Baylor Bears (@BUFootball)
Dave Aranda (6th year) (36-36)
Record: 5 - 7 (3 - 6) | Proj: 5 - 7 (#86) | SOS: (#39)
Roster | Injuries | '26 Portals | '26 Croots | Map
Record: 5 - 7 (3 - 6) | Proj: 5 - 7 (#86) | SOS: (#39)
| Baylor's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Fri 8/29 | Baylor vs Auburn | +1.5 | 57.5 | L 24 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Baylor at SMU | +3.0 | 65.5 | W 48 - 45 | O | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Baylor vs Samford | -51.5 | 65.5 | W 42 - 7 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/20 | Baylor vs Arizona State | -3.0 | 60.5 | L 24 - 27 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/27 | Baylor at Oklahoma State | -21.0 | 58.5 | W 45 - 27 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/4 | Baylor vs Kansas State | -4.5 | 59.5 | W 35 - 34 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/18 | Baylor at TCU | +3.5 | 66.5 | L 36 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/25 | Baylor at Cincinnati | +3.5 | 68.5 | L 20 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/1 | Baylor vs UCF | -3.0 | 58.5 | W 30 - 3 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/15 | Baylor vs Utah | +9.5 | 60.5 | L 28 - 55 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/22 | Baylor at Arizona | +6.5 | 61.5 | L 17 - 41 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/29 | Baylor vs Houston | -2.5 | 57.5 | L 24 - 31 | U | N | |
Record Prediction: 5.0 - 7.0 #86
Schedule Rating: #39
Record: 5 - 7( B12: 3 - 6)
Spread Record 2 - 10 - 0 | O/U 6 - 6
Future 2026 Schedule
| Baylor's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Baylor vs Tarleton State | -33.5 | 53.5 | W 45 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/7 | Baylor at Utah | +14.5 | 52.5 | L 12 - 23 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | Baylor vs Air Force | -17.5 | 40.5 | W 31 - 3 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/21 | Baylor at Colorado | +2.5 | 52.5 | L 31 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Baylor vs BYU | -3.0 | 47.0 | L 28 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 10/5 | Baylor at Iowa State | +13.0 | 45.0 | L 21 - 43 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 10/19 | Baylor at Texas Tech | +4.5 | 56.0 | W 59 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 10/26 | Baylor vs Oklahoma State | -7.0 | 64.5 | W 38 - 28 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/2 | Baylor vs TCU | -2.5 | 64.0 | W 37 - 34 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/16 | Baylor at West Virginia | -2.0 | 60.0 | W 49 - 35 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | Baylor at Houston | -7.0 | 51.0 | W 20 - 10 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | Baylor vs Kansas | +2.5 | 62.5 | W 45 - 17 | U | Y | |
| Tue 12/31 | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 | O | N | |
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (B12: 6 - 3)
Spread Record 9 - 4 - 0 | O/U 8 - 5
Played: 1 Elite, 6 Good, 2 Avg, 1 Bad, 1 Poor
Future: 0 Elite, 0 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 0Poor
2026 class: 177 points #79
2025 class: 210 points #36
2024 class: 179 points #67
2023 class: 211 points #34
2022 class: 208 points #37
Average Class Ranking: #51
Average Recruiting Points: 197
2025 class: 210 points #36
2024 class: 179 points #67
2023 class: 211 points #34
2022 class: 208 points #37
Average Class Ranking: #51
Average Recruiting Points: 197
Four Year Crootin Profile
Improving Average P4
4 Year Class: #45 - Best: #34 Worst: #67
CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201 #49
Power 4 Class: 225 #49
FBS Class: 179 #69
Improving Average P4
4 Year Class: #45 - Best: #34 Worst: #67
CFB Crootin Averages
Big 12 Class: 201 #49
Power 4 Class: 225 #49
FBS Class: 179 #69
2021 class: 190 points #44
2020 class: 181 points #54
2019 class: 203 points #35
2018 class: 215 points #29
2017 class: 193 points #40
Average Class Ranking: #40
Average Recruiting Points: 197
2020 class: 181 points #54
2019 class: 203 points #35
2018 class: 215 points #29
2017 class: 193 points #40
Average Class Ranking: #40
Average Recruiting Points: 197
2025 Portal Class #47 - 14 players, 87 Avg
2024 Portal Class #39 - 9 players, 88 Avg
2023 Portal Class #23 - 13 players, 87 Avg
2022 Portal Class #79 - 3 players, 90 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Portal Data only 2022 forward
Offensive Coordinator Jake Spavital (in his second season)
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sawyer Robertson | 304 | 503 | 60% | 3681 | 31 | 12 | 7.3 |
| Nate Bennett | 5 | 7 | 71% | 34 | 0 | 0 | 4.9 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryson Washington | 154 | 788 | 6 | 5.1 | 41 |
| Caden Knighten | 104 | 469 | 1 | 4.5 | 49 |
| Michael Turner | 65 | 320 | 1 | 4.9 | 40 |
| Joseph Dodds | 26 | 104 | 1 | 4.0 | 15 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Cameron | 69 | 872 | 9 | 12.6 | 48 |
| Michael Trigg | 50 | 694 | 6 | 13.9 | 42 |
| Ashtyn Hawkins | 53 | 621 | 0 | 11.7 | 41 |
| Kole Wilson (Tr) | 44 | 591 | 5 | 13.4 | 64 |
Defensive Coordinator Matt Powledge (been DC for 3 years)
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keaton Thomas | 99 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Devyn Bobby | 77 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Jacob Redding | 53 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Kyland Reed | 50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emar'Rion Winston (Tr) | 24 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Jackie Marshall | 30 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Keaton Thomas | 99 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Travion Barnes (Tr) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levar Thornton Jr. | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| DJ Coleman | 41 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
| Caldra Williford (Tr) | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense Returning Production: 72% #14
Defense Returning Production: 65% #25
Overall Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense Returning Production: 72% #14
Defense Returning Production: 65% #25
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #47
14 Commits, 86.5 Avg Rating
30% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 23% TY
2025 Portal Class #47
14 Commits, 86.5 Avg Rating
30% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 23% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Offense Talent #44 | Defense Talent #20
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #41 | 2021 #41
2025 Talent Rating: 902.00 #24
Offense Talent #44 | Defense Talent #20
2024 #1 | 2023 #1 | 2022 #41 | 2021 #41
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 2 - 10 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6
2022 Record: 6 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4
Four Year Record: 22 - 28
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 21 - 28 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 21
2025 Record: 5 - 7
2025 Conf Record: 3 - 6
Spread: 2 - 10 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6
2024 Record: 8 - 5
2024 Conf Record: 6 - 3
Spread: 9 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 5
2023 Record: 3 - 9
2023 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 8 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 6
2022 Record: 6 - 7
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 9 - 4
Four Year Record: 22 - 28
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 21 - 28 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 15 - 21
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 12 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8
2020 Record: 2 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 2 - 7
2019 Record: 11 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8
2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
Eight Year Record: 54 - 46
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 49 - 47 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 41 - 37
2021 Record: 12 - 2
2021 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 10 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8
2020 Record: 2 - 7
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 7
Spread: 3 - 4 - 2 | Totals: 2 - 7
2019 Record: 11 - 3
2019 Conf Record: 8 - 2
Spread: 9 - 5 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 8
2018 Record: 7 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 4 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 6 - 7
Eight Year Record: 54 - 46
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 49 - 47 - 4
Eight Year Conference Record: 41 - 37
| Baylor Recent Bowl History | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Bowl | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result |
| 2024 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs LSU | -3.0 | 62.5 | L 31 - 44 |
| 2022 | Forces Bowl | Baylor vs Air Force | -3.5 | 42.0 | L 15 - 30 |
| 2021 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Ole Miss | +1.0 | 60.5 | W 21 - 7 |
| 2019 | Sugar Bowl | Baylor vs Georgia | +4.0 | 44.0 | L 14 - 26 |
| 2018 | Texas Bowl | Baylor vs Vanderbilt | +4.0 | 56.5 | W 45 - 38 |
| 2016 | Cactus Bowl | Baylor vs Boise State | +10.0 | 71.0 | W 31 - 12 |
| 2015 | Athletic Bowl | Baylor vs North Carolina | -3.5 | W 49 - 38 | |
Power Ranking Stats (2025)
More Stats (2025)
Overall Stats (2025)
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | .2 (49) | 1.27 (53) | 45% (39) | 3.69 (69) | 28.5 (82) | 38% | 53% | .18 (81) | 1.16 (15) | 44% (104) | 4.3 (124) | 29.2 (80) |
| Teams | Offense PPA | Offense Expl | Offense Success | Offense Pts Per Opp | Avg Start FP | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Defense PPA | Defense Expl | Defense Success | Defense Pts Per Opp | Opponent FP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | .25 (29) | 1.3 (49) | 47% (23) | 4.28 (30) | 31.5 (17) | 44% | 61% | .18 (74) | 1.34 (102) | 39% (38) | 3.85 (77) | 25.9 (7) |
More Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12 | 29:15 | 24.8 | 38% | 53% | 6 | 61.4 | 2 | 0.9 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13 | 25:48 | 20.6 | 44% | 61% | 5.8 | 58.1 | 1 | 1.6 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 2 |
Overall Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 31.1 | 29.6 | 33.2 | 45% (39) | 3.69 (69) | 2 | 25 | 451 | 142 | 310 | 4.2 | 40% (129) | 59% (8) | 47% (38) | 44% (41) | 15% (56) | .2 (49) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 32.6 | 27.9 | 39.2 | 44.3% (104) | 4.3 (124) | 0.9 | - | - | - | - | - | 56% (129) | 42% (9) | 46% (107) | 43% (93) | 12% (126) | .18 (81) |
| Teams | Games | PPG | Home | Road | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 34.4 | 37.3 | 32 | 46.8% (23) | 4.28 (30) | 1 | 21 | 401 | 174 | 227 | 5 | 52% (61) | 48% (75) | 46% (37) | 48% (14) | 12% (17) | .25 (29) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 26.7 | 19.8 | 30.7 | 39.4% (38) | 3.85 (77) | 1.6 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% (107) | 46% (29) | 38% (13) | 42% (78) | 15% (83) | .18 (74) |
Run Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 40% (129) | 47% (38) | 34.1 | 141.6 | 4.2 | 12 (88) | .17 (44) | 3.09 (42) | 77% (32) | 8% (36) | 0.9 (99) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 56% (129) | 46% (107) | - | - | - | - | .14 (93) | 3.15 (111) | 89% (134) | 7% (131) | 0.96 (68) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 52% (61) | 46% (37) | 35.1 | 174.3 | 5 | 23 (52) | .18 (41) | 3.19 (43) | 77% (42) | 7% (9) | 1.01 (50) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 54% (107) | 38% (13) | - | - | - | - | .11 (64) | 3.03 (74) | 82% (122) | 9% (84) | 1.03 (92) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 Offense | 12 | 59% (8) | 44% (41) | 25.8 | 42.5 | 309.6 | 7.3 | 12 | 31 (3) | 12 (88) | .25 (67) | 1.5 (81) | 31% (58) | 33% (28) | .42 (27) | 6% (86) | 2.1 (35) |
| 2025 Defense | 12 | 42% (9) | 43% (93) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (55) | .25 (71) | 1.4 (13) | 28% (122) | 29% (65) | .24 (51) | 6% (86) | 1.7 (8) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Offense | 13 | 48% (75) | 48% (14) | 17.2 | 27.8 | 227.1 | 8.2 | 13.2 | 29 (12) | 9 (48) | .37 (21) | 1.6 (49) | 29% (29) | 36% (24) | .37 (53) | 6% (55) | 2 (91) |
| 2024 Defense | 13 | 46% (29) | 42% (78) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 13 (31) | .26 (80) | 1.7 (99) | 34% (39) | 31% (77) | .38 (98) | 6% (80) | 2.1 (83) |
Team Notes
(11/29) 1-5 finish to miss a bowl. Ugly scene in Waco ❌
(11/16) Def is non-competitive. Aranda feels done here ❌
(10/22) DL is one of worst in CFB, is worst in P4 ❌
(10/6) TE M Trigg is best TE in CFB. Incredible weapon ❌
(10/5) Huge comeback W over K St, a season turner. Bravo ❌
(10/4) Turnovers a major issue, into Oct 110th, 2 in 1Q today ❌
(9/21) Tough L vs ASU, Def played better, Robertson great ❌
(8/29) Def tackling is atrocious. DB's cannot run fit ❌
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24 ❌
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals ❌
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds ❌
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner ❌
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot ❌
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth ❌
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo ❌
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama). ❌
(3/21) OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure ❌
(11/29) 1-5 finish to miss a bowl. Ugly scene in Waco ❌
(11/16) Def is non-competitive. Aranda feels done here ❌
(10/22) DL is one of worst in CFB, is worst in P4 ❌
(10/6) TE M Trigg is best TE in CFB. Incredible weapon ❌
(10/5) Huge comeback W over K St, a season turner. Bravo ❌
(10/4) Turnovers a major issue, into Oct 110th, 2 in 1Q today ❌
(9/21) Tough L vs ASU, Def played better, Robertson great ❌
(8/29) Def tackling is atrocious. DB's cannot run fit ❌
(7/30) LB T Barnes (FIU) was CUSA DPOY in '24 ❌
(5/13) OL has top 20 returning prod w/o portals ❌
(5/13) DE/Pass rush? Winston & Fobbs-White portal adds ❌
(5/13) Very productive LB portal adds along w/ S Turner ❌
(5/13) Def was Avg LY. 11 portal adds. Return a lot ❌
(3/21) QB Robertson back, best of B12. Have depth ❌
(3/21) RBs Washington/Pendergrass back. Great duo ❌
(3/21) WR #1 Cameron back, add Prentice (Bama). ❌
(3/21) OL 4/5 back. Best of B12? Most exp'd for sure ❌
Overall
Power Rating #30 | SP+ Rating #69
Performance Grade #78
Special Teams Grade #5
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0 #86
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Power Rating #30 | SP+ Rating #69
Performance Grade #78
Special Teams Grade #5
Record Prediction 5.0 - 7.0 #86
Record vs Spread: 2 - 10 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Top G5
Offense
Power #20 | SP+ #30 | Grade #61
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Off Success #39 | Explosivness #53
Rush Grade #92 | Pass Grade #71
Rush Success #38 | Explosiveness #99
Pass Success #41 | Explosiveness #81
Run Block #60 | Pass Block #84
OL YDS #42 | Stuff Rate #27
Scoring Zone Off: #69
Power #20 | SP+ #30 | Grade #61
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Off Success #39 | Explosivness #53
Rush Grade #92 | Pass Grade #71
Rush Success #38 | Explosiveness #99
Pass Success #41 | Explosiveness #81
Run Block #60 | Pass Block #84
OL YDS #42 | Stuff Rate #27
Scoring Zone Off: #69
Defense
Power #42 | SP+ #108 | Grade #100
Def Success #104 | Explosivness #15
Rush Success #107 | Explosiveness #68
Tackling #38 | Run Def #115
Pass Success #93 | Explosiveness #13
Pass Rush #124 | Coverage #45
F7 Havoc #131 | DB Havoc #86
DL YDS #111 | Def Stuff Rate #123
Scoring Zone Def #124
Power #42 | SP+ #108 | Grade #100
Def Success #104 | Explosivness #15
Rush Success #107 | Explosiveness #68
Tackling #38 | Run Def #115
Pass Success #93 | Explosiveness #13
Pass Rush #124 | Coverage #45
F7 Havoc #131 | DB Havoc #86
DL YDS #111 | Def Stuff Rate #123
Scoring Zone Def #124
Roster
Team Talent #24 Blue Chips: 6% #49
Offense Talent #44 Defense Talent #20
Crootin: '25 Class #79 - 4 YR Class: #45
Profile: Improving Average P4
Portal Class #47 - 14 players, 87 Avg
30% of Roster from Portal, 23% TY
62 New Players, 59% of '25 Roster #68
Team Talent #24 Blue Chips: 6% #49
Offense Talent #44 Defense Talent #20
Crootin: '25 Class #79 - 4 YR Class: #45
Profile: Improving Average P4
Portal Class #47 - 14 players, 87 Avg
30% of Roster from Portal, 23% TY
62 New Players, 59% of '25 Roster #68
Scoring & Records
Scoring: 31.1 - 32.6 | Scoring Margin: (-1.5)
Home: 30 - 28 (1.7) | Road: 33 - 39 (-6)
OC: Jake Spavital - in his second season
DC: Matt Powledge - been DC for 3 years
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (2 - 10 - 0) (B12: 3 - 6)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1) (B12: 2 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (22 - 28) | 8 Yr Record: (54 - 46)
Scoring: 31.1 - 32.6 | Scoring Margin: (-1.5)
Home: 30 - 28 (1.7) | Road: 33 - 39 (-6)
OC: Jake Spavital - in his second season
DC: Matt Powledge - been DC for 3 years
2025 Record: 5 - 7 (2 - 10 - 0) (B12: 3 - 6)
2024 Record: 8 - 5 (9 - 4 - 0) (B12: 6 - 3)
2023 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 1) (B12: 2 - 7)
4 Yr Record: (22 - 28) | 8 Yr Record: (54 - 46)
Notes
1-5 finish to miss a bowl. Ugly scene in Waco
HC Aranda will return in '26, $ decision, not popular
Def is non-competitive. Aranda feels done here
2 straight L's now 4-4, Aranda on hot seat
DL is one of worst in CFB, is worst in P4
TE M Trigg is best TE in CFB. Incredible weapon
Huge comeback W over K St, a season turner. Bravo
Turnovers a major issue, into Oct 110th, 2 in 1Q today
Tough L vs ASU, Def played better, Robertson great
Def tackling is atrocious. DB's cannot run fit
1-5 finish to miss a bowl. Ugly scene in Waco
HC Aranda will return in '26, $ decision, not popular
Def is non-competitive. Aranda feels done here
2 straight L's now 4-4, Aranda on hot seat
DL is one of worst in CFB, is worst in P4
TE M Trigg is best TE in CFB. Incredible weapon
Huge comeback W over K St, a season turner. Bravo
Turnovers a major issue, into Oct 110th, 2 in 1Q today
Tough L vs ASU, Def played better, Robertson great
Def tackling is atrocious. DB's cannot run fit
'25 Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.69 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Good when off Schedule 33%
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 40%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.69 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor Offensive Turnovers
Bad OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Avg 1st/2nd Down Success 69%
Good when off Schedule 33%
'25 Defense
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.3 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Poor Pass Def Success 43%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad at Forcing Turnovers
Bad Penalty Team, Avg Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 72%
Avg when Opp is off Schedule 29%
Returning Prod
HC Aranda, OC Spavital & QB all back
'24 QB Sawyer Robertson returns
Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 65% #25
OL Prod: 81% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3652 #35 | From Portal: 16 #93
Rush Prod: 84% #23 | Rec Prod: 87% #10
Def Front Seven: 53% - Secondary: 77%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
HC Aranda, OC Spavital & QB all back
'24 QB Sawyer Robertson returns
Returning Production: 68% #11
Offense: 72% #14 | Defense: 65% #25
OL Prod: 81% #15, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 3652 #35 | From Portal: 16 #93
Rush Prod: 84% #23 | Rec Prod: 87% #10
Def Front Seven: 53% - Secondary: 77%
Vegas Preseason Win Total: 7.5 - 4.5
4 Year Overall
2025 SP+ Overall: #69 - Power Rating: #30
2024 SP+ Overall: #38 - Power Rating: #22
2023 SP+ Overall: #98 - Power Rating: #108
2022 SP+ Overall: #30
2025 SP+ Overall: #69 - Power Rating: #30
2024 SP+ Overall: #38 - Power Rating: #22
2023 SP+ Overall: #98 - Power Rating: #108
2022 SP+ Overall: #30
4 Year Offense
2025 SP+ Offense: #30 - Power Rating: #20
2024 SP+ Offense: #25 - Power Rating: #20
2023 SP+ Offense: #78 - Power Rating: #99
2022 SP+ Offense: #22
2025 SP+ Offense: #30 - Power Rating: #20
2024 SP+ Offense: #25 - Power Rating: #20
2023 SP+ Offense: #78 - Power Rating: #99
2022 SP+ Offense: #22
4 Year Defense
2025 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #42
2024 SP+ Defense: #63 - Power Rating: #30
2023 SP+ Defense: #105 - Power Rating: #127
2022 SP+ Defense: #62
2025 SP+ Defense: #108 - Power Rating: #42
2024 SP+ Defense: #63 - Power Rating: #30
2023 SP+ Defense: #105 - Power Rating: #127
2022 SP+ Defense: #62