - Michigan State: 6

Spartans (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2 (SP+ MSU -4)
Projected Score: MSU: 20 - ORE: 36 (56)
MSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
MSU Travel: 1999 miles, 3 hrs ahead

Ducks (9 - 4) (5 - 8 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (43 - 17 @ Home)
'18 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
MSU Players
ORE Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Michigan State's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/31	Michigan State vs Utah State	-23.5	52.5	W 38 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/8	Michigan State at Arizona State	-4.5	54.0	L 13 - 16	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/22	Michigan State at Indiana	-5.5	51.0	W 35 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/29	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-27.5	46.0	W 31 - 20	O	N
Sat 10/6	Michigan State vs Northwestern	-10.5	43.0	L 19 - 29	O	N
Sat 10/13	Michigan State at Penn State	+13.5	53.5	W 21 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Michigan State vs Michigan	+7.5	38.5	L 7 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/27	Michigan State vs Purdue	+2.5	48.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/3	Michigan State at Maryland	-3.0	43.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/10	Michigan State vs Ohio State	+3.0	50.0	L 6 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/17	Michigan State at Nebraska	+1.5	48.5	L 6 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/24	Michigan State vs Rutgers	-24.5	37.0	W 14 - 10	U	N
Mon 12/31	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Oregon's 2018 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/1	Oregon vs Bowling Green	-34.5	71.0	W 58 - 24	O	N
Sat 9/8	Oregon vs Portland State	-49.5
Sat 9/15	Oregon vs San José State	-42.5	70.5	W 35 - 22	U	N
Sat 9/22	Oregon vs Stanford	+2.5	59.0	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/29	Oregon at California	-2.0	58.5	W 42 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/13	Oregon vs Washington	+3.5	59.0	W 30 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/20	Oregon at Washington State	+3.0	70.0	L 20 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/27	Oregon at Arizona	-7.5	64.5	L 15 - 44	U	N
Sat 11/3	Oregon vs UCLA	-10.5	59.5	W 42 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/10	Oregon at Utah	+5.5	51.0	L 25 - 32	O	N
Sat 11/17	Oregon vs Arizona State	-3.5	64.0	W 31 - 29	U	N
Fri 11/23	Oregon at Oregon State	-18.0	71.0	W 55 - 15	U	Y
Mon 12/31	Oregon vs Michigan State	+1.0	47.0	W 7 - 6	U	Y

Important Stats (2017)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU	.13	43%	24.6	40%	2.77	168	44%	215	3	.07	38%	29.9	35%	38%	2.98	59.1	1.5	1.8
ORE	.2	46%	36.9	47%	3.1	251	42%	190	4.43	.1	38%	17.9	38%	37%	3.41	88.3	1.9	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2017

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Offense	13	24.6	21.6	43.1%	3	1.5	22	383	168	215	4	54%	45%	40%	44%	15%	.13
ORE Defense	13	17.9	16.8	38.5%	3.41	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	38%	37%	20%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MSU Defense	13	29.9	32.8	37.9%	2.98	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	44%	55%	35%	38%	18%	.07
ORE Offense	13	36.9	43.1	45.8%	4.43	1.9	22	441	251	190	5.2	63%	36%	47%	42%	14%	.2

Additional Stats 2017

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Michigan State	13	35:18	21.6	45%	58%	6.5	59.1	1.5	1.8	5	2.2	1	30.9
Oregon	13	28:14	21.8	41%	41%	9.4	88.3	1.9	1.8	7.2	2.5	3	33.1

Run Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Offense	13	54%	40%	42	167.8	4	18	.01	2.77	66%	10%	0.86
ORE Defense	13	45%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.43	65%	12%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MSU Defense	13	44%	35%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.45	67%	10%	0.89
ORE Offense	13	63%	47%	48.3	251	5.2	40	.16	3.1	72%	11%	0.93

Pass Game Stats (2018)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Offense	13	45%	44%	19	32.6	215.2	6.6	11.3	20	8	.29	1.6	30%	39%	.3	5%	1.7
ORE Defense	13	53%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.2	1.7	36%	31%	.3	8%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MSU Defense	13	55%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	14	.15	1.5	35%	29%	.22	7%	1.8
ORE Offense	13	36%	42%	15.6	23.9	189.9	7.9	12.2	18	12	.31	1.7	29%	32%	.33	3%	1.8

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2018 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.5 #30
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.0 #111
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 10.8 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: Oregon: 3.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: 11.5 Oregon: 7.3

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 3.65 NR
Oregon's Offense Rating: NR
Oregon's Defense Rating: NR
2018 Talent Rating: #26
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Oregon's 2018 Expected Record: -
Oregon's 2018 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.3 #41
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.7 #31
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.8 #50

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2018 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 36
Michigan State 20

Projected Total Points: 56

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.1
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.8

Oregon's 2018 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 5 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/04	Oregon	31	Michigan State	10	Oregon -22.5	Michigan State	53.0	Under
2018	12/31	Oregon	7	Michigan State	6	Michigan State -1	Oregon	47.0	Under
2015	09/12	Michigan State	31	Oregon	28	Michigan State -5	Oregon	66.0	Under
2014	09/06	Oregon	46	Michigan State	27	Oregon -11	Oregon	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Oregon	3	3	0 Overs
Michigan State	1	1	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 1	2 - 1

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	N/A	Michigan State vs Oregon	-1.0	47.0	L 6 - 7
2017	Holiday Bowl	Michigan State vs Washington State	-2.5	47.5	W 42 - 17
2015	CFP Semifinal	Michigan State vs Alabama	+9.5		L 0 - 38
2014	Cotton Bowl	Michigan State vs Baylor	+3.0	68.0	W 42 - 41
2013	Rose Bowl	Michigan State vs Stanford	+6.5	41.0	W 24 - 20
2012	Wings Bowl	Michigan State vs TCU			W 17 - 16

Oregon Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2018	N/A	Oregon vs Michigan State	+1.0	47.0	W 7 - 6
2017	Vegas Bowl	Oregon vs Boise State	-7.0	63.0	L 28 - 38
2015	Alamo Bowl	Oregon vs TCU	-7.5	73.5	L 41 - 47
2014	CFP Nat'l Title	Oregon vs Ohio State	-5.5	72.0	L 20 - 42
2014	CFP Semifinal	Oregon vs Florida State	-7.5	74.0	W 59 - 20
2013	Alamo Bowl	Oregon vs Texas	-14.5	67.0	W 30 - 7
2012	Fiesta Bowl	Oregon vs Kansas State			W 35 - 17

(#) MSU at (#) ORE

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MSU	ORE
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#30	#41
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#34	#26
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Michigan State Injury Report

Oregon Injury Report

Michigan State on Offense


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#50
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan State Run Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game


CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Oregon on Offense


CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#31	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Oregon Run Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game


CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ORE 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

MSU 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'18 Profile: Down to Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Levi's Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Michigan State 1.0 (47.0)
Oregon won vs Michigan State this year (7-6)

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Michigan State in 2024 (31-10)

MSU's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ORE's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD