Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee - 2021 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Saturday, November 20th 2021 (3:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -3 (48.5)
Old Dominion 24 - Middle Tennessee: 17 (Conference USA)

Monarchs (6 - 7) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 28 - 28 (22 - 29 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
ODU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -4 (SP+ MTSU -3)
Projected Score: ODU: 25 - MTSU: 32 (57)
MTSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
ODU Travel: 564 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (37 - 17 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
MTSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 9/3	Old Dominion at Wake Forest	+32.5	61.5	L 10 - 42	U	Y
Sat 9/11	Old Dominion vs Hampton	-21.5	55.0	W 47 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/18	Old Dominion at Liberty	+26.5	53.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/25	Old Dominion vs Buffalo	+13.0	50.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/2	Old Dominion at UTEP	+5.5	48.5	L 21 - 28	O	N
Sat 10/9	Old Dominion at Marshall	+21.5	62.0	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/16	Old Dominion vs Western Kentucky	+13.5	66.5	L 20 - 43	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/30	Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech	+4.0	52.0	W 23 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Old Dominion at Florida International	-3.0	50.0	W 47 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/13	Old Dominion vs Florida Atlantic	+6.5	48.0	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/20	Old Dominion at Middle Tennessee	+3.0	48.5	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/27	Old Dominion vs Charlotte	-8.5	55.5	W 56 - 34	O	Y
Mon 12/20	Old Dominion vs Tulsa	+7.5	55.0	L 17 - 30	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/4	Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth	-8.5	58.5	W 50 - 15	O	Y
Sat 9/11	Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech	+20.0	55.0	L 14 - 35	U	N
Sat 9/18	Middle Tennessee at UTSA	+11.5	60.0	L 13 - 27	U	N
Fri 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Charlotte	+2.5	55.5	L 39 - 42	O	N
Sat 10/2	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	+11.0	66.0	W 34 - 28	U	Y
Sat 10/9	Middle Tennessee at Liberty	+20.0	59.0	L 13 - 41	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22	Middle Tennessee at UConn	-14.0	54.0	W 44 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/30	Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss	-12.5	47.0	W 35 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/6	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+17.5	66.5	L 21 - 48	O	N
Sat 11/13	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	-10.5	54.0	W 50 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/20	Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion	-3.0	48.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/27	Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic	+3.5	49.5	W 27 - 17	U	Y
Fri 12/17	Middle Tennessee vs Toledo	+10.0	50.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	.17	41%	27.6	45%	3.05	161	38%	215	3.57	.15	41%	27.8	43%	41%	3.58	60.2	1.8	1.4
MTSU	.14	38%	29.8	39%	3.03	124	38%	238	4.08	.16	42%	25.7	47%	39%	3.65	56.6	1.6	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	27.6	22	41.4%	3.57	1.8	20	375	161	215	4.2	51%	49%	45%	38%	21%	.17
MTSU Defense	13	25.7	17.4	42%	3.65	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	42%	56%	47%	39%	28%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	27.8	29.3	41.5%	3.58	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	43%	41%	16%	.15
MTSU Offense	13	29.8	37.2	38.3%	4.08	1.6	20	362	124	238	3.5	43%	56%	39%	38%	26%	.14

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	28:50	20.4	42%	43%	6.8	60.2	1.8	1.4	5.4	1.9	4	30.6
Middle Tennessee	13	30:13	19.8	31%	48%	6.6	56.6	1.6	2.5	6.8	2.5	5	31.4

Run Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	51%	45%	38	160.5	4.2	22	.17	3.05	75%	12%	1.12
MTSU Defense	13	42%	47%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.42	74%	16%	0.97

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	47%	43%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.96	67%	10%	0.85
MTSU Offense	13	43%	39%	35.2	123.7	3.5	15	.07	3.03	60%	17%	1.07

Pass Game Stats (2021)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	49%	38%	18.8	32.3	214.8	6.7	11.4	15	14	.21	1.6	35%	33%	.36	9%	2.1
MTSU Defense	13	56%	39%	-	-	-	-	-	-	17	.27	1.6	34%	34%	.26	11%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	52%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.25	1.6	30%	28%	.17	6%	2.2
MTSU Offense	13	56%	38%	22.8	35.6	238.5	6.7	10.5	28	13	.23	1.6	33%	28%	.3	9%	2.2

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: NR
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #104
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Old Dominion's 2021 Expected Record: -
Old Dominion's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #100
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #108
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #81

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: Middle Tennessee: 0.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -7.4 Middle Tennessee: -4.0

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: 0.5 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating: #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 27.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 27.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.3

Old Dominion's 2021 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 32
Old Dominion 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 32
Old Dominion 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 31
Old Dominion 23

Total Points: 54

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 37.2
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.4

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2021	11/20	Middle Tennessee	17	Old Dominion	24	Middle Tennessee -3	Old Dominion	48.5	Under
2019	11/23	Middle Tennessee	38	Old Dominion	17	Middle Tennessee -13.5	Middle Tennessee	47.0	Over
2018	10/27	Old Dominion	17	Middle Tennessee	51	Middle Tennessee -4	Middle Tennessee	62.0	Over
2017	11/25	Middle Tennessee	41	Old Dominion	10	Middle Tennessee -13	Middle Tennessee	51.5	Under
2014	09/26	Old Dominion	28	Middle Tennessee	41	Old Dominion -1	Middle Tennessee	69.0	Push

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Middle Tennessee	4	4	2 Overs
Old Dominion	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 3	2 - 3	2 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 2	3 - 2	1 - 0	2 - 2

(#) ODU at (#) MTSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	MTSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#100	#90
Perf GradeGrade	#86	#101
OffenseOff	#95	#116
DefenseDef	#62	#53
Spec TeamsST	#48	#124
TalentTal	#104	#80
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Old Dominion Injury Report

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense


CategoryCat	ODU Off	MTSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#95	#53
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#108	#69
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Old Dominion Run Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#49	#41
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#77	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#42

Old Dominion Pass Game


CategoryCat	ODU Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#80	#24
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#83	#125
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	ODU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#116	#62
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#91	#81
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#128	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#122	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#78

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#95	#29
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#81	#123
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'21 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 59° - Wind: 11 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Middle Tennessee -3.0 (48.5)
Old Dominion won at Middle Tennessee this year (24-17)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ODU's OC Kirk Campbell (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD