Michigan at Michigan State Game Matchup
Michigan logo Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State SpartansMichigan State logo
Saturday, October 21st 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Michigan -25.5 (47.0) (-2800)  Open: -17.0 | 47.5
Michigan 49 - Michigan State: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Wolverines (15 - 0) (9 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (77 - 25)
Avg Score : 22 - 20 (13 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 12.8 - 2.2 (#1)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MICH is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Michigan -33   (SP+ MICH -39)
Projected Score: MICH: 39 - MSU: 6 (44)
MICH Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
MICH Travel: 49 miles
Spartans (4 - 8) (5 - 6 - 1)
Coach Harlon Barnett (Int) (0 - 1)
Avg Score : 19 - 26 (20 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Michigan vs East Carolina-36.053.5W 30 - 3UN
Sat 9/9 Michigan vs UNLV-38.057.5W 35 - 7UN
Sat 9/16 Michigan vs Bowling Green-40.553.5W 31 - 6UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan vs Rutgers-24.044.5W 31 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan at Nebraska-17.039.5W 45 - 7OY
Sat 10/7 Michigan at Minnesota-18.546.0W 52 - 10OY
Sat 10/14 Michigan vs Indiana-33.545.5W 52 - 7OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan at Michigan State-25.547.0W 49 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4 Michigan vs Purdue-32.552.5W 41 - 13ON
Sat 11/11 Michigan at Penn State-4.044.5W 24 - 15UY
Sat 11/18 Michigan at Maryland-17.550.5W 31 - 24ON
Sat 11/25 Michigan vs Ohio State-3.047.0W 30 - 24OY
Sat 12/2 Michigan vs Iowa-23.535.0W 26 - 0UY
Mon 1/1 Michigan vs Alabama-2.046.0W 27 - 20OY
Mon 1/8 Michigan vs Washington-5.555.5W 34 - 13UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan's Schedule
Michigan State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 9/1 Michigan State vs Central Michigan-14.045.0W 31 - 7UY
Sat 9/9 Michigan State vs Richmond-29.543.5W 45 - 14OY
Sat 9/16 Michigan State vs Washington+14.557.0L 7 - 41UN
Sat 9/23 Michigan State vs Maryland+7.052.5L 9 - 31UN
Sat 9/30 Michigan State at Iowa+10.036.5L 16 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Michigan State at Rutgers+4.038.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/21 Michigan State vs Michigan+25.547.0L 0 - 49ON
Sat 10/28 Michigan State at Minnesota+6.541.5L 12 - 27UN
Sat 11/4 Michigan State vs Nebraska+3.034.5W 20 - 17OY
Sat 11/11 Michigan State at Ohio State+30.548.5L 3 - 38UN
Sat 11/18 Michigan State at Indiana+3.547.5W 24 - 21UY
Fri 11/24 Michigan State vs Penn State+20.042.0L 0 - 42UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH.2850%2252%3.1523948%2204.55.0437%19.938%36%3.4320.71.4
MSU.1440%19.339%2.711342%2403.77.2646%26.143%49%3.8154.51.31.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MICH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Offense14221350%4.550.7234592392205.659%41%52%48%12%.28
MSU Defense1226.124.745.8%3.811.3 - - - - - 54%46%43%49%15%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MICH Defense1419.919.536.7%3.41.4 - - - - - 41%59%38%36%16%.04
MSU Offense1219.320.439.9%3.771.3203531132403.844%55%39%42%16%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan1433:4723.345%86%4.1320.71.44.92.6232.7
Michigan State1226:1220.139%43%5.854.51.31.36.32.4128.1
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Offense1459%52%42.9238.95.641.283.1576%8%1.02
MSU Defense1254%43% - - - - .113.0463%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MICH Defense1441%38% - - - - .022.780%9%0.87
MSU Offense1244%39%30.11133.816.052.763%9%0.96

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Offense1441%48%1726.4219.98.312.9246.311.526%32%.314%1.9
MSU Defense1246%49% - - - - - - 2.451.629%35%.484%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MICH Defense1459%36% - - - - - - 14.071.434%22%.147%2.2
MSU Offense1255%42%21.534.3240711.22312.241.532%31%.287%2

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Michigan's Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Michigan's Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
2023 Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Michigan's 2023 Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20
Michigan's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 26.71   Michigan State: -3.64

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan: 32.1   Michigan State: -6.9




Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
2023 Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Michigan State's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Michigan State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22 PPG
Offense on Road: 13
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 19.5

Michigan's 2023 Record
Record: 15 - 0
Record vs Spread: 9 - 5 - 1
Record on Road: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Michigan 39
Michigan State 6

Projected Total Points: 44
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 19.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 26.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Michigan State's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 1
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Michigan24Michigan State17MichiganMichigan -3.5Michigan39.0Over
202310/21Michigan State0Michigan49MichiganMichigan -25.5Michigan47.0Over
202210/29Michigan29Michigan State7MichiganMichigan -22Push55.0Under
202110/30Michigan State37Michigan33Michigan StateMichigan -4Michigan State50.5Over
202010/31Michigan24Michigan State27Michigan StateMichigan -25.0Michigan State0
201911/16Michigan44Michigan State10MichiganMichigan -13.5Michigan43.5Over
201810/20Michigan State7Michigan21MichiganMichigan -7.5Michigan38.5Under
201710/07Michigan10Michigan State14Michigan StateMichigan -12.5Michigan State40.0Under
201610/29Michigan State23Michigan32MichiganMichigan -21Michigan State49.5Over
201510/17Michigan23Michigan State27Michigan StateMichigan -7Michigan State42.5Over
201410/25Michigan State35Michigan11Michigan StateMichigan State -15.5Michigan State0
201311/02Michigan State29Michigan6Michigan StateMichigan State -3.5Michigan State0
201210/20Michigan12Michigan State10Michigan
201110/15Michigan State28Michigan14Michigan State
201010/09Michigan17Michigan State34Michigan State
200910/03Michigan State26Michigan20Michigan State
200810/25Michigan21Michigan State35Michigan State
200711/03Michigan State24Michigan28Michigan
200610/07Michigan31Michigan State13Michigan
200510/01Michigan State31Michigan34Michigan
200410/30Michigan45Michigan State37Michigan
200311/01Michigan State20Michigan27Michigan
200211/02Michigan49Michigan State3Michigan
200111/03Michigan State26Michigan24Michigan State
200010/20Michigan14Michigan State0Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Michigan State1176 Overs
Michigan1443 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 116 - 54 - 32 - 2
Road Teams11 - 145 - 62 - 23 - 4

(#1) Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 26.71 #1
Offense Rating: 24.97 #14
Defense Rating: -5.85 #1
Overall SP+ Rating: 32.1 #1
Offense SP+ Rating: 37.6 #10
Defense SP+ Rating: 7.4 #1
Talent Rating: 1070.00 #10
Blue Chip Ratio: 51% #16
Expected Record: 12.80 - 2.20

Team Profile






,
,







Michigan     Ratings Matchup     Michigan State
Power #1
#92
Off #14
#127
Def #1
#82
Talent #10
#36
SP+ #1
#86
SP+ Off #10
#122
SP+ Def #1
#47

Rematch from Week 8
Michigan 25.5 (47.0)
Michigan won at Michigan State this year (49-0)

Previous Matchups
Michigan beat Michigan State last year (24-17)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2023 (49-0)
Michigan beat Michigan State in 2022 (29-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 45° - Wind: 8 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MICH | MSU
Depth Chart: MICH | MSU
Rosters: MICH | MSU
(#92) Michigan State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -3.64 #92
Offense Rating: 8.07 #127
Defense Rating: 10.68 #82
Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #86
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.5 #47
Talent Rating: 756.00 #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 18 #34
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile






,
,









  
Michigan's OC Sherrone Moore
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jack Tuttle (Tr)305060%306126.1
Donovan Edwards11100%231023.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kalel Mullings185948125.163
Donovan Edwards12858944.641
C.J. Stokes73314.713
Eamonn Dennis53006.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Colston Loveland56582510.436
Matthew Hibner24368415.380
Jake Thaw4133458.129
Darrius Clemons25292211.744

View Michigan's Full Roster
Michigan's DC Jesse Minter
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Graham467431
Makari Paige451004
Quinten Johnson431005
Keon Sabb391004
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Josaiah Stewart (Tr)3313970
Mason Graham467431
Kenneth Grant327335
Jerome Nichols10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Calhoun211009
Quinten Johnson431005
Kenneth Grant327335

Michigan State's OC Jay Johnson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Sam Leavitt21635062%28852468.2
Katin Houser14924561%200618118.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Simmons11066426.073
Nathan Carter (Tr)11649954.360
Sam Leavitt11044354.040
Jalen Berger4817803.718
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Montorie Foster46588312.840
Christian Fitzpatrick34576616.969
Maliq Carr1918619.823
Jordan Simmons2118308.752

View Michigan State's Full Roster
Michigan State's DC Scottie Hazelton
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cal Haladay585101
Angelo Grose504102
Derrick Harmon43115102
Zion Young416353
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Simeon Barrow Jr.308631
Derrick Harmon43115102
Khris Bogle378460
Zion Young416353
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eddie Pleasant III110005
Zion Young416353
Derrick Harmon43115102