Middle Tennessee at UTEP - 2022 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UTEP MinersUTEP logo
Saturday, October 29th 2022 (9:00 PM EDT)
UTEP -2.5 (52.0)
Middle Tennessee 24 - UTEP: 13  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
UTEP 2nd straight Home Game
MTSU coming off BYE
Our Line: -0.5  (SP+ MTSU -4)

Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - UTEP: 29 (54)
UTEP Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 1188 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Miners (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Dana Dimel (12 - 33)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (23 - 18 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee at James Madison+4.560.5L 7 - 44UN
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Colorado State+13.558.0W 34 - 19UY
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State-19.552.5W 49 - 6OY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Miami+25.553.5W 45 - 31OY
Fri 9/30 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA+4.564.0L 30 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Middle Tennessee at UAB+10.053.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+7.567.5L 17 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.552.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech-2.564.0L 24 - 40UN
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte-10.067.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic+5.551.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-19.554.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State+7.047.0W 25 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
UTEP's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 UTEP vs North Texas+1.552.5L 13 - 31UN
Sat 9/3 UTEP at Oklahoma+31.058.0L 13 - 45UN
Sat 9/10 UTEP vs New Mexico State-17.046.5W 20 - 13UN
Sat 9/17 UTEP at New Mexico-2.038.0L 10 - 27UN
Fri 9/23 UTEP vs Boise State+16.044.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 10/1 UTEP at Charlotte-3.556.0W 41 - 35OY
Sat 10/8 UTEP at Louisiana Tech+2.052.0L 31 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 UTEP vs Florida Atlantic+3.050.5W 24 - 21UY
Sat 10/29 UTEP vs Middle Tennessee-2.552.0L 13 - 24UN
Thu 11/3 UTEP at Rice+3.547.0L 30 - 37ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/19 UTEP vs Florida International-14.050.0W 40 - 6UY
Sat 11/26 UTEP at UTSA+16.556.5L 31 - 34OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1440%28.840%2.6910941%2653.45.141%27.740%43%3.6358.81.42.8
UTEP.1541%24.444%3.3916740%2192.9.2243%2743%43%4.0355.81.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
UTEP#121 (.07)37% (124)38% (118)2.8 (106)12136% (117)2002.81 (132)#46 (.13)40% (42)40% (42)39% (46)3.85 (78)50.91.61.5



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1328.825.940.3%3.451.4203741092653.240%59%40%41%18%.14
UTEP Defense122717.542.8%4.031.9 - - - - - 52%47%43%43%19%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1327.730.940.9%3.632.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%43%20%.1
UTEP Offense1224.422.841.4%2.91.8213861672194.351%48%44%40%15%.15

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:4220.234%58%6.658.81.42.86.42.7631.8
UTEP1233:462139%57%6.555.81.81.95.82.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1340%40%34.7109.53.220.12.6976%12%1
UTEP Defense1252%43% - - - - .083.1264%13%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1341%40% - - - - .042.6455%10%0.95
UTEP Offense1251%44%38.6167.24.314.173.3973%9%0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1359%41%26.239.4264.86.710.12111.211.533%32%.335%1.9
UTEP Defense1247%43% - - - - - - 5.421.932%34%.426%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1358%43% - - - - - - 20.251.633%35%.369%2
UTEP Offense1248%40%16.931.7218.86.912.91512.171.734%29%.187%2.2

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    UTEP: -2.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9   UTEP: -10.7




UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -2.85 NR
UTEP's Offense Rating: NR
UTEP's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #126
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UTEP's 2022 Expected Record: -
UTEP's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.7  #100
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.8  #96
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.7  #95

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UTEP 29
Middle Tennessee 25


Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
UTEP 33
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 57

Based on Entire Season
UTEP 26
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 51
UTEP Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.8
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.5

UTEP's 2022 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202411/02UTEP13Middle Tennessee20UTEP -2Middle Tennessee48.0Under
202311/18Middle Tennessee34UTEP30Middle Tennessee -8.5UTEP48.5Over
202210/29UTEP13Middle Tennessee24UTEP -2.5Middle Tennessee52.0Under
201811/10UTEP32Middle Tennessee48Middle Tennessee -13.5Middle Tennessee49.0Over
201711/04Middle Tennessee30UTEP3Middle Tennessee -20Middle Tennessee50.0Under
201411/29UTEP24Middle Tennessee21UTEP -3Push0
201311/30Middle Tennessee48UTEP17Middle Tennessee -21Middle Tennessee0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UTEP112 Overs
Middle Tennessee653 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams4 - 32 - 42 - 30 - 1
Road Teams3 - 44 - 21 - 03 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) UTEP
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUTEP
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #100
Perf GradeGrade #110 #50
OffenseOff #131 #42
DefenseDef #43 #94
Spec TeamsST #64 #25
TalentTal #103 #126
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTEP Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #94
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #95
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTEP Def
Run GameRun #117 #81
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #131
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUTEP Def
Pass GamePass #101 #129
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #15
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UTEP on Offense
CategoryCatUTEP OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #42 #43
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #96 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UTEP Run Game
CategoryCat
UTEP OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #87 #36
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #13 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
UTEP Pass Game
CategoryCatUTEP OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #77 #69
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #12 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Average G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 60° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 9
UTEP -2.5 (52.0)
Middle Tennessee won at UTEP this year (24-13)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP last year (20-13)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2023 (34-30)
Middle Tennessee beat UTEP in 2022 (24-13)

  
MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UTEP's OC Dave Warner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bradley Dale Peveto (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD