Charlotte at Middle Tennessee - 2022 Matchup Preview
Charlotte logo Charlotte 49ers at Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersMiddle Tennessee logo
Saturday, November 12th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Middle Tennessee -10 (67.0)
Middle Tennessee 24 - Charlotte: 14  (Conference USA)

 
49ers (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Will Healy (14 - 17)
Avg Score : 24 - 39 (28 - 37 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
CHAR is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -7.5  (SP+ MTSU -10)

Projected Score: CHAR: 29 - MTSU: 30 (59)
MTSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
CHAR Travel: 318 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Blue Raiders (8 - 5) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Rick Stockstill (101 - 98)
Avg Score : 29 - 28 (34 - 24 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Charlotte's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Charlotte at Florida Atlantic+7.060.0L 13 - 43UN
Fri 9/2 Charlotte vs William & Mary-4.552.0L 24 - 41ON
Sat 9/10 Charlotte vs Maryland+28.065.0L 21 - 56ON
Sat 9/17 Charlotte at Georgia State+19.564.0W 42 - 41OY
Sat 9/24 Charlotte at South Carolina+23.566.5L 20 - 56ON
Sat 10/1 Charlotte vs UTEP+3.556.0L 35 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/15 Charlotte at UAB+21.565.0L 20 - 34UY
Sat 10/22 Charlotte vs Florida International-14.063.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 10/29 Charlotte at Rice+15.061.0W 56 - 23OY
Sat 11/5 Charlotte vs Western Kentucky+14.572.5L 7 - 59UN
Sat 11/12 Charlotte at Middle Tennessee+10.067.0L 14 - 24UY
Sat 11/19 Charlotte vs Louisiana Tech+2.066.5W 26 - 21UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Charlotte's Schedule
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Middle Tennessee at James Madison+4.560.5L 7 - 44UN
Sat 9/10 Middle Tennessee at Colorado State+13.558.0W 34 - 19UY
Sat 9/17 Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee State-19.552.5W 49 - 6OY
Sat 9/24 Middle Tennessee at Miami+25.553.5W 45 - 31OY
Fri 9/30 Middle Tennessee vs UTSA+4.564.0L 30 - 45ON
Sat 10/8 Middle Tennessee at UAB+10.053.0L 14 - 41ON
Sat 10/15 Middle Tennessee vs Western Kentucky+7.567.5L 17 - 35UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Middle Tennessee at UTEP+2.552.0W 24 - 13UY
Sat 11/5 Middle Tennessee at Louisiana Tech-2.564.0L 24 - 40UN
Sat 11/12 Middle Tennessee vs Charlotte-10.067.0W 24 - 14UN
Sat 11/19 Middle Tennessee vs Florida Atlantic+5.551.0W 49 - 21OY
Sat 11/26 Middle Tennessee at Florida International-19.554.5W 33 - 28ON
Sat 12/24 Middle Tennessee vs San Diego State+7.047.0W 25 - 23OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Middle Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR.1647%24.447%3.1911649%2714.07.3549%39.448%51%4.1158.51.81.3
MTSU.1440%28.840%2.6910941%2653.45.141%27.740%43%3.6358.81.42.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CHAR#116 (.1)37% (122)39% (110)2.75 (113)11935% (120)2243.9 (70)#113 (.25)45% (107)48% (111)42% (83)3.87 (81)65.31.81
MTSU#107 (.13)39% (105)38% (114)2.82 (104)9140% (83)2613 (128)#129 (.32)49% (130)50% (124)49% (127)4.61 (126)61.31.60.8



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Offense1224.427.547%4.071.8213871162713.742%56%47%49%17%.16
MTSU Defense1327.724.240.9%3.632.8 - - - - - 41%58%40%43%20%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CHAR Defense1239.436.848.7%4.111.3 - - - - - 56%42%48%51%13%.35
MTSU Offense1328.833.840.3%3.451.4203741092653.240%59%40%41%18%.14

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Charlotte1229:3221.240%35%6.758.51.81.34.91.4030.7
Middle Tennessee1328:4220.234%58%6.658.81.42.86.42.7631.8
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Offense1242%47%30.9115.83.713.093.1966%10%0.98
MTSU Defense1341%40% - - - - .042.6455%10%0.95
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CHAR Defense1256%48% - - - - .253.2973%9%1.07
MTSU Offense1340%40%34.7109.53.220.12.6976%12%1

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Offense1256%49%21.435.8271.27.612.72714.311.529%33%.418%2.2
MTSU Defense1358%43% - - - - - - 20.251.633%35%.369%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CHAR Defense1242%51% - - - - - - 9.561.727%37%.744%2.6
MTSU Offense1359%41%26.239.4264.86.710.12111.211.533%32%.335%1.9

Charlotte's Power Ratings
Charlotte's Power Rating: NR
Charlotte's Offense Rating: NR
Charlotte's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #83
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Charlotte's 2022 Expected Record: -
Charlotte's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.4  #119
Charlotte's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0  #85
Charlotte's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.2  #123

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Charlotte:    Middle Tennessee: -0.95

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Charlotte: -16.4   Middle Tennessee: -6.9




Middle Tennessee's Power Ratings
Middle Tennessee's Power Rating: -0.95 NR
Middle Tennessee's Offense Rating: NR
Middle Tennessee's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #103
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Expected Record: -
Middle Tennessee's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -6.9  #90
Middle Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6  #71
Middle Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.3  #96

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Charlotte Scoring
Offense: 24.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.5
Defense: 39.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.8

Charlotte's 2022 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Middle Tennessee 30
Charlotte 29


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Charlotte 32
Middle Tennessee 26

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Middle Tennessee 35
Charlotte 26

Total Points: 61
Middle Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 28.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 27.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.2

Middle Tennessee's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 1


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/12Middle Tennessee24Charlotte14Middle Tennessee -10Push67.0Under
202109/24Charlotte42Middle Tennessee39Charlotte -2.5Charlotte55.5Over
201911/02Charlotte34Middle Tennessee20Middle Tennessee -5Charlotte65.0Under
201810/20Middle Tennessee21Charlotte13Middle Tennessee -17Charlotte50.5Under
201711/11Charlotte21Middle Tennessee35Middle Tennessee -15.5Charlotte49.5Over
201611/19Charlotte31Middle Tennessee38Middle Tennessee -6Middle Tennessee55.5Over
201509/19Middle Tennessee73Charlotte14Middle Tennessee -19.5Middle Tennessee66.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Middle Tennessee524 Overs
Charlotte243 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 24 - 22 - 12 - 1
Road Teams2 - 52 - 41 - 21 - 2

(#) CHAR at (#) MTSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCHARMTSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #119 #90
Perf GradeGrade #107 #110
OffenseOff #56 #131
DefenseDef #132 #43
Spec TeamsST #48 #64
TalentTal #83 #103
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Charlotte on Offense
CategoryCat
CHAR OffMTSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #56 #43
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #85 #96
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Charlotte Run Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffMTSU Def
Run GameRun #115 #36
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #40
Charlotte Pass Game
CategoryCat
CHAR OffMTSU Def
Pass GamePass #61 #69
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #108 #47
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Middle Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatMTSU OffCHAR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #131 #132
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #71 #123
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Middle Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
MTSU OffCHAR Def
Run GameRun #117 #123
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #136 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #125
Middle Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatMTSU OffCHAR Def
Pass GamePass #101 #135
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #127 #63
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
MTSU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Remains Average G5

CHAR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Johnny Red"" Floyd Stadium""
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 36° - Wind: 10 mph
Rematch from Week 11
Middle Tennessee -10.0 (67.0)
Middle Tennessee won vs Charlotte this year (24-14)

Previous Matchups
Middle Tennessee beat Charlotte in 2022 (24-14)

  
CHAR's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Charlotte's Full Roster

CHAR's DC Greg Brown (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

MTSU's OC Mitch Stewart (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Middle Tennessee's Full Roster

MTSU's DC Scott Shafer (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD