Baylor Team Profile

Baylor Bears (@BUFootball)
Dave Aranda (5th year) (31-30) #1
Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 3) | Proj: 8 - 4 (#) | SOS: (#51)
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Preview
Overview
Schedule
Stats
Roster
Notes
Records
Recruiting
Bowls

Baylor's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Baylor vs Tarleton State	-33.5	53.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Baylor at Utah	+14.5	52.5	L 12 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Baylor vs Air Force	-17.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Baylor at Colorado	+2.5	52.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Baylor vs BYU	-3.0	47.0	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/5	Baylor at Iowa State	+13.0	45.0	L 21 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Baylor at Texas Tech	+4.5	56.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-7.0	64.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Baylor vs TCU	-2.5	64.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Baylor at West Virginia	-2.0	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Baylor at Houston	-7.0	51.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Baylor vs Kansas	+2.5	62.5	W 45 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Baylor vs LSU	-3.0	62.5	L 31 - 44	O	N

Record Prediction: 8 - 4 NR
Schedule Rating: #51
Future 2027 Schedule

Baylor's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Baylor vs Auburn	+1.5	57.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/6	Baylor at SMU	+3.0	65.5	W 48 - 45	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Baylor vs Samford	-51.5	65.5	W 42 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/20	Baylor vs Arizona State	-3.0	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 9/27	Baylor at Oklahoma State	-21.0	58.5	W 45 - 27	O	N
Sat 10/4	Baylor vs Kansas State	-4.5	59.5	W 35 - 34	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Baylor at TCU	+3.5	66.5	L 36 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/25	Baylor at Cincinnati	+3.5	68.5	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/1	Baylor vs UCF	-3.0	58.5	W 30 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Baylor vs Utah	+9.5	60.5	L 28 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/22	Baylor at Arizona	+6.5	61.5	L 17 - 41	U	N
Sat 11/29	Baylor vs Houston	-2.5	57.5	L 24 - 31	U	N

2023 Schedule Rating: #51
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (B12: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 2 - 10 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6

Opponents: Elite, Good, Avg, Bad, Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 4 Good, 4 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Baylor's 2024 Schedule
Sat 8/31	Baylor vs Tarleton State	-33.5	53.5	W 45 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/7	Baylor at Utah	+14.5	52.5	L 12 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/14	Baylor vs Air Force	-17.5	40.5	W 31 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/21	Baylor at Colorado	+2.5	52.5	L 31 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/28	Baylor vs BYU	-3.0	47.0	L 28 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/5	Baylor at Iowa State	+13.0	45.0	L 21 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/19	Baylor at Texas Tech	+4.5	56.0	W 59 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/26	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-7.0	64.5	W 38 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/2	Baylor vs TCU	-2.5	64.0	W 37 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/16	Baylor at West Virginia	-2.0	60.0	W 49 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/23	Baylor at Houston	-7.0	51.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/30	Baylor vs Kansas	+2.5	62.5	W 45 - 17	U	Y
Tue 12/31	Baylor vs LSU	-3.0	62.5	L 31 - 44	O	N

Baylor's 2023 Schedule
Sat 9/2	Baylor vs Texas State	-26.5	58.5	L 31 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/9	Baylor vs Utah	+7.0	46.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Baylor vs Long Island University	-44.0	54.0	W 30 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/23	Baylor vs Texas	+17.5	49.5	L 6 - 38	U	N
Sat 9/30	Baylor at UCF	+8.0	56.5	W 36 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Baylor vs Texas Tech	+2.5	59.5	L 14 - 39	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/21	Baylor at Cincinnati	+2.5	51.5	W 32 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/28	Baylor vs Iowa State	+3.0	47.0	L 18 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/4	Baylor vs Houston	-3.0	58.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/11	Baylor at Kansas State	+20.5	55.5	L 25 - 59	O	N
Sat 11/18	Baylor at TCU	+13.0	62.0	L 17 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/25	Baylor vs West Virginia	+6.5	53.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y

Baylor's 2022 Schedule
Sat 9/3	Baylor vs UAlbany	-42.5	46.5	W 69 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Baylor at BYU	+2.5	54.5	L 20 - 26	U	N
Sat 9/17	Baylor vs Texas State	-30.0	53.0	W 42 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Baylor at Iowa State	+2.5	45.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	-2.5	56.0	L 25 - 36	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/13	Baylor at West Virginia	-3.0	55.0	L 40 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/22	Baylor vs Kansas	-10.5	56.5	W 35 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Baylor at Texas Tech	+1.5	61.0	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Baylor at Oklahoma	+3.0	61.5	W 38 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Baylor vs Kansas State	-2.5	52.0	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Baylor vs TCU	+2.0	58.0	L 28 - 29	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Baylor at Texas	+10.0	55.0	L 27 - 38	O	N
Thu 12/22	Baylor vs Air Force	-3.5	42.0	L 15 - 30	O	N

Baylor's 2021 Schedule
Sat 9/4	Baylor at Texas State	-13.5	52.5	W 29 - 20	U	N
Sat 9/11	Baylor vs Texas Southern	-44.5	53.0	W 66 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/18	Baylor at Kansas	-17.0	48.5	W 45 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/25	Baylor vs Iowa State	+7.0	46.0	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Baylor at Oklahoma State	+3.5	47.0	L 14 - 24	U	N
Sat 10/9	Baylor vs West Virginia	-1.0	45.0	W 45 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/16	Baylor vs BYU	-5.5	52.5	W 38 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Baylor vs Texas	-2.0	61.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Baylor at TCU	-7.5	57.0	L 28 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/13	Baylor vs Oklahoma	+4.0	63.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Baylor at Kansas State	+2.5	49.5	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Baylor vs Texas Tech	-14.0	51.5	W 27 - 24	U	N
Sat 12/4	Baylor vs Oklahoma State	+7.0	45.0	W 21 - 16	U	Y
Sat 1/1	Baylor vs Ole Miss	+1.0	60.5	W 21 - 7	U	Y

2026 class: 189 points   #64
2025 class: 211 points   #43
2024 class: 183 points   #69
2023 class: 211 points   #33
2022 class: 208 points   #34

Average Class Ranking:   #49
Average Recruiting Points: 201

Four Year Crootin Profile
Declining Average P4
4 Year Class: #45 - Best: #28 Worst: #69

CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 196  #53
Power 4 Class: 222  #53
FBS Class: 184  #70

2021 class: 200 points   #28
2020 class: 187 points   #60
2019 class: 207 points   #46
2018 class: 215 points   #34
2017 class: 193 points   #30

Average Class Ranking:   #40
Average Recruiting Points: 200

Transfer Portal Classes
2024 Portal Class #37 - 16 players, 87 Avg
2025 Portal Class #50 - 23 players, 86 Avg
2024 Portal Class #37 - 16 players, 87 Avg
2023 Portal Class #23 - 13 players, 87 Avg

Transfer Portal Classes

Transfer Portal Classes
2022 Portal Class #77 - 3 players, 90 Avg
2021 Portal Class #28 - 21 players, 87 Avg
2020 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class NR - players, 0 Avg

Offensive Coordinator Jake Spavital (in his first season) #1

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D.J. Lagway	213	337	63%	2264	16	14	6.7
Nate Bennett	5	7	71%	34	0	0	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Caden Knighten	104	469	1	4.5	49
Michael Turner	65	320	1	4.9	40
D.J. Lagway	71	136	1	1.9	38
Drelon Miller	46	134	1	2.9	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Gavin Freeman	53	481	4	9.1	33
Hardley Gilmore IV	28	313	1	11.2	45
Drelon Miller	21	159	1	7.6	32
Caden Knighten	11	134	1	12.2	39

(Tr) - new transfer in 2026

Defensive Coordinator Matt Powledge (in his second season) #1

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
Jacob Redding	53	1	0	0	2
Kyland Reed	50	2	0	2	1
Daniel Cobbs	39	3	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Garrick Ponder	37	12	5	4	0
Ryan Davis	14	6	4	1	4
Kedrick Walker	57	7	3	1	0
Jamaal Whyce	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Levar Thornton Jr.	27	1	0	0	7
Stilton McKelvey	18	2	0	0	5
Ryan Davis	14	6	4	1	4

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: % NR
Offense Returning Production: % NR
Defense Returning Production: % NR
Baylor's Official Roster

Transfer Portal
2024 Portal Class #37
16 Commits, 86.8 Avg Rating
NAN% of 2024 Roster from Portal, NAN% TY

Team Talent
2024 Talent Rating: 383.00 #43
Offense Talent NR | Defense Talent NR
2025 #24 | 2024 #43 | 2023 #46 | 2022 #41

2024 - 2023 Records
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 2 - 10 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5

2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6

Four Year Record: 24 - 26
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 23 - 26 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 17 - 19

2022 - 2019 Records
2022 Record: 6 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4

2021 Record: 12 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

2020 Record: 2 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 2 - 7

2019 Record: 11 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8

Eight Year Record: 55 - 45
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 52 - 45 - 3
Eight Year Conference Record: 41 - 35

Baylor Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2024	Texas Bowl	Baylor vs LSU	-3.0	62.5	L 31 - 44
2022	Forces Bowl	Baylor vs Air Force	-3.5	42.0	L 15 - 30
2021	Sugar Bowl	Baylor vs Ole Miss	+1.0	60.5	W 21 - 7
2019	Sugar Bowl	Baylor vs Georgia	+4.0	44.0	L 14 - 26
2018	Texas Bowl	Baylor vs Vanderbilt	+4.0	56.5	W 45 - 38
2016	Cactus Bowl	Baylor vs Boise State	+10.0	71.0	W 31 - 12
2015	Athletic Bowl	Baylor vs North Carolina	-3.5		W 49 - 38
2014	Cotton Bowl	Baylor vs Michigan State	-3.0	68.0	L 41 - 42

Power Ranking Stats (2025)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2025	.2 (49)	1.27 (53)	45% (39)	3.69 (69)	28.5 (82)	38%	53%	.18 (81)	1.16 (15)	44% (104)	4.3 (124)	29.2 (80)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Expl	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Expl	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.25 (29)	1.3 (49)	47% (23)	4.28 (30)	31.5 (17)	44%	61%	.18 (74)	1.34 (102)	39% (38)	3.85 (77)	25.9 (7)

More Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2025	12	29:15	24.8	38%	53%	6	61.4	2	0.9	4	1	1

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	13	25:48	20.6	44%	61%	5.8	58.1	1	1.6	5.1	1.8	2

Overall Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2025 Offense	12	31.1	29.6	33.2	45% (39)	3.69 (69)	2	25	451	142	310	4.2	40% (129)	59% (8)	47% (38)	44% (41)	15% (56)	.2 (49)
2025 Defense	12	32.6	27.9	39.2	44.3% (104)	4.3 (124)	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56% (129)	42% (9)	46% (107)	43% (93)	12% (126)	.18 (81)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	13	34.4	37.3	32	46.8% (23)	4.28 (30)	1	21	401	174	227	5	52% (61)	48% (75)	46% (37)	48% (14)	12% (17)	.25 (29)
2024 Defense	13	26.7	19.8	30.7	39.4% (38)	3.85 (77)	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	54% (107)	46% (29)	38% (13)	42% (78)	15% (83)	.18 (74)

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2025 Offense	12	40% (129)	47% (38)	34.1	141.6	4.2	12 (88)	.17 (44)	3.09 (42)	77% (32)	8% (36)	0.9 (99)
2025 Defense	12	56% (129)	46% (107)	-	-	-	-	.14 (93)	3.15 (111)	89% (134)	7% (131)	0.96 (68)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	13	52% (61)	46% (37)	35.1	174.3	5	23 (52)	.18 (41)	3.19 (43)	77% (42)	7% (9)	1.01 (50)
2024 Defense	13	54% (107)	38% (13)	-	-	-	-	.11 (64)	3.03 (74)	82% (122)	9% (84)	1.03 (92)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2025 Offense	12	59% (8)	44% (41)	25.8	42.5	309.6	7.3	12	31 (3)	12 (88)	.25 (67)	1.5 (80)	31% (58)	33% (28)	.42 (27)	6% (86)	2.1 (35)
2025 Defense	12	42% (9)	43% (93)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.25 (71)	1.4 (13)	28% (122)	29% (65)	.24 (51)	6% (86)	1.7 (8)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	13	48% (75)	48% (14)	17.2	27.8	227.1	8.2	13.2	29 (12)	9 (48)	.37 (21)	1.6 (49)	29% (29)	36% (24)	.37 (53)	6% (55)	2 (91)
2024 Defense	13	46% (29)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (31)	.26 (80)	1.7 (99)	34% (39)	31% (77)	.38 (98)	6% (80)	2.1 (83)

Injury Notes
(9/17) QB Robertson to start vs Col, Finn hurt & bad ❌

Staff/Schedule Notes
(11/18) QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good ❌
(11/16) Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W ❌
(11/3) Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl ❌
(10/28) Young roster improving, building things? ❌
(8/3) OC Spavital in, big change, does not fit roster ❌
(7/30) Pred 3rd last, lotta swing games but this looks bad ❌
(12/28) Signed QB W White (4* Aub Fr) ❌
(12/7) Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary ❌

Overall

Team Info

Power #22SP+ #71

Record Prediction: 8 - 4 NR

Coaching staff Rank #1

Record

8 - 5
B12 6 - 3

Vs Spread9 - 4 - 0Totals8 - 5

One Score Games '25: (2-3)(12-15 under D.A.)

5 Year Profile

Consistent Top G5

'26 Profile

Remains Top G5

Performance #78

Special Teams #5

Returning Production

From 2025

0%NR

BAY lost their 25 starting QB

Offense %NR

Defense %NR

Returning Starters: (Off: ) - (Def: )

Proj Portal Starters: (Off: ) - (Def: )

Exp'd Depth: (Off: ) - (Def: )

OL Prod: 0%NR starters, exp'd depth

OL Snaps: 0 NRFrom Portal: NR

Rush Prod: %NR

Rec Prod: %NR

Front Seven: %NR

Secondary: %NR

Roster

Talent Info

Talent #43

Blue Chips (6%) #53

Offense TalentNR

Defense TalentNR

Portal Class #3716 players (87 Avg)

Crootin '26 Class #644 YR Class Rating #45

Talent Profile

Declining Average P4

NAN% of Roster from Portal, NAN% TY

NAN% of '26 Roster are New (Fr + Portals)

(OC) Jake Spavital 1

(DC) Matt Powledge 2

2024 Schedule

Information

SOS #51

Baylor plays 1 opps off a byeTTU

OppsElite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

2025 Record: 5 - 7 (2 - 10 - 0) (B12: 3 - 6)

2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)

Win History

Past 5 years 6

Avg under Dave A 6.2

4 Yr Record (24 - 26)

8 Yr Record (55 - 45)

Notes

Live Team Notes

Signed QB W White (4* Aub Fr)

Missed B12 title game due to Col hail mary

5 str W's, Off awful vs Hou, Def forced 4 TOs

QB Fynn was a disaster, Robertson v good

4 str W's, Off exp @ WVU, Run D bad but held on

Aranda back in 2025 official after WVU W

3 big W's (TCU), Robertson good, Rgame V good

Aranda done a good job, should stay/bowl

2 big W's (T.T./Ok St) Rgame really improved

Young roster improving, building things?

Roster Experience

Snaps & Starter Info

Snaps Returning

0 (0%)NR

%of Snaps by Upperclass

Offense: 0NR

Defense: 0NR

Players with Starting Exp () on Off, on Def

Upperclass

Starters of (%)2-Deep of (%)

Senior/Gr starters: (%) (Off: , Def: )

Upperclass Two-Deep: of (%)

Upperclass on Roster: %( of 0)

Portals

Top '24 Incoming Portals

Dequan Finn (QB)4★ (.91)

Kendrick Simpkins (S)3★ (.89)

Omar Aigbedion (IOL)3★ (.89)

Michael Trigg (TE)3★ (.89)

Steve Linton (EDGE)3★ (.88)

JaQues Evans (EDGE)3★ (.88)

Ashtyn Hawkins (WR)3★ (.88)

Colton Thomasson (OT)3★ (.88)

Top Players

Top Performers on Roster

Top Players N/A Before 2025

Recruits

Top '24 Incoming Recruits

Alex Foster (DL)4★ (.89)

Joshua Lair (S)3★ (.89)

Jadon Porter (ATH)3★ (.88)

Joseph Dodds (RB)3★ (.88)

Tonga Lolohea (DL)3★ (.88)

Jadon Porter (WR)3★ (.88)

Kris Wokomah (S)3★ (.88)

Brock Jackson (EDGE)3★ (.87)

Overall

Four Year Ratings Profile

Offense

Four Year Ratings Profile

Defense

Four Year Ratings Profile