Oregon at Michigan State - 2026 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 21st 2026 (12:00 PM EST)
Spartan Stadium - East Lansing, MI

Ducks (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Dan Lanning (48 - 9)
Avg Score : 37 - 18 (33 - 16 on Road)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MSU 2nd straight Home Game
ORE is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Oregon -25 (SP+ ORE -29.5)
Projected Score: ORE: 39 - MSU: 14 (53)
ORE Win prob: 95% | Cover: 49%
ORE Travel: 1922 miles, 3 hrs behind

Spartans (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (25 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 0 (#1)
'26 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ORE Players
MSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Oregon vs Boise State	-28.5
Sat 9/12	Oregon at Oklahoma State	-31.5
Sat 9/19	Oregon vs Portland State	-49
Sat 9/26	Oregon at USC	-2.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/10	Oregon vs UCLA	-30
Sat 10/17	Oregon vs Nebraska	-22.5
Sat 10/24	Oregon at Illinois	-12
Sat 10/31	Oregon vs Northwestern	-24.5
Sat 11/7	Oregon at Ohio State	+6.5
Sat 11/14	Oregon vs Michigan	-12.5
Sat 11/21	Oregon at Michigan State	-25
Sat 11/28	Oregon vs Washington	-9.5

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Oregon's Schedule

Michigan State's 2026 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/5	Michigan State vs Toledo	-3
Sat 9/12	Michigan State vs Eastern Michigan	-13
Sat 9/19	Michigan State at Notre Dame	+31
Sat 9/26	Michigan State vs Nebraska	+5
Sat 10/3	Michigan State at Wisconsin	+3.5
Sat 10/10	Michigan State vs Illinois	+10.5
Sat 10/17	Michigan State vs Northwestern	+3
Sat 10/24	Michigan State at UCLA	+2.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/7	Michigan State at Michigan	+20
Sat 11/14	Michigan State vs Washington	+18
Sat 11/21	Michigan State vs Oregon	+25
Sat 11/28	Michigan State at Rutgers	+3.5

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE	#13 (.3)	48% (17)	36.9	48% (18)	3.08 (45)	199	49% (13)	254	4.1 (36)	#13 (.05)	36% (12)	17.9	38% (24)	36% (14)	3.9 (92)	49.7	1	1.5
MSU	#97 (.12)	42% (79)	24.6	42% (84)	2.56 (128)	123	42% (67)	223	3.75 (64)	#104 (.21)	45% (115)	29.9	47% (121)	44% (103)	3.91 (93)	44.9	1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORE		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Offense	15	36.9	32.8	47.8%	4.1	1	22	452	199	254	5.4	52%	46%	48%	49%	11%	.3
MSU Defense	12	29.9	27.8	45.2%	3.91	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	47%	44%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORE Defense	15	17.9	15.6	36.4%	3.9	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	48%	38%	36%	18%	.05
MSU Offense	12	24.6	24.8	41.7%	3.75	1	19	345	123	223	3.8	47%	51%	42%	42%	18%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon	15	30:48	21.9	47%	56%	5.1	49.7	1	1.5	5	2	5	31.1
Michigan State	12	30:11	18.8	35%	44%	5.3	44.9	1	0.8	4.7	1.8	1	27.3

Run Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Offense	15	52% (46)	48% (18)	36.7	198.6	5.4	35 (16)	.23 (16)	3.08 (45)	71% (73)	8% (26)	1.04 (42)
MSU Defense	12	49% (53)	47% (121)	-	-	-	-	.16 (101)	2.87 (66)	81% (125)	9% (97)	0.91 (44)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORE Defense	15	49% (57)	38% (24)	-	-	-	-	.05 (39)	2.72 (35)	71% (69)	10% (68)	0.98 (79)
MSU Offense	12	47% (90)	42% (84)	32.3	122.7	3.8	16 (60)	.06 (96)	2.56 (128)	65% (109)	13% (131)	0.95 (73)

Pass Game Stats (2026)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Offense	15	46% (93)	49% (13)	20.9	29.1	253.6	8.7	12.2	31 (6)	10 (34)	.42 (16)	1.6 (38)	26% (12)	31% (55)	.39 (36)	3% (6)	2.1 (61)
MSU Defense	12	49% (83)	44% (103)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (100)	.32 (103)	1.5 (34)	29% (111)	30% (74)	.33 (86)	5% (114)	2.1 (88)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORE Defense	15	48% (69)	36% (14)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (22)	.15 (26)	1.6 (90)	36% (14)	28% (52)	.21 (30)	9% (6)	2 (61)
MSU Offense	12	51% (52)	42% (67)	20	31.5	222.7	7.1	11.1	20 (50)	6 (34)	.24 (74)	1.4 (112)	30% (54)	30% (78)	.37 (44)	5% (23)	2.1 (49)

Oregon's Power Ratings
Oregon's Power Rating: 25.40 #9
Oregon's Offense Rating: 23.41 #6
Oregon's Defense Rating: 3.01 #12
2026 Talent Rating: 1022.00 #9
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #24
Oregon's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Oregon's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: 25.9 #4
Oregon's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.7 #10
Oregon's Defense SP+ Rating: 13.5 #5

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.40 Michigan State: 0.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon: 25.9 Michigan State: -3.4

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: 0.675 #60
Michigan State's Offense Rating: 12.05 #61
Michigan State's Defense Rating: 17.30 #69
2026 Talent Rating: 786.00 #59
Blue Chip Ratio: 12 #6
Michigan State's 2026 Expected Record: 0.0 - 0.0
Michigan State's 2026 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.4 #82
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #70
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.7 #81

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 896.78
Average Power Five Talent: 885.22
Average FBS Talent: 707.18

Oregon Scoring
Offense: 36.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 32.8
Defense: 17.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 15.6

Oregon's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon 39
Michigan State 14

Projected Total Points: 53

Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.8
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.8

Michigan State's 2026 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/04	Oregon	31	Michigan State	10	Oregon -22.5	Michigan State	53.0	Under
2018	12/31	Oregon	7	Michigan State	6	Michigan State -1	Oregon	47.0	Under
2015	09/12	Michigan State	31	Oregon	28	Michigan State -5	Oregon	66.0	Under
2014	09/06	Oregon	46	Michigan State	27	Oregon -11	Oregon	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan State	1	1	0 Overs
Oregon	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	4 - 0	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 4	2 - 2	0 - 1	2 - 1

(#9) ORE at (#60) MSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORE	MSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#9	#60
SP+SP+	#4	#82
Perf GradeGrade	NR	NR
OffenseOff	NR	NR
DefenseDef	NR	NR
Spec TeamsST	NR	NR
TalentTal	#9	#59
Blue ChipsBC%	#24	#6

Oregon Injury Report

Michigan State Injury Report

Oregon on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#17	#115
ExplosiveExp	#35	#30
PPAPPA	#13	#104
PowerPwr	#6	#69
SP+SP+	#10	#81
Pts POPPO	#36	#93
HavocHav	#4	#110

Oregon Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#18	#121
Run ExplRExp	#42	#44
PPAExp	#16	#101
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#45	#66
Stuff RateStuff	#31	#104
TackleTak	-	NR

Oregon Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat	ORE Off	MSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#13	#103
Pass ExplPExl	#38	#34
PPAExp	#16	#103
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#26	#97
DB HavocDB	#6	#114

Michigan State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	NR
SuccessSuc	#79	#12
ExplosiveExp	#97	#83
PPAPPA	#97	#13
PowerPwr	#61	#12
SP+SP+	#70	#5
Pts POPPO	#64	#92
HavocHav	#115	#21

Michigan State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
Run GameRun	NR	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#24
Run ExplRExp	#73	#79
PPAExp	#96	#39
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	#128	#35
Stuff RateStuff	#132	#100
TackleTak	-	NR

Michigan State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	MSU Off	ORE Def
Pass GamePass	NR	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#67	#14
Pass ExplPExl	#112	#90
PPAExp	#74	#26
Pass Block/RushP Blk	NR	NR
F7 HavocF7	#131	#68
DB HavocDB	#23	#6

Program Comparison
MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'26 Profile: Remains Average G5

ORE 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFB Elites
'26 Profile: Remains CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Spartan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Previous Matchups
Oregon beat Michigan State in 2024 (31-10)

ORE's OC Drew Mehringer (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dante Moore	296	412	72%	3565	30	10	8.7
Dylan Raiola (Tr)	181	250	72%	2000	18	6	8.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordon Davison	112	667	15	6.0	67
Dierre Hill Jr.	75	656	5	8.7	71
Dante Moore	73	156	2	2.1	49
Da'Jaun Riggs	17	86	0	5.1	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks (Tr)	72	927	7	12.9	51
Jeremiah McClellan	38	557	3	14.7	51
Jamari Johnson	32	510	3	15.9	56
Dakorien Moore	34	497	3	14.6	65

View Oregon's Full Roster

ORE's DC Chris Hampton (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Koi Perich (Tr)	82	3	1	0	2
Aaron Flowers	69	1	0	1	3
Teitum Tuioti	68	16	10	7	5
Jerry Mixon	57	4	1	4	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Teitum Tuioti	68	16	10	7	5
Matayo Uiagalelei	34	10	6	7	3
Nasir Wyatt	11	4	3	1	0
A'Mauri Washington	33	5	2	5	7

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jerry Mixon	57	4	1	4	7
Brandon Finney Jr.	42	3	1	0	7
A'Mauri Washington	33	5	2	5	7

MSU's OC Nick Sheridan (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Alessio Milivojevic	111	173	64%	1267	10	3	7.3
Cam Fancher (Tr)	41	72	57%	333	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Brandon Tullis	68	297	4	4.4	35
Jaziun Patterson (Tr)	60	296	0	4.9	17
Cam Fancher (Tr)	31	170	1	5.5	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chrishon Mccray	24	330	3	13.8	45
Camryn Edwards	19	186	1	9.8	34
KK Smith (Tr)	8	123	2	15.4	34
Brandon Tullis	11	82	0	7.5	24

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC Joe Rossi (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Hall	88	5	3	2	1
Kenny Soares Jr. (Tr)	80	4	1	6	2
Dion Crawford (Tr)	79	5	4	3	1
Malik Spencer	52	3	2	1	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Dion Crawford (Tr)	79	5	4	3	1
Jordan Hall	88	5	3	2	1
Malik Spencer	52	3	2	1	5
Anelu Lafaele	7	2	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Malik Spencer	52	3	2	1	5
Michael Richard Jr.	38	5	0	0	3
Tre Bell (Tr)	36	4	0	0	2