Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech - 2022 Matchup Preview

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Saturday, November 5th 2022 (3:00 PM EDT)
Middle Tennessee -2.5 (64.0)
Louisiana Tech 40 - Middle Tennessee: 24 (Conference USA)

Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (26 - 31 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MTSU 2nd straight Road Game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -3 (SP+ MTSU -11)
Projected Score: MTSU: 30 - LT: 33 (63)
MTSU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MTSU Travel: 426 miles

Bulldogs (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 29 - 38 (40 - 30 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MTSU Players
LT Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Middle Tennessee at James Madison	+4.5	60.5	L 7 - 44	U	N
Sat 9/10	Middle Tennessee at Colorado State	+13.5	58.0	W 34 - 19	U	Y
Sat 9/17	Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State	-19.5	52.5	W 49 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Middle Tennessee at Miami	+25.5	53.5	W 45 - 31	O	Y
Fri 9/30	Middle Tennessee vs UTSA	+4.5	64.0	L 30 - 45	O	N
Sat 10/8	Middle Tennessee at UAB	+10.0	53.0	L 14 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/15	Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	67.5	L 17 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Middle Tennessee at UTEP	+2.5	52.0	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech	-2.5	64.0	L 24 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/12	Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte	-10.0	67.0	W 24 - 14	U	N
Sat 11/19	Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic	+5.5	51.0	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Middle Tennessee at Florida International	-19.5	54.5	W 33 - 28	O	N
Sat 12/24	Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State	+7.0	47.0	W 25 - 23	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule

Louisiana Tech's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Louisiana Tech at Missouri	+20.0	62.5	L 24 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/10	Louisiana Tech vs Stephen F. Austin	-6.5	64.5	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Louisiana Tech at Clemson	+33.5	53.5	L 20 - 48	O	Y
Sat 9/24	Louisiana Tech at South Alabama	+13.0	59.0	L 14 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/8	Louisiana Tech vs UTEP	-2.0	52.0	W 41 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Louisiana Tech at North Texas	+6.5	68.0	L 27 - 47	O	N
Sat 10/22	Louisiana Tech vs Rice	+3.0	57.0	L 41 - 42	O	Y
Fri 10/28	Louisiana Tech at Florida International	-6.5	57.0	L 34 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/5	Louisiana Tech vs Middle Tennessee	+2.5	64.0	W 40 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisiana Tech at UTSA	+17.0	68.5	L 7 - 51	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisiana Tech at Charlotte	-2.0	66.5	L 21 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/26	Louisiana Tech vs UAB	+18.0	55.5	L 27 - 37	O	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	.14	40%	28.8	40%	2.69	109	41%	265	3.45	.1	41%	27.7	40%	43%	3.63	58.8	1.4	2.8
LT	.14	39%	29	40%	2.78	125	39%	267	3.34	.27	43%	37.9	46%	40%	4.14	63.9	2.1	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MTSU	#107 (.13)	39% (105)		38% (114)	2.82 (104)	91	40% (83)	261	3 (128)	#129 (.32)	49% (130)		50% (124)	49% (127)	4.61 (126)	61.3	1.6	0.8
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)		37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)		39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Offense	13	28.8	25.9	40.3%	3.45	1.4	20	374	109	265	3.2	40%	59%	40%	41%	18%	.14
LT Defense	12	37.9	30.2	42.6%	4.14	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	46%	40%	14%	.27

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MTSU Defense	13	27.7	30.9	40.9%	3.63	2.8	-	-	-	-	-	41%	58%	40%	43%	20%	.1
LT Offense	12	29	40.2	38.9%	3.34	2.1	19	393	125	267	3.8	44%	55%	40%	39%	21%	.14

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Middle Tennessee	13	28:42	20.2	34%	58%	6.6	58.8	1.4	2.8	6.4	2.7	6	31.8
Louisiana Tech	12	30:05	19.4	37%	45%	6.8	63.9	2.1	2.5	4.6	1.3	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Offense	13	40%	40%	34.7	109.5	3.2	20	.1	2.69	76%	12%	1
LT Defense	12	52%	46%	-	-	-	-	.33	3.36	81%	9%	1.25

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MTSU Defense	13	41%	40%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.64	55%	10%	0.95
LT Offense	12	44%	40%	33.3	125.4	3.8	14	.11	2.78	58%	11%	1.03

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Offense	13	59%	41%	26.2	39.4	264.8	6.7	10.1	21	11	.21	1.5	33%	32%	.33	5%	1.9
LT Defense	12	48%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	11	.24	1.7	34%	34%	.4	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MTSU Defense	13	58%	43%	-	-	-	-	-	-	20	.25	1.6	33%	35%	.36	9%	2
LT Offense	12	55%	39%	21.2	36.2	267.3	7.4	12.6	25	19	.25	1.8	32%	28%	.18	10%	2.1

Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9 #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3 #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: Louisiana Tech: -6.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Middle Tennessee: -6.9 Louisiana Tech: -17.8

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -6.4 NR
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: NR
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #86
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisiana Tech's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisiana Tech's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.8 #122
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6 #60
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 47.0 #132

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.9
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.9

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 33
Middle Tennessee 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana Tech 34
Middle Tennessee 29

Total Points: 64

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana Tech 32
Middle Tennessee 31

Total Points: 63

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 29 PPG
Offense at Home: 40.2
Defense: 37.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.2

Louisiana Tech's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/10	Louisiana Tech	48	Middle Tennessee	21	Louisiana Tech -5	Louisiana Tech	48.0	Over
2023	10/10	Middle Tennessee	31	Louisiana Tech	23	Middle Tennessee -3	Middle Tennessee	53.5	Over
2022	11/05	Louisiana Tech	40	Middle Tennessee	24	Middle Tennessee -2.5	Louisiana Tech	64.0	Push
2016	09/24	Middle Tennessee	38	Louisiana Tech	34	Middle Tennessee -4	Push	69.5	Over
2015	10/24	Louisiana Tech	45	Middle Tennessee	16	Louisiana Tech -8.5	Louisiana Tech	63.0	Under
2000	10/06	Middle Tennessee	49	Louisiana Tech	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana Tech	3	3	3 Overs
Middle Tennessee	3	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 0	4 - 0	3 - 0	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 6	0 - 4	0 - 1	0 - 3

(#) MTSU at (#) LT

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MTSU	LT
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#90	#122
Perf GradeGrade	#110	#114
OffenseOff	#131	#102
DefenseDef	#43	#121
Spec TeamsST	#64	#122
TalentTal	#103	#86
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Injury Report

Louisiana Tech Injury Report

Middle Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	LT Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#131	#121
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#71	#132
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Middle Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#117	#130
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#133

Middle Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	MTSU Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#101	#93
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#127	#96
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech on Offense


CategoryCat	LT Off	MTSU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#43
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#60	#96
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisiana Tech Run Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	MTSU Def
Run GameRun	#96	#36
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#40

Louisiana Tech Pass Game


CategoryCat	LT Off	MTSU Def
Pass GamePass	#88	#69
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#115	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LT 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Up to Poor G5

MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joe Aillet Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 68° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 10
Middle Tennessee 2.5 (64.0)
Louisiana Tech won vs Middle Tennessee this year (40-24)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat Middle Tennessee last year (48-21)
Middle Tennessee beat Louisiana Tech in 2023 (31-23)
Louisiana Tech beat Middle Tennessee in 2022 (40-24)

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LT's OC Jake Brown (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Scott Power (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD