Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Team Profile

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Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-5.5
Fri 9/5	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin	+28
Fri 9/12	Middle Tennessee at Nevada	+1
Fri 9/19	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+4
Fri 9/26	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State	-0.5
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/7	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State	-6
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Middle Tennessee at Delaware	+1
Tue 10/28	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	+1.5
Fri 11/7	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+2
Fri 11/14	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+8
Fri 11/21	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston	-3
Fri 11/28	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+2.5

Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 #86
Schedule Rating: #136
Future 2026 Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/31	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech			W 32 - 25
Sat 9/7	Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss	+42.5	60.5	L 3 - 52	U	N
Sat 9/14	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+10.5	53.5	L 21 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/21	Middle Tennessee vs Duke	+14.5	51.0	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Memphis	+27.0	62.0	L 7 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	+5.0	48.0	L 21 - 48	O	N
Tue 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State	-8.5	50.0	W 14 - 5	U	Y
Wed 10/23	Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State	+20.5	64.5	L 20 - 42	U	N
Sat 11/2	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.0	48.0	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/9	Middle Tennessee vs Liberty	+12.5	54.5	L 17 - 37	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23	Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State	-3.5	54.0	L 21 - 36	O	N
Sat 11/30	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+9.5	50.5	L 24 - 35	O	N

2024 Schedule Rating: #97
2024 Record: 3 - 9 (CUSA: 2 - 6)
Spread Record 3 - 8 - 0 | O/U 5 - 7

Opponents: 0 Elite, 1 Good, 0 Avg, 0 Bad, 11 Poor

Reg Season Opponents: 1 Elite, 1 Good, 2 Avg, 2 Bad, 6 Poor

Show Past Schedules

Middle Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Sat 9/2	Middle Tennessee at Alabama	+39.5	52.0	L 7 - 56	O	N
Sat 9/9	Middle Tennessee at Missouri	+21.0	47.5	L 19 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/16	Middle Tennessee vs Murray State	-34.5	51.0	W 35 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/23	Middle Tennessee vs Colorado State	-3.5	50.0	L 23 - 31	O	N
Thu 9/28	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+6.5	61.0	L 10 - 31	U	N
Wed 10/4	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-2.5	52.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Tue 10/10	Middle Tennessee vs Louisiana Tech	-3.0	53.5	W 31 - 23	O	Y
Tue 10/17	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+16.0	56.5	L 35 - 42	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+3.0	55.5	L 7 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	50.5	W 40 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	Middle Tennessee vs UTEP	-8.5	48.5	W 34 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/25	Middle Tennessee at Sam Houston	-3.5	49.5	L 20 - 23	U	N

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Middle Tennessee's 2020 Schedule
Sat 9/5	Middle Tennessee at Army	+3.5	53.0	L 0 - 42	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/19	Middle Tennessee vs Troy	+6.5	70.5	L 14 - 47	U	N
Fri 9/25	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+6.0	59.0	L 35 - 37	O	Y
Sat 10/3	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.0	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/10	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	+7.0	57.0	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 10/17	Middle Tennessee vs North Texas	-3.5	70.5	L 35 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/24	Middle Tennessee at Rice	+4.0	48.0	W 40 - 34	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/14	Middle Tennessee at Marshall	+23.5	55.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/21	Middle Tennessee at Troy	+11.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y

2025 class: 151 points #97
2024 class: 132 points #118
2023 class: 89 points #119
2022 class: 102 points #120
2021 class: 107 points #123

Average Class Ranking: #115
Average Recruiting Points: 116

Class Averages
Conference USA Class: 114 #113
Group of 5 Class: 135 #102
FBS Class: 179 #69

2020 class: 151 points #90
2019 class: 154 points #85
2018 class: 125 points #104
2017 class: 128 points #91
2016 class: 128 points #96

Average Class Ranking: #93
Average Recruiting Points: 137

Offensive Coordinator Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9
Cam'Ron Lacy	1	1	0	1.0	1

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

(Tr) - new transfer in 2025

Defensive Coordinator Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
James Gillespie	10	2	2	0	0
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Returning Production
Overall Returning Production: 56% #69
Offense Returning Production: 58% #64
Defense Returning Production: 55% #64

Transfer Portal
2025 Portal Class #111
8 Commits, 83.5 Avg Rating
21% of 2025 Roster from Portal, 15% TY

Team Talent
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #119
Offense Talent #112 | Defense Talent #126
2024 #119 | 2023 #124 | 2022 #103 | 2021 #80

2025 - 2022 Records
2025 Record: 0 - 0
2025 Conf Record: 0 - 0
Spread: 0 - 0 - 0 | Totals: 0 - 0

2024 Record: 3 - 9
2024 Conf Record: 2 - 6
Spread: 3 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 7

2023 Record: 4 - 8
2023 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 4 - 8 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 6

2022 Record: 8 - 5
2022 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 6 - 6 - 1 | Totals: 7 - 6

Four Year Record: 15 - 22
Four Year Record vs. Spread: 13 - 22 - 1
Four Year Conference Record: 9 - 15

2021 - 2018 Records
2021 Record: 7 - 6
2021 Conf Record: 4 - 4
Spread: 7 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 6 - 7

2020 Record: 3 - 6
2020 Conf Record: 2 - 3
Spread: 5 - 4 - 0 | Totals: 5 - 4

2019 Record: 4 - 8
2019 Conf Record: 3 - 5
Spread: 6 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 8 - 4

2018 Record: 8 - 6
2018 Conf Record: 7 - 2
Spread: 8 - 6 - 0 | Totals: 7 - 7

Eight Year Record: 37 - 48
Eight Year Record vs. Spread: 39 - 44 - 1
Eight Year Conference Record: 29 - 29

Middle Tennessee Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	I Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23
2021	Bahamas Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24
2018	Orleans Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs App State	+6.5	48.0	L 13 - 45
2017	Camellia Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs Arkansas State	+3.5	61.0	W 35 - 30
2016	I Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs Hawai'i	-4.5	70.0	L 35 - 52
2015	Bahamas Bowl	Middle Tennessee vs Western Michigan	+3.0		L 31 - 45

Power Ranking Stats (2024)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2024	.13 (107)	39% (105)	3 (128)	25.2 (133)	38%	48%	.32 (129)	49% (130)	4.61 (126)	30 (100)

Teams	Offense PPA	Offense Success	Offense Pts Per Opp	Avg Start FP	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Defense PPA	Defense Success	Defense Pts Per Opp	Opponent FP
2023	.14 (95)	39% (104)	3.2 (115)	28.8 (90)	40%	45%	.17 (60)	43% (81)	4.13 (100)	27.8 (43)

More Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2024	12	30:15 (73)	18.2 (109)	38%	48%	7.3 (110)	61.3 (102)	1.6 (83)	0.8	4.6 (110)	1.7 (90)	1

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs
2023	12	28:32 (117)	19.3 (95)	40%	45%	6.8 (93)	56.3 (81)	1.8 (97)	1.3	5.8 (58)	1.9 (79)	0

Overall Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2024 Offense	12	18.1	20.3	14.2	39.4% (105)	3 (128)	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41% (123)	59% (11)	38% (114)	40% (83)	19% (113)	.13 (107)
2024 Defense	12	34.3	32.8	35.8	49.4% (130)	4.61 (126)	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54% (104)	46% (33)	50% (124)	49% (127)	14% (108)	.32 (129)

Teams	Games	PPG	Home	Road	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
2023 Offense	12	24.3	32.2	16.3	39.4% (104)	3.2 (115)	1.8	19	391	126	266	3.9	42% (117)	57% (18)	41% (93)	39% (94)	17% (89)	.14 (95)
2023 Defense	12	28.1	24.8	31.3	42.9% (81)	4.13 (100)	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47% (30)	52% (104)	45% (88)	42% (78)	17% (49)	.17 (60)

Run Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2024 Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)
2024 Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
2023 Offense	12	42% (117)	41% (93)	32	125.5	3.9	13 (108)	.1 (93)	3.08 (74)	79% (22)	11% (95)	1.08 (28)
2023 Defense	12	47% (30)	45% (88)	-	-	-	-	.06 (24)	2.97 (43)	71% (57)	10% (65)	0.85 (13)

Pass Game Stats (2024)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2024 Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)
2024 Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
2023 Offense	12	57% (18)	39% (94)	24.6	36.5	265.6	7.3	10.8	23 (51)	13 (97)	.24 (84)	1.6 (59)	34% (101)	26% (110)	.24 (94)	6% (70)	2.3 (6)
2023 Defense	12	52% (104)	42% (78)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (100)	.31 (96)	1.5 (47)	30% (104)	32% (90)	.35 (88)	7% (31)	2.2 (100)

Team Notes (3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs ❌
(3/26) RB very little exp, pass heavy offense ❌
(3/26) WR rebuild, some exp, 2 portal WR, 2 TE ❌
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds ❌
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal ❌

Injury Notes

Staff/Schedule Notes (3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl ❌

Power Ratings Overall: -18.78 #119
Offense: 8.08 #101
Defense: 26.86 #129
SP+ Overall: -17.5 #126
SP+ Offense: 17.2 #125
SP+ Defense: 34.7 #115

Returning Prod HC Mason, OC Reeder & QB all back
'24 QB Nicholas Vattiato returns
Returning Production: 56% #69
Offense: 58% #64 | Defense: 55% #64
OL Prod: 56% #67, 4 clear starters
OL Snaps: 2752 #77 | From Portal: 35 #86
Rush Prod: 33% #104 | Rec Prod: 30% #103
Def Front Seven: 74% - Secondary: 31%

Roster Team Talent #119 Blue Chips: 0% #99
Offense Talent #112 Defense Talent #126
Crootin Class #97 - 4 YR Rank #115
Portal Class #111 - 8 players, 84 Avg
21% of Roster from Portal, 15% TY
29 New Players, 37% of '25 Roster #27

2025 Schedule Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 #86
Schedule Rating: -166 #136
View Schedule & Predicted Results
Opps: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 11

Scoring Scoring: 18.1 - 34.3 (24 - 28) in '24
Scoring at Home: 20 - 33 | Road: 14 - 36
OC: Bodie Reeder - in his second season
DC: Brian Stewart - in his second season

Records 2024 Record: 3 - 9 (3 - 8 - 0) (CUSA: 2 - 6)
2023 Record: 4 - 8 (4 - 8 - 0) (CUSA: 3 - 5)
2022 Record: 8 - 5 (6 - 6 - 1) (CUSA: 4 - 4)
4 Yr Record: (15 - 22) | 8 Yr Record: (37 - 48)

'24 OffenseVery Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Bad Offensive Turnovers
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad 1st/2nd Down Success 68%
Awful when off Schedule 25%

'24 DefenseBad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor at Forcing Turnovers
Poor Penalty Team, Bad Field Position
Awful 1st/2nd Down Success 73%
Poor when Opp is off Schedule 34%

Team NotesQB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
RB very little exp, pass heavy offense
WR rebuild, some exp, 2 portal WR, 2 TE
OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl