Michigan State at Baylor - 2014 Matchup Preview
Michigan State logo   Michigan State Spartans vs Baylor Bears  Baylor logo
Thursday, January 1st 2015 (12:30 PM EST)
Baylor -3 (68.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Michigan State 42 - Baylor: 41  (GOODYEAR COTTON BOWL CLASSIC)

 
Spartans (11 - 2) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 25 - 30 (22 - 33 on Road)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Bears (11 - 2) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 31 - 33 (30 - 28 @ Home)
'14 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Michigan State's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Michigan State vs Jacksonville State-27.5
Sat 9/6 Michigan State at Oregon+11.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Michigan State vs Eastern Michigan-45.0
Sat 9/27 Michigan State vs Wyoming-32.0
Sat 10/4 Michigan State vs Nebraska-8.0
Sat 10/11 Michigan State at Purdue-21.5
Sat 10/18 Michigan State at Indiana-14.0
Sat 10/25 Michigan State vs Michigan-15.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Michigan State vs Ohio State-2.0
Sat 11/15 Michigan State at Maryland-10.5
Sat 11/22 Michigan State vs Rutgers-22.0
Sat 11/29 Michigan State at Penn State-11.5
Thu 1/1 Michigan State vs Baylor+3.068.0W 42 - 41OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Michigan State's Schedule
Baylor's 2014 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Baylor vs SMU-33.575.0W 45 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Baylor vs Northwestern State-47.5
Fri 9/12 Baylor at Buffalo-27.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Baylor at Iowa State-22.0
Sat 10/4 Baylor at Texas-13.0
Sat 10/11 Baylor vs TCU-11.0
Sat 10/18 Baylor at West Virginia-9.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Baylor vs Kansas-33.5
Sat 11/8 Baylor at Oklahoma+3.0
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Baylor vs Oklahoma State-25.0
Sat 11/29 Baylor vs Texas Tech-21.5
Sat 12/6 Baylor vs Kansas State-9.0
Thu 1/1 Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Baylor's Schedule
Important Stats (2013)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU.0541%24.642%2.8917438%212-0.15-.0531%29.927%33%-0.2450.41.12
BAY.1847%31.147%3.1926045%359-0.11-.0436%32.636%35%-0.5282.31.22.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BAY0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Offense1424.621.641.3%-0.151.1213861742124.353%45%42%38%2%.05
BAY Defense1332.627.936.1%-0.522.2 - - - - - 52%47%36%35%3%-.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MSU Defense1429.932.831.2%-0.242 - - - - - 47%52%27%33%2%-.05
BAY Offense1331.129.646.7%-0.111.2296192603595.452%46%47%45%2%.18

Additional Stats 2013
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Michigan State1434:4820.944%64%5.450.41.1200232.8
Baylor1327:2628.547%52%9.282.31.22.200830.5
Run Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Offense1453%42%40.6173.84.323-.032.8972%0%0.67
BAY Defense1352%36% - - - - -.092.5347%0%0.79
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MSU Defense1447%27% - - - - -.142.1449%0%0.82
BAY Offense1352%47%48.2259.75.447.083.1971%0%0.75

Pass Game Stats (2014)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Offense1445%38%17.730.7211.76.912237.141.331%35%.292%1.6
BAY Defense1347%35% - - - - - - 19.031.333%26%.153%1.8
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MSU Defense1452%33% - - - - - - 17.041.338%27%.212%1.7
BAY Offense1346%45%21.334.5359.110.416.9356.321.429%35%.342%1.7

Michigan State's Power Ratings
Michigan State's Power Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Michigan State's 2014 Expected Record: -
Michigan State's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Michigan State's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Baylor: 0

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Michigan State:    Baylor:




Baylor's Power Ratings
Baylor's Power Rating: 0 NR
Baylor's Offense Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense Rating: NR
2014 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Baylor's 2014 Expected Record: -
Baylor's 2014 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Baylor's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Michigan State Scoring
Offense: 24.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 21.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Michigan State's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record on Road: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Baylor 31
Michigan State 27

Projected Total Points: 58
Baylor Scoring
Offense: 31.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.6
Defense: 32.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.9

Baylor's 2014 Record
Record: 11 - 2
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 12
Record at home: 6 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201401/01Baylor41Michigan State42Baylor -3Michigan State68.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Baylor001 Overs
Michigan State110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

Michigan State Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Cotton Bowl Michigan State vs Baylor+3.068.0W 42 - 41
2013Rose Bowl Michigan State vs Stanford+6.541.0W 24 - 20
2012Wings Bowl Michigan State vs TCU  W 17 - 16
2011Outback Bowl Michigan State vs Georgia  W 33 - 30
2010One Bowl Michigan State vs Alabama  L 7 - 49
2009Alamo Bowl Michigan State vs Texas Tech  L 31 - 41
2008One Bowl Michigan State vs Georgia  L 12 - 24
Baylor Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2014Cotton Bowl Baylor vs Michigan State-3.068.0L 41 - 42
2013Fiesta Bowl Baylor vs UCF-17.074.0L 42 - 52
2012Holiday Bowl Baylor vs UCLA  W 49 - 26
2011Alamo Bowl Baylor vs Washington  W 67 - 56
2010Texas Bowl Baylor vs Illinois  L 14 - 38
  
(#) MSU at (#) BAY
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMSUBAY
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Perf GradeGradeNRNR
OffenseOffNRNR
DefenseDefNRNR
Spec TeamsSTNRNR
TalentTalNRNR
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Michigan State on Offense
CategoryCat
MSU OffBAY Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Michigan State Run Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffBAY Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Michigan State Pass Game
CategoryCat
MSU OffBAY Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Baylor on Offense
CategoryCatBAY OffMSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNRNR
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+NRNR
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Baylor Run Game
CategoryCat
BAY OffMSU Def
Run GameRunNRNR
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak - NR
Baylor Pass Game
CategoryCatBAY OffMSU Def
Pass GamePassNRNR
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP BlkNRNR
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
BAY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

MSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'14 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in AT&T Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 1
Baylor -3.0 (68.0)
Michigan State won at Baylor this year (42-41)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
MSU's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Michigan State's Full Roster

MSU's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

BAY's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Baylor's Full Roster

BAY's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD