Washington at Michigan State - 2023 Matchup Preview
Washington logo Washington Huskies at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (5:00 PM EDT)
Washington -14.5 (57.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Washington 41 - Michigan State: 7

 
Huskies (14 - 1) (7 - 7 - 1)
Coach Kalen DeBoer (14 - 2)
Avg Score : 36 - 25 (38 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.9 - 5.1 (#14)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Washington -20.5   (SP+ WASH -25.5)

Projected Score: WASH: 38 - MSU: 17 (55)
WASH Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
WASH Travel: 1854 miles, 3 hrs behind
Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 16 - 28 (19 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Washington's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Washington vs Boise State-14.059.0W 56 - 19OY
Sat 9/9 Washington vs Tulsa-34.066.5W 43 - 10UN
Sat 9/16 Washington at Michigan State-14.557.0W 41 - 7UY
Sat 9/23 Washington vs California-21.055.5W 59 - 32OY
Sat 9/30 Washington at Arizona-20.066.0W 31 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Washington vs Oregon-3.067.0W 36 - 33ON
Sat 10/21 Washington vs Arizona State-28.059.5W 15 - 7UN
Sat 10/28 Washington at Stanford-27.562.0W 42 - 33ON
Sat 11/4 Washington at USC-3.076.0W 52 - 42OY
Sat 11/11 Washington vs Utah-9.548.5W 35 - 28ON
Sat 11/18 Washington at Oregon State+1.562.5W 22 - 20UY
Sat 11/25 Washington vs Washington State-16.068.5W 24 - 21UN
Fri 12/1 Washington vs Oregon+9.067.0W 34 - 31UY
Mon 1/1 Washington vs Texas+3.061.5W 37 - 31OY
Mon 1/8 Washington vs Michigan+5.555.5L 13 - 34UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Washington's Schedule
Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-14.045.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Michigan State vs Richmond-29.543.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 9/16 Michigan State vs Washington+14.557.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan State vs Maryland+7.052.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan State at Iowa+10.036.5L 16 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Michigan State at Rutgers+4.038.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan State vs Michigan+25.547.0L 0 - 49ON
Sat 10/28 Michigan State at Minnesota+6.541.5L 12 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Michigan State vs Nebraska+3.034.5W 20 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan State at Ohio State+30.548.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Michigan State at Indiana+3.547.5W 24 - 21UY
Fri 11/24 Michigan State vs Penn State+20.042.0L 0 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#7 (.38)53% (4)3654% (4)3.37 (16)10953% (5)2984.73 (12)#72 (.19)44% (99)24.851% (127)40% (50)3.93 (80)641.11.2
MSU#131 (.03)38% (115)15.938% (122)2.84 (114)8938% (99)1972.97 (125)#75 (.19)44% (95)28.345% (85)44% (105)3.89 (76)591.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WASH#32 (.25)47% (21)46% (36)3.29 (28)12248% (13)2333.52 (102)#54 (.14)43% (83)48% (116)38% (31)4.04 (95)48.70.81.2
MSU#105 (.13)42% (86)45% (50)2.76 (109)11838% (107)2183.34 (116)#85 (.19)42% (69)39% (25)45% (111)4.06 (98)63.31.60.9



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Offense153637.652.9%4.731.1204071092984.540%60%54%53%13%.38
MSU Defense1228.326.543.9%3.891.3 - - - - - 48%51%45%44%16%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WASH Defense1524.825.244.1%3.931.2 - - - - - 41%58%51%40%15%.19
MSU Offense1215.918.737.6%2.971.817286891972.945%54%38%38%19%.03

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Washington1525:4120.248%73%6.8641.11.23.91.3331
Michigan State1228:0516.530%50%6.8591.81.35.62.5027.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Offense1540% (125)54% (4)24108.54.526 (30).28 (10)3.37 (16)74% (71)7% (18)0.96 (90)
MSU Defense1248% (48)45% (85) - - - - .16 (83)3.28 (106)87% (128)10% (72)0.93 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WASH Defense1541% (3)51% (127) - - - - .3 (130)3.63 (132)78% (99)7% (126)0.99 (66)
MSU Offense1245% (104)38% (122)30.988.72.97 (131)-.03 (131)2.84 (114)76% (50)12% (119)0.85 (124)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Offense1560% (8)53% (5)21.332.32989.21435 (7)10 (56).49 (11)1.5 (109)26% (7)41% (5).56 (10)5% (36)2 (89)
MSU Defense1251% (85)44% (105) - - - - - - 9 (87).28 (78)1.5 (26)29% (116)32% (92).36 (92)6% (66)2 (58)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WASH Defense1558% (130)40% (50) - - - - - - 16 (9).14 (13)1.4 (7)29% (122)30% (66).22 (23)8% (12)1.7 (2)
MSU Offense1254% (33)38% (99)18.531.8197.26.210.714 (106)13 (97).17 (101)1.4 (121)35% (113)26% (107).16 (115)7% (105)2 (97)

Washington's Power Ratings
Washington's Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Washington's Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Washington's Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Washington's 2023 Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10
Washington's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Washington's Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Washington's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Washington: 15.14   Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Washington: 18.6   Michigan State: -6.9




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Washington Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense on Road: 37.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.2

Washington's 2023 Record
Record: 14 - 1
Record vs Spread: 7 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Washington 38
Michigan State 17


Total Points: 55

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 15.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.7
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.5

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Michigan State7Washington41WashingtonWashington -14.5Washington57.0Under
202209/17Washington39Michigan State28WashingtonWashington -3.5Washington56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State001 Overs
Washington221 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 11 - 11 - 00 - 1

(#12) Washington Info
Power Rating: 15.14 #12
Offense Rating: 27.07 #5
Defense Rating: 8.39 #52
Overall SP+ Rating: 18.6 #11
Offense SP+ Rating: 41.5 #4
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #45
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 33% #23
Expected Record: 9.90 - 5.10


Washington has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Washington Highlights
Washington offense is efficent (#10)
Washington has a top Offensive Line (#20)
Washington offense is good in red zone (#25)
Washington offense is good on 3rd downs
Washington defense does not give up big plays (#129)
Washington Secondary is very good (#56)
Washington defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Washington Deficiencies
Washington Commits a Lot of Penalties (#16)
Washington does not Sack the QB (#80)
Washington Does Not Stuff Runs (#101)
Washington has a bad defensive line (#76)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatMSUWASH
OverallOver#103#11
OffenseOff#107#4
DefenseDef#88#34
Special TeamsST#54#15
PassingPass#110#3
RushingRush#88#26
Run BlockRBLK#58#32
Pass BlockPBLK#97#15
Route RunningWR Rt#75#1
TacklingTkl#64#93
Run DefenseR Def#50#69
Pass Rush DefPRush#54#24
Coverage DefCov#112#20

Rematch from Week 3
Washington 14.5 (57.0)
Washington won at Michigan State this year (41-7)

Previous Matchups
Washington beat Michigan State in 2023 (41-7)
Washington beat Michigan State in 2022 (39-28)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: WASH | MSU
Depth Chart: WASH | MSU
Rosters: WASH | MSU
(#92) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


Michigan State has won 2 straight
Michigan State has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 3 (3 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)

Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State defense does not give up big plays (#31)

Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State has a really bad Offense
Michigan State has a really bad Offense at Home
Michigan State has a bad TO Margin (#82)
Michigan State Can Not Run the Ball (#59)
Michigan State offense is really bad (#93)
Michigan State offense is not Explosive (#95)
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Michigan State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#56)
Michigan State run game is really bad (#96)
Michigan State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Michigan State Does Not Stuff Runs (#10)
Michigan State has a bad defensive line (#5)


  
Washington's OC Ryan Grubb
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Penix Jr.36355665%490336118.8
Dylan Morris91464%2241116.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dillon Johnson (Tr)2331195165.153
Will Nixon3320116.121
Tybo Rogers4418404.222
Germie Bernard (Tr)134323.315
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Rome Odunze9216401317.852
Ja'Lynn Polk691159916.892
Jalen McMillan45559512.445
Jack Westover4643349.428

View Washington's Full Roster
Washington's DC William Inge
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dominique Hampton980006
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Carson Bruener802013
Alphonzo Tuputala642201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bralen Trice46117152
Zion Tupuola-Fetui295420
Edefuan Ulofoshio908302
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jabbar Muhammad (Tr)4452013
Dominique Hampton980006
Mishael Powell383026

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Katin Houser11319359%1098655.7
Noah Kim9116057%1090666.8
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nathan Carter (Tr)18679244.344
Jalen Berger259313.712
Jaren Mangham (Tr)307102.48
Sam Leavitt136705.222
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Montorie Foster43575313.442
Maliq Carr32335310.536
Tre Mosley28288210.330
Jaron Glover14261018.633

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cal Haladay916110
Angelo Grose723105
Malik Spencer722016
Jordan Hall678501
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aaron Brule649512
Jordan Hall678501
Simeon Barrow Jr.366470
Brandon Wright192251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dillon Tatum453017
Malik Spencer722016
Angelo Grose723105