Washington at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview

Washington Huskies at Michigan State Spartans

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Washington -14.5 (57.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Washington 41 - Michigan State: 7

Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (16 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -20.5 (SP+ WASH -25.5)
Projected Score: WASH: 37 - MSU: 16 (47)
WASH Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
WASH Travel: 1854 miles, 3 hrs behind

Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WASH Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Washington's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Washington vs Boise State	-14.0	59.0	W 56 - 19	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Washington vs Tulsa	-34.0	66.5	W 43 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/16	Washington at Michigan State	-14.5	57.0	W 41 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Washington vs California	-21.0	55.5	W 59 - 32	O	Y
Sat 9/30	Washington at Arizona	-20.0	66.0	W 31 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Washington vs Oregon	-3.0	67.0	W 36 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/21	Washington vs Arizona State	-28.0	59.5	W 15 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/28	Washington at Stanford	-27.5	62.0	W 42 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/4	Washington at USC	-3.0	76.0	W 52 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Washington vs Utah	-9.5	48.5	W 35 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/18	Washington at Oregon State	+1.5	62.5	W 22 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Washington vs Washington State	-16.0	68.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/1	Washington vs Oregon	+9.0	67.0	W 34 - 31	U	Y
Mon 1/1	Washington vs Texas	+3.0	61.5	W 37 - 31	O	Y
Mon 1/8	Washington vs Michigan	+5.5	55.5	L 13 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule

Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/1	Michigan State vs Central Michigan	-14.0	45.0	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Michigan State vs Richmond	-29.5	43.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Michigan State vs Washington	+14.5	57.0	L 7 - 41	U	N
Sat 9/23	Michigan State vs Maryland	+7.0	52.5	L 9 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/30	Michigan State at Iowa	+10.0	36.5	L 16 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Michigan State at Rutgers	+4.0	38.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/21	Michigan State vs Michigan	+25.5	47.0	L 0 - 49	O	N
Sat 10/28	Michigan State at Minnesota	+6.5	41.5	L 12 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/4	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+3.0	34.5	W 20 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Michigan State at Ohio State	+30.5	48.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/18	Michigan State at Indiana	+3.5	47.5	W 24 - 21	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Michigan State vs Penn State	+20.0	42.0	L 0 - 42	U	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH	.37	52%	23.4	51%	3.32	146	52%	370	4.82	.24	44%	23.8	47%	43%	3.97	60.1	0.8	1
MSU	.14	40%	19.3	39%	2.7	113	42%	240	3.77	.26	46%	26.1	43%	49%	3.81	54.5	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WASH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Offense	13	23.4	15.6	51.7%	4.82	0.8	27	515	146	370	4.7	38%	62%	51%	52%	9%	.37
MSU Defense	12	26.1	24.7	45.8%	3.81	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	43%	49%	15%	.26

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WASH Defense	13	23.8	35.2	44.3%	3.97	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	47%	43%	14%	.24
MSU Offense	12	19.3	20.4	39.9%	3.77	1.3	20	353	113	240	3.8	44%	55%	39%	42%	16%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Washington	13	31:20	27.2	57%	55%	6.8	60.1	0.8	1	5.5	2.8	0	30.2
Michigan State	12	26:12	20.1	39%	43%	5.8	54.5	1.3	1.3	6.3	2.4	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Offense	13	38%	51%	30.9	145.6	4.7	33	.3	3.32	75%	4%	1.08
MSU Defense	12	54%	43%	-	-	-	-	.11	3.04	63%	11%	0.96

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WASH Defense	13	47%	47%	-	-	-	-	.15	3.22	71%	10%	0.9
MSU Offense	12	44%	39%	30.1	113	3.8	16	.05	2.7	63%	9%	0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Offense	13	62%	52%	28.7	44.2	369.8	8.4	12.9	32	9	.44	1.4	29%	45%	.59	5%	1.9
MSU Defense	12	46%	49%	-	-	-	-	-	-	2	.45	1.6	29%	35%	.48	4%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WASH Defense	13	53%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.36	1.7	32%	34%	.45	4%	2.1
MSU Offense	12	55%	42%	21.5	34.3	240	7	11.2	23	12	.24	1.5	32%	31%	.28	7%	2

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14 Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6 Michigan State: -6.9

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Washington Scoring
Offense: 23.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.6
Defense: 23.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Washington 37
Michigan State 16

Projected Total Points: 47

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Michigan State	7	Washington	41	Washington	Washington -14.5	Washington	57.0	Under
2022	09/17	Washington	39	Michigan State	28	Washington	Washington -3.5	Washington	56.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	0	0	1 Overs
Washington	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	1 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

(#12) Washington Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 726.00 #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10

Team Profile

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Washington Ratings Matchup Michigan State

Power #12

#92

Off #5

#127

Def #52

#82

Talent #41

#36

SP+ #11

#86

SP+ Off #4

#122

SP+ Def #45

#47

Rematch from Week 3
Washington 14.5 (57.0)
Washington won at Michigan State this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Michigan State in 2023 (41-7)
Washington beat Michigan State in 2022 (39-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70°

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | MSU
Depth Chart: WASH | MSU
Rosters: WASH | MSU

(#92) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Washington's OC Ryan Grubb

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Mack	2	3	67%	39	1	0	13.0
Dylan Morris	1	1	100%	6	0	0	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Will Nixon	19	76	0	4.0	12
Germie Bernard (Tr)	4	37	1	9.3	13
Giles Jackson	4	16	1	4.0	6
Daniyel Ngata (Tr)	4	9	0	2.3	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Giles Jackson	85	893	7	10.5	49
Germie Bernard (Tr)	50	794	2	15.9	47
Josh Cuevas (Tr)	16	218	1	13.6	43
Will Nixon	4	44	0	11.0	20

View Washington's Full Roster

Washington's DC William Inge

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Kamren Fabiculanan	54	1	0	1	2
Austin Harnetiaux	44	2	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alphonzo Tuputala	81	4	4	2	1
Voi Tunuufi	36	4	3	2	1
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Davon Banks	35	6	1	0	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)	38	1	0	0	10
Mishael Powell	38	2	1	1	6
Carson Bruener	104	2	0	3	5

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Sam Leavitt	216	350	62%	2885	24	6	8.2
Katin Houser	149	245	61%	2006	18	11	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Simmons	110	664	2	6.0	73
Nathan Carter (Tr)	116	499	5	4.3	60
Sam Leavitt	110	443	5	4.0	40
Jalen Berger	48	178	0	3.7	18

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Montorie Foster	46	588	3	12.8	40
Christian Fitzpatrick	34	576	6	16.9	69
Maliq Carr	19	186	1	9.8	23
Jordan Simmons	21	183	0	8.7	52

View Michigan State's Full Roster

Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cal Haladay	58	5	1	0	1
Angelo Grose	50	4	1	0	2
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Simeon Barrow Jr.	30	8	6	3	1
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2
Khris Bogle	37	8	4	6	0
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Eddie Pleasant III	11	0	0	0	5
Zion Young	41	6	3	5	3
Derrick Harmon	43	11	5	10	2