Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Team Profile
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Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (@MT_FB)
Derek Mason (2nd year) (3-9)
Vegas Win Total: 4.5 - 7.5  |  Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)  |  SOS: (#136)
Power (#122)  | Off (#117)  | Def (#118)  |  Roster  |  Portals  |  Croots
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Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech W 32 - 25
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48ON
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5UY
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42UN
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36ON
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35ON

2024 Schedule Rating: #97
2024 Record: 3 - 9 (CUSA: 2 - 6)
Spread Record 3 - 8 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7

Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 11 Poor
Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 2 Avg, 2 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules
2025 class: 151 points  #97
2024 class: 132 points  #118
2023 class: 89 points  #119
2022 class: 102 points  #120
2021 class: 107 points  #123

Average Class Ranking:  #115
Average Recruiting Points: 116
Four Year Crootin Profile
Improving Below Avg G5
4 Year Class: #111 - Best: #97 Worst: #120


CFB Crootin Averages
Conference USA Class: 114 #113
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 151 points  #90
2019 class: 154 points  #85
2018 class: 125 points  #104
2017 class: 128 points  #91
2016 class: 128 points  #96

Average Class Ranking:  #93
Average Recruiting Points: 137
 

2025 Portal Class #111 - 8 players, 84 Avg
2024 Portal Class #112 - 7 players, 84 Avg
2023 Portal Class #110 - 9 players, 0 Avg
2022 Portal Class #86 - 11 players, 83 Avg
Transfer Portal Classes
Portal Data only 2022 forward

2021 Portal Class # - players, 0 Avg
2020 Portal Class # - players, 0 Avg
2019 Portal Class # - players, 0 Avg
2018 Portal Class # - players, 0 Avg
Offensive Coordinator Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rickey Hunt7639325.259
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Roman Gagliano2502.59
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544
Jekail Middlebrook2216317.424
Gamarion Carter12123010.327
(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
Shakai Woods424110
Brandon Buckner374350
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
Aidan Butts102202
Damonte Smith254231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Aidan Butts102202
Abdul Muhammad120002
Damonte Smith254231
Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 56% #69
Offense Returning Production: 58% #64
Defense Returning Production: 55% #64
Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #111
8 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
21% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 14% TY
Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Offense Talent #113 | Defense Talent #126
2024 #119 | 2023 #124 | 2022 #103 | 2021 #80
2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 3 - 9
2024 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

Four Year Record: 15 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 13 - 22 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 9 - 15
2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 3
Spread: 5 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 4

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2018 Record: 8 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

Eight Year Record: 37 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 39 - 44 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 29

Middle Tennessee Recent Bowl History
DateBowlMatchupSpreadTotalResult
2022I Bowl Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State+7.047.0W 25 - 23
2021Bahamas Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Toledo+10.050.0W 31 - 24
2018Orleans Bowl Middle Tennessee vs App State+6.548.0L 13 - 45
2017Camellia Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Arkansas State+3.561.0W 35 - 30
2016I Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i-4.570.0L 35 - 52
2015Bahamas Bowl Middle Tennessee vs Western Michigan+3.0L 31 - 45
Power Ranking Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2024.13 (107)39% (105)3 (128)25.2 (133)38%48%.32 (129)49% (130)4.61 (126)30 (100)
 Teams                  Offense PPAOffense SuccessOffense Pts Per OppAvg Start FP3rd Down %4th Down %Defense PPADefense SuccessDefense Pts Per OppOpponent FP
2023.14 (95)39% (104)3.2 (115)28.8 (90)40%45%.17 (60)43% (81)4.13 (100)27.8 (43)



More Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20241230:15 (73)18.2 (109)38%48%7.3 (110)61.3 (102)1.6 (83)0.84.6 (110)1.7 (90)1
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDs
20231228:32 (117)19.3 (95)40%45%6.8 (93)56.3 (81)1.8 (97)1.35.8 (58)1.9 (79)0



Overall Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2024 Offense1218.120.314.239.4% (105)3 (128)1.618352912613.241% (123)59% (11)38% (114)40% (83)19% (113).13 (107)
2024 Defense1234.332.835.849.4% (130)4.61 (126)0.8 - - - - - 54% (104)46% (33)50% (124)49% (127)14% (108).32 (129)
 Teams                  GamesPPGHomeRoadSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun Rate  Pass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
2023 Offense1224.332.216.339.4% (104)3.2 (115)1.8193911262663.942% (117)57% (18)41% (93)39% (94)17% (89).14 (95)
2023 Defense1228.124.831.342.9% (81)4.13 (100)1.3 - - - - - 47% (30)52% (104)45% (88)42% (78)17% (49).17 (60)



Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2024 Offense1241% (123)38% (114)27.990.53.210 (122).04 (110)2.82 (104)56% (132)11% (100)0.98 (62)
2024 Defense1254% (104)50% (124) - - - - .19 (107)3.19 (97)72% (61)9% (100)0.97 (59)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
2023 Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)
2023 Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)



Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2024 Offense1259% (11)40% (83)22.835.6261.17.311.516 (87)10 (63).19 (95)1.5 (102)32% (84)25% (123).17 (121)7% (112)1.9 (113)
2024 Defense1246% (33)49% (127) - - - - - - 5 (117).47 (129)1.6 (90)27% (127)34% (109).53 (128)5% (101)2.3 (128)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs     Ints     PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
2023 Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)
2023 Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)




Power Ratings Overall: -18.76 #118
Offense: 8.09 #104
Defense: 26.85 #128
SP+ Overall: -16.4 #125
SP+ Offense: 17.5 #130
SP+ Defense: 33.9 #107
5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Down to Poor G5
Returning Prod HC Mason, OC Reeder & QB all back
'24 QB Nicholas Vattiato returns
Returning Production: 56% #69
Offense: 58% #64 | Defense: 55% #64
OL Prod: 56% #67, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2752 #76 | From Portal: 35 #86
Rush Prod: 54% #63 | Rec Prod: 31% #103
Def Front Seven: 74% - Secondary: 31%
Roster Team Talent #120 Blue Chips: 0% #99
Offense Talent #113 Defense Talent #126
Crootin: '25 Class #97 - 4 YR Class: #111
Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
Portal Class #111 - 8 players, 84 Avg
21% of Roster from Portal, 14% TY
28 New Players, 36% of '25 Roster #24

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 #78
Vegas Win Total Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Schedule Rating: -171 #136
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 11
Scoring Scoring: 18.1 - 34.3 (24 - 28) in '24
Scoring at Home: 20 - 33 | Road: 14 - 36
OC: Bodie Reeder - in his second season
DC: Brian Stewart - in his second season
Records 2024 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 0) (CUSA: 2 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (4 - 8 - 0) (CUSA: 3 - 5)
2022 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 1) (CUSA: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (15 - 22) | 8 Yr Record: (37 - 48)
 
'24 OffenseVery Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Awful when off Schedule 25%
'24 DefenseBad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 73%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 34%
Team NotesRB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl