New Mexico State Aggies at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Saturday, November 23rd 2024 (2:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (54.0) (-162) Open: -4.5
New Mexico State 36 - Middle Tennessee: 21 (Conference USA)
Aggies (3 - 9) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Tony Sanchez (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 36 (13 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
NMSU 2nd straight Road Game
MTSU coming off BYE
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -0 (SP+ NMSU -5.5)
Projected Score: NMSU: 27 - MTSU: 27 (54)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs behind
MTSU coming off BYE
NMSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: New Mexico State -0 (SP+ NMSU -5.5)
Projected Score: NMSU: 27 - MTSU: 27 (54)
MTSU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
NMSU Travel: 1190 miles, 1 hrs behind
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
| New Mexico State's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | New Mexico State vs Southeast Missouri State | -9.5 | 52.5 | W 23 - 16 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/7 | New Mexico State vs Liberty | +22.5 | 54.5 | L 24 - 30 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/14 | New Mexico State at Fresno State | +19.5 | 48.5 | L 0 - 48 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | New Mexico State at Sam Houston | +15.5 | 44.5 | L 11 - 31 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | New Mexico State vs New Mexico | +9.5 | 54.0 | L 40 - 50 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/9 | New Mexico State at Jacksonville State | +21.0 | 58.5 | L 13 - 54 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | New Mexico State vs Louisiana Tech | +12.5 | 49.0 | W 33 - 30 | O | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/29 | New Mexico State vs Florida International | +7.0 | 43.5 | L 13 - 34 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/9 | New Mexico State vs Western Kentucky | +18.0 | 53.5 | L 28 - 41 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/16 | New Mexico State at Texas A&M | +38.5 | 54.5 | L 3 - 38 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/23 | New Mexico State at Middle Tennessee | +3.5 | 54.0 | W 36 - 21 | O | Y | |
| Sat 11/30 | New Mexico State vs UTEP | -3.5 | 51.5 | L 35 - 42 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 2
Predictions for New Mexico State's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 4, Poor: 2
| Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/31 | Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech | -11.5 | |||||
| Sat 9/7 | Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss | +42.5 | 60.5 | L 3 - 52 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/14 | Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky | +10.5 | 53.5 | L 21 - 49 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/21 | Middle Tennessee vs Duke | +14.5 | 51.0 | L 17 - 45 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/28 | Middle Tennessee at Memphis | +27.0 | 62.0 | L 7 - 24 | U | Y | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/10 | Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech | +5.0 | 48.0 | L 21 - 48 | O | N | |
| Tue 10/15 | Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State | -8.5 | 50.0 | W 14 - 5 | U | Y | |
| Wed 10/23 | Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | +20.5 | 64.5 | L 20 - 42 | U | N | |
| Sat 11/2 | Middle Tennessee at UTEP | +2.0 | 48.0 | W 20 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 11/9 | Middle Tennessee vs Liberty | +12.5 | 54.5 | L 17 - 37 | U | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 11/23 | Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State | -3.5 | 54.0 | L 21 - 36 | O | N | |
| Sat 11/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +9.5 | 50.5 | L 24 - 35 | O | N | |
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2024)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 21.6 | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 36.3 | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 18.1 | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 34.3 | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU | #119 (.08) | 39% (106) | 46% (41) | 3.33 (21) | 179 | 30% (132) | 143 | 3.8 (82) | #115 (.26) | 41% (64) | 43% (69) | 40% (68) | 3.7 (60) | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | ||
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 21.6 | 12.6 | 39.3% | 3.8 | 1.9 | 19 | 322 | 179 | 143 | 4.4 | 58% | 42% | 46% | 30% | 18% | .08 |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 34.3 | 32.8 | 49.4% | 4.61 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 54% | 46% | 50% | 49% | 14% | .32 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 36.3 | 38.4 | 41.3% | 3.7 | 0.8 | - | - | - | - | - | 50% | 50% | 43% | 40% | 12% | .26 |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 18.1 | 20.3 | 39.4% | 3 | 1.6 | 18 | 352 | 91 | 261 | 3.2 | 41% | 59% | 38% | 40% | 19% | .13 |
Additional Stats 2024
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico State | 12 | 29:26 | 19.3 | 38% | 38% | 5.4 | 48.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 3.8 | 1.2 | 1 | 27 |
| Middle Tennessee | 12 | 30:15 | 18.2 | 38% | 48% | 7.3 | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 | 4.6 | 1.7 | 1 | 25.2 |
Run Game Stats (2024)
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 58% (20) | 46% (41) | 41.3 | 179.3 | 4.4 | 16 (90) | .11 (81) | 3.33 (21) | 77% (37) | 11% (103) | 0.98 (61) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 54% (104) | 50% (124) | - | - | - | - | .19 (107) | 3.19 (97) | 72% (61) | 9% (100) | 0.97 (59) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (55) | 43% (69) | - | - | - | - | .18 (98) | 3.17 (93) | 58% (5) | 7% (134) | 1.04 (95) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 41% (123) | 38% (114) | 27.9 | 90.5 | 3.2 | 10 (122) | .04 (110) | 2.82 (104) | 56% (132) | 11% (100) | 0.98 (62) |
Pass Game Stats (2024)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Offense | 12 | 42% (116) | 30% (132) | 11.8 | 26.7 | 143.2 | 5.4 | 12.2 | 12 (118) | 12 (85) | .05 (128) | 1.8 (17) | 33% (100) | 30% (87) | .13 (131) | 7% (104) | 1.7 (132) |
| MTSU Defense | 12 | 46% (33) | 49% (127) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 (117) | .47 (129) | 1.6 (90) | 27% (127) | 34% (109) | .53 (128) | 5% (101) | 2.3 (128) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NMSU Defense | 12 | 50% (76) | 40% (68) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 (76) | .36 (118) | 1.9 (132) | 31% (80) | 29% (42) | .42 (107) | 6% (78) | 2.3 (126) |
| MTSU Offense | 12 | 59% (11) | 40% (83) | 22.8 | 35.6 | 261.1 | 7.3 | 11.5 | 16 (87) | 10 (63) | .19 (95) | 1.5 (102) | 32% (84) | 25% (123) | .17 (121) | 7% (112) | 1.9 (113) |
New Mexico State's Power Ratings
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State's Power Rating: -24.23 #129
New Mexico State's Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
New Mexico State's Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
New Mexico State's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
New Mexico State's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
New Mexico State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
New Mexico State's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Power Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -24.23 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
New Mexico State: -24.23 Middle Tennessee: -21.84
SP+ Ratings Matchup
New Mexico State: -19.0 Middle Tennessee: -24.4
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96
New Mexico State Scoring
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Offense: 21.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 12.6
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.4
New Mexico State's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
New Mexico State 27
Middle Tennessee 27
Total Points: 54
New Mexico State 27
Middle Tennessee 27
Total Points: 54
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.3
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.8
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11/23 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | New Mexico State | 36 | New Mexico State | Middle Tennessee -3.5 | New Mexico State | 54.0 | Over |
| 2023 | 11/04 | New Mexico State | 13 | Middle Tennessee | 7 | New Mexico State | New Mexico State -3.0 | New Mexico State | 55.5 | Under |
| 2004 | 11/06 | New Mexico State | 44 | Middle Tennessee | 10 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2003 | 10/11 | Middle Tennessee | 35 | New Mexico State | 18 | Middle Tennessee | ||||
| 2002 | 11/02 | New Mexico State | 24 | Middle Tennessee | 21 | New Mexico State | ||||
| 2001 | 10/27 | Middle Tennessee | 39 | New Mexico State | 35 | Middle Tennessee |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 2 | 0 | 1 Overs |
| New Mexico State | 4 | 2 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 5 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 1 - 5 | 1 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 1 |
(#129) New Mexico State Info
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight
New Mexico State has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
Power Rating: -24.23 #129
Offense Rating: 14.52 #111
Defense Rating: 16.79 #119
Overall SP+ Rating: -19.0 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.8 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.1 #127
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 6% #53
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 42%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.8 PPO
Good Run Success 46%
Awful Pass Success 30%
Bad OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 41%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.7 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 40%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position
New Mexico State has lost 3 straight
New Mexico State has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 1 - 4 (2 - 3 - 0 vs Spread )
New Mexico State Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 48% (#122) into week 9
(10/16) Better @ home. Rgame good in La Tech upset
(10/9) Team is unbettable. Sanchez is a clown hire
(10/4) Run D allowed 330+ yds (N.M.), Pass Off near worst
(9/29) OC Wright suspended after ugly social media posts
(9/9) Hung w/ Liberty but outgained > 200 yds.
(7/30) Roster decimated by portal & staff TO, 1 Def starter
(7/30) 4/5 OL Return w/ expl. RB's. Only bright spot
(7/30) Forget Kill years, no team will step back more TY
(7/30) 4 way QB battle? Will roster have enough bodies?
New Mexico State Highlights
New Mexico State has a top Offensive Line (#136)
New Mexico State does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#136)
New Mexico State Deficiencies
New Mexico State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
New Mexico State Fumbles a Lot (#89)
New Mexico State offense is really bad (#128)
New Mexico State pass game is really bad (#73)
New Mexico State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
New Mexico State does not Sack the QB (#80)
New Mexico State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#57)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MTSU | NMSU |
| OverallOver | #97 | #91 |
| OffenseOff | #101 | #106 |
| DefenseDef | #108 | #88 |
| Special TeamsST | #97 | #60 |
| PassingPass | #27 | #108 |
| RushingRush | #55 | #72 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #98 | #53 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #119 | #87 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #87 | #107 |
| TacklingTkl | #72 | #59 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #93 | #80 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #110 | #109 |
| Coverage DefCov | #105 | #77 |
Rematch from Week 13
Middle Tennessee -3.5 (54.0)
New Mexico State won at Middle Tennessee this year (36-21)
Previous Matchups
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee last year (36-21)
New Mexico State beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (13-7)
Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Team Information
Injuries: NMSU | MTSU
Depth Chart: NMSU | MTSU
Rosters: NMSU | MTSU
(#130) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -21.84 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Fumbles a Lot (#1)
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee Commits a Lot of Penalties (#49)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee run game is really bad (#88)
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee has a bad defense (#86)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Awad | 74 | 159 | 47% | 1079 | 7 | 4 | 6.8 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 49 | 112 | 44% | 519 | 3 | 5 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth McGowan | 153 | 813 | 3 | 5.3 | 38 |
| Michael Washington | 158 | 713 | 8 | 4.5 | 47 |
| Santino Marucci (Tr) | 37 | 131 | 1 | 3.5 | 38 |
| Larenzo McMillan | 7 | 111 | 1 | 15.9 | 84 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Pride | 34 | 374 | 2 | 11.0 | 53 |
| Glynn Johnson Jr | 19 | 346 | 2 | 18.2 | 54 |
| Seth McGowan | 23 | 277 | 3 | 12.0 | 43 |
| Kordell David | 18 | 191 | 0 | 10.6 | 38 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Da'Marcus Crosby | 81 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buddha Peleti | 20 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Kale Edwards (Tr) | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Noah Arinze | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Tyler Martinez | 94 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakerric Hobbs (Tr) | 36 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Tayden Barnes | 57 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| Sone Aupiu | 55 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 269 | 418 | 64% | 3092 | 16 | 10 | 7.4 |
| Roman Gagliano | 4 | 9 | 44% | 41 | 0 | 0 | 4.6 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaiden Credle | 109 | 471 | 4 | 4.3 | 66 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 60 | 273 | 2 | 4.6 | 24 |
| Terry Wilkins | 54 | 214 | 1 | 4.0 | 23 |
| Nick Vattiato | 86 | 77 | 1 | 0.9 | 16 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Holden Willis | 53 | 871 | 6 | 16.4 | 61 |
| Omari Kelly (Tr) | 53 | 869 | 4 | 16.4 | 71 |
| Myles Butler | 30 | 366 | 3 | 12.2 | 61 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 20 | 190 | 0 | 9.5 | 44 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Parker Hughes | 69 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Buckner | 37 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 60 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Jalen Davis | 52 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aidan Butts | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrell Raby | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Marvae Myers-Glover | 41 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Xavier Williams (Tr) | 75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |