Fresno State Team Profile
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Fresno State Bulldogs (@FresnoStateFB)
Matt Entz (1st year) (9-4)
Record: 9 - 4 (5 - 3)  |  Proj: 9 - 5 (#42)  |  SOS: (#118)
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Fresno State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Fresno State at Kansas+14.051.5L 7 - 31UN
Sat 8/30 Fresno State vs Georgia Southern-2.554.5W 42 - 14OY
Sat 9/6 Fresno State at Oregon State+1.045.5W 36 - 27OY
Sat 9/13 Fresno State vs Southern-37.551.5W 56 - 7OY
Sat 9/20 Fresno State at Hawai'i-2.547.5W 23 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Fresno State vs Nevada-12.545.5W 20 - 17UN
Fri 10/10 Fresno State at Colorado State-5.547.5L 21 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Fresno State vs San Diego State+3.046.5L 0 - 23UN
Sat 11/1 Fresno State at Boise State+17.547.5W 30 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Fresno State vs Wyoming-3.040.5W 24 - 3UY
Sat 11/22 Fresno State vs Utah State-1.550.5L 17 - 28UN
Sat 11/29 Fresno State at San José State-3.546.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 12/27 Fresno State vs Miami (OH)-5.041.0W 18 - 3UY

Record Prediction: 8.5 - 4.5  #42
Schedule Rating:  #118
Record: 9 - 4( MWC: 5 - 3)
Spread Record 7 - 6 - 0 | O/U 5 - 8
Future 2026 Schedule

Fresno State's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Fresno State at Michigan+21.048.0L 10 - 30UY
Sat 9/7 Fresno State vs Sacramento State-18.555.5W 46 - 30ON
Sat 9/14 Fresno State vs New Mexico State-19.548.5W 48 - 0UY
Sat 9/21 Fresno State at New Mexico-12.061.0W 38 - 21UY
Sat 9/28 Fresno State at UNLV+2.551.0L 14 - 59ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/12 Fresno State vs Washington State+3.560.5L 17 - 25UN
Fri 10/18 Fresno State at Nevada-3.050.0W 24 - 21UN
Sat 10/26 Fresno State vs San José State-6.555.0W 33 - 10UY
Sat 11/2 Fresno State vs Hawai'i-12.045.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 11/9 Fresno State at Air Force-9.540.5L 28 - 36ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Fresno State vs Colorado State-3.543.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 11/30 Fresno State at UCLA+7.546.5L 13 - 20UY
Mon 12/23 Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28ON

2024 Schedule Rating:  #107
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (MWC: 4 - 3)
Spread Record 6 - 6 - 1 | O/U 5 - 8


Opponents: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 3 Avg, 3 Bad, 6 Poor
Played: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 3 Avg, 2 Bad, 6 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 1 Bad, 0Poor
Reg Season Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Show Past Schedules
2026 class: 181 points   #70
2025 class: 143 points   #101
2024 class: 161 points   #85
2023 class: 165 points   #77
2022 class: 163 points   #72

Average Class Ranking:   #81
Average Recruiting Points: 163

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average G5
4 Year Class:  #87 - Best:  #72 Worst:  #101



CFB Crootin Averages
Mountain West Class: 132  #105
Group of 5 Class: 135  #102
FBS Class: 179  #69


2021 class: 159 points   #74
2020 class: 132 points   #121
2019 class: 154 points   #87
2018 class: 142 points   #92
2017 class: 138 points   #84

Average Class Ranking:   #92
Average Recruiting Points: 145
 

2025 Portal Class  #101 - 18 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class  #99 - 2 players, 91 Avg
2023 Portal Class  #81 - 10 players, 87 Avg
2022 Portal Class  #38 - 10 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

Offensive Coordinator Josh Davis (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
E.J. Warner (Tr)19227769%203013117.3
Carson Conklin (Tr)479649%354123.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rayshon Luke (Tr)11069966.469
Bryson Donelson14258354.157
Brandon Ramirez6027134.519
Johnathan Arceneaux4026726.758
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Josiah Freeman52642612.351
Richie Anderson3130039.725
Ezekiel Avit (Tr)2825509.141
Rayshon Luke (Tr)3622826.323
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Nick Benedetto (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jadon Pearson (Tr)966013
Simeon Harris (Tr)537105
Camryn Bracha523004
Finn Claypool (Tr)4111741
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Finn Claypool (Tr)4111741
Korey Foreman196422
Jahzon Jacks327430
Deijon Laffitte275303
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jakari Embry260007
Simeon Harris (Tr)537105
Ryan Wilson252104
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense Returning Production: 36%  #116
Defense Returning Production: 44%  #105

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class  #101
18 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
23% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 19% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 684.00  #80
Offense Talent  #76 | Defense Talent  #77
2024  #1 | 2023  #1 | 2022  #79 | 2021  #81


2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 9 - 4
2025 Conf Record: 5 - 3
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 8

2024 Record: 6 - 7
2024 Conf Record: 4 - 3
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 5 - 8

2023 Record: 9 - 4
2023 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 5 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 6

2022 Record: 10 - 4
2022 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 7 - 7 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

Four Year Record: 34 - 19
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 25 - 27 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 21 - 11
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 10 - 3
2021 Conf Record: 6 - 2
Spread: 8 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 3
2020 Conf Record: 3 - 3
Spread: 3 - 3 - 0 | Totals: 3 - 3

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 8 - 4

2018 Record: 12 - 2
2018 Conf Record: 8 - 1
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 4 - 10

Eight Year Record: 63 - 35
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 49 - 47 - 2
Eight Year Conference Record: 48 - 23

Fresno State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2025Arizona Bowl Fresno State vs Miami (OH)-5.041.0W 18 - 3
2024Potato Bowl Fresno State vs Northern Illinois+2.041.0L 20 - 28
2023Mexico Bowl Fresno State vs New Mexico State+3.052.5W 37 - 10
2022La Bowl Fresno State vs Washington State-5.554.0W 29 - 6
2021Mexico Bowl Fresno State vs UTEP-11.551.5W 31 - 24
2018Vegas Bowl Fresno State vs Arizona State-6.054.0W 31 - 20
2017I Bowl Fresno State vs Houston+2.552.0W 33 - 27
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2025.11 (106)1.26 (54)39% (111)3.29 (111)33.6 (5)36%43%.11 (41)1.18 (25)39% (32)3.26 (33)28.1 (50)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense ExplOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense ExplDefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.11 (110)1.32 (38)39% (110)3.68 (91)30.7 (32)39%42%.08 (17)1.14 (13)40% (51)3.63 (47)28.3 (48)



More Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20251332:1918.936%43%6.660.61.525.21.83
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241327:2918.939%42%6.2551.31.54.41.52



Overall Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2025 Offense1325.826.526.338.6% (111)3.29 (111)1.5193541711834.653% (40)45% (99)38% (120)41% (78)15% (64).11 (106)
2025 Defense1318.815.324.838.9% (32)3.26 (33)2 - - - - - 50% (62)49% (76)43% (78)35% (13)17% (30).11 (41)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1326.13221.239.2% (110)3.68 (91)1.3193431012423.442% (115)57% (21)38% (121)41% (76)14% (34).11 (110)
2024 Defense1324.81831.240.3% (51)3.63 (47)1.5 - - - - - 49% (49)51% (86)43% (74)38% (33)14% (113).08 (17)



Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2025 Offense1353% (40)38% (120)37.1170.74.622 (49).02 (114)2.79 (102)73% (57)10% (87)1.01 (50)
2025 Defense1350% (62)43% (78) - - - - .09 (61)3 (92)74% (91)10% (70)0.82 (8)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1342% (115)38% (121)29.2100.73.421 (59).04 (111)2.73 (115)69% (96)8% (34)0.95 (76)
2024 Defense1349% (49)43% (74) - - - - .08 (48)2.94 (56)71% (56)8% (121)0.81 (7)



Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2025 Offense1345% (99)41% (78)18.428.7183.46.41014 (75)13 (127).25 (64)1.5 (77)33% (97)30% (72).31 (69)5% (45)2 (86)
2025 Defense1349% (76)35% (13) - - - - - - 20 (12).15 (25)1.6 (94)33% (43)27% (33).19 (24)8% (13)1.8 (18)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1357% (21)41% (76)2333.1242.17.310.520 (58)14 (115).21 (89)1.6 (65)33% (95)28% (103).24 (100)6% (64)2.1 (63)
2024 Defense1351% (86)38% (33) - - - - - - 15 (18).09 (14)1.5 (34)30% (94)29% (37).2 (28)6% (65)2 (52)




Overall
Power Rating  #101 | SP+ Rating  #67
Performance Grade  #61
Special Teams Grade  #26
Record Prediction 8.5 - 4.5  #42
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8

5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Offense
Power  #116 | SP+  #96 | Grade  #64
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
Off Success  #111 | Explosivness  #54
Rush Grade  #44 | Pass Grade  #85
Rush Success  #120 | Explosiveness  #50
Pass Success  #78 | Explosiveness  #77
Run Block  #45 | Pass Block  #22
OL YDS  #102 | Stuff Rate  #90
Scoring Zone Off:  #111

Defense
Power  #83 | SP+  #43 | Grade  #68
Def Success  #32 | Explosivness  #25
Rush Success  #78 | Explosiveness  #8
Tackling  #76 | Run Def  #99
Pass Success  #13 | Explosiveness  #94
Pass Rush  #78 | Coverage  #27
F7 Havoc  #70 | DB Havoc  #13
DL YDS  #92 | Def Stuff Rate  #50
Scoring Zone Def  #33


Roster
Team Talent  #80 Blue Chips: 1%  #88
Offense Talent  #76 Defense Talent  #77
Crootin: '25 Class  #70 - 4 YR Class:  #87
Profile: Declining Average G5
Portal Class  #101 - 18 players, 84 Avg
23% of Roster from Portal, 19% TY
60 New Players, 56% of '25 Roster  #59

Scoring & Records
Scoring: 25.8 - 18.8 | Scoring Margin: (7)
Home: 27 - 15 (11.2) | Road: 26 - 25 (1.5)
OC: Josh Davis - in his first season
DC: Nick Benedetto - in his first season

2025 Record: 9 - 4 (7 - 6 - 0) (MWC: 5 - 3)
2024 Record: 6 - 7 (6 - 6 - 1) (MWC: 4 - 3)
2023 Record: 9 - 4 (5 - 8 - 0) (MWC: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (34 - 19) | 8 Yr Record: (63 - 35)


Notes
QB Warner benched, Conklin was bad vs SDSU
Entz says Conklin QB1 at least for now
Off started out hot but cooled lately. QB Warner JAG
LB Tim Thomas no longer with team
OL has improved, run game good. Pass Off poor
Def #'s really poor despite 4-1 start. On watch
QB Warner brutal start, 0 TD - 5 INT
OG C McHarg out for season (Sr, Starter)
Def OK LY, lost a ton. 10 portals, 4 DL help
OL returns 3/5, meh LY but 5 portal adds help
 
'25 Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 51%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.35 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Awful Offensive Turnovers
Avg OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Poor 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Bad when off Schedule 30%

'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Great Pass Def Success 36%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Good Field Position
Good 1st/2nd Down Success 67%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 28%

Returning Prod
FRES lost their '24 starting QB (53%)  #77
Returning Production: 40%  #115
Offense: 36%  #116 | Defense: 44%  #105
OL Prod: 81%  #15, 3 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3221  #51 | From Portal: 21  #92
Rush Prod: 81%  #27 | Rec Prod: 27%  #119
Def Front Seven: 44% - Secondary: 43%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 6.5 - 5.5

 
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall:  #67 - Power Rating:  #101
2024 SP+ Overall:  #85 - Power Rating:  #87
2023 SP+ Overall:  #63 - Power Rating:  #59
2022 SP+ Overall:  #59

#59 #61 #86 #84

4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense:  #96 - Power Rating:  #116
2024 SP+ Offense:  #85 - Power Rating:  #95
2023 SP+ Offense:  #58 - Power Rating:  #53
2022 SP+ Offense:  #64

#64 #56 #90 #106

4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense:  #43 - Power Rating:  #83
2024 SP+ Defense:  #77 - Power Rating:  #33
2023 SP+ Defense:  #82 - Power Rating:  #45
2022 SP+ Defense:  #47

#47 #64 #55 #63