Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State Game Matchup

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Kennesaw State Owls

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Fifth Third Bank Stadium - Kennesaw, GA (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.8 - 6.2 (#78)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 11)

KENN 3rd straight Home Game
KENN is playing their 5th straight game
MTSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Middle Tennessee -0.5 (SP+ MTSU -2.5)
Projected Score: MTSU: 25 - KENN: 25 (50)
MTSU Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
MTSU Travel: 162 miles, 1 hrs behind

Owls (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jerry Mack (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 17 - 31 (20 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#119)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
KENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Middle Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-6
Sat 9/6	Middle Tennessee at Wisconsin	+27.5
Sat 9/13	Middle Tennessee at Nevada	+2.5
Sat 9/20	Middle Tennessee vs Marshall	-2
Sat 9/27	Middle Tennessee at Kennesaw State	-0.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	Middle Tennessee vs Missouri State	-3.5
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/22	Middle Tennessee at Delaware	+3.5
Wed 10/29	Middle Tennessee vs Jacksonville State	-4
Sat 11/8	Middle Tennessee vs Florida International	+0
Sat 11/15	Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky	+8.5
Sat 11/22	Middle Tennessee vs Sam Houston	-2
Sat 11/29	Middle Tennessee at New Mexico State	+1.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 11
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Kennesaw State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Kennesaw State at Wake Forest	+17.5	0.0
Sat 9/6	Kennesaw State at Indiana	+36
Sat 9/13	Kennesaw State vs Merrimack	-2.5
Sat 9/20	Kennesaw State vs Arkansas State	+7
Sat 9/27	Kennesaw State vs Middle Tennessee	+0.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Kennesaw State vs Louisiana Tech	+2
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Kennesaw State vs Florida International	+8.5
Tue 10/28	Kennesaw State vs UTEP	+4.5
Sat 11/8	Kennesaw State at New Mexico State	+4.5
Sat 11/15	Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State	+4
Sat 11/22	Kennesaw State vs Missouri State	-0
Sat 11/29	Kennesaw State at Liberty	+23.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 9
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kennesaw State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)	18.1	38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)	34.3	50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
KENN	#134 (-.04)	31% (133)	16.5	31% (134)	2.16 (134)	116	32% (129)	136	3.5 (103)	#93 (.21)	46% (114)	31.2	45% (91)	48% (122)	4.15 (102)	46.3	1.5	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KENN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	12	18.1	14.2	39.4%	3	1.6	18	352	91	261	3.2	41%	59%	38%	40%	19%	.13
KENN Defense	12	31.2	32.3	46.2%	4.15	1	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	48%	14%	.21

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	12	34.3	35.8	49.4%	4.61	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	50%	49%	14%	.32
KENN Offense	12	16.5	19.7	31.4%	3.5	1.5	14	252	116	136	3.1	58%	41%	31%	32%	17%	-.04

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	12	30:15	18.2	38%	48%	7.3	61.3	1.6	0.8	4.6	1.7	1	25.2
Kennesaw State	12	29:20	13.7	35%	39%	5.6	46.3	1.5	1	4.8	1.8	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	12	41% (123)	38% (114)	27.9	90.5	3.2	10 (122)	.04 (110)	2.82 (104)	56% (132)	11% (100)	0.98 (62)
KENN Defense	12	52% (85)	45% (91)	-	-	-	-	.16 (86)	3.04 (75)	73% (65)	9% (93)	1 (73)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	12	54% (104)	50% (124)	-	-	-	-	.19 (107)	3.19 (97)	72% (61)	9% (100)	0.97 (59)
KENN Offense	12	58% (17)	31% (134)	37.4	115.5	3.1	13 (105)	-.05 (130)	2.16 (134)	74% (62)	12% (115)	1.01 (51)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	12	59% (11)	40% (83)	22.8	35.6	261.1	7.3	11.5	16 (87)	10 (63)	.19 (95)	1.5 (102)	32% (84)	25% (123)	.17 (121)	7% (112)	1.9 (113)
KENN Defense	12	48% (50)	48% (122)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (125)	.27 (86)	1.3 (8)	26% (131)	30% (51)	.31 (71)	5% (119)	2 (63)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	12	46% (33)	49% (127)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.47 (129)	1.6 (90)	27% (127)	34% (109)	.53 (128)	5% (101)	2.3 (128)
KENN Offense	12	41% (117)	32% (129)	13	24.8	136.3	5.5	10.5	6 (133)	14 (115)	- (133)	1.6 (52)	38% (131)	23% (130)	.16 (124)	5% (24)	2.1 (60)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
2025 Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2
Middle Tennessee's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -18.76 Kennesaw State: -18.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -16.4 Kennesaw State: -18.9

Kennesaw State's Power Ratings
Kennesaw State's Power Rating: -18.3 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense Rating: 0.67 #133
Kennesaw State's Defense Rating: 23.37 #113
2025 Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Kennesaw State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Kennesaw State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #131
Kennesaw State's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Kennesaw State's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #93

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 385.5
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 25
Kennesaw State 25

Projected Total Points: 50

Kennesaw State Scoring
Offense: 16.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.7
Defense: 31.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 32.3

Kennesaw State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/15	Middle Tennessee	14	Kennesaw State	5	Middle Tennessee	Middle Tennessee -8.5	Middle Tennessee	50.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kennesaw State	0	0	0 Overs
Middle Tennessee	1	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#118) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.76 #118
Offense Rating: 8.09 #104
Defense Rating: 26.85 #128
Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4 #125
Offense SP+ Rating: 17.5 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.9 #107
Talent Rating: 436.00 #120
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.8 - 6.2

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Middle Tennessee Notes
(5/19) RB added Rickey Hunt (Ohio/Tulsa) after spring
(5/19) WR rebuild, 4 portal WR (all P4), 2 TE
(5/19) OC Reeder wants physical Off? Pass heavy LY
(5/19) Def front 7 has some nice pieces, DBs huge ?
(3/26) QB Vattiato back, good, 3K LY. Must limit TOs
(3/26) OL meh LY, 4/5 back. T's poor, 3 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, must trust depth, only 1 portal
(3/26) Mason good fit, year 2 for staff. Could bowl

Middle Tennessee Ratings Matchup Kennesaw State

Power #118

#131

Off #104

#133

Def #128

#113

Talent #120

#130

SP+ #125

#131

SP+ Off #130

#136

SP+ Def #107

#93

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Kennesaw State last year (14-5)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fifth Third Bank Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | KENN
Depth Chart: MTSU | KENN
Rosters: MTSU | KENN

(#131) Kennesaw State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -18.3 #131
Offense Rating: 0.67 #133
Defense Rating: 23.37 #113
Overall SP+ Rating: -18.9 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.3 #136
Defense SP+ Rating: 31.1 #93
Talent Rating: 254.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 41%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 31%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.5 PPO
Awful Run Success 31%
Awful Pass Success 32%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.15 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 45%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kennesaw State Notes
(4/7) QB D. Williams (GSU) will start, S Williams #2
(4/7) WR Benyard best on team. Rest are JAG-
(4/7) RB Bennett (Rice) looks good, big FCS RB '23
(3/24) RB complete rebuild. 2 portals, meh
(3/24) OL 2/5 back, awful LY. 2 exp'd portals.
(3/24) Def awful, return a lot. 6 portal adds, 4 DBs
(3/24) HC Mack was Tenn RB coach, NFL exp
(3/24) Year 2 in FBS will be rough, upset Liberty LY.

Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Nick Vattiato	269	418	64%	3092	16	10	7.4
Roman Gagliano	4	9	44%	41	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rickey Hunt	76	393	2	5.2	59
Jekail Middlebrook	60	273	2	4.6	24
Nick Vattiato	86	77	1	0.9	16
Roman Gagliano	2	5	0	2.5	9

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Myles Butler	30	366	3	12.2	61
Cam'Ron Lacy	20	190	0	9.5	44
Jekail Middlebrook	22	163	1	7.4	24
Gamarion Carter	12	123	0	10.3	27

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Parker Hughes	69	2	0	1	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Shakai Woods	42	4	1	1	0
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brandon Buckner	37	4	3	5	0
Anthony Bynum	60	7	3	1	1
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Aidan Butts	10	2	2	0	2
Abdul Muhammad	12	0	0	0	2
Damonte Smith	25	4	2	3	1

Kennesaw State's OC Mitch Militello

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Davis Bryson	143	261	55%	1494	6	10	5.7
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	19	30	63%	248	3	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Davis Bryson	112	293	4	2.6	20
Dexter Williams II (Tr)	12	45	1	3.8	20
Gabriel Benyard	4	44	0	11.0	44
Alexander Diggs	9	29	0	3.2	8

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Christian Moss	15	220	2	14.7	60
Tykeem Wallace	23	181	0	7.9	24
Gabriel Benyard	19	162	0	8.5	27
Navelle Dean	5	67	0	13.4	37

View Kennesaw State's Full Roster

Kennesaw State's DC Marc Mattioli

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Milon Jones	60	4	1	0	1
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	0	0	6
Tyler Hallum	56	1	0	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donelius Johnson	89	8	4	1	0
Garland Benyard	48	9	4	5	0
Jordan Miles	45	8	3	6	0
Tylon Dunlap	22	5	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Tyler Hallum	56	1	10
JeRico Washington Jr.	59	0	6
Que Billingsley	34	0	3