Michigan State Spartans at Michigan Wolverines
Saturday, October 26th 2024 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -3.5 (39.0) (-155) Open: -22.0
Michigan 24 - Michigan State: 17 (Big Ten)
Spartans (5 - 7) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (18 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Our Line: Michigan -14 (SP+ MICH -15)
Projected Score: MSU: 14 - MICH: 28 (44)
MICH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Projected Score: MSU: 14 - MICH: 28 (44)
MICH Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
MSU Travel: 49 miles
Wolverines (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Coach Sherrone Moore (1 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (27 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8 - 5 (#42)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
| Michigan State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/30 | Michigan State vs Florida Atlantic | -12.0 | 45.0 | W 16 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Michigan State at Maryland | +7.5 | 44.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Michigan State vs Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | 53.5 | W 40 - 0 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Michigan State at Boston College | +4.5 | 45.5 | L 19 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Michigan State vs Ohio State | +23.5 | 48.5 | L 7 - 38 | U | N | |
| Fri 10/4 | Michigan State at Oregon | +22.5 | 53.0 | L 10 - 31 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Michigan State vs Iowa | +7.0 | 39.5 | W 32 - 20 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Michigan State at Michigan | +3.5 | 39.0 | L 17 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Michigan State vs Indiana | +7.5 | 53.5 | L 10 - 47 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Michigan State at Illinois | +2.0 | 47.5 | L 16 - 38 | O | N | |
| Fri 11/22 | Michigan State vs Purdue | -14.0 | 49.0 | W 24 - 17 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Michigan State vs Rutgers | -1.5 | 46.5 | L 14 - 41 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Michigan vs Fresno State | -21.0 | 48.0 | W 30 - 10 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | Michigan vs Texas | +7.0 | 42.0 | L 12 - 31 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Michigan vs Arkansas State | -22.0 | 47.5 | W 28 - 18 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Michigan vs USC | +4.0 | 44.0 | W 27 - 24 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/28 | Michigan vs Minnesota | -10.5 | 34.5 | W 27 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Michigan at Washington | +1.5 | 39.5 | L 17 - 27 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Michigan at Illinois | -6.0 | 44.0 | L 7 - 21 | U | N | |
| Sat 10/26 | Michigan vs Michigan State | -3.5 | 39.0 | W 24 - 17 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Michigan vs Oregon | +14.5 | 45.5 | L 17 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | Michigan at Indiana | +14.5 | 47.5 | L 15 - 20 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Michigan vs Northwestern | -10.5 | 35.5 | W 50 - 6 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Michigan at Ohio State | +20.5 | 41.5 | W 13 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Michigan vs Alabama | +16.5 | 45.5 | W 19 - 13 | U | Y | |
Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2023)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | #131 (.03) | 38% (115) | 19.3 | 38% (122) | 2.84 (114) | 89 | 38% (99) | 197 | 2.97 (125) | #75 (.19) | 44% (95) | 26.1 | 45% (85) | 44% (105) | 3.89 (76) | 59 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| MICH | #11 (.33) | 50% (7) | 22 | 47% (31) | 3.26 (39) | 140 | 56% (2) | 190 | 4.79 (10) | #1 (-.01) | 32% (1) | 19.9 | 32% (4) | 33% (4) | 2.37 (1) | 22.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MICH | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Overall Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 19.3 | 17.8 | 37.6% | 2.97 | 1.8 | 17 | 286 | 89 | 197 | 2.9 | 45% | 54% | 38% | 38% | 19% | .03 |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 19.9 | 21 | 32.3% | 2.37 | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 50% | 32% | 33% | 21% | -.01 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 26.1 | 28 | 43.9% | 3.89 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 48% | 51% | 45% | 44% | 16% | .19 |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 22 | 26.9 | 50.3% | 4.79 | 0.5 | 18 | 330 | 140 | 190 | 4.3 | 56% | 44% | 47% | 56% | 11% | .33 |
Additional Stats 2023
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 12 | 28:05 | 16.5 | 30% | 50% | 6.8 | 59 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0 | 27.6 |
| Michigan | 15 | 28:25 | 17.7 | 47% | 79% | 2.5 | 22.8 | 0.5 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 33.6 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 45% (104) | 38% (122) | 30.9 | 88.7 | 2.9 | 7 (131) | -.03 (131) | 2.84 (114) | 76% (50) | 12% (119) | 0.85 (124) |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 49% (50) | 32% (4) | - | - | - | - | -.09 (1) | 2.57 (9) | 55% (4) | 12% (13) | 0.85 (11) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 48% (48) | 45% (85) | - | - | - | - | .16 (83) | 3.28 (106) | 87% (128) | 10% (72) | 0.93 (35) |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 56% (25) | 47% (31) | 32.9 | 140.2 | 4.3 | 35 (5) | .19 (45) | 3.26 (39) | 76% (46) | 7% (7) | 0.91 (107) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Offense | 12 | 54% (33) | 38% (99) | 18.5 | 31.8 | 197.2 | 6.2 | 10.7 | 14 (106) | 13 (97) | .17 (101) | 1.4 (121) | 35% (113) | 26% (107) | .16 (115) | 7% (105) | 2 (97) |
| MICH Defense | 15 | 50% (79) | 33% (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 16 (9) | .09 (7) | 1.6 (67) | 36% (19) | 25% (16) | .07 (1) | 9% (3) | 1.7 (3) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MSU Defense | 12 | 51% (85) | 44% (105) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (87) | .28 (78) | 1.5 (26) | 29% (116) | 32% (92) | .36 (92) | 6% (66) | 2 (58) |
| MICH Offense | 15 | 44% (105) | 56% (2) | 15.5 | 21 | 189.6 | 9 | 12.2 | 21 (65) | 5 (6) | .55 (5) | 1.5 (89) | 28% (11) | 38% (11) | .52 (16) | 4% (12) | 2 (77) |
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Michigan State's Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
2024 Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Michigan State's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Michigan State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -2.31 Michigan: 10.355
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -4.6 Michigan: 10.6
Michigan State: -2.31 Michigan: 10.355
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State: -4.6 Michigan: 10.6
Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Michigan's Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Michigan's Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Michigan's Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
2024 Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Michigan's 2024 Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Michigan's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 830.11
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.8
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 28
Michigan State's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 28
Michigan State 14
Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan 28
Michigan State 14
Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.9
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21
Michigan's 2024 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10/26 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | 17 | Michigan | Michigan -3.5 | Michigan | 39.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 10/21 | Michigan State | 0 | Michigan | 49 | Michigan | Michigan -25.5 | Michigan | 47.0 | Over |
| 2022 | 10/29 | Michigan | 29 | Michigan State | 7 | Michigan | Michigan -22 | Push | 55.0 | Under |
| 2021 | 10/30 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan | 33 | Michigan State | Michigan -4 | Michigan State | 50.5 | Over |
| 2020 | 10/31 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | 27 | Michigan State | Michigan -25.0 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2019 | 11/16 | Michigan | 44 | Michigan State | 10 | Michigan | Michigan -13.5 | Michigan | 43.5 | Over |
| 2018 | 10/20 | Michigan State | 7 | Michigan | 21 | Michigan | Michigan -7.5 | Michigan | 38.5 | Under |
| 2017 | 10/07 | Michigan | 10 | Michigan State | 14 | Michigan State | Michigan -12.5 | Michigan State | 40.0 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/29 | Michigan State | 23 | Michigan | 32 | Michigan | Michigan -21 | Michigan State | 49.5 | Over |
| 2015 | 10/17 | Michigan | 23 | Michigan State | 27 | Michigan State | Michigan -7 | Michigan State | 42.5 | Over |
| 2014 | 10/25 | Michigan State | 35 | Michigan | 11 | Michigan State | Michigan State -15.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2013 | 11/02 | Michigan State | 29 | Michigan | 6 | Michigan State | Michigan State -3.5 | Michigan State | 0 | |
| 2012 | 10/20 | Michigan | 12 | Michigan State | 10 | Michigan | ||||
| 2011 | 10/15 | Michigan State | 28 | Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2010 | 10/09 | Michigan | 17 | Michigan State | 34 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2009 | 10/03 | Michigan State | 26 | Michigan | 20 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2008 | 10/25 | Michigan | 21 | Michigan State | 35 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2007 | 11/03 | Michigan State | 24 | Michigan | 28 | Michigan | ||||
| 2006 | 10/07 | Michigan | 31 | Michigan State | 13 | Michigan | ||||
| 2005 | 10/01 | Michigan State | 31 | Michigan | 34 | Michigan | ||||
| 2004 | 10/30 | Michigan | 45 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan | ||||
| 2003 | 11/01 | Michigan State | 20 | Michigan | 27 | Michigan | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | Michigan | 49 | Michigan State | 3 | Michigan | ||||
| 2001 | 11/03 | Michigan State | 26 | Michigan | 24 | Michigan State | ||||
| 2000 | 10/20 | Michigan | 14 | Michigan State | 0 | Michigan |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan | 14 | 4 | 6 Overs |
| Michigan State | 11 | 7 | 3 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 14 - 11 | 6 - 5 | 4 - 3 | 2 - 2 |
| Road Teams | 11 - 14 | 5 - 6 | 2 - 2 | 3 - 4 |
(#70) Michigan State Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State Notes
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -2.31 #70
Offense Rating: 16.47 #101
Defense Rating: 10.30 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.0 #119
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #49
Talent Rating: 788.00 #34
Blue Chip Ratio: 15% #31
Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.34 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Poor Pass Success 38%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.06 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State Notes
(11/18) Even stats with Ill but killed, 2-13 3rd, No Rgame
(11/2) Rgame not good, awful vs IU. OL owned by IU
(10/29) Fr WR Marsh 3rd in CFB in tgts/Fr per game
(10/19) Big W (Iowa). 468 yds, 212 rush (5.3). Bowl?
(9/26) Most penalized P5 team at 92 ypg in wk 5
(9/23) Chiles 3 INT in rough L @ BC. Rgame poor
(9/18) Injuries are piling up at DB
(9/8) Chiles 363 yds @ MD, still TO prone. Run D great
(8/30) Run game awful LY, OL rebuild, UMass 1K RB
(7/30) 15 in 2 deep from Portal, QB Chiles (Oreg St)
Power #70
#43Off #101
#116Def #75
#51Talent #34
#7SP+ #90
#26SP+ Off #119
#93SP+ Def #49
#10Rematch from Week 9
Michigan -3.5 (39.0)
Michigan won vs Michigan State this year (24-17)
Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2022 (29-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 38°
Team Information
Injuries: MSU | MICH
Depth Chart: MSU | MICH
Rosters: MSU | MICH
(#43) Michigan Info
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 10.355 #43
Offense Rating: 12.94 #116
Defense Rating: 7.69 #51
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.6 #26
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.1 #93
Defense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #10
Talent Rating: 996.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 41 #16
Expected Record: 8.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 39%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 40%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.18 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Great Run Def Success 38%
Good Pass Def Success 39%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Michigan Notes
(12/11) Hired OC Chip Lindsey? (NC, UCF, Troy HC)
(12/3) Fired OC Kirk Campbell after the season
(12/1) Beat OSU again, Rgame tough, Def incredible
(11/13) Great 2nd H vs IU, nearly won. Off just sucks
(10/28) QB Tuttle retired after 5th concussion
(10/20) Star CB Johnson left Ill game (inj)
(10/19) Off gained yds but 3 TOs killed em. Bad team
(10/14) Replaced LT (worst PFF graded LT), shuffling OL
(10/10) Staff needs changing. DC Wink has to go
(10/6) QB Tuttle healthy, playing. Didn't matter vs UW
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles (Tr) | 192 | 324 | 59% | 2415 | 13 | 12 | 7.5 |
| Tommy Schuster (Tr) | 20 | 29 | 69% | 202 | 0 | 0 | 7.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kay'Ron Adams | 133 | 649 | 2 | 4.9 | 63 |
| Aidan Chiles (Tr) | 96 | 234 | 3 | 2.4 | 26 |
| Nick Marsh | 4 | 23 | 0 | 5.8 | 11 |
| Makhi Frazier | 7 | 21 | 0 | 3.0 | 8 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 41 | 649 | 3 | 15.8 | 77 |
| Jack Velling (Tr) | 36 | 411 | 1 | 11.4 | 34 |
| Aziah Johnson | 16 | 276 | 2 | 17.3 | 52 |
| Jaron Glover | 15 | 192 | 2 | 12.8 | 34 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Turner (Tr) | 66 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Nikai Martinez (Tr) | 51 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Edward Woods | 49 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Malik Spencer | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Turner (Tr) | 66 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| Anthony Jones (Tr) | 25 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| Ken Talley | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| Alex VanSumeren | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Brantley | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Edward Woods | 49 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Malik Spencer | 44 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Warren | 133 | 207 | 64% | 1198 | 7 | 9 | 5.8 |
| Alex Orji | 26 | 49 | 53% | 151 | 3 | 2 | 3.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Orji | 57 | 269 | 1 | 4.7 | 29 |
| Jordan Marshall | 31 | 120 | 0 | 3.9 | 24 |
| Benjamin Hall | 29 | 72 | 0 | 2.5 | 14 |
| Semaj Morgan | 6 | 32 | 0 | 5.3 | 13 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Morris | 23 | 248 | 2 | 10.8 | 28 |
| Semaj Morgan | 27 | 139 | 1 | 5.1 | 31 |
| Fredrick Moore | 11 | 128 | 1 | 11.6 | 20 |
| Marlin Klein | 13 | 108 | 0 | 8.3 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernest Hausmann | 89 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Jaishawn Barham (Tr) | 66 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| Aamir Hall (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Zeke Berry | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Guy | 32 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| Derrick Moore | 23 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Cameron Brandt | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Ernest Hausmann | 89 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Berry | 37 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| Jyaire Hill | 35 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| Aamir Hall (Tr) | 38 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 |