Sam Houston Bearkats at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium"" - Murfreesboro, TN (Conference USA)
Bearkats (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
Coach Phil Longo (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 39 (22 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.5 - 9.5 (#132)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
SHSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -1 (SP+ SHSU -4.5)
Projected Score: SHSU: 27 - MTSU: 26 (53)
SHSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SHSU Travel: 637 miles
SHSU is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -1 (SP+ SHSU -4.5)
Projected Score: SHSU: 27 - MTSU: 26 (53)
SHSU Win prob: 48% | Cover: 46%
SHSU Travel: 637 miles
Blue Raiders (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (14 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 13 - 30 (14 - 34 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 9)
| Sam Houston's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/23 | Sam Houston at Western Kentucky | +9.5 | 60.5 | L 24 - 41 | O | N | |
| Fri 8/29 | Sam Houston vs UNLV | +13.5 | 58.5 | L 21 - 38 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Sam Houston at Hawai'i | +7.0 | 47.5 | L 20 - 37 | O | N | |
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Sat 9/20 | Sam Houston at Texas | +40.5 | 51.5 | ||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Thu 10/2 | Sam Houston at New Mexico State | +7 | |||||
| Thu 10/9 | Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State | +3 | |||||
| Wed 10/15 | Sam Houston vs UTEP | +9 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Tue 10/28 | Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech | +14 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Sam Houston at Oregon State | +18.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Sam Houston vs Delaware | +7.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Sam Houston at Middle Tennessee | -1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Sam Houston vs Florida International | +8.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 7, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 0
| Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Date | Matchup | Spread | Total | Result | O/U | Cover | |
| Sat 8/30 | Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay | -14.5 | 53.5 | L 14 - 34 | U | N | |
| Sat 9/6 | Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin | +28.5 | 45.5 | L 10 - 42 | O | N | |
| Sat 9/13 | Middle Tennessee at Nevada | +9.0 | 50.0 | W 14 - 13 | U | Y | |
| Sat 9/20 | Middle Tennessee vs Marshall | +2.5 | 46.5 | ||||
| Sat 9/27 | Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State | +5.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State | +1.5 | |||||
| BYE WEEK | |||||||
| Wed 10/22 | Middle Tennessee at Delaware | +16 | |||||
| Wed 10/29 | Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State | +6.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/8 | Middle Tennessee vs Florida International | +11.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/15 | Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky | +20.5 | |||||
| Sat 11/22 | Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston | +1 | |||||
| Sat 11/29 | Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State | +10.5 | |||||
Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Important Stats (2025)
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #123 (.05) | 37% (111) | 21.7 | 38% (105) | 2.79 (87) | 136 | 37% (108) | 185 | 3.14 (113) | #85 (.16) | 44% (103) | 38.7 | 40% (72) | 49% (118) | 4.38 (100) | 68 | 1 | 1.7 |
| MTSU | #127 (-.01) | 36% (119) | 12.7 | 41% (88) | 2.86 (83) | 61 | 33% (119) | 188 | 1.89 (129) | #120 (.29) | 42% (86) | 29.7 | 36% (45) | 51% (123) | 4.58 (109) | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Teams | Off Explosive. | Off Success | PPG | Rush Success | OL Yds Per Att | Rush YPG | Pass Success | Pass YPG | Off ScoreZone | Def Explosive. | Def Success | Def PPG | RunD Success | Pass D Success | Def ScoreZone | Penalty YPG | TO PG | Def TO PG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU | #115 (.1) | 39% (107) | 41% (100) | 3.18 (44) | 180 | 38% (105) | 168 | 2.97 (129) | #31 (.11) | 42% (70) | 47% (105) | 37% (27) | 3.84 (75) | 37.9 | 1.2 | 2.1 | ||
| MTSU | #107 (.13) | 39% (105) | 38% (114) | 2.82 (104) | 91 | 40% (83) | 261 | 3 (128) | #129 (.32) | 49% (130) | 50% (124) | 49% (127) | 4.61 (126) | 61.3 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
Overall Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 21.7 | 22 | 37.4% | 3.14 | 1 | 18 | 321 | 136 | 185 | 4.2 | 44% | 55% | 38% | 37% | 19% | .05 |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 29.7 | 34 | 42.4% | 4.58 | 1.3 | - | - | - | - | - | 58% | 42% | 36% | 51% | 16% | .29 |
| Teams | Games | PPG | PPG H/R | Success Rate | Pts PerOpp | TO | 1stD PG | TotalYds PG | RushYds PG | PassYdsPG | RYPA | Run Rate | Pass Rate | Run Success | Pass Success | Havoc Rate | Total PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 38.7 | 39 | 44.5% | 4.38 | 1.7 | - | - | - | - | - | 44% | 56% | 40% | 49% | 16% | .16 |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 12.7 | 14 | 36% | 1.89 | 0.7 | 17 | 249 | 61 | 188 | 2.3 | 37% | 61% | 41% | 33% | 17% | -.01 |
Additional Stats 2025
| Teams | Games | Possession Time | 1st Downs PG | 3rd Down % | 4th Down % | Penalties PG | Penalty Yds PG | Off TO PG | Def TO PG | TFL PG | Sacks PG | D/ST TDs | Avg Field Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston | 3 | 28:09 | 17.7 | 14% | 30% | 7 | 68 | 1 | 1.7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 27.4 |
| Middle Tennessee | 3 | 27:17 | 16.7 | 28% | 29% | 5 | 41.7 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
Run Game Stats (2025)
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 44% (103) | 38% (105) | 32.3 | 135.7 | 4.2 | 4 (79) | .06 (93) | 2.79 (87) | 73% (66) | 12% (114) | 1.13 (39) |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 58% (118) | 36% (45) | - | - | - | - | .1 (83) | 2.95 (86) | 86% (112) | 12% (42) | 1.02 (83) |
| Teams | Games | Run Play Rate | Run Play Success | Rush Att PG | Rush Yds PG | Rush Yds Per Att | Rushing TDs | Run Pred Pts Added | OL Yds Per Att | 3rd/4th & Short | Front 7 Havoc | Run Play Explosivness |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 44% (30) | 40% (72) | - | - | - | - | -.08 (24) | 2.97 (89) | 69% (66) | 9% (80) | 0.68 (10) |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 37% (129) | 41% (88) | 26.7 | 60.7 | 2.3 | 1 (127) | -.06 (122) | 2.86 (83) | 40% (133) | 11% (99) | 0.99 (58) |
Pass Game Stats (2025)
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Offense | 3 | 55% (37) | 37% (108) | 18.7 | 31 | 185 | 6 | 9.9 | 2 (102) | 3 (92) | .07 (121) | 1.3 (112) | 40% (130) | 22% (116) | -.07 (131) | 7% (110) | 1.7 (105) |
| MTSU Defense | 3 | 42% (21) | 51% (123) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 (28) | .56 (127) | 1.7 (113) | 35% (42) | 34% (104) | .47 (110) | 4% (110) | 2.1 (95) |
| Teams | Games | PassPlay Rate | PassPlay Success | Comp PG | Att PG | Yds PG | Yds PA | Yds PC | TDs | Ints | PassPlays PPA | PassPlays Expl | PassDowns Rate | PassDowns Succ Rate | PassDowns PPA | DB Havoc | PassDowns Expl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHSU Defense | 3 | 56% (108) | 49% (118) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 (56) | .36 (110) | 1.6 (89) | 31% (90) | 36% (116) | .17 (47) | 7% (45) | 1.8 (52) |
| MTSU Offense | 3 | 61% (9) | 33% (119) | 21.3 | 38 | 188 | 5 | 8.8 | 4 (72) | 2 (60) | .04 (124) | 1.5 (83) | 35% (111) | 29% (90) | .38 (59) | 7% (104) | 2.2 (44) |
Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Sam Houston's 2025 Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Sam Houston's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Power Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.55 Middle Tennessee: -19.485
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 Middle Tennessee: -23.0
Sam Houston: -18.55 Middle Tennessee: -19.485
SP+ Ratings Matchup
Sam Houston: -18.6 Middle Tennessee: -23.0
Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
2025 Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 457.83
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85
Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Offense: 21.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 22
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 39
Sam Houston's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Sam Houston 27
Middle Tennessee 26
Total Points: 53
Sam Houston 27
Middle Tennessee 26
Total Points: 53
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Offense: 12.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 14
Defense: 29.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
| Year | Date | Home | Score | Away | Score | Winner | Spread | Cover | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 11/25 | Sam Houston | 23 | Middle Tennessee | 20 | Sam Houston | Middle Tennessee -3.5 | Sam Houston | 49.5 | Under |
| Team | Wins | Covers | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middle Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 0 Overs |
| Sam Houston | 1 | 1 | 1 Unders |
| Wins | Covers | Favs | Dogs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Teams | 1 - 0 | 1 - 0 | 0 - 0 | 1 - 0 |
| Road Teams | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 1 | 0 - 0 |
(#125) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 10 straight
Sam Houston has lost 6 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
Power Rating: -18.55 #125
Offense Rating: -0.11 #132
Defense Rating: 18.43 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.6 #126
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.9 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #117
Talent Rating: 476.00 #121
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 2.5 - 9.5
Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.14 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Poor Pass Success 37%
Poor OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position
Sam Houston has lost 10 straight
Sam Houston has lost 6 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )
Sam Houston Notes
(8/23) QB1? Watson running air raid likely not good
(7/13) Home games 70 miles off campus (Shell Energy)
(7/11) QB Mettauer big arm, was Longo's pick at Wisc
(7/11) Over Bet Watch. Def down, Pass Off up
(6/6) Not a fan of HC Phil Long hire at all.
(6/6) Could be a bottom Def in CFB, DBs are JUCOs
(5/23) SHSU was 6-0 in 1 score games LY
(3/26) QB Watson JAG w/ mobility. No depth exp
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals inc. Green (IU)
(3/26) WR some exp, replacing a lot. 2 portal adds
Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Sam Houston offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#113)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston pass game is really bad (#108)
Sam Houston offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Sam Houston Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Sam Houston has a bad defense (#103)
Sam Houston has a bad red zone defense (#100)
| Performance GradesPerf Grades | ||
|---|---|---|
| CategoryCat | MTSU | SHSU |
| OverallOver | #105 | #98 |
| OffenseOff | #112 | #110 |
| DefenseDef | #68 | #71 |
| Special TeamsST | #100 | #43 |
| PassingPass | #84 | #104 |
| RushingRush | #87 | #103 |
| Run BlockRBLK | #108 | #91 |
| Pass BlockPBLK | #121 | #96 |
| Route RunningWR Rt | #104 | #103 |
| TacklingTkl | #28 | #96 |
| Run DefenseR Def | #47 | #48 |
| Pass Rush DefPRush | #90 | #59 |
| Coverage DefCov | #77 | #86 |
(#132) Middle Tennessee Info
Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 7 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
Power Rating: -19.485 #132
Offense Rating: 1.97 #122
Defense Rating: 23.25 #129
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0 #133
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.1 #133
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.1 #121
Talent Rating: 462.00 #124
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 37%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 36%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 1.89 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.58 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position
Middle Tennessee has lost 7 straight
Middle Tennessee has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)
Middle Tennessee Notes
(8/30) 153 yds of Off vs Austin Peay? Bottom 5 Off
(7/5) QB Vattiato 3rd yr starting, 2nd under OC Reeder
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl
Middle Tennessee Highlights
Middle Tennessee has a great TO Margin (#28)
Middle Tennessee defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)
Middle Tennessee Deficiencies
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense
Middle Tennessee has a really bad Offense at Home
Middle Tennessee Can Not Run the Ball (#133)
Middle Tennessee offense is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#125)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#129)
Middle Tennessee pass game is really bad (#119)
Middle Tennessee offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Middle Tennessee Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Middle Tennessee gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#102)
Middle Tennessee has a bad red zone defense (#109)
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 30 | 52 | 58% | 310 | 0 | 1 | 6.0 |
| Mabrey Mettauer (Tr) | 20 | 31 | 65% | 177 | 1 | 2 | 5.7 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Watson | 24 | 108 | 2 | 4.5 | 55 |
| Landan Brown | 13 | 94 | 1 | 7.2 | 53 |
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 24 | 76 | 0 | 3.2 | 11 |
| Alton McCaskill (Tr) | 11 | 72 | 1 | 6.5 | 52 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Green (Tr) | 11 | 124 | 1 | 11.3 | 35 |
| Grady O'Neill (Tr) | 6 | 65 | 0 | 10.8 | 29 |
| Malik Phillips | 6 | 60 | 0 | 10.0 | 22 |
| Tim Burns Jr. | 1 | 59 | 1 | 59.0 | 59 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Emon Allen | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Antavious Fish (Tr) | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Chatavies Johnson | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| JaMair Diaz (Tr) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Tokyo Gordon | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Chauncey Chidi | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Brown (Tr) | 21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Cecil Powell (Tr) | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| AJ Edwards | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Player Name | COMP | ATT | PCT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Vattiato | 62 | 111 | 56% | 548 | 4 | 2 | 4.9 |
| Roman Gagliano | 1 | 1 | 100% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5.0 |
| Player Name | CAR | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jekail Middlebrook | 33 | 142 | 0 | 4.3 | 42 |
| Rickey Hunt | 16 | 67 | 0 | 4.2 | 15 |
| Stanley Anderson-Lofton | 3 | 9 | 0 | 3.0 | 15 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5.0 | 5 |
| Player Name | REC | YDS | TD | YPC | LONG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahzae Cox | 14 | 170 | 3 | 12.1 | 37 |
| Myles Butler | 12 | 116 | 0 | 9.7 | 23 |
| Jekail Middlebrook | 11 | 87 | 0 | 7.9 | 12 |
| Cam'Ron Lacy | 5 | 63 | 0 | 12.6 | 42 |
| Top Def | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Muaaz Byard | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Shakai Woods | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Anthony Bynum | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sacks | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeion Simpson-Smith | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Damonte Smith | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brandon Buckner | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| John Howse IV | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Pass D | Tack | TFL | SACKS | PRESS | PD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Lowe | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Parker Hughes | 21 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Abdul Muhammad | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |