Maryland Terrapins vs Michigan State Spartans
Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Ford Field - Detroit, MI (Big Ten)
Terrapins (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 34 - 11 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 34 - 11 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
MD is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -2 (SP+ MD -4.5)
Projected Score: MD: 27 - MSU: 25 (52)
MD Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MD Travel: 471 miles
Our Line: Maryland -2 (SP+ MD -4.5)
Projected Score: MD: 27 - MSU: 25 (52)
MD Win prob: 55% | Cover: 50%
MD Travel: 471 miles
Spartans (3 - 0) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Coach Jonathan Smith (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 35 - 23 (35 - 23 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#84)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
| Maryland's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Maryland vs Florida Atlantic | -16.5 | 57.5 | W 39 - 7 | U | Y | |
| Fri 9/5 | Maryland vs Northern Illinois | -17.0 | 44.5 | W 20 - 9 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Maryland vs Towson | -28.5 | 53.5 | W 44 - 17 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Maryland at Wisconsin | +9.5 | 43.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Maryland vs Washington | +3.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Maryland vs Nebraska | +4.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Maryland at UCLA | -14.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/1 | Maryland vs Indiana | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Maryland at Rutgers | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Maryland at Illinois | +12.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Maryland vs Michigan | +9.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Maryland vs Michigan State | +0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Michigan State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Michigan State vs Western Michigan | -18.5 | 49.5 | W 23 - 6 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Michigan State vs Boston College | -3.5 | 45.5 | W 42 - 40 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Michigan State vs Youngstown State | -23.5 | 55.5 | W 41 - 24 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Michigan State at USC | +17.5 | 55.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/4 | Michigan State at Nebraska | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/11 | Michigan State vs UCLA | -17.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/18 | Michigan State at Indiana | +14.5 | |||||
| Sat 10/25 | Michigan State vs Michigan | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/1 | Michigan State at Minnesota | +7 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Michigan State vs Penn State | +19.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Michigan State at Iowa | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Michigan State vs Maryland | -0.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD | #60 (.22) | 46% (52) | 34.3 | 44% (67) | 2.96 (72) | 117 | 47% (43) | 266 | 3.48 (97) | #9 (-.1) | 26% (5) | 11 | 28% (10) | 25% (6) | 1.18 (4) | 68.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 |
| MSU | #119 (.07) | 41% (93) | 35.3 | 40% (96) | 2.54 (105) | 168 | 42% (77) | 219 | 4.22 (56) | #62 (.12) | 42% (80) | 23.3 | 34% (33) | 48% (113) | 1.89 (12) | 35 | 1.3 | 1 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD | #106 (.13) | 41% (92) | 41% (97) | 2.89 (94) | 111 | 41% (74) | 276 | 3.62 (95) | #84 (.19) | 43% (86) | 42% (65) | 44% (107) | 4.34 (116) | 58.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 | ||
| MSU | #105 (.13) | 42% (86) | 45% (50) | 2.76 (109) | 118 | 38% (107) | 218 | 3.34 (116) | #85 (.19) | 42% (69) | 39% (25) | 45% (111) | 4.06 (98) | 63.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Offense | 3 | 34.3 | 34.3 | 46.1% | 3.48 | 0.7 | 21 | 383 | 117 | 266 | 3.5 | 41% | 59% | 44% | 47% | 12% | .22 |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 23.3 | 23.3 | 41.7% | 1.89 | 1 | - | - | - | - | - | 39% | 58% | 34% | 48% | 21% | .12 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Defense | 3 | 11 | 11 | 26.4% | 1.18 | 2.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 49% | 51% | 28% | 25% | 18% | -.1 |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 35.3 | 35.3 | 40.7% | 4.22 | 1.3 | 21 | 387 | 168 | 219 | 4.5 | 57% | 42% | 40% | 42% | 18% | .07 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maryland | 3 | 30:41 | 21 | 30% | 50% | 8.3 | 68.3 | 0.7 | 2.7 | 7 | 3.3 | 2 | 34.3 |
| Michigan State | 3 | 32:13 | 21.3 | 43% | 60% | 4.3 | 35 | 1.3 | 1 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31.1 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Offense | 3 | 41% (123) | 44% (67) | 33.3 | 116.7 | 3.5 | 3 (95) | (105) | 2.96 (72) | 71% (67) | 7% (32) | 0.79 (112) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 39% (6) | 34% (33) | - | - | - | - | -.19 (9) | 1.71 (5) | 100% (127) | 15% (17) | 0.57 (4) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Defense | 3 | 49% (63) | 28% (10) | - | - | - | - | -.03 (40) | 2.41 (35) | 86% (112) | 10% (67) | 1.24 (117) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 57% (31) | 40% (96) | 37.3 | 168 | 4.5 | 7 (38) | -.04 (117) | 2.54 (105) | 56% (118) | 16% (133) | 0.98 (64) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Offense | 3 | 59% (12) | 47% (43) | 22.7 | 37.3 | 266 | 7.1 | 11.7 | 6 (34) | 1 (23) | .38 (52) | 1.6 (50) | 31% (67) | 43% (22) | .71 (17) | 6% (81) | 2.2 (33) |
| MSU Defense | 3 | 58% (119) | 48% (113) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .33 (106) | 1.3 (23) | 38% (23) | 24% (39) | .24 (63) | 6% (65) | 2.1 (94) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MD Defense | 3 | 51% (76) | 25% (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 7 (1) | -.16 (9) | 1.7 (98) | 38% (19) | 22% (33) | .27 (68) | 7% (34) | 2.4 (120) |
| MSU Offense | 3 | 42% (108) | 42% (77) | 19.3 | 27.3 | 218.7 | 8 | 11.3 | 6 (34) | 2 (60) | .22 (83) | 1.4 (100) | 28% (42) | 32% (63) | .35 (62) | 2% (4) | 1.9 (91) |
Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Maryland's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Maryland's Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Maryland's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 12.59 Michigan State: 8.515
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 8.9 Michigan State: 4.6
Maryland: 12.59 Michigan State: 8.515
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 8.9 Michigan State: 4.6
Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.515 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Michigan State's Power Rating: 8.515 #45
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
2025 Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Michigan State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Michigan State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Maryland Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11
Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11
Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Maryland 27
Michigan State 25
Total Points: 52
Maryland 27
Michigan State 25
Total Points: 52
Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 35.3
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 23.3
Michigan State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 3 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 09/07 | Maryland | 24 | Michigan State | 27 | Michigan State | Maryland -7.5 | Michigan State | 44.5 | Over |
| 2023 | 09/23 | Michigan State | 9 | Maryland | 31 | Maryland | Maryland -7 | Maryland | 52.5 | Under |
| 2022 | 10/01 | Maryland | 27 | Michigan State | 13 | Maryland | Maryland -7.5 | Maryland | 58.5 | Under |
| 2021 | 11/13 | Michigan State | 40 | Maryland | 21 | Michigan State | Michigan State -11.5 | Michigan State | 60.0 | Over |
| 2019 | 11/30 | Michigan State | 19 | Maryland | 16 | Michigan State | Michigan State -21.5 | Maryland | 47.5 | Under |
| 2018 | 11/03 | Maryland | 3 | Michigan State | 24 | Michigan State | Michigan State -3 | Michigan State | 43.0 | Under |
| 2017 | 11/18 | Michigan State | 17 | Maryland | 7 | Michigan State | Michigan State -14 | Maryland | 44.5 | Under |
| 2016 | 10/22 | Maryland | 28 | Michigan State | 17 | Maryland | Michigan State -2.5 | Maryland | 49.0 | Under |
| 2015 | 11/14 | Michigan State | 24 | Maryland | 7 | Michigan State | Michigan State -16 | Michigan State | 54.0 | Under |
| 2014 | 11/15 | Maryland | 15 | Michigan State | 37 | Michigan State | Michigan State -10.5 | Michigan State | 0 |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State | 7 | 5 | 2 Overs |
| Maryland | 3 | 5 | 7 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 6 - 4 | 4 - 6 | 3 - 3 | 1 - 3 |
| Road Teams | 4 - 6 | 6 - 4 | 3 - 1 | 3 - 3 |
(#44) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 26%
Great in Scoring Position 1.18 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Maryland has lost 8 straight
Maryland has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Maryland Notes
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
(7/30) Lost 9 starters to portal, 5 to NFL draft.
(5/11) OL is bottom 20 in exp & no exp from portal
(4/8) Fr QB Washington doing media, unusual for MD
(4/2) New OC Hamilton out of coaching last 2 yrs
(3/22) QB J. Martin (UCLA) or FR Washington
(3/19) RBs - Hemby left (IU). Ray looks solid
(3/19) WR rebuild, 2 portal adds. Talent is there
(3/19) OL 2/5 back. Poor unit LY. Anyone's guess
Maryland Highlights
Maryland in Undefeated
Maryland Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Maryland has a really good defense (#5)
Maryland defense is really good in red zone (#4)
Maryland has a good run defense (#10)
Maryland has a good pass defense (#6)
Maryland has a great TO Margin (#28)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)
Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Maryland offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Maryland Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
Maryland gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#115)
Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 26%
Great in Scoring Position 1.18 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Maryland has lost 8 straight
Maryland has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )
Maryland Notes
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
(7/30) Lost 9 starters to portal, 5 to NFL draft.
(5/11) OL is bottom 20 in exp & no exp from portal
(4/8) Fr QB Washington doing media, unusual for MD
(4/2) New OC Hamilton out of coaching last 2 yrs
(3/22) QB J. Martin (UCLA) or FR Washington
(3/19) RBs - Hemby left (IU). Ray looks solid
(3/19) WR rebuild, 2 portal adds. Talent is there
(3/19) OL 2/5 back. Poor unit LY. Anyone's guess
Maryland Highlights
Maryland in Undefeated
Maryland Defense Sacks the QB a lot
Maryland has a really good defense (#5)
Maryland defense is really good in red zone (#4)
Maryland has a good run defense (#10)
Maryland has a good pass defense (#6)
Maryland has a great TO Margin (#28)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)
Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland has a really bad Offense Away from Home
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Maryland offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Maryland Defense Gives up a Lot of Points Away from home
Maryland gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#115)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MSU | MD |
| OverallOver | #25 | #10 |
| OffenseOff | #21 | #47 |
| DefenseDef | #36 | #4 |
| Special TeamsST | #83 | #64 |
| PassingPass | #88 | #35 |
| RushingRush | #56 | #73 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #14 | #62 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #67 | #4 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #8 | #61 |
| TacklingTkl | #48 | #17 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #9 | #6 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #48 | #24 |
| Coverage DefCov | #54 | #3 |
(#45) Michigan State Info
Power Rating: 8.515 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 8 straight
Michigan State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
Power Rating: 8.515 #45
Offense Rating: 15.05 #52
Defense Rating: 2.62 #43
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.6 #57
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #77
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.9 #39
Talent Rating: 876.00 #30
Blue Chip Ratio: 14 #33
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.22 PPO
Poor Run Success 40%
Bad Pass Success 42%
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Great in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Michigan State has lost 8 straight
Michigan State has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 3 - 0 (0 - 3 - 0 vs Spread)
Michigan State Notes
(8/30) QB Chiles meh, Run Def great vs WMU
(8/29) RB Makhi Frazier really good, complete back
(8/16) TE Veiling out of fall camp? Expect week 1 go
(7/30) 12 starters gone, 41 newcomers (23 portals)
(7/30) OT C. Moore (Mon St) was FCS All American
(7/27) QB Chiles has real WR & TE weapons this year
(7/27) Can RB Tau-Tolliver (Sac St) fix this run game?
(7/15) OL 2/5 back, awful LY esp OTs. 4 portal adds
(5/27) DC Joe Rossi a good one, OC Lindgren avg
(5/21) OL looks pretty bad outside OG Gulbin (Wake)
Michigan State Highlights
Michigan State in Undefeated
Michigan State defense is really good in red zone (#12)
Michigan State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#10)
Michigan State Defensive Line is very good (#5)
Michigan State Front 7 is disruptive (#17)
Michigan State commits very few Penalties (#30)
Michigan State Deficiencies
Michigan State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#127)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Washington | 62 | 100 | 62% | 773 | 6 | 1 | 7.7 |
| Khristian Martin | 6 | 12 | 50% | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeJuan Williams | 32 | 121 | 1 | 3.8 | 17 |
| Nolan Ray | 28 | 98 | 1 | 3.5 | 11 |
| Iverson Howard | 25 | 91 | 0 | 3.6 | 10 |
| Malik Washington | 5 | 28 | 1 | 5.6 | 17 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaleak Knotts | 11 | 196 | 3 | 17.8 | 42 |
| Octavian Smith Jr. | 10 | 154 | 0 | 15.4 | 53 |
| Jalil Farooq (Tr) | 14 | 151 | 0 | 10.8 | 24 |
| Dorian Fleming (Tr) | 10 | 106 | 2 | 10.6 | 48 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Wingate | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Reddick | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Carlton Smith | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Jalen Huskey | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Stewart | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Zahir Mathis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jayden Shipps | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Trey Reddick | 19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontay Joyner (Tr) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Lavain Scruggs | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Messiah Delhomme | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Chiles | 58 | 81 | 72% | 656 | 6 | 1 | 8.1 |
| Alessio Milivojevic | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Makhi Frazier | 43 | 206 | 2 | 4.8 | 28 |
| Aidan Chiles | 30 | 123 | 1 | 4.1 | 28 |
| Brandon Tullis | 18 | 112 | 2 | 6.2 | 14 |
| Elijah Tau-Tolliver (Tr) | 13 | 55 | 1 | 4.2 | 22 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Marsh | 16 | 194 | 3 | 12.1 | 41 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 15 | 184 | 0 | 12.3 | 30 |
| Michael Masunas | 6 | 81 | 2 | 13.5 | 28 |
| Chrishon Mccray (Tr) | 5 | 80 | 0 | 16.0 | 28 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Wayne Matthews III | 24 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ade Willie | 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hall | 27 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Anelu Lafaele (Tr) | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Malik Spencer | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jalen Thompson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Pretzlaff | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Chance Rucker | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Malcolm Bell (Tr) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |