Missouri State Bears at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Wednesday, October 8th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN
Bears (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (17 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Ryan Beard (12 - 11)
Avg Score : 15 - 40 (17 - 47 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.3 - 7.7 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
MOST coming off BYE
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri State -1.5 (SP+ MOST -2)
Projected Score: MOST: 27 - MTSU: 26 (53)
MOST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MOST Travel: 395 miles
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: Missouri State -1.5 (SP+ MOST -2)
Projected Score: MOST: 27 - MTSU: 26 (53)
MOST Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
MOST Travel: 395 miles
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (14 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (14 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Missouri State's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Missouri State at USC | +34.5 | 59.5 | L 13 - 73 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Missouri State at Marshall | +7.0 | 53.5 | W 21 - 20 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/13 | Missouri State vs SMU | +29.5 | 60.5 | L 10 - 28 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Missouri State vs UT Martin | -5.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/27 | Missouri State vs Western Kentucky | +12 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Missouri State at Middle Tennessee | -1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Missouri State at New Mexico State | +6.5 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Missouri State vs Florida International | +8 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Missouri State at Liberty | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Missouri State vs UTEP | +8.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Missouri State at Kennesaw State | +1.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Missouri State vs Louisiana Tech | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Predictions for Missouri State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
| Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay | -14.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin | +28.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Middle Tennessee at Nevada | +9.0 | 50.0 | W 14 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Middle Tennessee vs Marshall | +2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Middle Tennessee at Delaware | +16 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State | +10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | #76 (.19) | 36% (121) | 14.7 | 31% (129) | 2.01 (130) | 68 | 40% (92) | 274 | 1.63 (131) | #133 (.43) | 47% (113) | 40.3 | 44% (97) | 49% (117) | 5 (121) | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| MTSU | #127 (-.01) | 36% (119) | 12.7 | 41% (88) | 2.86 (83) | 61 | 33% (119) | 188 | 1.89 (129) | #120 (.29) | 42% (86) | 29.7 | 36% (45) | 51% (123) | 4.58 (109) | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 14.7 | 17 | 35.7% | 1.63 | 2.3 | 16 | 342 | 68 | 274 | 2.2 | 46% | 54% | 31% | 40% | 26% | .19 |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 34 | 42.4% | 4.58 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 36% | 51% | 16% | .29 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 40.3 | 46.5 | 46.5% | 5 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 52% | 45% | 44% | 49% | 13% | .43 |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 12.7 | 14 | 36% | 1.89 | 0.7 | 17 | 249 | 61 | 188 | 2.3 | 37% | 61% | 41% | 33% | 17% | -.01 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri State | 3 | 32:51 | 16 | 24% | 67% | 7 | 75 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4.3 | 1.3 | 0 | 29.8 |
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 27:17 | 16.7 | 28% | 29% | 5 | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 46% (96) | 31% (129) | 31.3 | 68 | 2.2 | 0 (135) | -.09 (129) | 2.01 (130) | 60% (103) | 20% (136) | 1.21 (28) |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 58% (118) | 36% (45) | - | - | - | - | .1 (83) | 2.95 (86) | 86% (112) | 12% (42) | 1.02 (83) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 52% (93) | 44% (97) | - | - | - | - | .21 (110) | 3.24 (115) | 50% (19) | 7% (110) | 0.92 (67) |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 37% (129) | 41% (88) | 26.7 | 60.7 | 2.3 | 1 (127) | -.06 (122) | 2.86 (83) | 40% (133) | 11% (99) | 0.99 (58) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Offense | 3 | 54% (42) | 40% (92) | 21.7 | 32.7 | 274 | 8.4 | 12.7 | 5 (54) | 6 (132) | .44 (36) | 2.2 (3) | 41% (132) | 35% (50) | .4 (55) | 6% (86) | 2.3 (28) |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 42% (21) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .56 (127) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (42) | 34% (104) | .47 (110) | 4% (110) | 2.1 (95) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MOST Defense | 3 | 45% (37) | 49% (117) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .67 (133) | 1.9 (123) | 29% (108) | 32% (86) | .66 (128) | 6% (62) | 2.8 (132) |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 61% (9) | 33% (119) | 21.3 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .04 (124) | 1.5 (83) | 35% (111) | 29% (90) | .38 (59) | 7% (104) | 2.2 (44) |
Missouri State's Power Ratings
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State's Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Missouri State's Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Missouri State's Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
2025 Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Missouri State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Missouri State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Missouri State's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Missouri State's Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -15.03 Middle Tennessee: -19.485
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -21.2 Middle Tennessee: -23.0
Missouri State: -15.03 Middle Tennessee: -19.485
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Missouri State: -21.2 Middle Tennessee: -23.0
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Missouri State Scoring
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.5
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 14.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 40.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 46.5
Missouri State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Missouri State 27
Middle Tennessee 26
Total Points: 53
Missouri State 27
Middle Tennessee 26
Total Points: 53
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Missouri State | 0 | 0 | 0 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 0 - 0 |
(#116) Missouri State Info
Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 3 straight
Missouri State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
Power Rating: -15.03 #116
Offense Rating: 4.83 #106
Defense Rating: 19.86 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #129
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #106
Defense SP+ Rating: 43.1 #135
Talent Rating: 310.00 #131
Blue Chip Ratio: 11% #38
Expected Record: 4.3 - 7.7
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 46%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.63 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Poor Pass Success 40%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 47%
Awful in Scoring Position 5 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
Missouri State has lost 3 straight
Missouri State has won 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )
Missouri State Notes
(4/7) Bears use WR1 a ton, BlackStrain (GT) that guy
(4/7) RB Lawrence (FIU) starts, watch Fr King Davis
(3/26) QB Clark back, 3K yds, 26 TD. Looks good
(3/26) WR/TE some exp, TE Mason good. 1 portal
(3/26) OL no clue, looks really weak, no portals
(3/26) Def limited, lots of shootouts LY. Some exp
(3/26) HC Beard in his 3rd, improved to 8-4 LY.
(3/26) Passing offense was 2nd in FCS 39 PPG LY
(3/26) Bears were a middling FCS program, why FBS?
Missouri State Highlights
Missouri State offense is explosive (#2)
Missouri State Deficiencies
Missouri State has a really bad Offense
Missouri State has a bad TO Margin (#125)
Missouri State Can Not Run the Ball (#132)
Missouri State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#132)
Missouri State offense is really bad (#121)
Missouri State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#135)
Missouri State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#131)
Missouri State run game is really bad (#129)
Missouri State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Missouri State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Missouri State has a bad defense (#113)
Missouri State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#112)
Missouri State Does Not Stuff Runs (#123)
Missouri State has a bad defensive line (#115)
Missouri State has a bad red zone defense (#121)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MTSU | MOST |
| OverallOver | #105 | #103 |
| OffenseOff | #112 | #102 |
| DefenseDef | #68 | #89 |
| Special TeamsST | #100 | #102 |
| PassingPass | #84 | #70 |
| RushingRush | #87 | #104 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #108 | #116 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #121 | #80 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #104 | #63 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #113 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #47 | #73 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #90 | #106 |
| Coverage DefCov | #77 | #75 |
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Clark | 60 | 92 | 65% | 781 | 5 | 6 | 8.5 |
| Cole Feuerbacher | 4 | 4 | 100% | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shomari Lawrence (Tr) | 42 | 143 | 0 | 3.4 | 23 |
| Ramone Green Jr. | 10 | 34 | 0 | 3.4 | 12 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 1 | 21 | 0 | 21.0 | 21 |
| Reggie Branch | 4 | 20 | 0 | 5.0 | 9 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramone Green Jr. | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 57 |
| Jmariyae Robinson | 9 | 164 | 1 | 18.2 | 52 |
| Alred Luke | 10 | 129 | 1 | 12.9 | 27 |
| Tristian Gardner | 7 | 104 | 1 | 14.9 | 33 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Thomas Anderson | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Christian Ford (Tr) | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Caleb Dietlin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jared Lloyd | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Maguire Neal | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dunbar (Tr) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Davon Townley Jr. | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Mitchell Toney | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 62 | 111 | 56% | 548 | 4 | 2 | 4.9 |
| Roman Gagliano | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrook | 33 | 142 | 0 | 4.3 | 42 |
| Rickey Hunt | 16 | 67 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Stanley Anderson-Lofton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 15 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahzae Cox | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 37 |
| Myles Butler | 12 | 116 | 0 | 9.7 | 23 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 11 | 87 | 0 | 7.9 | 12 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Muaaz Byard | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakai Woods | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Damonte Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Buckner | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Howse IV | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lowe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Abdul Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |