Middle Tennessee at UAB - 2022 Matchup Preview
Middle Tennessee logo Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at UAB BlazersUAB logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
UAB -10 (53.0)
UAB 41 - Middle Tennessee: 14  (Conference USA)

 
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
MTSU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -5.5  (SP+ UAB -6)
Projected Score: MTSU: 28 - UAB: 30 (58)
UAB Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
MTSU Travel: 163 miles
Blazers (7 - 6) (4 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bill Clark (49 - 26)
Avg Score : 30 - 23 (41 - 20 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee at James Madison+4.560.5L 7 - 44UN
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Colorado State+13.558.0W 34 - 19UY
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State-19.552.5W 49 - 6OY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Miami+25.553.5W 45 - 31OY
Fri 9/30 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA+4.564.0L 30 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Middle Tennessee at UAB+10.053.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+7.567.5L 17 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.552.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech-2.564.0L 24 - 40UN
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte-10.067.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic+5.551.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-19.554.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State+7.047.0W 25 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
UAB's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 UAB vs Alabama A&M-40.560.5W 59 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 UAB at Liberty-6.050.0L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/17 UAB vs Georgia Southern-11.559.0W 35 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1 UAB at Rice-10.551.0L 24 - 28ON
Sat 10/8 UAB vs Middle Tennessee-10.053.0W 41 - 14OY
Sat 10/15 UAB vs Charlotte-21.565.0W 34 - 20UN
Fri 10/21 UAB at Western Kentucky+1.560.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 10/29 UAB at Florida Atlantic-5.045.0L 17 - 24UN
Sat 11/5 UAB vs UTSA+2.553.5L 38 - 44ON
Sat 11/12 UAB vs North Texas-6.558.0W 41 - 21OY
Sat 11/19 UAB at LSU+15.550.5L 10 - 41ON
Sat 11/26 UAB at Louisiana Tech-18.055.5W 37 - 27ON
Fri 12/16 UAB vs Miami (OH)-11.044.5W 24 - 20UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU.1440%28.840%2.6910941%2653.45.141%27.740%43%3.6358.81.42.8
UAB.3246%30.148%3.3323544%2034.05.1743%23.248%40%3.2560.51.41.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8
UAB#85 (.16)45% (42)47% (32)3.19 (42)13144% (48)2623.43 (109)#101 (.23)45% (104)52% (132)35% (12)4.24 (110)73.82.21.1



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Offense1328.825.940.3%3.451.4203741092653.240%59%40%41%18%.14
UAB Defense1323.22043.4%3.251.5 - - - - - 49%49%48%40%17%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MTSU Defense1327.730.940.9%3.632.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%43%20%.1
UAB Offense1330.141.346%4.051.4214382352035.860%40%48%44%16%.32

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee1328:4220.234%58%6.658.81.42.86.42.7631.8
UAB1331:5521.245%48%760.51.41.54.71.9329.3
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense1340%40%34.7109.53.220.12.6976%12%1
UAB Defense1349%48% - - - - .283.3178%9%1.03
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense1341%40% - - - - .042.6455%10%0.95
UAB Offense1360%48%40.6235.15.832.33.3373%11%1.15

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense1359%41%26.239.4264.86.710.12111.211.533%32%.335%1.9
UAB Defense1349%40% - - - - - - 10.121.530%29%.148%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense1358%43% - - - - - - 20.251.633%35%.369%2
UAB Offense1340%44%14.924.7203.28.213.6157.411.831%35%.454%2.3

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee:    UAB: 2.25

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9   UAB: -0.5




UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: 2.25 NR
UAB's Offense Rating: NR
UAB's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
UAB's 2022 Expected Record: -
UAB's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5  #70
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #55

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
UAB 30
Middle Tennessee 28

Total Points: 58

Based on Last 4 Games
Middle Tennessee 31
UAB 27

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
UAB 33
Middle Tennessee 25

Total Points: 58
UAB Scoring
Offense: 30.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 41.3
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 20

UAB's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 4 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/08UAB41Middle Tennessee14UAB -10UAB53.0Over
201811/24Middle Tennessee27UAB3UAB -3Middle Tennessee51.5Under
201812/01Middle Tennessee25UAB27Middle Tennessee -1.5UAB44.0Over
201710/14UAB25Middle Tennessee23Middle Tennessee -4.5UAB55.0Under
201410/18Middle Tennessee34UAB22Middle Tennessee -2Middle Tennessee0
201311/02UAB21Middle Tennessee24Middle Tennessee -6UAB0
200010/20UAB14Middle Tennessee9
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UAB442 Overs
Middle Tennessee322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 25 - 12 - 13 - 0
Road Teams2 - 51 - 50 - 31 - 2

(#) MTSU at (#) UAB
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMTSUUAB
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #90 #70
Perf GradeGrade #110 #14
OffenseOff #131 #29
DefenseDef #43 #14
Spec TeamsST #64 #109
TalentTal #103 #99
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUAB Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #14
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #55
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUAB Def
Run GameRun #117 #26
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffUAB Def
Pass GamePass #101 #4
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #127 #57
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
UAB on Offense
CategoryCatUAB OffMTSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #29 #43
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
UAB Run Game
CategoryCat
UAB OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #7 #36
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
UAB Pass Game
CategoryCatUAB OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #96 #69
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #20 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Protective Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 6
UAB -10.0 (53.0)
UAB won vs Middle Tennessee this year (41-14)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (41-14)

  
MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

UAB's OC Bryant Vincent (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC David Reeves (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD