Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech Game Matchup
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Louisiana Tech BulldogsLouisiana Tech logo
Thursday, October 10th 2024 (8:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -5 (48.0) (-218)  Open: -3.5
Louisiana Tech 48 - Middle Tennessee: 21  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (3 - 9) (3 - 8 - 0)
Coach Derek Mason (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 34 (14 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
MTSU coming off BYE
LT coming off BYE
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -12   (SP+ LT -13)

Projected Score: MTSU: 18 - LT: 30 (48)
LT Win prob: 63% | Cover: 48%
MTSU Travel: 426 miles
Bulldogs (5 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (6 - 18)
Avg Score : 21 - 21 (30 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 8 (#83)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 7)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Tech-11.5
Sat 9/7 Middle Tennessee at Ole Miss+42.560.5L 3 - 52UN
Sat 9/14 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+10.553.5L 21 - 49ON
Sat 9/21 Middle Tennessee vs Duke+14.551.0L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/28 Middle Tennessee at Memphis+27.062.0L 7 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech+5.048.0L 21 - 48ON
Tue 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Kennesaw State-8.550.0W 14 - 5UY
Wed 10/23 Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State+20.564.5L 20 - 42UN
Sat 11/2 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.048.0W 20 - 13UY
Sat 11/9 Middle Tennessee vs Liberty+12.554.5L 17 - 37UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/23 Middle Tennessee vs New Mexico State-3.554.0L 21 - 36ON
Sat 11/30 Middle Tennessee vs Florida International+9.550.5L 24 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/31 Louisiana Tech vs Nicholls-17.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/14 Louisiana Tech at NC State+20.547.5L 20 - 30OY
Sat 9/21 Louisiana Tech vs Tulsa-3.056.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/28 Louisiana Tech vs Florida International-2.049.0L 10 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/10 Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee-5.048.0W 48 - 21OY
Tue 10/15 Louisiana Tech at New Mexico State-12.549.0L 30 - 33ON
Tue 10/22 Louisiana Tech vs UTEP-6.549.0W 14 - 10UN
Tue 10/29 Louisiana Tech at Sam Houston+10.545.5L 3 - 9UY
Sat 11/9 Louisiana Tech vs Jacksonville State+10.055.5L 37 - 44OY
Sat 11/16 Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky+11.552.5W 12 - 7UY
Sat 11/23 Louisiana Tech at Arkansas+23.548.5L 14 - 35OY
Sat 11/30 Louisiana Tech vs Kennesaw State-13.541.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 12/28 Louisiana Tech vs Army+15.044.5L 6 - 27UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#95 (.14)39% (104)18.141% (93)3.08 (74)12639% (94)2663.2 (115)#60 (.17)43% (81)34.345% (88)42% (78)4.13 (100)56.31.81.3
LT#91 (.15)42% (64)20.943% (66)2.74 (122)12542% (63)2613.91 (67)#111 (.25)43% (78)2148% (117)36% (15)4.63 (128)62.81.50.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
LT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1218.114.239.4%3.21.8193911262663.942%57%41%39%17%.14
LT Defense122119.242.8%4.630.8 - - - - - 58%41%48%36%15%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1234.335.842.9%4.131.3 - - - - - 47%52%45%42%17%.17
LT Offense1220.929.542.3%3.911.5203841252613.945%54%43%42%18%.15

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1228:3219.340%45%6.856.31.81.35.81.9028.8
Louisiana Tech1229:4420.130%50%6.862.81.50.85.51.3329.3
Run Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1242% (117)41% (93)32125.53.913 (108).1 (93)3.08 (74)79% (22)11% (95)1.08 (28)
LT Defense1258% (132)48% (117) - - - - .29 (129)3.29 (109)84% (121)10% (83)1.15 (119)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1247% (30)45% (88) - - - - .06 (24)2.97 (43)71% (57)10% (65)0.85 (13)
LT Offense1245% (102)43% (66)31.8124.63.920 (61).11 (90)2.74 (122)74% (73)12% (107)0.97 (88)

Pass Game Stats (2024)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1257% (18)39% (94)24.636.5265.67.310.823 (51)13 (97).24 (84)1.6 (59)34% (101)26% (110).24 (94)6% (70)2.3 (6)
LT Defense1241% (2)36% (15) - - - - - - 5 (126).23 (43)1.9 (132)32% (71)31% (83).36 (94)6% (79)2.3 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1252% (104)42% (78) - - - - - - 8 (100).31 (96)1.5 (47)30% (104)32% (90).35 (88)7% (31)2.2 (100)
LT Offense1254% (32)42% (63)22.435.2260.97.411.616 (92)11 (68).23 (87)1.6 (78)32% (70)25% (113).22 (103)6% (76)2.3 (13)

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
2024 Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Middle Tennessee's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.28   Louisiana Tech: -12.38

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -24.4   Louisiana Tech: -11.6




Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
2024 Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0
Louisiana Tech's 2024 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 378
Average Power Five Talent: 806.09
Average FBS Talent: 638.99


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 18.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 14.2
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Middle Tennessee's 2024 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 30
Middle Tennessee 18


Projected Total Points: 48
Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 20.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.2

Louisiana Tech's 2024 Record
Record: 5 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/10Louisiana Tech48Middle Tennessee21Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -5Louisiana Tech48.0Over
202310/10Middle Tennessee31Louisiana Tech23Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -3Middle Tennessee53.5Over
202211/05Louisiana Tech40Middle Tennessee24Louisiana TechMiddle Tennessee -2.5Louisiana Tech64.0Push
201609/24Middle Tennessee38Louisiana Tech34Middle TennesseeMiddle Tennessee -4Push69.5Over
201510/24Louisiana Tech45Middle Tennessee16Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -8.5Louisiana Tech63.0Under
200010/06Middle Tennessee49Louisiana Tech21Middle Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Louisiana Tech333 Overs
Middle Tennessee311 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 04 - 03 - 01 - 0
Road Teams0 - 60 - 40 - 10 - 3

(#130) Middle Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -24.28 #130
Offense Rating: 15.21 #105
Defense Rating: 21.66 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.4 #131
Offense SP+ Rating: 13.7 #131
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.3 #122
Talent Rating: 394.00 #119
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #102
Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 39%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 38%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Awful OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.61 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 49%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position


Middle Tennessee Notes
(10/22) Def stop rate 49% (#120) into week 9
(10/16) #3 Worst Rgame/OL in CFB. Ken St. dominated
(10/15) Given up 19 sacks, most in CUSA through week 8
(10/10) Killed by L.Tech, Def shreaded, Rgame awful
(10/4) Sched been brutal but Run Off/Def near bottom
(9/5) Lost best OL C Pierce (leg) for the season
(8/3) Def will be near last vs run, DL just poor
(7/30) QB Vattiato good dual threat has WR/TE weapons
(7/30) OL a huge ? but RB room is good/deep.
(7/30) Def portaled out, will take lumps early (often?)
Middle Tennessee     Ratings Matchup     Louisiana Tech
Power #130
#119
Off #105
#133
Def #131
#49
Talent #119
#95
SP+ #131
#110
SP+ Off #131
#128
SP+ Def #122
#64

Rematch from Week 7
Louisiana Tech -5.0 (48.0)
Louisiana Tech won vs Middle Tennessee this year (48-21)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Middle Tennessee last year (48-21)
Middle Tennessee beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (31-23)
Louisiana Tech beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (40-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70° - Wind: 6 mph


Team Information
Injuries: MTSU | LT
Depth Chart: MTSU | LT
Rosters: MTSU | LT
(#119) Louisiana Tech Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -12.38 #119
Offense Rating: 7.48 #133
Defense Rating: 7.55 #49
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.6 #110
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.9 #128
Defense SP+ Rating: 26.3 #64
Talent Rating: 508.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #82
Expected Record: 5.0 - 8.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 37%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.09 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Awful Pass Success 38%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 37%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.72 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Louisiana Tech Notes
(10/23) Lucky W (UTEP), Rgame abysmal, QB Bullock OK
(10/16) Horrible loss @ NMSU. Rgame awful, QB bad TW
(10/10) Cumbie taking over playcalling duties (10/10)
(10/10) QB Bullock/Run game better-Cumbie playcalling
(10/4) Bottom 10 Off both Pass/Run. Def shockingly good
(10/4) Avg nearly 3 TO's per game, & can't move the ball
(9/25) Even w/ Tulsa, but 3 TOs cost them in OT loss
(9/15) Played w/ NC St. Off succ #130, near worst
(9/1) Dog fight W over Nicholls? Rgame awful, QBs meh
(8/17) Cumbie-reporter incident LY says all about him


  
Middle Tennessee's OC Bodie Reeder
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Vattiato26941864%309216107.4
Roman Gagliano4944%41004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jekail Middlebrook6027324.624
Terry Wilkins5421414.023
Nick Vattiato867710.916
Frank Peasant104924.930
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Omari Kelly (Tr)53869416.471
Myles Butler30366312.261
Cam'Ron Lacy2019009.544
Jekail Middlebrook2216317.424

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster
Middle Tennessee's DC Brian Stewart
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003
Parker Hughes692010
Anthony Bynum607311
John Howse IV (Tr)514101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Buckner374350
Anthony Bynum607311
James Gillespie102200
Damonte Smith254231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyrell Raby160006
Marvae Myers-Glover411004
Xavier Williams (Tr)753003

Louisiana Tech's OC Scott Parr
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Evan Bullock19930266%21071437.0
Jack Turner407653%471226.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Omiri Wiggins11152744.735
Amani Givens7531924.320
Marquis Crosby5722413.931
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)4818243.829
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tru Edwards85989611.686
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)39476212.232
Eli Finley25314212.653
Jay Wilkerson13262220.255

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster
Louisiana Tech's DC Jeremiah Johnson
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kolbe Fields719231
Blake Thompson (Tr)603003
Jacob Fields546004
David Blay4510620
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
David Blay4510620
Sifa Leota (Tr)426411
J'Dan Burnett213321
Jayden Gray143211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cedric Woods300005
Jacob Fields546004
Jhamal Shelby Jr.130004