Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky - 2021 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Western Kentucky HilltoppersWestern Kentucky logo
Saturday, November 6th 2021 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Kentucky -17.5 (66.5)
Western Kentucky 48 - Middle Tennessee: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (7 - 6) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Rick Stockstill (95 - 94)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (24 - 32 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WKU 2nd straight Home Game
WKU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: -11  (SP+ WKU -17)
Projected Score: MTSU: 29 - WKU: 36 (65)
WKU Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
MTSU Travel: 79 miles
Hilltoppers (9 - 5) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 44 - 29 (47 - 26 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Middle Tennessee vs Monmouth-8.558.5W 50 - 15OY
Sat 9/11 Middle Tennessee at Virginia Tech+20.055.0L 14 - 35UN
Sat 9/18 Middle Tennessee at UTSA+11.560.0L 13 - 27UN
Fri 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Charlotte+2.555.5L 39 - 42ON
Sat 10/2 Middle Tennessee vs Marshall+11.066.0W 34 - 28UY
Sat 10/9 Middle Tennessee at Liberty+20.059.0L 13 - 41UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/22 Middle Tennessee at UConn-14.054.0W 44 - 13OY
Sat 10/30 Middle Tennessee vs Southern Miss-12.547.0W 35 - 10UY
Sat 11/6 Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky+17.566.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 11/13 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International-10.554.0W 50 - 10OY
Sat 11/20 Middle Tennessee vs Old Dominion-3.048.5L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/27 Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic+3.549.5W 27 - 17UY
Fri 12/17 Middle Tennessee vs Toledo+10.050.0W 31 - 24OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Western Kentucky's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/2 Western Kentucky vs UT Martin-24.058.5W 59 - 21OY
Sat 9/11 Western Kentucky at Army+6.052.0L 35 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/25 Western Kentucky vs Indiana+9.562.5L 31 - 33OY
Sat 10/2 Western Kentucky at Michigan State+10.566.5L 31 - 48ON
Sat 10/9 Western Kentucky vs UTSA-3.571.0L 46 - 52ON
Sat 10/16 Western Kentucky at Old Dominion-13.566.5W 43 - 20UY
Sat 10/23 Western Kentucky at Florida International-16.578.0W 34 - 19UN
Sat 10/30 Western Kentucky vs Charlotte-19.571.5W 45 - 13UY
Sat 11/6 Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee-17.566.5W 48 - 21OY
Sat 11/13 Western Kentucky at Rice-19.061.0W 42 - 21OY
Sat 11/20 Western Kentucky vs Florida Atlantic-11.564.0W 52 - 17OY
Sat 11/27 Western Kentucky at Marshall-1.075.5W 53 - 21UY
Fri 12/3 Western Kentucky at UTSA-3.074.5L 41 - 49ON
Sat 12/18 Western Kentucky vs App State+3.067.0W 59 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1438%29.839%3.0312438%2384.08.1642%25.747%39%3.6556.61.62.5
WKU.3952%44.250%3.2210353%4344.73.2345%29.446%44%4.0554.11.42.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
WKU#66 (.19)42% (83)38% (117)2.78 (108)11045% (33)2653.83 (78)#95 (.21)45% (102)48% (113)40% (60)3.66 (54)41.31.71.5



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1329.824.438.3%4.081.6203621242383.543%56%39%38%26%.14
WKU Defense1429.426.245.4%4.052.4 - - - - - 52%47%46%44%18%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1325.731.942%3.652.5 - - - - - 42%56%47%39%28%.16
WKU Offense1444.246.852.2%4.731.4285361034344.128%72%50%53%15%.39

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1330:1319.831%48%6.656.61.62.56.82.5531.4
Western Kentucky1427:4027.547%50%6.854.11.42.45.92.6431.3
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1343%39%35.2123.73.515.073.0360%17%1.07
WKU Defense1452%46% - - - - .183.2175%10%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1342%47% - - - - .133.4274%16%0.97
WKU Offense1428%50%24.9102.54.113.143.2268%7%0.8

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1356%38%22.835.6238.56.710.52813.231.633%28%.39%2.2
WKU Defense1447%44% - - - - - - 21.31.628%30%.268%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1356%39% - - - - - - 17.271.634%34%.2611%1.9
WKU Offense1472%53%34.349.8433.78.712.76312.491.527%44%.79%2.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #80
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.0  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #91
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1  #69

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    Western Kentucky: 9.15

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -4.0   Western Kentucky: 13.3




Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: 9.15 NR
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: NR
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #74
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Western Kentucky's 2021 Expected Record: -
Western Kentucky's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.3  #24
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.5  #5
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #90

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 29.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.4
Defense: 25.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 31.9

Middle Tennessee's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Projected Score
Western Kentucky 36
Middle Tennessee 29

Total Points: 65

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 34
Middle Tennessee 30

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 37
Middle Tennessee 28

Total Points: 65
Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 44.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 46.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.2

Western Kentucky's 2021 Record
Record: 9 - 5
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 10 - 4
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/15Western Kentucky42Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -13.5Western Kentucky51.5Over
202409/14Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky49Western Kentucky -10.5Western Kentucky53.5Over
202309/28Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee10Western Kentucky -6.5Western Kentucky61.0Under
202210/15Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky35Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky67.5Under
202111/06Western Kentucky48Middle Tennessee21Western Kentucky -17.5Western Kentucky66.5Over
202010/03Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20Western Kentucky -7.0Middle Tennessee52.5Under
201911/30Western Kentucky31Middle Tennessee26Western Kentucky -10.5Middle Tennessee46.0Over
201811/02Middle Tennessee29Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee -13.5Middle Tennessee53.0Under
201711/17Western Kentucky41Middle Tennessee38Middle Tennessee -1Western Kentucky56.0Over
201610/15Middle Tennessee43Western Kentucky44Middle Tennessee -2.5Western Kentucky75.0Over
201510/10Western Kentucky58Middle Tennessee28Western Kentucky -7.5Western Kentucky69.5Over
201409/13Middle Tennessee50Western Kentucky47Middle Tennessee -1Middle Tennessee0
201211/01Western Kentucky29Middle Tennessee34
201110/06Middle Tennessee33Western Kentucky36
201011/20Western Kentucky26Middle Tennessee27
200910/24Middle Tennessee62Western Kentucky24
200811/15Western Kentucky10Middle Tennessee21
200709/20Middle Tennessee17Western Kentucky20
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Kentucky1287 Overs
Middle Tennessee644 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 98 - 46 - 22 - 2
Road Teams9 - 94 - 82 - 22 - 6

(#) MTSU at (#) WKU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUWKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #24
Perf GradeGrade #101 #29
OffenseOff #116 #16
DefenseDef #53 #67
Spec TeamsST #124 #96
TalentTal #80 #74
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffWKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #67
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #91 #90
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffWKU Def
Run GameRun #128 #91
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #122 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #81
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffWKU Def
Pass GamePass #95 #33
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #81 #81
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Western Kentucky on Offense
CategoryCatWKU OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #16 #53
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #5 #69
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Western Kentucky Run Game
CategoryCat
WKU OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #82 #41
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #47 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #42
Western Kentucky Pass Game
CategoryCatWKU OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #12 #24
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #1 #125
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WKU 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'21 Profile: Up to Top 25 Contenders

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'21 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Houchens Industries-L. T. Smith Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 63°
Rematch from Week 10
Western Kentucky -17.5 (66.5)
Western Kentucky won vs Middle Tennessee this year (48-21)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee last year (49-21)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2023 (31-10)
Western Kentucky beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (35-17)

  
MTSU's OC Brent Dearmon (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
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View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WKU's OC Zach Kittley (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Maurice Crum Jr. (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD